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2021-12-23 · +7d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1486
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.3%
in alpha space · 86.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum16.1616.1088-0.32%15.37-4.89%0.0395✗1.145.3M2021-12-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.216034-0.50%0.2-7.89%0.0461✗1.6229k2021-12-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.369704-0.62%0.403+8.33%0.1436✗0.7646k2021-12-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2050,525.31-0.62%47,122.08-7.32%0.0063✗1.00750.8M2021-12-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.814-0.63%3.579-6.75%0.0124✗1.003.6M2021-12-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8050,645.17-0.67%47,186.00-7.45%0.0040✓0.9810k2021-12-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.738-0.69%1.69-3.43%0.1019✗1.711.6M2021-12-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.183576-0.73%0.171183-7.44%0.0145✗1.115.5M2021-12-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.3591-0.76%5.079-5.94%0.0043✓0.65936k2021-12-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.2091-0.76%8.87-4.42%0.0141✗0.681.1M2021-12-30
QNTQuantEthereum195.7194.1749-0.78%178.71-8.68%0.0117✓0.9412.0M2021-12-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.2529-0.83%3.09-5.79%0.0468✗1.293.2M2021-12-30
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.084,079.08-0.83%3,710.02-9.80%0.0152✓1.05768.5M2021-12-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.2945-0.84%4.697+8.45%0.1530✗0.83714k2021-12-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.4914-0.85%2.4417-2.82%0.0697✗1.18172k2021-12-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1922.0003-0.85%19.94-10.14%0.0011✓1.3169.7M2021-12-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.8058-0.86%2.46-13.07%0.0542✓1.024.7M2021-12-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.179.089-0.88%8.72-4.91%0.0176✗0.78836k2021-12-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.7651-0.98%8.302-6.21%0.0471✗1.33560k2021-12-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1833.8439-0.98%32.06-6.20%0.0032✓0.67711k2021-12-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.3107-1.00%2.063-11.61%0.0291✓1.113.4M2021-12-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.088888-1.02%0.0828-7.80%0.0121✗1.0922k2021-12-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.6282-1.02%1.533-6.81%0.0391✗1.315.2M2021-12-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7450.8463-1.07%431.58-5.29%0.0344✗1.0314.2M2021-12-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3536.9319-1.12%34.96-6.40%0.0224✗1.0223.1M2021-12-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.5659-1.13%3.8078+5.58%0.0591✗-0.09384k2021-12-30
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.4575-1.14%1.3585-7.85%0.0111✓1.07130.4M2021-12-30
SOLSolanaSolana190.07187.8687-1.16%172.52-9.23%0.0077✓1.02265.5M2021-12-30
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000112944-1.29%0.00010959-4.22%0.0450✗0.9911.7M2021-12-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.158.0445-1.29%7.13-12.52%0.0723✓0.641.1M2021-12-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81128.0904-1.32%122.49-5.64%0.0304✗0.993.1M2021-12-30
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792186.7613-1.33%185.6988-1.89%0.0807✗1.14728k2021-12-30
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1817.9323-1.36%17.81-2.04%0.0929✗1.3114.2M2021-12-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5212.3489-1.37%12.04-3.83%0.0467✓-0.285.3M2021-12-30
XEMNEMnative0.13930.137381-1.38%0.1255-9.91%0.0070✓1.10202k2021-12-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.283748-1.40%0.268-6.87%0.0195✗1.0137.2M2021-12-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.5198-1.41%3.27-8.40%0.0014✓0.991.3M2021-12-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.357611-1.43%0.3349-7.69%0.0034✓0.91401k2021-12-30
QTUMQtumQtum10.04769.9031-1.44%8.8384-12.03%0.0039✓1.45349k2021-12-30
XMRMoneroMonero210.04206.9334-1.48%225.01+7.13%0.1591✗0.992.8M2021-12-30
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.6948-1.49%3.4868-7.03%0.0230✗1.06819k2021-12-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0126.6063-1.49%24.78-8.26%0.0353✗1.4022.9M2021-12-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.058381-1.52%0.0549-7.39%0.0234✗1.1217k2021-12-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11265.0347-1.52%4.57-10.61%0.0399✓0.7530k2021-12-30
TRXTRONTron0.082610.081303-1.58%0.077853-5.76%0.0299✗0.96708k2021-12-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.2802-1.60%1.267-2.61%0.0631✗0.974.4M2021-12-30
CBKCobakEthereum3.1113.0593-1.66%2.91-6.46%0.0144✓0.85101k2021-12-30
ZENHorizenBase72.4571.2174-1.70%61.58-15.00%0.0304✓1.511.5M2021-12-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.0903-1.72%1.203+8.44%0.2111✗1.482.7M2021-12-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.210304-1.73%0.2007-6.21%0.0192✗0.87776k2021-12-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.023695-1.73%0.022142-8.17%0.0238✗1.212.1M2021-12-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.068875-1.75%0.0787+12.27%0.2319✗1.302.5M2021-12-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.225634-1.77%0.208-9.45%0.0120✓1.236.8M2021-12-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8525.391-1.78%24.01-7.12%0.0257✗1.072.7M2021-12-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.11864-1.78%0.11126-7.89%0.0193✗1.1030k2021-12-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.870335-1.78%0.795409-10.24%0.0077✓1.084.3M2021-12-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.1372-1.79%4.7081-9.99%0.0161✓1.365.2M2021-12-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1728.646-1.80%27.53-5.62%0.0553✗1.2577.3M2021-12-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2469-1.82%1.13-11.02%0.0225✓1.002.4M2021-12-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.136812-1.86%0.1317-5.52%0.0424✗1.06445k2021-12-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1136.4107-1.88%33.99-8.41%0.0470✗1.521.4M2021-12-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.109495-1.89%0.0981-12.10%0.0060✓1.373.1M2021-12-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.26910.0749-1.89%9.329-9.15%0.0291✓0.63455k2021-12-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74160.6327-1.90%147.94-9.65%0.0233✗1.3959.6M2021-12-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7511.5213-1.95%11.98+1.96%0.0795✗0.532.7M2021-12-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.8007-2.01%4.33-26.86%0.2164✓1.006.6M2021-12-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.4091-2.02%1.3222-8.06%0.0182✓1.081.4M2021-12-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.443-2.02%3.1771-9.59%0.0149✓1.254.0M2021-12-30
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.935436-2.05%0.863-9.63%0.0310✗1.4710.8M2021-12-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5636.7884-2.05%34.57-7.96%0.0176✓1.056.2M2021-12-30
ZECZcashZcash167.41163.8907-2.10%153.9-8.07%0.0374✗1.3213.6M2021-12-30
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.6692-2.11%5.14+7.76%0.1721✗1.002.5M2021-12-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.0687-2.12%4.048-2.62%0.0493✗0.72487k2021-12-30
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55225.593-2.15%199.64-13.41%0.0388✓1.10239k2021-12-30
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.6687-2.19%4.3407-9.06%0.0255✗1.295.4M2021-12-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.075.937-2.19%5.55-8.57%0.0174✓1.125.3M2021-12-30
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2241.7815-2.19%262.93+6.36%0.1648✗1.0711.4M2021-12-30
GTGateEthereum6.2596.1197-2.23%6.8152+8.89%0.1684✗0.804.6M2021-12-30
DASHDashDash146.65143.3574-2.25%133.04-9.28%0.0215✓1.272.2M2021-12-30
KSMKusamaHydration291.44284.8776-2.25%280.04-3.91%0.0658✗1.091.5M2021-12-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.4705-2.25%15.45-8.31%0.0114✓0.691.5M2021-12-30
BANDBandEthereum5.735.6002-2.27%5.13-10.47%0.0031✓1.193.0M2021-12-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.9355-2.40%1.624-18.10%0.0756✓1.317.6M2021-12-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.4344-2.40%1.7299+17.70%0.2685✗1.0734.9M2021-12-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37118.4472-2.41%101.73-16.18%0.0659✓1.14148.6M2021-12-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.797608-2.41%0.7283-10.89%0.0044✓1.257.7M2021-12-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3827.6881-2.44%30.19+6.38%0.1522✗0.8641.0M2021-12-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.185.0536-2.44%4.42-14.67%0.0580✓1.001.7M2021-12-30
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.24563-2.45%0.188-25.34%0.2316✓0.47410k2021-12-30
XVGVergenative0.018430.017978-2.45%0.01711-7.16%0.0408✗1.192.8M2021-12-30
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.01663-2.46%0.01531-10.21%0.0115✓0.941.5M2021-12-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.8422-2.48%4.72+19.80%0.2817✗1.0012.1M2021-12-30
FTTFTXEthereum43.0842.0058-2.49%38.89-9.73%0.0034✓1.0621.8M2021-12-30
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.1152-2.53%10.25+40.41%0.4694✗1.3714.6M2021-12-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.049188-2.56%0.04892-3.09%0.0641✗0.9214.3M2021-12-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.110782-2.60%0.10085-11.33%0.0503✓0.57143k2021-12-30
HIVEHivenative1.65031.6064-2.66%1.5179-8.02%0.0438✗1.3211.4M2021-12-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.094165-2.67%0.08851-8.52%0.0504✗1.485.9M2021-12-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.061497-2.68%0.061787-2.22%0.1162✗1.479.8M2021-12-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23562.1748-2.72%1.6911-24.36%0.2007✓0.678.3M2021-12-30
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6083-2.74%3.59-3.23%0.0724✗1.02807k2021-12-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5630,680.70-2.78%30,177.90-4.37%0.0229✓0.526.9M2021-12-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.304031-2.90%0.2896-7.51%0.0488✗1.286.6M2021-12-30
RADRadworksEthereum10.5210.2138-2.91%10.83+2.95%0.1310✗0.951.7M2021-12-30
KCSKuCoinnative23.31622.6132-3.01%21.048-9.73%0.0563✗1.6921.7M2021-12-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.377188-3.04%0.37-4.88%0.0777✗1.286.4M2021-12-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.6313-3.09%10.11-7.84%0.0084✓0.771.6M2021-12-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4104.0068-3.16%95.03-11.52%0.0170✓0.969.0M2021-12-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.214206-3.16%0.1856-16.09%0.0560✓1.154.3M2021-12-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.087092-3.18%0.07911-12.05%0.0041✓1.2122.6M2021-12-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.645269-3.19%0.9403+41.08%0.5097✗1.7512.6M2021-12-30
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.5061-3.29%9.32-5.19%0.0623✗1.084.1M2021-12-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5447.8291-3.45%39.06-21.15%0.0615✓1.869.4M2021-12-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.756114-3.48%0.6956-11.21%0.0141✓1.286.5M2021-12-30
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.2352-3.49%1.9975-13.75%0.0358✗1.952.2M2021-12-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.707532-3.55%0.6466-11.86%0.0075✓1.2814.9M2021-12-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.459827-3.56%0.4189-12.14%0.0154✓1.431.3M2021-12-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.6546-3.61%6.0654-12.14%0.0021✓1.19876k2021-12-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.0179-3.66%0.01653-11.03%0.0152✓1.253.5M2021-12-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.663494-3.70%0.634-7.98%0.0490✗1.243.2M2021-12-30
STORJStorjEthereum2.08462.0063-3.76%1.755-15.81%0.0802✓0.711.3M2021-12-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.3154-3.99%0.9199-32.85%0.2816✓1.00193k2021-12-30
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76411.2941-3.99%12.775+8.59%0.1161✗-0.09129k2021-12-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2414-4.16%1.4266+10.15%0.2182✗1.0423.6M2021-12-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.2853-4.26%1.1947-11.01%0.0611✗1.771.8M2021-12-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.022667-4.28%0.02166-8.53%0.0305✓1.0035.6M2021-12-30
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.522-4.29%3.2879-10.65%0.0016✓0.889.0M2021-12-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.369223-4.37%0.3713-3.83%0.1211✗1.524.4M2021-12-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.020231-4.39%0.01945-8.08%0.0058✓0.5961k2021-12-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.6159-4.43%1.4845-12.20%0.0091✓1.007.2M2021-12-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4342.4411-4.48%40.32-9.25%0.0791✗1.725.2M2021-12-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.9561-4.51%5.11-1.54%0.1308✗1.3228.7M2021-12-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.037192-4.65%0.033799-13.35%0.0180✓1.0213.0M2021-12-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8911.2657-5.25%12.93+8.75%0.1352✗-0.034.6M2021-12-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.8156-5.26%2.643-11.07%0.0114✓0.982.3M2021-12-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.00003662-5.33%0.00003376-12.72%0.0053✓1.002.1M2021-12-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.