2022-01-27 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0563

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.99%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.2%

in alpha space · 73.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.38%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8043	1.7494	-3.04%	2.0312	+12.58%	0.1464	✗	0.78	2.6M	2022-02-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.093	0.090392	-2.80%	0.119	+27.96%	0.2712	✗	1.00	141k	2022-02-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5303	0.516843	-2.54%	0.5612	+5.83%	0.0779	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.38	2.3253	-2.30%	2.01	-15.55%	0.1495	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-02-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17087	0.16737	-2.05%	0.19482	+14.02%	0.1459	✗	1.57	18k	2022-02-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.9009	-1.74%	3.4	-14.36%	0.1384	✓	0.25	570k	2022-02-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.76	26.2947	-1.74%	23.46	-12.33%	0.1171	✓	0.79	377k	2022-02-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.050557	0.049688	-1.72%	0.03828	-24.28%	0.2646	✓	1.00	332k	2022-02-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.617	6.5278	-1.35%	4.748	-28.25%	0.3221	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6525	0.644537	-1.22%	0.4765	-26.97%	0.3093	✓	1.91	52.0M	2022-02-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01439	0.014223	-1.16%	0.01236	-14.11%	0.1439	✓	0.93	19k	2022-02-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0541	0.053513	-1.09%	0.0779	+43.99%	0.3673	✗	2.16	22.4M	2022-02-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.42	1.4081	-0.84%	1.294	-8.87%	0.0894	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.873	5.8313	-0.71%	5.773	-1.70%	0.0132	✓	0.83	145k	2022-02-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0638	0.06345	-0.55%	0.0657	+2.98%	0.0306	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.5465	-0.51%	5.09	+11.38%	0.1082	✗	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5312	6.499	-0.49%	6.7329	+3.09%	0.0318	✗	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8569	0.852869	-0.47%	0.8308	-3.05%	0.0319	✓	1.50	107k	2022-02-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7628	2.7536	-0.33%	3.0916	+11.90%	0.1119	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.33	24.2514	-0.32%	27.88	+14.59%	0.1354	✗	1.07	3.8M	2022-02-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.7668	-0.32%	18.42	+9.51%	0.0872	✗	1.81	3.9M	2022-02-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.75	12.718	-0.25%	14.45	+13.33%	0.1251	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2041	1.2013	-0.23%	1.2058	+0.14%	0.0000	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99692	0.995133	-0.18%	1.0898	+9.32%	0.0860	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83214	0.830658	-0.18%	0.8263	-0.70%	0.0118	✓	1.72	681k	2022-02-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1614	0.16121	-0.12%	0.1775	+9.98%	0.0938	✗	0.66	573k	2022-02-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.649926	-0.01%	0.66	+1.54%	0.0083	✗	1.88	1.2M	2022-02-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,269.30	37,266.77	-0.01%	37,210.50	-0.16%	0.0054	✓	1.01	47k	2022-02-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.31	89.3066	-0.00%	89.8	+0.55%	0.0019	✗	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4851	3.4858	+0.02%	4.1115	+17.97%	0.1652	✓	-0.02	371k	2022-02-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0403	0.040322	+0.05%	0.04063	+0.82%	0.0033	✓	1.14	30k	2022-02-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2126	4.2151	+0.06%	4.7256	+12.18%	0.1098	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0464	3.0488	+0.08%	3.2104	+5.38%	0.0475	✓	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4054	0.405736	+0.08%	0.4067	+0.32%	0.0025	✗	1.28	10.9M	2022-02-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00962	0.009629	+0.09%	0.01026	+6.65%	0.0595	✓	1.05	611k	2022-02-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1127	0.112918	+0.19%	0.1138	+0.98%	0.0028	✓	1.30	3.9M	2022-02-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.35	38.4357	+0.22%	42.77	+11.53%	0.1023	✓	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.9823	+0.23%	13.95	+0.00%	0.0061	✗	0.99	841k	2022-02-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2527	2.2584	+0.25%	2.6813	+19.03%	0.1681	✓	0.94	3.1M	2022-02-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.065	0.065166	+0.25%	0.0616	-5.23%	0.0617	✗	1.44	605k	2022-02-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141443	0.141814	+0.26%	0.13787	-2.53%	0.0322	✗	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.064	16.1094	+0.28%	17.927	+11.60%	0.1012	✓	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0754	1.0785	+0.29%	1.1541	+7.33%	0.0641	✓	0.98	387k	2022-02-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.722	5.7392	+0.30%	6.085	+6.34%	0.0548	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056453	0.056636	+0.32%	0.05985	+6.02%	0.0516	✓	0.94	478k	2022-02-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.3075	+0.33%	2.44	+6.09%	0.0520	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.00007045	+0.33%	0.0000764	+8.80%	0.0769	✓	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.745	6.7674	+0.33%	7.128	+5.68%	0.0510	✓	0.24	38k	2022-02-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.62	5.6393	+0.34%	5.65	+0.53%	0.0017	✓	0.95	960k	2022-02-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.58	1.5857	+0.36%	1.695	+7.28%	0.0617	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2772	0.278255	+0.38%	0.2853	+2.92%	0.0191	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9095	2.9206	+0.38%	3.8358	+31.84%	0.2674	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5092	0.511257	+0.40%	0.5436	+6.76%	0.0562	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02909	0.02921	+0.41%	0.02918	+0.31%	0.0046	✗	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,188.37	37,347.04	+0.43%	37,329.91	+0.38%	0.0043	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.00965	0.009693	+0.44%	0.00994	+3.01%	0.0201	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2343	0.235345	+0.45%	0.2361	+0.77%	0.0015	✓	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04978	0.050006	+0.45%	0.05362	+7.71%	0.0644	✓	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.864938	+0.46%	0.874	+1.51%	0.0052	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.65	2.6624	+0.47%	3.39	+27.92%	0.2358	✓	1.52	2.2M	2022-02-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.637	2.6497	+0.48%	2.618	-0.72%	0.0179	✗	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.121	2.1312	+0.48%	2.366	+11.55%	0.1004	✓	1.08	23k	2022-02-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.7	36.887	+0.51%	38.69	+5.42%	0.0418	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01041	0.010464	+0.52%	0.00935	-10.18%	0.1174	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.93	8.9767	+0.52%	9.57	+7.17%	0.0612	✓	0.75	724k	2022-02-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,910.78	24,036.00	+0.52%	23,620.52	-1.21%	0.0210	✗	0.93	19.5M	2022-02-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.12	5.147	+0.53%	5.17	+0.98%	0.0017	✓	0.73	457k	2022-02-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8032	0.807547	+0.54%	0.9279	+15.53%	0.1347	✓	1.10	20.0M	2022-02-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.84	5.8728	+0.56%	6.17	+5.65%	0.0464	✓	0.78	504k	2022-02-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5616	1.5704	+0.56%	1.6279	+4.24%	0.0317	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.9	5.9334	+0.57%	6.12	+3.73%	0.0277	✓	0.85	561k	2022-02-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04646	0.046726	+0.57%	0.03949	-15.00%	0.1733	✗	1.32	9.5M	2022-02-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.37	6.4066	+0.57%	6.88	+8.01%	0.0705	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9645	0.970211	+0.59%	0.8505	-11.82%	0.1392	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5994	+0.59%	1.66	+4.40%	0.0323	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002125	0.00002138	+0.61%	0.00002075	-2.35%	0.0353	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.23	2.2437	+0.61%	2.25	+0.90%	0.0031	✓	1.55	2.6M	2022-02-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.75	6.7914	+0.61%	7.27	+7.70%	0.0670	✓	0.28	2.0M	2022-02-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.0984	0.099004	+0.61%	0.1027	+4.37%	0.0327	✓	1.04	43k	2022-02-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7709	+0.62%	1.89	+7.39%	0.0599	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	106.92	107.5826	+0.62%	111.02	+3.83%	0.0264	✓	1.33	35.7M	2022-02-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.64	291.4514	+0.63%	281.46	-2.82%	0.0388	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.67	18.7878	+0.63%	19.28	+3.27%	0.0200	✓	1.55	841k	2022-02-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.1266	+0.63%	3.456	+11.23%	0.0969	✓	0.86	944k	2022-02-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5654	5.6006	+0.63%	6.0981	+9.57%	0.0797	✓	1.43	227k	2022-02-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07195	0.072407	+0.63%	0.07603	+5.67%	0.0459	✓	0.78	60k	2022-02-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04444	0.044723	+0.64%	0.04805	+8.12%	0.0680	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.955	2.9741	+0.65%	3.09	+4.57%	0.0352	✓	0.79	431k	2022-02-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.9155	+0.66%	4.136	+6.32%	0.0518	✓	0.78	396k	2022-02-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3156	2.3326	+0.73%	2.0772	-10.30%	0.1207	✗	1.24	841k	2022-02-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.314	0.316397	+0.76%	0.328	+4.46%	0.0308	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-02-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1146	0.115482	+0.77%	0.139	+21.29%	0.1818	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.399	1.4103	+0.81%	1.629	+16.44%	0.1397	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.725	0.730879	+0.81%	0.718	-0.97%	0.0220	✗	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0357	0.036001	+0.84%	0.0321	-10.08%	0.1203	✗	1.48	887k	2022-02-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.816951	+0.86%	1.24	+53.09%	0.4116	✓	1.51	532k	2022-02-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014097	0.01422	+0.88%	0.014662	+4.01%	0.0261	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.21	19.3811	+0.89%	20.37	+6.04%	0.0453	✓	1.18	13.6M	2022-02-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08437	0.085128	+0.90%	0.09321	+10.48%	0.0862	✓	1.19	46k	2022-02-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.13	18.3034	+0.96%	18.93	+4.41%	0.0284	✓	1.38	54.6M	2022-02-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.47	47.9388	+0.99%	48.5	+2.17%	0.0072	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8838	0.892595	+1.00%	1.0602	+19.96%	0.1663	✓	1.51	3.2M	2022-02-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4474	0.451991	+1.03%	0.4435	-0.87%	0.0242	✗	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020242	0.020451	+1.03%	0.020346	+0.51%	0.0094	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.94	123.2531	+1.08%	125	+2.51%	0.0092	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.3	24.5676	+1.10%	25.37	+4.40%	0.0258	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.7225	2.7527	+1.11%	3.1745	+16.60%	0.1394	✓	0.85	8,523	2022-02-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.080287	+1.12%	0.0807	+1.64%	0.0004	✓	1.24	352k	2022-02-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.67	5.7335	+1.12%	5.71	+0.71%	0.0081	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194019	0.196208	+1.13%	0.19506	+0.54%	0.0098	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.32	10.437	+1.13%	10.39	+0.68%	0.0095	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0947	0.095782	+1.14%	0.1064	+12.35%	0.0995	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.1283	+1.15%	5.12	+0.99%	0.0054	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,425.82	2,453.75	+1.15%	2,697.59	+11.20%	0.0906	✓	1.10	569.1M	2022-02-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2367	0.239439	+1.16%	0.2929	+23.74%	0.1973	✓	1.12	469k	2022-02-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.39	8.4876	+1.16%	8.19	-2.38%	0.0407	✗	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.245901	+1.19%	0.254	+4.53%	0.0288	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530399	0.536848	+1.22%	0.613557	+15.68%	0.1289	✓	1.21	3.7M	2022-02-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.55	90.6393	+1.22%	101.93	+13.82%	0.1129	✓	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1754	0.177587	+1.25%	0.1839	+4.85%	0.0298	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.482	0.488153	+1.28%	0.526	+9.13%	0.0688	✓	1.53	5.5M	2022-02-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.73	65.5828	+1.32%	68.49	+5.81%	0.0384	✓	1.32	92.3M	2022-02-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.4253	+1.34%	3.38	+0.00%	0.0180	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0428	1.0572	+1.38%	1.061	+1.75%	0.0007	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.6	146.6468	+1.42%	146.89	+1.58%	0.0022	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.26	2.2923	+1.43%	2.49	+10.18%	0.0782	✓	1.19	626k	2022-02-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	164.64	167.0268	+1.45%	162.76	-1.14%	0.0304	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	91.73	93.0687	+1.46%	95.23	+3.82%	0.0185	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5781	0.587105	+1.56%	0.6171	+6.75%	0.0440	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	88.89	90.2921	+1.58%	101.02	+13.65%	0.1073	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-02-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9364	0.951756	+1.64%	0.936	-0.04%	0.0211	✗	1.16	37.9M	2022-02-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038232	0.038877	+1.69%	0.036103	-5.57%	0.0787	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	144.54	147.065	+1.75%	152.86	+5.76%	0.0335	✓	1.36	14.3M	2022-02-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.6045	75.1097	+2.04%	74.5146	+1.24%	0.0126	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	93.16	95.0862	+2.07%	135.16	+45.08%	0.3478	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30	30.6213	+2.07%	29.72	-0.93%	0.0342	✗	1.14	130.3M	2022-02-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9912	+2.11%	2.04	+4.62%	0.0186	✓	1.47	4.6M	2022-02-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.79	2.8524	+2.24%	3.11	+11.47%	0.0812	✓	1.40	26.3M	2022-02-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.23	15.6204	+2.56%	16.31	+7.09%	0.0386	✓	1.21	81.3M	2022-02-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	20.1127	+2.56%	20.81	+6.12%	0.0293	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00534	0.005486	+2.73%	0.00612	+14.61%	0.1007	✓	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.05	4.1673	+2.90%	4.09	+0.99%	0.0238	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.08	55.6537	+2.91%	51.23	-5.27%	0.0893	✗	1.70	8.6M	2022-02-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4535	0.467282	+3.04%	0.3716	-18.06%	0.2346	✗	1.45	2.1M	2022-02-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.