2022-01-10 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0089

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.4%

in alpha space · 57.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.94%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.980632	+3.32%	0.8095	-14.71%	0.2002	✗	0.90	3.2M	2022-01-17
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.6861	+1.92%	6.44	-1.83%	0.0497	✗	1.30	18.2M	2022-01-17
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	203.5793	+1.84%	226.66	+13.39%	0.0966	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-01-17
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.3773	+1.33%	4.78	+10.65%	0.0749	✓	1.40	30.4M	2022-01-17
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.142711	+1.29%	0.1315	-6.67%	0.0934	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-17
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	85.4575	+1.18%	86.68	+2.63%	0.0034	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-01-17
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,116.25	+1.06%	3,210.98	+4.13%	0.0201	✓	1.05	591.9M	2022-01-17
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	184.3148	+0.99%	214.7	+17.64%	0.1430	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-17
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.6302	+0.99%	24.33	-4.14%	0.0692	✗	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-17
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.108959	+0.89%	0.1064	-1.48%	0.0341	✗	1.11	296k	2022-01-17
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3386	+0.88%	1.391	+4.82%	0.0257	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-01-17
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.112558	+0.86%	0.1148	+2.87%	0.0099	✓	1.05	67k	2022-01-17
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.5492	+0.80%	4.984	+10.44%	0.0853	✓	0.63	474k	2022-01-17
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.080031	+0.79%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0163	✓	1.37	1.2M	2022-01-17
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.077811	+0.79%	0.0676	-12.44%	0.1501	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-17
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.694412	+0.77%	0.727776	+5.61%	0.0363	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-01-17
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.301215	+0.74%	0.312	+4.35%	0.0234	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-17
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4789	+0.74%	1.2289	-16.29%	0.2032	✗	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-17
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.099058	+0.73%	0.10718	+8.99%	0.0683	✓	1.12	23k	2022-01-17
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018287	+0.71%	0.020723	+14.13%	0.1136	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-17
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.345408	+0.70%	0.35	+2.04%	0.0065	✓	0.72	38k	2022-01-17
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.252743	+0.69%	0.2569	+2.35%	0.0040	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-17
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.6189	+0.65%	7.77	+2.64%	0.0139	✓	0.61	714k	2022-01-17
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7964	+0.64%	1.829	+2.46%	0.0072	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-17
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.4503	+0.63%	6.55	+2.18%	0.0094	✓	0.63	645k	2022-01-17
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.086558	+0.62%	0.08878	+3.21%	0.0190	✓	0.68	52k	2022-01-17
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013198	+0.59%	0.01314	+0.15%	0.0157	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-17
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027806	+0.58%	0.02786	+0.78%	0.0076	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-17
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	136.6815	+0.58%	139.85	+2.91%	0.0125	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-01-17
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5998	+0.58%	3.798	+6.12%	0.0472	✓	0.68	514k	2022-01-17
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.6525	+0.56%	7.96	+4.60%	0.0323	✓	0.76	705k	2022-01-17
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.8503	+0.55%	25.68	+8.26%	0.0617	✓	1.30	70.4M	2022-01-17
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	106.5671	+0.54%	109.78	+3.58%	0.0208	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-01-17
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0366	+0.54%	1.016	-1.45%	0.0290	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-17
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.9062	+0.54%	4.98	+2.05%	0.0042	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-17
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0811	+0.54%	2.25	+8.70%	0.0679	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-01-17
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2742	+0.53%	7.6879	+6.25%	0.0420	✓	1.42	268k	2022-01-17
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.254384	+0.52%	0.256133	+1.21%	0.0027	✓	1.02	24.0M	2022-01-17
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.8911	+0.52%	10.47	+6.40%	0.0500	✓	0.74	994k	2022-01-17
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1941	+0.51%	1.246	+4.88%	0.0301	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-01-17
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1291	+0.49%	1.6027	+42.65%	0.3400	✓	1.09	95.6M	2022-01-17
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.369	+0.49%	1.3415	-1.53%	0.0310	✗	1.14	32.1M	2022-01-17
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	32,162.49	+0.48%	31,588.07	-1.32%	0.0240	✗	0.64	26.4M	2022-01-17
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.014076	+0.47%	0.0145	+3.50%	0.0175	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-17
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	69.783	+0.47%	77.06	+10.94%	0.0898	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-17
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8974	+0.46%	3.0126	+4.45%	0.0287	✓	1.09	665k	2022-01-17
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.707175	+0.45%	0.768	+9.09%	0.0691	✓	1.43	7.7M	2022-01-17
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.014013	+0.45%	0.01358	-2.65%	0.0536	✗	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-17
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.1433	+0.43%	3.36	+7.35%	0.0547	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-17
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	365.1051	+0.43%	380.79	+4.74%	0.0325	✓	1.01	8.5M	2022-01-17
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.2354	+0.42%	13.59	+3.11%	0.0158	✓	1.14	3.4M	2022-01-17
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063749	+0.42%	0.070851	+11.60%	0.0967	✓	0.95	552k	2022-01-17
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,992.92	+0.40%	42,218.01	+0.94%	0.0040	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-17
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	166.9541	+0.38%	159.74	-3.96%	0.0531	✗	0.95	7.6M	2022-01-17
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	242.9537	+0.32%	259.34	+7.09%	0.0545	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-17
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.6199	+0.32%	76.55	+11.92%	0.0997	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-17
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8806	+0.32%	4.1906	+8.33%	0.0650	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-17
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	182.8282	+0.32%	181.47	-0.43%	0.0183	✗	1.16	180k	2022-01-17
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.419	+0.30%	7.405	+15.70%	0.1311	✓	1.26	271k	2022-01-17
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090651	+0.29%	0.00009954	+10.12%	0.0842	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-01-17
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.055747	+0.26%	0.0533	-4.14%	0.0574	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-17
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3435	+0.26%	1.35	+0.75%	0.0109	✗	1.68	764k	2022-01-17
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.1488	+0.26%	16.64	+10.13%	0.0818	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-01-17
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	156.078	+0.26%	137.7719	-11.50%	0.1352	✗	1.11	515k	2022-01-17
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.8345	+0.25%	151.19	+19.50%	0.1631	✓	1.34	35.1M	2022-01-17
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.313635	+0.23%	0.3888	+24.26%	0.2009	✓	1.49	4.1M	2022-01-17
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.2038	+0.23%	28.99	+3.02%	0.0177	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-01-17
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143334	+0.14%	0.170944	+19.43%	0.1659	✓	1.09	4.8M	2022-01-17
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.1333	+0.13%	1.2267	+8.37%	0.0698	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-17
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.158363	+0.10%	0.1595	+0.82%	0.0044	✗	1.24	4.2M	2022-01-17
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.8431	+0.08%	3.3409	+17.60%	0.1505	✓	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-17
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.181641	+0.08%	0.1906	+5.01%	0.0421	✓	0.65	410k	2022-01-17
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	2.0036	+0.08%	2.0079	+0.29%	0.0083	✗	1.11	83k	2022-01-17
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.1059	+0.08%	6.2731	+22.95%	0.1947	✓	1.19	446k	2022-01-17
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	38.1355	+0.07%	44.38	+16.45%	0.1414	✓	1.09	20.0M	2022-01-17
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.632054	+0.04%	0.6916	+9.47%	0.0783	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-01-17
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.718	+0.04%	2.735	+0.66%	0.0022	✗	0.90	31k	2022-01-17
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0289	+0.02%	1.0077	-2.04%	0.0340	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-17
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.079351	+0.01%	0.07748	-2.34%	0.0373	✗	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-17
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.2032	+0.01%	4.188	-0.36%	0.0110	✗	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-17
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.042071	+0.00%	0.04011	-4.66%	0.0563	✗	0.92	8.2M	2022-01-17
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.85	-0.00%	7.89	+0.51%	0.0033	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-17
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.549998	-0.00%	0.6191	+12.56%	0.1057	✗	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-17
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	28.0067	-0.01%	28.92	+3.25%	0.0179	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-17
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.3547	-0.02%	27.95	+2.16%	0.0150	✗	0.69	370k	2022-01-17
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	5.0385	-0.03%	5.3	+5.16%	0.0402	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-17
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.068883	-0.04%	0.06638	-3.67%	0.0485	✓	1.23	16.9M	2022-01-17
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026688	-0.05%	0.00002883	+7.98%	0.0656	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-17
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	20.0805	-0.05%	19.46	-3.14%	0.0411	✓	1.04	1.1M	2022-01-17
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.1976	-0.07%	3.41	+6.56%	0.0546	✗	1.04	715k	2022-01-17
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.3628	-0.09%	8.13	-2.87%	0.0371	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-01-17
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.0287	-0.09%	4.0538	+0.53%	0.0064	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-01-17
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046651	-0.11%	0.04979	+6.62%	0.0546	✗	1.12	17k	2022-01-17
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015382	-0.12%	0.01652	+7.27%	0.0650	✗	0.68	29k	2022-01-17
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.541793	-0.13%	0.5478	+0.98%	0.0011	✓	1.29	12.5M	2022-01-17
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	141.0158	-0.16%	138.84	-1.70%	0.0280	✓	1.33	10.9M	2022-01-17
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	34.2302	-0.17%	29.62	-13.62%	0.1578	✓	1.40	28.0M	2022-01-17
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1095	-0.18%	1.1616	+4.51%	0.0367	✗	0.98	22.7M	2022-01-17
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.49597	-0.21%	0.51	+2.62%	0.0158	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-17
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1227	-0.23%	3.07	-1.92%	0.0262	✓	0.98	977k	2022-01-17
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7217	-0.30%	2.6	-4.76%	0.0581	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-17
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.9441	-0.33%	20.851	+9.70%	0.0807	✗	1.62	13.0M	2022-01-17
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.2101	-0.35%	15.03	+5.40%	0.0499	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-17
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.173263	-0.37%	0.1755	+0.92%	0.0043	✗	0.91	479k	2022-01-17
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,468.06	-0.38%	41,814.50	+0.46%	0.0009	✓	0.98	12k	2022-01-17
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.124	-0.42%	6.9968	+13.78%	0.1254	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-01-17
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7735	-0.43%	3.76	-0.79%	0.0171	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-17
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7238	-0.48%	3.7699	+0.75%	0.0130	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-01-17
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.0681	-0.49%	53.27	-0.11%	0.0102	✓	1.49	736k	2022-01-17
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.1561	-0.51%	2.325	+7.29%	0.0654	✗	1.08	1.9M	2022-01-17
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.3296	-0.53%	31	+8.85%	0.0803	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-01-17
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070272	-0.60%	0.0826	+16.83%	0.1516	✗	1.06	19k	2022-01-17
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.4548	-0.70%	7.359	-1.97%	0.0189	✓	0.64	231k	2022-01-17
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	147.099	-0.72%	135.73	-8.40%	0.0921	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-01-17
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.991842	-0.75%	1.0163	+1.69%	0.0077	✗	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-17
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.596041	-0.94%	0.9432	+56.76%	0.4424	✗	1.76	38.7M	2022-01-17
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.30968	-1.00%	0.3204	+2.43%	0.0247	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-17
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.6768	-1.01%	3.294	+21.82%	0.1929	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-17
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3601	-1.08%	1.6076	+16.92%	0.1590	✗	0.88	922k	2022-01-17
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012828	-1.10%	0.01352	+4.24%	0.0434	✗	0.98	756k	2022-01-17
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.928947	-1.18%	1.02	+8.51%	0.0771	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-17
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.4963	-1.40%	12.477	+17.21%	0.1724	✗	0.05	56k	2022-01-17
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.5426	-1.47%	12.58	+17.57%	0.1756	✗	0.11	2.8M	2022-01-17
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.493	-1.49%	1.6018	+5.69%	0.0624	✗	0.85	647k	2022-01-17
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.5413	-1.57%	23.8	-14.94%	0.1574	✓	1.21	69.7M	2022-01-17
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.7691	-1.74%	2.9053	+3.10%	0.0386	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-17
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.793404	-1.77%	0.9802	+21.36%	0.2020	✗	1.00	129k	2022-01-17
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	32.7656	-1.81%	34.44	+3.21%	0.0346	✗	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-17
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5038	-1.85%	4	+12.04%	0.1259	✗	0.70	493k	2022-01-17
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.6567	-1.85%	4.195	+12.59%	0.1303	✗	0.75	3,355	2022-01-17
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.3146	-1.95%	9.38	-1.26%	0.0076	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-17
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.4118	-1.96%	3.53	+1.44%	0.0224	✗	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-17
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.7236	-2.20%	8.77	-1.68%	0.0009	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-01-17
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.166657	-2.43%	0.20625	+20.75%	0.1984	✗	1.57	4,992	2022-01-17
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	36.9035	-2.45%	39.15	+3.49%	0.0505	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-17
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.084241	-2.47%	0.078972	-8.57%	0.0740	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-17
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2303	-2.97%	1.2561	-0.93%	0.0077	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-01-17
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.579573	-7.25%	0.6214	-0.56%	0.0559	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-17
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.074625	-7.96%	0.054069	-33.32%	0.3346	✓	1.32	7.3M	2022-01-17

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.