2022-01-29 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1031

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.78%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

53.8%

in alpha space · 50.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.41%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.93	52.1929	+2.48%	55.39	+8.76%	0.0724	✗	1.63	8.8M	2022-02-05
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	29.4893	+1.34%	30.76	+5.70%	0.0486	✗	1.12	130.3M	2022-02-05
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4988	0.505172	+1.28%	0.4421	-11.37%	0.2523	✗	1.47	2.1M	2022-02-05
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.18	20.43	+1.24%	22.26	+10.31%	0.0154	✗	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-05
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.24	16.4316	+1.18%	17.77	+9.42%	0.0202	✗	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-05
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.51	98.5124	+1.03%	132.93	+36.32%	0.2157	✓	1.04	7.3M	2022-02-05
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.19	4.2295	+0.94%	4.68	+11.69%	0.0074	✓	1.34	10.7M	2022-02-05
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00723	0.007293	+0.87%	0.00674	-6.78%	0.2701	✗	2.37	22.6M	2022-02-05
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.22	8.2817	+0.75%	8.67	+5.47%	0.0603	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-05
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0817	0.082305	+0.74%	0.0869	+6.36%	0.0455	✗	1.24	317k	2022-02-05
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	79.3124	79.8587	+0.69%	85.8205	+8.21%	0.0274	✗	1.23	410k	2022-02-05
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039999	0.040273	+0.68%	0.040382	+0.96%	0.0966	✗	1.23	10.1M	2022-02-05
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1844	0.185595	+0.65%	0.2088	+13.23%	0.0079	✓	1.36	3.9M	2022-02-05
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.565434	0.568985	+0.63%	0.652675	+15.43%	0.0384	✓	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-05
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9693	0.975141	+0.60%	1.0021	+3.38%	0.0669	✗	1.17	36.8M	2022-02-05
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4637	0.4664	+0.58%	0.4932	+6.36%	0.0557	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-05
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5968	0.600189	+0.57%	0.7727	+29.47%	0.1286	✓	1.54	1.3M	2022-02-05
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0727	0.073102	+0.55%	0.085	+16.92%	0.0870	✓	0.79	67k	2022-02-05
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0603	1.0661	+0.55%	1.1255	+6.15%	0.0370	✗	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-05
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3224	+0.54%	2.9	+25.54%	0.1264	✓	1.18	602k	2022-02-05
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	96.39	96.8997	+0.53%	116.08	+20.43%	0.0730	✓	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-05
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.203491	0.204508	+0.50%	0.213222	+4.78%	0.0422	✗	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-05
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,603.74	2,616.72	+0.50%	3,014.50	+15.78%	0.0517	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-05
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0636	0.063914	+0.49%	0.069	+8.49%	0.0387	✗	1.43	577k	2022-02-05
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3362	2.3476	+0.49%	2.1933	-6.12%	0.1683	✗	1.24	888k	2022-02-05
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	171.16	171.9982	+0.49%	185.88	+8.60%	0.0195	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-05
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	71.95	72.2861	+0.47%	77.09	+7.14%	0.0435	✗	1.33	85.3M	2022-02-05
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.99	3.0038	+0.46%	3.42	+14.38%	0.0165	✓	1.40	25.0M	2022-02-05
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	154.04	154.7126	+0.44%	166.2	+7.89%	0.0385	✗	1.36	12.7M	2022-02-05
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.734137	+0.43%	0.778	+6.43%	0.0312	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-05
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08979	0.09013	+0.38%	0.10107	+12.56%	0.0178	✓	1.20	46k	2022-02-05
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.67	154.221	+0.36%	168.71	+9.79%	0.0078	✓	1.01	2.1M	2022-02-05
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.251	0.251866	+0.34%	0.265	+5.58%	0.0271	✗	0.96	67k	2022-02-05
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2671	0.267992	+0.33%	0.3148	+17.86%	0.0692	✓	1.14	604k	2022-02-05
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.51	3.5217	+0.33%	3.9	+11.11%	0.0013	✓	1.25	2.5M	2022-02-05
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.06	123.4553	+0.32%	136.68	+11.07%	0.0013	✓	1.28	68k	2022-02-05
DASH	Dash	Dash	96.55	96.8333	+0.29%	103.6	+7.30%	0.0282	✗	1.19	3.0M	2022-02-05
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.493	1.4973	+0.29%	1.761	+17.95%	0.0663	✓	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-05
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.25	96.5059	+0.27%	113.8	+18.23%	0.0685	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-05
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.7985	+0.26%	21.35	+13.87%	0.0160	✓	1.38	50.2M	2022-02-05
HIVE	Hive	native	0.952	0.954313	+0.24%	1.166	+22.48%	0.0779	✓	1.52	2.1M	2022-02-05
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.93	5.9442	+0.24%	6.46	+8.94%	0.0199	✓	0.78	470k	2022-02-05
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	299.03	299.7083	+0.23%	320.74	+7.26%	0.0166	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-05
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.9616	5.9748	+0.22%	6.9281	+16.21%	0.0316	✓	1.44	221k	2022-02-05
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.1841	+0.22%	11.27	+0.99%	0.1002	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-05
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.851812	+0.21%	1.21	+42.35%	0.2289	✓	1.51	523k	2022-02-05
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.508	0.509064	+0.21%	0.533	+4.92%	0.0784	✗	1.54	5.2M	2022-02-05
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2425	0.242989	+0.20%	0.2627	+8.33%	0.0224	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-05
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.245	2.249	+0.18%	2.562	+14.12%	0.0427	✓	1.08	23k	2022-02-05
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.042	4.0487	+0.17%	4.51	+11.58%	0.0443	✓	0.79	367k	2022-02-05
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0104	0.010417	+0.17%	0.01113	+7.02%	0.0371	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-05
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.34	2.3439	+0.17%	2.31	-1.28%	0.1403	✗	1.56	2.4M	2022-02-05
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.08	6.0899	+0.16%	6.52	+7.24%	0.0003	✓	0.85	503k	2022-02-05
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.3484	+0.16%	5.48	+2.62%	0.0558	✗	0.99	978k	2022-02-05
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6081	1.6106	+0.15%	1.8014	+12.02%	0.0220	✓	1.11	82k	2022-02-05
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022029	0.022054	+0.11%	0.02206	+0.14%	0.0912	✗	1.13	3.2M	2022-02-05
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.09	27.1189	+0.11%	29.81	+10.04%	0.0413	✗	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-05
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002166	0.000021678	+0.08%	0.00002254	+4.06%	0.0751	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-05
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.84	110.9285	+0.08%	121.8	+9.89%	0.0144	✗	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-05
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.36	2.3618	+0.08%	2.21	-6.36%	0.1906	✗	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-05
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.110077	+0.07%	0.1181	+7.36%	0.0514	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-05
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.010027	+0.07%	0.01122	+11.98%	0.0047	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-05
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.72	1.7211	+0.07%	1.79	+4.07%	0.0643	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-05
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.16	5.1624	+0.05%	5.47	+6.01%	0.0009	✗	0.73	413k	2022-02-05
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9684	0.968842	+0.05%	0.9682	-0.02%	0.1589	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-05
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5251	0.52521	+0.02%	0.5995	+14.17%	0.0222	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-05
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1205	0.120518	+0.02%	0.1551	+28.71%	0.1750	✓	0.96	312k	2022-02-05
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.58	49.5871	+0.01%	56.8	+14.56%	0.0417	✓	1.17	7.5M	2022-02-05
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.667	2.6672	+0.01%	2.728	+2.29%	0.1014	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-05
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,191.10	38,188.20	-0.01%	41,404.85	+8.41%	0.0001	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-05
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.17	9.169	-0.01%	10.1	+10.14%	0.0362	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-05
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060341	0.060325	-0.03%	0.064762	+7.33%	0.0057	✓	0.95	460k	2022-02-05
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0362	0.03619	-0.03%	0.0368	+1.66%	0.1023	✓	1.47	836k	2022-02-05
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.12	14.1136	-0.05%	15.3	+8.36%	0.0006	✗	0.99	886k	2022-02-05
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.08	6.0768	-0.05%	6.4	+5.26%	0.0348	✓	1.07	2.3M	2022-02-05
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.924	0.923245	-0.08%	0.976	+5.63%	0.0560	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-05
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007692	0.000076854	-0.09%	0.0000839	+9.07%	0.0027	✓	1.12	5.8M	2022-02-05
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03035	0.030324	-0.09%	0.03104	+2.27%	0.0521	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-05
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.542	17.5247	-0.10%	19.686	+12.22%	0.0061	✓	1.52	10.7M	2022-02-05
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.64	41.5968	-0.10%	45.61	+9.53%	0.0366	✓	1.59	639k	2022-02-05
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.009	3.0059	-0.10%	3.231	+7.38%	0.0079	✗	0.80	397k	2022-02-05
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.333	0.332636	-0.11%	0.354	+6.31%	0.0497	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-05
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.372	2.3691	-0.12%	3.0145	+27.09%	0.1647	✗	0.94	2.8M	2022-02-05
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.104564	-0.13%	0.1129	+7.83%	0.0085	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-05
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.128	6.1193	-0.14%	6.514	+6.30%	0.0175	✓	0.99	320k	2022-02-05
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.83	2.8259	-0.15%	2.89	+2.12%	0.1016	✓	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-05
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.65	6.6388	-0.17%	7.24	+8.87%	0.0687	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-05
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4878	3.481	-0.19%	4.7941	+37.45%	0.3217	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-05
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.29	20.2407	-0.24%	21.97	+8.28%	0.0141	✓	1.19	13.0M	2022-02-05
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01015	0.010125	-0.25%	0.01154	+13.69%	0.0455	✗	1.06	593k	2022-02-05
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.42	2.4138	-0.26%	2.66	+9.92%	0.0146	✗	1.02	794k	2022-02-05
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014518	0.014478	-0.28%	0.016433	+13.19%	0.0306	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-05
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8302	0.827875	-0.28%	0.9491	+14.32%	0.0476	✗	1.10	18.7M	2022-02-05
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.154	1.1504	-0.32%	1.3221	+14.57%	0.0576	✗	1.01	376k	2022-02-05
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.73	20.6626	-0.33%	22.45	+8.30%	0.0436	✓	1.57	775k	2022-02-05
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.1	6.0787	-0.35%	6.67	+9.34%	0.0149	✗	0.96	953k	2022-02-05
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143169	0.142638	-0.37%	0.147026	+2.69%	0.0546	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-05
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04089	0.04073	-0.39%	0.04465	+9.20%	0.0003	✓	1.13	30k	2022-02-05
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1573	3.1445	-0.41%	3.3404	+5.80%	0.0283	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-05
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,181.60	38,025.03	-0.41%	41,460.80	+8.59%	0.0046	✗	1.01	53k	2022-02-05
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4104	0.408648	-0.43%	0.4481	+9.19%	0.0117	✓	1.29	10.2M	2022-02-05
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05052	0.050291	-0.45%	0.0405	-19.83%	0.3246	✓	1.34	9.2M	2022-02-05
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.31	0.30858	-0.46%	0.3102	+0.06%	0.1213	✓	1.57	4.2M	2022-02-05
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0915	3.0764	-0.49%	3.9423	+27.52%	0.1376	✗	1.37	2.5M	2022-02-05
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0479	1.0426	-0.50%	1.1381	+8.61%	0.0164	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-05
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.7	92.2317	-0.51%	96.73	+4.35%	0.0290	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-05
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1739	0.172899	-0.58%	0.1855	+6.67%	0.0159	✗	0.67	536k	2022-02-05
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.364	1.3556	-0.61%	1.519	+11.36%	0.0107	✗	1.28	3.6M	2022-02-05
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.655904	-0.62%	0.77	+16.67%	0.0096	✗	1.87	1.2M	2022-02-05
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.121	0.120219	-0.65%	0.1293	+6.86%	0.0333	✓	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-05
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.324	7.2767	-0.65%	8.166	+11.50%	0.0949	✗	0.25	38k	2022-02-05
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.758	1.7466	-0.65%	1.921	+9.27%	0.0099	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-05
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.92	1.9074	-0.65%	2.17	+13.02%	0.0179	✗	1.37	2.8M	2022-02-05
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.15	13.0588	-0.69%	15.87	+20.68%	0.1398	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-05
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.851	4.815	-0.74%	5.1203	+5.55%	0.0380	✓	1.23	430k	2022-02-05
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01347	0.013369	-0.75%	0.01353	+0.45%	0.0615	✓	0.91	21k	2022-02-05
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.34	25.1497	-0.75%	29.42	+16.10%	0.0696	✗	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-05
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.24	26.04	-0.76%	28.35	+8.04%	0.0218	✗	0.78	430k	2022-02-05
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84787	0.84107	-0.80%	0.92529	+9.13%	0.0426	✓	1.71	610k	2022-02-05
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6022	0.597153	-0.84%	0.5202	-13.62%	0.2893	✓	1.87	48.9M	2022-02-05
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9037	0.894879	-0.98%	0.9549	+5.67%	0.0577	✓	1.52	107k	2022-02-05
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0653	0.064648	-1.00%	0.0763	+16.85%	0.0749	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-05
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7736	6.703	-1.04%	7.0234	+3.69%	0.0285	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-05
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	7.2724	-1.06%	8.15	+10.88%	0.0901	✗	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-05
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.001	5.9376	-1.06%	6.059	+0.97%	0.0472	✓	0.83	125k	2022-02-05
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.69	3.6507	-1.06%	3.57	-3.25%	0.0398	✓	0.22	837k	2022-02-05
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.07	19.8548	-1.07%	20.04	-0.15%	0.1395	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-05
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.73	41.2614	-1.12%	46.16	+10.62%	0.0139	✗	1.22	35.1M	2022-02-05
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.258	3.2213	-1.13%	3.6	+10.50%	0.0411	✗	0.87	884k	2022-02-05
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,297.65	24,017.27	-1.15%	25,186.77	+3.66%	0.0270	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-05
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06396	0.063131	-1.30%	0.05888	-7.94%	0.1875	✓	1.46	1.7M	2022-02-05
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9824	2.9418	-1.36%	3.2266	+8.19%	0.0081	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-05
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.173	6.0841	-1.44%	5.769	-6.54%	0.1340	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-05
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.04515	0.044468	-1.51%	0.039527	-12.45%	0.2287	✓	1.37	266k	2022-02-05
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0631	3.0099	-1.74%	3.4881	+13.87%	0.0769	✗	0.87	21k	2022-02-05
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2936	1.2664	-2.10%	1.2863	-0.56%	0.0652	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-05
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.2575	-2.27%	2.22	-3.90%	0.0975	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-05
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05525	0.05393	-2.39%	0.05051	-8.58%	0.1463	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-05
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7284	1.6849	-2.51%	2.054	+18.84%	0.1363	✗	0.76	2.8M	2022-02-05
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.4	5.2549	-2.69%	5.76	+6.67%	0.0109	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-05
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18677	0.181696	-2.72%	0.20531	+9.93%	0.0050	✓	1.57	23k	2022-02-05
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.4616	-3.21%	1.58	+4.64%	0.0029	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-05
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5693	0.548814	-3.60%	0.6186	+8.66%	0.0249	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-05
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.12	0.1145	-4.58%	0.128	+6.67%	0.0307	✓	1.00	155k	2022-02-05
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0907	0.08204	-9.55%	0.1089	+20.07%	0.0811	✓	2.50	23.2M	2022-02-05

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.