8=======>

2022-01-15 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0142
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.8%
in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.094.6313-9.01%4.82-5.30%0.2096✗0.82471k2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13693.9157-5.35%2.9642-28.35%0.1223✓0.762,2572022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.89630.848766-5.30%0.5482-38.84%0.0759✓1.7538.7M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.208480.198104-4.98%0.15638-24.99%0.0915✗1.595,3602022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.1310.6781-4.06%6.96-37.47%0.3913✓0.182.6M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06181.0187-4.06%0.7106-33.08%0.1513✓1.01108k2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0870320.083561-3.99%0.054184-37.74%0.2270✓1.002.2M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.0801-3.79%2.89-45.27%0.2756✓1.4032.4M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.32731.2778-3.73%0.7987-39.83%0.1818✓1.403.9M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.343.216-3.71%2.567-23.14%0.1326✗1.741.1M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.15810.7457-3.70%6.944-37.77%0.4136✓0.1140k2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.469.1127-3.67%5.61-40.70%0.3387✓0.711.0M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63580.613295-3.54%0.5658-11.01%0.2050✗1.38736k2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.69621.6398-3.32%1.0381-38.80%0.2751✓0.88502k2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.819.4893-3.27%6.06-38.23%0.4521✓-0.021.5M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6770.655819-3.13%0.4385-35.23%0.1181✓1.382.7M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 287.5584.9171-3.01%62.89-28.17%0.0673✗1.787.4M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.4452-2.95%2.08-41.41%0.2465✓1.258.5M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.7576.5625-2.88%4.2394-37.26%0.1853✓1.22457k2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.014050.013655-2.81%0.0094-33.10%0.1686✓0.99641k2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.99862.9152-2.78%2.0434-31.86%0.1454✓1.025.1M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2235.2398-2.71%23.84-34.18%0.0485✓1.662.7M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.35281.3169-2.65%0.80696-40.35%0.2739✓1.052.9M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1638.1392-2.61%29.27-25.26%0.0698✓0.9486.7M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4582.3957-2.54%1.506-38.73%0.2335✓1.122.0M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014410.014047-2.52%0.00793-44.97%0.0835✓2.3725.3M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52591.4887-2.44%1.5039-1.44%0.1896✗0.87926k2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.0937-2.35%0.64-42.86%0.1415✓1.911.5M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1177.9341-2.25%5.8-28.55%0.1710✓0.69188k2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.177-2.25%2.1-35.38%0.1518✓1.273.1M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35463.2798-2.23%2.7227-18.84%0.0599✗1.192.3M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8717.7029-2.14%6.424-18.38%0.0875✗1.30260k2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,487.3632,790.34-2.08%22,897.64-31.62%0.2212✓0.6726.4M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33450.327574-2.07%0.2179-34.86%0.1961✓1.03397k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase55.1153.9754-2.06%35.28-35.98%0.1173✓1.49649k2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.046.9013-1.97%4.42-37.22%0.1798✓1.2917.7M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum7.096.9538-1.92%5.6708-20.02%0.0264✓0.863.8M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12571.1049-1.85%0.78-30.71%0.1424✓1.0023.2M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5340.524163-1.84%0.319-40.26%0.2285✓1.301.8M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73490.721814-1.78%0.5076-30.93%0.0870✓1.293.7M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum4645.1855-1.77%33.44-27.30%0.0723✓1.1121.8M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030820.000030279-1.75%0.00002053-33.39%0.1099✓1.351.8M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.06531.0475-1.67%0.71467-32.91%0.0143✓1.78937k2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017030.016756-1.61%0.01275-25.13%0.1230✓0.7324k2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.53.4443-1.59%2.34-33.14%0.1626✓1.09808k2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.8398-1.53%12.62-16.26%0.0208✓0.681.0M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8632.3728-1.48%24.23-26.26%0.0702✓1.062.9M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum8.398.2663-1.47%5.06-39.69%0.3088✓0.881.1M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07560.074506-1.45%0.0376-50.26%0.4776✓1.0027.0M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.715.6336-1.34%3.49-38.88%0.2511✓1.102.3M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.079451-1.30%0.0594-26.21%0.0625✓1.1116k2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1845960.182193-1.30%0.133158-27.86%0.0865✓1.105.4M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.76111.3386-1.26%89.24-20.86%0.0240✓0.962.2M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum238.63235.6388-1.25%147.18-38.32%0.2268✓1.1817.6M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash144.36142.5544-1.25%94.59-34.48%0.1423✓1.3010.9M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18060.178526-1.15%0.1394-22.81%0.0593✓0.91423k2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5381.5209-1.11%1.161-24.51%0.0118✗1.374.2M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.2824.2344-1.11%2.9521-31.06%0.0788✓1.373.8M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.57-1.11%2.46-31.86%0.0858✓1.392.2M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.34420.1231-1.09%15.129-25.63%0.0473✗1.6110.8M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052430.051863-1.08%0.03631-30.75%0.1306✓1.1019k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36144.3142-1.08%3.0068-31.06%0.1006✓1.264.1M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.73146.1488-1.07%108.41-26.62%0.0163✓1.3731.1M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08461.0739-0.98%0.5834-46.21%0.3203✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.8432.8155-0.97%1.979-30.39%0.1664✓0.9025k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1592-0.96%2.33-26.96%0.1010✓0.99918k2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.762.7338-0.95%1.77-35.87%0.1618✓1.323.2M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59480.589277-0.93%0.4163-30.01%0.0782✓1.3112.2M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2224.1834-0.91%3.059-27.55%0.1481✓0.801.1M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0892.2322-0.91%59.8-35.75%0.1896✓1.18107.5M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3679-0.88%0.9-34.78%0.0738✓1.67556k2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.6220.4397-0.87%13.19-36.03%0.2213✓1.05886k2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0892.0712-0.85%1.65-21.01%0.0012✓1.1195k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080270.0796-0.83%0.04896-39.01%0.1932✓1.422.4M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.34160.338812-0.82%0.2645-22.57%0.0650✗1.523.8M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration289.7287.3466-0.81%190.08-34.39%0.1686✓1.191.4M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.6610.5737-0.81%8.68-18.57%0.0414✓0.76898k2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum192.18190.6712-0.79%120.3-37.40%0.2202✓1.17145k2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.6826.4739-0.77%16.11-39.62%0.1161✓1.853.9M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero218.2216.5271-0.77%152.34-30.18%0.1482✓0.993.1M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.37851.3681-0.76%0.9512-31.00%0.1217✓1.1730.5M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash141.33140.2747-0.75%97.07-31.32%0.1203✓1.202.8M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.6130.3849-0.74%18.76-38.71%0.1635✓1.551.0M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum8.478.4084-0.73%6.11-27.86%0.1195✓0.974.1M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76983.7426-0.72%3.6015-4.46%0.0514✓-0.06371k2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070280.069773-0.72%0.05051-28.13%0.0705✓1.2214.7M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.041390.0411-0.70%0.02985-27.88%0.1318✓0.918.4M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.11870.117874-0.70%0.0944-20.47%0.0047✓1.0555k2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17190.170717-0.69%0.1135-33.97%0.1478✓1.264.2M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.285.2439-0.68%3.78-28.41%0.0834✓1.183.3M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum75.3574.8371-0.68%50.17-33.42%0.1782✓1.086.2M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum16.4916.3799-0.67%11.16-32.32%0.1150✓1.3012.4M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.7928.5994-0.66%21.51-25.29%0.1379✓0.71360k2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.810.80474-0.65%0.496-38.77%0.1770✓1.498.0M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3241.3154-0.65%0.87-34.29%0.1342✓1.352.7M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.1925.0363-0.61%15.86-37.04%0.2113✓1.1974.2M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093280.092718-0.60%0.06237-33.14%0.2469✓0.7349k2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.19390.192826-0.55%0.1498-22.74%0.1127✓0.68464k2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0208210.020706-0.55%0.014961-28.14%0.0705✓1.232.6M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.6929.5283-0.54%19.01-35.97%0.2166✓1.0915.5M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.29221.2852-0.54%1.0713-17.09%0.0552✗1.1595.6M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana147.78147.06-0.49%94.78-35.86%0.2067✓1.13164.2M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum14.1614.0919-0.48%7.59-46.40%0.3827✓1.143.0M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.668-0.48%4.8-28.36%0.1922✓0.66564k2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0289080.028772-0.47%0.020108-30.44%0.1464✓1.035.7M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3792-0.45%1.62-32.22%0.1658✓1.062.8M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8463.8288-0.45%2.804-27.09%0.1657✓0.71526k2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000101090.000100645-0.44%0.00006839-32.35%0.1770✓1.026.5M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11410.113601-0.44%0.0732-35.85%0.2084✓1.12296k2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5532.4098-0.43%20.54-36.90%0.1652✓1.4134.3M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash390.86389.2025-0.42%291.88-25.32%0.0782✓1.027.0M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.048.0059-0.42%5.66-29.60%0.1884✓0.77705k2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6427.5389-0.37%18.26-33.94%0.1335✓1.3461.7M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9444.9267-0.35%3.665-25.87%0.1561✓0.68469k2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum167.6167.0294-0.34%98.78-41.06%0.3330✓0.936.7M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,098.2042,952.96-0.34%35,066.43-18.64%0.0034✓1.00679.0M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32480.323714-0.33%0.2331-28.23%0.0643✓1.282.2M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7577620.755393-0.31%0.518861-31.53%0.1398✓1.142.5M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.027.9963-0.30%5.63-29.80%0.2204✓0.63680k2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase154.3287153.9694-0.23%83.9941-45.57%0.3742✓1.12489k2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0741.0715-0.23%0.711-33.80%0.2096✓0.972.2M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum8.30258.2873-0.18%5.5565-33.07%0.1034✓1.44263k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579120.057814-0.17%0.036765-36.52%0.2053✓1.207.5M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015030.015005-0.16%0.00998-33.60%0.1372✓1.312.2M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,685.8042,616.81-0.16%34,807.70-18.46%0.0004✓0.9814k2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05440.054324-0.14%0.0326-40.07%0.2279✓1.371.5M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8751.873-0.11%1.366-27.15%0.0779✓1.152.2M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.013880.01387-0.07%0.00935-32.64%0.1394✓1.242.0M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110240.110165-0.07%0.07873-28.58%0.1010✓1.1425k2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0685480.068509-0.06%0.05675-17.21%0.0097✗0.96537k2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.98330.982757-0.06%0.4454-54.70%0.5840✓1.012.9M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3790.37883-0.04%0.244-35.62%0.2822✓0.7644k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,328.123,327.21-0.03%2,411.90-27.53%0.1008✓1.07533.9M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.42321.423-0.01%0.7316-48.59%0.2712✓1.911.3M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.0869-0.00%0.0543-37.51%0.1822✓1.401.1M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.12313.1237+0.02%2.0461-34.48%0.1873✗1.14710k2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.26690.266964+0.02%0.1764-33.91%0.1402✗1.333.9M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2590560.259295+0.09%0.19237-25.74%0.0845✗1.0424.9M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.13980.140224+0.30%0.0799-42.85%0.2978✗1.282.4M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.