2022-01-24 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0283

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+17.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

59.4%

in alpha space · 81.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.90%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4591	0.477126	+3.93%	0.4369	-4.84%	0.1588	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-01-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.4	4.557	+3.57%	4.23	-3.86%	0.1409	✗	1.39	13.3M	2022-01-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.73	21.4543	+3.49%	19.82	-4.39%	0.1416	✗	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.61	16.1515	+3.47%	17.16	+9.93%	0.0014	✓	1.24	79.0M	2022-01-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.82	2.9138	+3.33%	3.27	+15.96%	0.0491	✓	1.38	30.7M	2022-01-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9125	0.941793	+3.21%	0.9504	+4.15%	0.0473	✗	1.18	37.0M	2022-01-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036957	0.038122	+3.15%	0.039278	+6.28%	0.0340	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-01-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2121	0.218753	+3.14%	0.2718	+28.15%	0.1642	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.038755	+3.07%	0.0975	+159.31%	0.8297	✓	1.94	23.4M	2022-01-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.75	78.0558	+3.04%	75.0775	-0.89%	0.0983	✗	1.24	465k	2022-01-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.554	0.570792	+3.03%	0.6166	+11.30%	0.0043	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.02	2.0789	+2.91%	2.16	+6.93%	0.0319	✗	1.47	6.0M	2022-01-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3712	+2.65%	2.69	+16.45%	0.0520	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-01-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.918	+2.65%	21.3	+15.57%	0.0605	✓	1.21	14.5M	2022-01-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	90.49	92.8473	+2.61%	94.18	+4.08%	0.0436	✗	1.21	2.9M	2022-01-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.41	156.3307	+2.57%	157.59	+3.40%	0.0555	✗	1.33	15.3M	2022-01-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8598	0.881419	+2.51%	0.9985	+16.13%	0.0248	✓	2.09	1.1M	2022-01-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.93	8.1238	+2.44%	7.94	+0.13%	0.0842	✗	1.28	3.1M	2022-01-31
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8485	0.869171	+2.44%	0.9619	+13.36%	0.0284	✓	1.53	3.8M	2022-01-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.4519	+2.43%	3.48	+3.26%	0.0509	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.477	0.488592	+2.43%	0.491	+2.94%	0.0699	✗	1.56	8.0M	2022-01-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,944.84	24,521.18	+2.41%	24,852.85	+3.79%	0.0313	✗	0.94	20.9M	2022-01-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3963	+2.40%	2.39	+2.14%	0.0604	✗	1.21	721k	2022-01-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.47	24.0326	+2.40%	27.02	+15.13%	0.0376	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.1903	+2.37%	5.8	+14.40%	0.0619	✓	1.03	1.1M	2022-01-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.505092	0.517066	+2.37%	0.567335	+12.32%	0.0326	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	102.9	105.3248	+2.36%	97.15	-5.59%	0.1309	✗	1.05	7.3M	2022-01-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.04	150.495	+2.35%	147.48	+0.30%	0.0693	✗	1.03	2.5M	2022-01-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	63.05	64.5295	+2.35%	69.92	+10.90%	0.0171	✓	1.32	87.3M	2022-01-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00795	0.008135	+2.32%	0.00728	-8.43%	0.2258	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.49	96.6623	+2.30%	94.57	+0.08%	0.0867	✗	1.35	8.4M	2022-01-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4258	0.435347	+2.24%	0.464	+8.97%	0.0029	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.71	6.8592	+2.22%	7.35	+9.54%	0.0519	✓	0.36	2.5M	2022-01-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.034447	+2.22%	0.0352	+4.45%	0.0485	✗	1.47	962k	2022-01-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.94	6.0716	+2.22%	5.95	+0.17%	0.0711	✗	1.06	3.3M	2022-01-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.78	127.5306	+2.20%	121.39	-2.72%	0.1115	✗	1.30	80k	2022-01-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0557	0.056924	+2.20%	0.0619	+11.13%	0.0127	✓	1.49	638k	2022-01-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.27	5.3841	+2.17%	6.25	+18.60%	0.1056	✓	0.91	968k	2022-01-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.081	3.1458	+2.10%	3.227	+4.74%	0.0164	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	174.93	178.5855	+2.09%	159.75	-8.68%	0.1690	✗	1.20	1.4M	2022-01-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1756	0.179232	+2.07%	0.1889	+7.57%	0.0155	✓	1.42	4.3M	2022-01-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.03	18.401	+2.06%	19.39	+7.54%	0.0144	✓	1.40	60.5M	2022-01-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.18	6.3029	+1.99%	6.54	+5.83%	0.0257	✓	0.23	1.2M	2022-01-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.815702	+1.96%	0.82	+2.50%	0.0721	✗	1.62	569k	2022-01-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.312	0.318038	+1.94%	0.318	+1.92%	0.0696	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-01-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020919	0.021321	+1.92%	0.021024	+0.50%	0.0686	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7906	0.805725	+1.91%	0.8338	+5.46%	0.0199	✗	1.13	22.4M	2022-01-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.96	93.6875	+1.88%	99.52	+8.22%	0.0029	✓	1.20	147.7M	2022-01-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06212	0.063283	+1.87%	0.07979	+28.44%	0.1915	✓	0.84	67k	2022-01-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0759	0.077313	+1.86%	0.0812	+6.98%	0.0098	✓	1.23	317k	2022-01-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.7	10.8978	+1.85%	11.78	+10.09%	0.0139	✓	1.34	12.7M	2022-01-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.11	34.7353	+1.83%	41	+20.20%	0.0903	✓	1.58	626k	2022-01-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0664	1.0856	+1.80%	1.0524	-1.31%	0.0865	✗	1.16	109.4M	2022-01-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.81	13.038	+1.78%	14.36	+12.10%	0.0461	✓	1.06	947k	2022-01-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,441.74	2,485.08	+1.77%	2,689.72	+10.16%	0.0249	✓	1.13	557.7M	2022-01-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.715434	+1.77%	0.731	+3.98%	0.0320	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.504	1.5301	+1.74%	1.888	+25.53%	0.1480	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-01-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014337	0.014584	+1.72%	0.014268	-0.48%	0.0801	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05059	0.051457	+1.71%	0.058	+14.65%	0.0437	✓	1.59	1.9M	2022-01-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198106	0.201493	+1.71%	0.199723	+0.82%	0.0602	✗	1.07	25.6M	2022-01-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7893	+1.67%	1.95	+10.80%	0.0201	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-01-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.92	67.0187	+1.67%	52.15	-20.89%	0.3363	✗	1.79	8.2M	2022-01-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1023	0.104005	+1.67%	0.1215	+18.77%	0.0840	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-01-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08158	0.082929	+1.65%	0.08784	+7.67%	0.0008	✓	1.22	45k	2022-01-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.02	19.3334	+1.65%	20.51	+7.83%	0.0158	✓	1.56	940k	2022-01-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02733	0.027779	+1.64%	0.02978	+8.96%	0.0233	✓	0.97	8.7M	2022-01-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.258168	+1.64%	0.247	-2.76%	0.0906	✗	0.97	70k	2022-01-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.941	2.9892	+1.64%	3.042	+3.43%	0.0212	✗	0.81	514k	2022-01-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.82	0.832877	+1.57%	0.915	+11.59%	0.0264	✓	1.41	2.4M	2022-01-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.59	36.148	+1.57%	43.58	+22.45%	0.1294	✓	1.20	32.3M	2022-01-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.4487	5.534	+1.57%	6.0678	+11.36%	0.0219	✓	1.47	251k	2022-01-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.023	1.0389	+1.56%	1.1648	+13.87%	0.0652	✓	1.03	416k	2022-01-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01025	0.010409	+1.55%	0.00993	-3.12%	0.1059	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-01-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.86	4.9354	+1.55%	5.25	+8.02%	0.0270	✓	0.73	480k	2022-01-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.712	6.816	+1.55%	7.318	+9.03%	0.0562	✓	0.31	37k	2022-01-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2619	0.265936	+1.54%	0.3291	+25.66%	0.1350	✓	1.63	4.6M	2022-01-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.59	5.6743	+1.51%	6.27	+12.16%	0.0590	✓	0.85	591k	2022-01-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05018	0.050914	+1.46%	0.04586	-8.61%	0.1698	✗	1.36	11.1M	2022-01-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9641	3.0068	+1.44%	3.4938	+17.87%	0.0829	✓	1.40	3.1M	2022-01-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.24	51.9671	+1.42%	52.38	+2.22%	0.0502	✗	1.21	6.5M	2022-01-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2227	0.225736	+1.36%	0.2423	+8.80%	0.0103	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.5743	+1.35%	6.26	+13.82%	0.0791	✓	0.77	640k	2022-01-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.00934	0.009466	+1.35%	0.01022	+9.42%	0.0123	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.08	2.1074	+1.32%	2.8223	+35.69%	0.2364	✓	1.16	3.7M	2022-01-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.6007	+1.31%	1.68	+6.33%	0.0029	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-01-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002123	0.000021506	+1.30%	0.00002142	+0.89%	0.0720	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74957	0.759262	+1.29%	0.85261	+13.75%	0.0301	✓	1.79	792k	2022-01-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.474	1.4924	+1.25%	1.547	+4.95%	0.0227	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3932	0.398068	+1.24%	0.409	+4.02%	0.0348	✗	1.29	11.3M	2022-01-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03766	0.038114	+1.21%	0.04045	+7.41%	0.0046	✓	1.15	28k	2022-01-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.7555	+1.20%	4.108	+10.70%	0.0518	✓	0.79	420k	2022-01-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.098826	+1.15%	0.1022	+4.61%	0.0187	✗	1.09	43k	2022-01-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.568	2.5967	+1.12%	2.683	+4.48%	0.0400	✗	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1111	0.112332	+1.11%	0.1136	+2.25%	0.0537	✗	1.36	4.2M	2022-01-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.47	16.6481	+1.08%	20.15	+22.34%	0.1041	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-01-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0286	+1.07%	2.247	+11.96%	0.0484	✓	1.13	24k	2022-01-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.65	110.8271	+1.07%	109.55	-0.09%	0.0767	✗	1.36	33.8M	2022-01-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.64	8.7326	+1.07%	9.62	+11.34%	0.0612	✓	0.74	768k	2022-01-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	292.51	295.5969	+1.06%	285.23	-2.49%	0.0871	✗	1.07	7.8M	2022-01-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.22	4.2635	+1.03%	5.73	+35.78%	0.2345	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,693.32	37,070.63	+1.03%	38,491.93	+4.90%	0.0102	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-01-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6292	+1.02%	1.5526	-3.73%	0.1017	✗	1.12	95k	2022-01-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137427	0.138828	+1.02%	0.141646	+3.07%	0.0338	✗	1.13	7.0M	2022-01-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5079	0.513033	+1.01%	0.5492	+8.13%	0.0048	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0465	3.0764	+0.98%	3.1164	+2.29%	0.0405	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00936	0.009452	+0.98%	0.00994	+6.20%	0.0020	✓	1.09	641k	2022-01-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.1138	4.1529	+0.95%	5.0138	+21.88%	0.1300	✓	1.22	443k	2022-01-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.34	2.361	+0.90%	2.5	+6.84%	0.0079	✓	1.03	819k	2022-01-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007195	0.000072588	+0.89%	0.00007633	+6.09%	0.0033	✓	1.12	6.3M	2022-01-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.8826	0.890301	+0.87%	1.0903	+23.53%	0.1413	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2825	2.3023	+0.87%	2.1315	-6.61%	0.1384	✗	1.28	791k	2022-01-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5732	0.578136	+0.86%	0.5403	-5.74%	0.1576	✗	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.675663	+0.85%	0.64	-4.48%	0.1447	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.163	1.1727	+0.84%	1.359	+16.85%	0.0853	✓	1.30	3.8M	2022-01-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.79	20.9599	+0.82%	25.21	+21.26%	0.1486	✓	0.75	360k	2022-01-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.591	15.7089	+0.76%	18.065	+15.87%	0.0649	✓	1.56	10.9M	2022-01-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01192	0.012008	+0.74%	0.01331	+11.66%	0.0614	✓	0.87	20k	2022-01-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.055067	0.055468	+0.73%	0.059132	+7.38%	0.0173	✓	0.97	491k	2022-01-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.898	5.9367	+0.66%	5.904	+0.10%	0.0546	✗	1.03	320k	2022-01-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.6	2.6167	+0.64%	2.15	-17.31%	0.2726	✗	1.59	2.8M	2022-01-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,642.30	36,870.48	+0.62%	38,589.30	+5.31%	0.0026	✓	1.01	53k	2022-01-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9084	2.9261	+0.61%	3.1775	+9.25%	0.0410	✓	0.87	3,355	2022-01-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.21	1.217	+0.58%	1.2778	+5.60%	0.0009	✓	1.00	3.9M	2022-01-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1572	0.157797	+0.38%	0.1836	+16.79%	0.1185	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0578	0.058011	+0.37%	0.0658	+13.84%	0.0717	✓	1.14	21k	2022-01-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1426	0.143013	+0.29%	0.1361	-4.56%	0.0957	✗	0.97	337k	2022-01-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7044	2.712	+0.28%	3.0665	+13.39%	0.0739	✓	1.02	2.1M	2022-01-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5476	3.5576	+0.28%	3.7199	+4.86%	0.0435	✓	0.02	375k	2022-01-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.53	12.5638	+0.27%	14.25	+13.73%	0.0921	✓	0.71	806k	2022-01-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2431	6.2588	+0.25%	6.867	+9.99%	0.0468	✓	0.96	4.5M	2022-01-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.78	91.976	+0.21%	91.32	-0.50%	0.0544	✗	0.99	1.7M	2022-01-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.17	24.216	+0.19%	25.67	+6.21%	0.0050	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05626	0.05635	+0.16%	0.04985	-11.39%	0.1704	✗	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8142	0.815271	+0.13%	0.8388	+3.02%	0.0430	✗	1.49	107k	2022-01-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.128	6.1191	-0.14%	6.119	-0.15%	0.0408	✓	0.85	170k	2022-01-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.03	35.9426	-0.24%	28.07	-22.09%	0.3042	✓	1.19	115.0M	2022-01-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5542	1.5398	-0.93%	1.887	+21.41%	0.1633	✗	0.84	2.2M	2022-01-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.417	7.3352	-1.10%	5.389	-27.34%	0.3562	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.053067	0.052335	-1.38%	0.037542	-29.26%	0.3801	✓	1.00	419k	2022-01-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16604	0.163282	-1.66%	0.19016	+14.53%	0.0770	✗	1.58	9,020	2022-01-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5315	0.522496	-1.69%	0.549	+3.29%	0.0064	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.56	2.5067	-2.08%	2.31	-9.77%	0.1296	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.94	3.8533	-2.20%	3.41	-13.45%	0.1337	✓	0.24	481k	2022-01-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.