2022-01-02 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3192

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+19.07%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

67.4%

in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-11.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.7568	0.648349	-14.33%	0.6539	-13.60%	0.1737	✗	1.36	650k	2022-01-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.99	13.1572	-5.95%	9.59	-31.45%	0.2448	✓	0.59	1.3M	2022-01-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.75	13.8799	-5.90%	11.38	-22.85%	0.2006	✓	-0.02	3.9M	2022-01-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.7249	1.6237	-5.87%	1.3331	-22.71%	0.0303	✓	1.37	5.5M	2022-01-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02402	0.022634	-5.77%	0.015	-37.55%	0.2896	✓	1.00	29.5M	2022-01-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.898	14.0885	-5.43%	11.301	-24.14%	0.2295	✓	-0.07	111k	2022-01-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.05	5.7326	-5.25%	4.49	-25.79%	0.0777	✓	1.37	29.3M	2022-01-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3957	0.375203	-5.18%	0.3224	-18.52%	0.0315	✓	0.99	293k	2022-01-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9435	0.901549	-4.45%	0.6607	-29.97%	0.1047	✓	1.69	31.1M	2022-01-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01618	0.015498	-4.22%	0.01348	-16.69%	0.0235	✓	0.95	847k	2022-01-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	41.08	39.3741	-4.15%	27.98	-31.89%	0.1232	✓	1.79	6.1M	2022-01-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3401	3.206	-4.01%	2.9369	-12.07%	0.0262	✓	0.94	6.2M	2022-01-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.642	0.616387	-3.99%	0.526	-18.07%	0.0045	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.22	4.0585	-3.83%	3.65	-13.51%	0.0538	✗	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	39,116.51	37,623.68	-3.82%	32,662.92	-16.50%	0.0680	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-01-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5552	1.4967	-3.76%	1.2503	-19.60%	0.0643	✓	0.95	4.0M	2022-01-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.49	9.1375	-3.71%	8.98	-5.37%	0.1183	✗	1.11	4.1M	2022-01-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.714	0.687889	-3.66%	0.5856	-17.98%	0.0002	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.859	2.7559	-3.61%	2.298	-19.62%	0.0576	✓	1.02	2.0M	2022-01-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.64	39.1756	-3.60%	37.02	-8.91%	0.1453	✗	1.66	2.8M	2022-01-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.14	10.7519	-3.48%	8.56	-23.16%	0.1252	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1208	0.116651	-3.43%	0.0897	-25.75%	0.1410	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.095	2.0244	-3.37%	1.5757	-24.79%	0.0224	✓	1.87	1.5M	2022-01-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003405	0.000032918	-3.32%	0.00002828	-16.95%	0.0004	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.007	0.973613	-3.32%	0.8848	-12.14%	0.0261	✓	1.00	146k	2022-01-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9263	1.8665	-3.11%	1.5581	-19.12%	0.0836	✓	0.80	741k	2022-01-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3001	1.2597	-3.11%	1.0347	-20.41%	0.0183	✓	1.77	1.3M	2022-01-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.265	1.2264	-3.05%	0.9806	-22.48%	0.0530	✓	1.40	2.0M	2022-01-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.78	3.6716	-2.87%	3.35	-11.38%	0.0392	✗	1.07	643k	2022-01-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	89.35	86.8026	-2.85%	74.48	-16.64%	0.0313	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.564	3.4638	-2.81%	2.823	-20.79%	0.0092	✓	1.60	2.1M	2022-01-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1372	-2.80%	1.01	-13.68%	0.0032	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-01-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.96	4.8234	-2.75%	3.76	-24.19%	0.1273	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.71	11.3901	-2.73%	10.01	-14.52%	0.1499	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-01-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	65.06	63.3143	-2.68%	55.93	-14.03%	0.0596	✗	1.51	872k	2022-01-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0208	0.020242	-2.68%	0.01643	-21.01%	0.1305	✓	0.64	39k	2022-01-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.125	9.8577	-2.64%	7.759	-23.37%	0.1665	✓	0.60	310k	2022-01-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.54	34.6122	-2.61%	34.99	-1.55%	0.1240	✗	0.93	43.4M	2022-01-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3119	0.303813	-2.59%	0.261	-16.32%	0.0066	✓	1.30	4.8M	2022-01-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3723	1.3376	-2.53%	1.0712	-21.94%	0.1075	✓	0.94	22.3M	2022-01-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.624	22.0544	-2.52%	19.32	-14.60%	0.0667	✗	1.63	14.9M	2022-01-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6739	1.6325	-2.48%	1.4009	-16.31%	0.0156	✓	1.13	30.0M	2022-01-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.012	4.8902	-2.43%	4.282	-14.57%	0.0410	✓	0.75	1.0M	2022-01-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.35	4.2459	-2.39%	3.68	-15.40%	0.0213	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0346	0.033778	-2.38%	0.029296	-15.33%	0.0179	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-01-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1368	0.133594	-2.34%	0.1126	-17.69%	0.0402	✓	1.07	315k	2022-01-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.29	6.1561	-2.13%	5.3537	-14.89%	0.0069	✓	1.20	621k	2022-01-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.93	8.7417	-2.11%	6.93	-22.40%	0.0736	✓	1.30	18.1M	2022-01-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2038	0.199504	-2.11%	0.17635	-13.47%	0.0676	✗	1.57	6,615	2022-01-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04899	0.047988	-2.04%	0.0428	-12.64%	0.0034	✓	0.91	8.2M	2022-01-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01767	0.017319	-1.99%	0.01403	-20.60%	0.0653	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-01-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.065084	0.063837	-1.92%	0.064749	-0.51%	0.1834	✗	1.39	7.5M	2022-01-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.21	111.0801	-1.88%	89.34	-21.08%	0.0830	✓	1.11	121.7M	2022-01-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.34	4.2594	-1.86%	3.82	-11.98%	0.0129	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11531	0.113267	-1.77%	0.09282	-19.50%	0.1218	✓	0.63	55k	2022-01-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.088	0.086447	-1.77%	0.075	-14.77%	0.0116	✓	1.07	21k	2022-01-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.727	0.715628	-1.56%	0.6473	-10.96%	0.0540	✗	1.27	5.6M	2022-01-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2121	0.208809	-1.55%	0.1676	-20.98%	0.0766	✓	1.18	2.4M	2022-01-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.38	34.8318	-1.55%	29.74	-15.94%	0.0314	✓	1.04	4.1M	2022-01-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.698	8.5683	-1.49%	6.813	-21.67%	0.0757	✓	1.26	367k	2022-01-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6057	6.5093	-1.46%	6.2854	-4.85%	0.0671	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-01-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05753	0.056691	-1.46%	0.04947	-14.01%	0.0023	✓	1.10	15k	2022-01-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.83	1.8044	-1.40%	1.46	-20.22%	0.0030	✓	1.71	1.1M	2022-01-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4089	2.3753	-1.39%	2.053	-14.77%	0.0090	✓	1.12	100k	2022-01-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	200.0687	197.283	-1.39%	160.3372	-19.86%	0.0663	✓	1.16	586k	2022-01-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.888452	0.876481	-1.35%	0.724063	-18.50%	0.0532	✓	1.13	2.8M	2022-01-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2121	0.209388	-1.28%	0.1698	-19.94%	0.0587	✓	1.24	4.9M	2022-01-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3822	0.377324	-1.28%	0.3161	-17.29%	0.0221	✓	1.27	3.7M	2022-01-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	151.2	149.3204	-1.24%	130.91	-13.42%	0.0326	✗	1.35	40.5M	2022-01-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.2	3.1604	-1.24%	2.87	-10.31%	0.0634	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.06	151.1674	-1.24%	144.28	-5.74%	0.1178	✗	1.35	10.9M	2022-01-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.5765	4.5202	-1.23%	3.8039	-16.88%	0.0879	✓	0.70	19k	2022-01-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7845	3.7379	-1.23%	3.7652	-0.51%	0.0063	✓	-0.11	393k	2022-01-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4243	1.4069	-1.22%	1.4847	+4.24%	0.1877	✗	1.10	947k	2022-01-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.24	6.164	-1.22%	5.09	-18.43%	0.0490	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-01-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3836	0.37903	-1.19%	0.3333	-13.11%	0.0536	✗	1.50	3.7M	2022-01-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08444	0.083467	-1.15%	0.072	-14.73%	0.0009	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-01-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.6703	4.6177	-1.13%	4.2164	-9.72%	0.0728	✗	1.34	4.9M	2022-01-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.4	3.362	-1.12%	3.16	-7.06%	0.0602	✗	1.00	995k	2022-01-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6765	0.669008	-1.11%	0.5841	-13.66%	0.0217	✗	1.29	11.4M	2022-01-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2055	0.203226	-1.11%	0.1759	-14.40%	0.0344	✓	0.90	556k	2022-01-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.4	24.1316	-1.10%	20.9	-14.34%	0.0176	✓	1.04	1.4M	2022-01-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	239.56	236.979	-1.08%	191	-20.27%	0.0938	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1749	3.1408	-1.08%	2.9326	-7.63%	0.0779	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-01-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.31	15.1463	-1.07%	14.27	-6.79%	0.0240	✗	0.69	1.3M	2022-01-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.55	35.1714	-1.06%	29.94	-15.78%	0.0264	✗	1.54	1.1M	2022-01-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.99	140.4845	-1.06%	153.16	+7.87%	0.2407	✗	1.27	2.0M	2022-01-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	96.42	95.463	-0.99%	71.89	-25.44%	0.1666	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-01-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	265.45	262.8837	-0.97%	209.53	-21.07%	0.0885	✓	1.14	12.6M	2022-01-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011334	0.000112317	-0.90%	0.00009617	-15.15%	0.0346	✓	0.99	7.4M	2022-01-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09233	0.091513	-0.89%	0.08615	-6.69%	0.1167	✗	1.45	3.1M	2022-01-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.41	18.2477	-0.88%	15.79	-14.23%	0.0122	✗	1.29	14.1M	2022-01-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.079	0.078328	-0.85%	0.0618	-21.77%	0.0679	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,411.90	47,033.67	-0.80%	42,503.10	-10.35%	0.0175	✗	0.98	10k	2022-01-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.776	1.7624	-0.76%	1.36	-23.42%	0.0942	✓	1.35	6.3M	2022-01-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.923	0.916019	-0.76%	0.749	-18.85%	0.0219	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-01-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	211.43	209.9083	-0.72%	193.57	-8.45%	0.0601	✗	1.16	210k	2022-01-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.667	1.6552	-0.71%	1.261	-24.36%	0.1149	✓	1.29	3.5M	2022-01-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.18	31.9525	-0.71%	28.07	-12.77%	0.0471	✓	0.68	402k	2022-01-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	295.23	293.1476	-0.71%	246.6	-16.47%	0.0371	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.76	35.5138	-0.69%	30.18	-15.60%	0.0360	✓	1.04	23.6M	2022-01-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1001	0.099447	-0.65%	0.0832	-16.88%	0.0117	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-01-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.16	39.9005	-0.65%	37.15	-7.50%	0.0575	✗	1.06	19.4M	2022-01-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	447.91	445.018	-0.65%	376.94	-15.84%	0.0431	✓	1.01	9.4M	2022-01-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		124.05	123.2535	-0.64%	108.94	-12.18%	0.0073	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-01-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.28	5.2508	-0.55%	5.32	+0.76%	0.1599	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02233	0.022208	-0.55%	0.018973	-15.03%	0.0105	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.174401	0.173495	-0.52%	0.150483	-13.71%	0.0083	✓	1.10	5.1M	2022-01-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.127	3.1111	-0.51%	2.87	-8.22%	0.0244	✗	0.86	41k	2022-01-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	176.32	175.483	-0.47%	140.83	-20.13%	0.0906	✓	1.06	220.6M	2022-01-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5764	3.5606	-0.44%	3.0073	-15.91%	0.0386	✓	1.07	798k	2022-01-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3779	1.3719	-0.43%	1.1707	-15.04%	0.0256	✓	1.09	100.2M	2022-01-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5587	1.5524	-0.41%	1.0474	-32.80%	0.2946	✓	0.81	4.6M	2022-01-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	187.33	186.6166	-0.38%	170.38	-9.05%	0.0251	✗	0.95	8.8M	2022-01-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.266	1.2613	-0.37%	1.065	-15.88%	0.0546	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-01-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.292273	0.291191	-0.37%	0.261185	-10.64%	0.0153	✗	1.02	25.7M	2022-01-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.65	4.6331	-0.36%	4.018	-13.59%	0.0157	✗	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2363	9.2029	-0.36%	7.6651	-17.01%	0.0100	✓	1.42	273k	2022-01-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,299.07	47,140.22	-0.34%	41,876.52	-11.46%	0.0034	✗	1.00	744.5M	2022-01-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.04	15.9918	-0.30%	14.09	-12.16%	0.0138	✗	1.15	3.7M	2022-01-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077643	0.07741	-0.30%	0.066121	-14.84%	0.0430	✓	0.94	556k	2022-01-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12251	0.122188	-0.26%	0.10346	-15.55%	0.0321	✓	1.10	26k	2022-01-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	29.7	29.6246	-0.25%	24.63	-17.07%	0.0269	✓	1.30	72.5M	2022-01-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01661	0.016568	-0.25%	0.01542	-7.16%	0.0870	✗	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.85	8.8364	-0.15%	7.84	-11.41%	0.0455	✓	0.61	914k	2022-01-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2093	0.208988	-0.15%	0.1838	-12.18%	0.0558	✓	0.60	428k	2022-01-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.225	2.222	-0.14%	1.89	-15.06%	0.0244	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-01-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.88	21.8562	-0.11%	27.54	+25.87%	0.3947	✗	1.34	69.2M	2022-01-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.501	-0.09%	9.85	-6.28%	0.0274	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-01-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,828.87	3,825.73	-0.08%	3,151.66	-17.69%	0.0674	✓	1.04	679.6M	2022-01-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.32	27.2998	-0.07%	36.14	+32.28%	0.4542	✗	1.43	24.2M	2022-01-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.56	8.5543	-0.07%	7.81	-8.76%	0.0024	✗	0.77	799k	2022-01-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.417	0.416722	-0.07%	0.359	-13.91%	0.0597	✓	0.73	43k	2022-01-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1307	0.130625	-0.06%	0.1152	-11.86%	0.0081	✗	1.10	121k	2022-01-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.172	4.1716	-0.01%	3.77	-9.64%	0.0202	✓	0.67	514k	2022-01-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5602	+0.01%	2.15	-16.02%	0.0452	✗	1.06	4.1M	2022-01-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.19	7.1908	+0.01%	6.55	-8.90%	0.0152	✗	0.64	948k	2022-01-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.195	5.203	+0.15%	4.617	-11.13%	0.0458	✗	0.60	657k	2022-01-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.