XRD

Radix · native · lstm_s4

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1175

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0251

actual -0.0502

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000195107	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000201594	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.00019794	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000162253	+1.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000159281	+2.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000149572	+3.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000205011	+1.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000264221	-2.07%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2435	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.00029417	-2.69%	0.00020935	-30.75%	0.3141	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000305562	-2.69%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4090	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000322113	-2.86%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.7006	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000308736	-2.51%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.7023	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000307601	-2.35%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7660	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000300484	-1.90%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.4068	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000310037	-1.92%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1351	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000325276	-2.23%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0895	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000327495	-2.15%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0650	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000340116	-2.32%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0640	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000349543	-2.40%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1257	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.0003475	-2.33%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.1163	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000358332	-2.47%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1762	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000369259	-2.60%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1866	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000369728	-2.55%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.1083	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000395885	-2.92%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1496	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000402913	-2.99%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1249	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000427853	-3.24%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1591	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000442508	-3.38%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.2151	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000423438	-3.20%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1381	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000454063	-3.49%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1761	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.00047833	-3.78%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2396	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000505825	-4.03%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2402	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000452266	-3.63%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1132	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000521269	-4.55%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1435	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000501436	-4.52%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0706	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000538873	-5.08%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1892	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000543877	-5.59%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.0928	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000479401	-4.77%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0898	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.00052325	-5.83%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0745	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000479345	-5.05%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0205	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000470046	-4.68%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1733	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000484712	-5.10%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.1016	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000464844	-4.06%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.2195	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000471311	-3.81%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1998	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000456623	-2.74%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0871	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000467651	-2.49%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1592	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000431512	-0.46%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1532	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000475449	-1.42%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0185	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000470401	-0.38%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0689	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000500587	-0.26%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0441	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000487677	+0.98%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0156	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000571376	+0.22%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.1956	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000594362	+0.50%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2136	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000628423	+0.92%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3704	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000830691	+0.14%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5430	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000870053	+0.33%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6112	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000875388	+0.35%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5563	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000824364	+1.47%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5354	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000830106	+1.33%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3745	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000911537	+0.88%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4315	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000936108	+0.96%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4072	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000890789	+0.87%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0712	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000798872	+1.02%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0815	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000929234	+0.87%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0634	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000913608	-1.12%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1132	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000946291	-2.08%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1479	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001009	-2.97%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1508	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000871182	-2.21%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0287	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.00090398	-2.43%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0675	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000935662	-2.60%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2097	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000897536	-2.38%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0188	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000915962	-2.44%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0204	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000954218	-2.68%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0065	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000904668	-2.39%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1353	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000887514	-2.27%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0019	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000898921	-2.26%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0368	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000911111	-2.30%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0590	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.00090498	-2.27%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0217	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000892657	-2.25%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0531	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000939129	-2.46%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0466	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000923525	-2.41%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0051	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000955798	-2.63%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0526	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.00095776	-2.66%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0448	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000925521	-2.52%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0011	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.00093925	-2.58%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0205	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000938399	-2.46%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0258	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000939889	-2.52%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0218	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000952671	-2.59%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0074	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000967713	-2.69%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0150	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000994012	-2.74%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0045	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000965556	-2.70%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0123	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.00107	-3.66%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.0999	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.00080981	-1.96%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1741	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000814084	-1.87%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1809	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000796516	-1.75%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2196	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000817587	-1.86%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.2047	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000828023	-1.90%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.2066	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000845687	-1.94%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1628	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000875095	-2.10%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2372	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000858124	-2.03%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0456	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000847801	-1.90%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0308	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000835525	-1.81%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0403	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000829216	-1.90%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0162	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000905587	-2.11%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0761	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000840893	-1.85%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0184	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000872837	-1.92%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0254	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000891905	-2.04%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0221	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000899033	-2.12%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0557	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000883709	-2.00%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0488	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000893024	-1.98%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0433	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000912701	-2.09%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0126	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000880188	-2.01%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0308	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000863278	-1.97%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0212	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000874659	-2.03%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0301	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000871211	-2.02%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0390	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000835323	-1.82%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0496	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000843459	-1.81%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0559	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000855986	-1.78%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0608	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000850659	-1.68%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0359	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000879584	-1.71%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0139	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000900895	-1.71%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0199	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000928464	-1.75%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0359	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000955594	-1.79%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0864	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001036	-2.06%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1635	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001044	-2.09%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1559	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001087	-2.27%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2015	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.00107	-2.21%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1566	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001077	-2.25%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1416	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001066	-2.19%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1002	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001081	-2.25%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0884	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001095	-2.33%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0207	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001089	-2.34%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0067	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.0011	-2.45%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0118	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001076	-2.36%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0169	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001086	-2.43%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0188	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001085	-2.40%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0142	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001098	-2.49%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0172	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001071	-2.39%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0253	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001036	-2.21%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0594	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001017	-1.96%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0815	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001011	-1.87%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0699	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.00106	-2.24%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0505	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001033	-2.07%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0914	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000995138	-1.96%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1638	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001018	-2.14%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1462	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001055	-2.30%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0911	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001046	-2.26%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.1026	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001063	-2.31%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0852	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001059	-2.29%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1144	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001093	-2.41%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0524	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001132	-2.56%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0348	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.00109	-2.37%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0072	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000996537	-2.11%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1117	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000994948	-2.07%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.1001	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001041	-2.15%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0641	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.00105	-2.10%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0700	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001059	-2.07%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0869	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001103	-2.14%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0614	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001123	-2.15%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0095	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001124	-2.08%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.0953	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001149	-2.06%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1102	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.00117	-2.01%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0631	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001188	-1.81%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0724	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001199	-1.98%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0885	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001223	-1.89%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0514	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001229	-1.71%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0264	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001226	-1.58%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0248	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001236	-1.81%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0302	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001223	-1.80%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0139	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001238	-1.84%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0317	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001262	-1.68%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0086	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001252	-1.71%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0009	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001263	-1.87%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0337	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001239	-1.93%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0389	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.00124	-1.91%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0096	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001236	-1.92%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0178	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001235	-2.10%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0327	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001251	-2.18%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0566	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001255	-2.17%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0475	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.0013	-2.19%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0438	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001335	-2.10%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0541	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001321	-2.22%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0586	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001298	-2.17%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0413	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001267	-1.98%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0246	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001264	-1.99%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0485	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001254	-2.25%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0233	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001256	-2.35%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0328	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.00126	-2.60%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0104	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001254	-2.40%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0474	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001291	-2.31%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0221	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.00121	-2.48%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0228	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001219	-2.53%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0093	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001207	-2.59%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0307	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001197	-2.56%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0520	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001143	-2.85%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0791	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.00115	-2.67%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0729	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001165	-2.70%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0688	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.0012	-2.85%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0152	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001216	-2.94%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0271	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001231	-2.93%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0268	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001275	-3.19%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1252	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001182	-3.11%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0323	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001148	-2.86%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0621	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001152	-2.69%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0570	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001139	-2.39%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0030	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001144	-2.31%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0440	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001176	-2.28%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0178	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.00115	-1.59%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.1009	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001174	-1.40%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0113	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001226	-1.62%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0523	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001306	-1.99%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1084	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001425	-2.26%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1700	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001478	-2.15%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1838	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001491	-2.10%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1786	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001509	-2.03%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.1899	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.00149	-2.05%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.1927	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001548	-2.10%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1746	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001544	-2.05%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0797	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001731	-2.14%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1530	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001745	-2.09%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1447	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001809	-2.08%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1184	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001828	-2.09%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1093	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001826	-2.19%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1036	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001806	-2.23%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.0957	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001809	-2.27%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1307	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001775	-2.24%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0062	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.00178	-2.27%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0152	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001765	-2.25%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0166	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001836	-2.36%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0859	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001798	-2.14%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0750	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001892	-2.42%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0891	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001891	-2.41%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0674	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002028	-2.63%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1049	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002107	-2.69%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1078	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.00202	-2.74%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1382	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002164	-3.02%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1344	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002136	-3.08%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1541	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002399	-3.94%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2172	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002344	-3.91%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2251	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002244	-3.61%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1265	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002247	-3.75%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1081	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002101	-3.49%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0792	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002306	-4.40%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.0991	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002434	-5.43%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0707	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002295	-5.22%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0997	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001782	-3.20%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3462	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001721	-2.93%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2943	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001702	-2.80%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2924	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001699	-2.94%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2992	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001553	-2.47%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.5058	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001552	-2.31%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5234	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001606	-2.59%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4378	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001728	-2.88%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0762	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001749	-2.55%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001781	-2.71%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0076	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.00191	-3.21%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0673	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001922	-3.25%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1702	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.00198	-3.39%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.1979	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002005	-3.39%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2033	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001981	-3.32%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0819	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001717	-0.97%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0063	✓	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002021	-3.32%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0299	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002313	-4.51%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0917	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002328	-4.71%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0776	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002167	-4.21%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0053	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002326	-4.84%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0293	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002843	-7.03%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2626	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002803	-7.48%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3699	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002648	-7.70%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1422	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002402	-7.11%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0855	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001852	-4.03%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3188	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001852	-4.17%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2436	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002265	-6.51%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.1031	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002365	-7.52%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2707	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002698	-11.01%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.1285	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001996	-8.29%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3634	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001572	-4.01%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4965	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001239	-2.72%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4639	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001208	-2.63%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.5068	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.00118	-2.51%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7519	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001218	-2.53%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7747	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001219	-2.53%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9451	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001125	-2.29%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.7010	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001063	-2.20%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4736	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.00105	-2.14%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1850	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001033	-1.86%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1663	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001045	-1.77%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1178	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001267	-2.30%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0453	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001396	-2.22%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1407	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001411	-2.21%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2536	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001452	-2.09%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3039	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001449	-2.08%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2768	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001479	-2.20%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3338	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001479	-2.20%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3271	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.00148	-2.19%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1371	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001467	-2.15%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0479	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001459	-2.12%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0458	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001467	-2.11%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0375	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001498	-2.17%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0748	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001519	-2.19%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0385	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001514	-2.17%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0277	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001477	-2.08%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0006	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001486	-2.07%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0058	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001513	-2.09%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0134	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001472	-1.98%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0088	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001494	-1.97%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0381	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001531	-2.01%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0217	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001521	-1.95%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0227	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001499	-1.86%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0137	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001442	-1.65%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0349	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001562	-1.82%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0237	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001544	-1.71%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0238	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001673	-1.89%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1136	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001729	-1.94%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1058	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001743	-1.89%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.0988	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001716	-1.79%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.0966	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001743	-1.74%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1080	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001779	-1.78%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0583	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001814	-1.79%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1009	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001825	-1.83%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0296	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001834	-1.82%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0196	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001869	-1.87%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0603	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001915	-1.91%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1003	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001905	-1.81%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0753	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001866	-1.70%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0165	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002069	-2.07%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1278	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001984	-1.92%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1121	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002045	-2.01%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0909	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002012	-1.93%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0385	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002062	-2.01%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0384	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002111	-2.10%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.0923	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002192	-2.28%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1735	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002084	-2.04%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0244	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002071	-2.00%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0036	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002029	-1.83%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0073	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002018	-1.64%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0457	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001998	-1.49%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0074	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002079	-1.67%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0112	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002092	-1.78%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0808	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002327	-2.21%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0279	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002325	-2.17%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0531	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002454	-2.44%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002443	-2.43%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0521	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002435	-2.39%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0764	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002485	-2.53%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.00232	-2.36%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0335	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002295	-2.58%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1532	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002365	-2.76%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1656	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002386	-2.47%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1746	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002279	-2.65%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1713	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002281	-3.06%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1905	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002226	-3.00%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1542	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002247	-3.10%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0806	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002274	-3.05%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0177	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002377	-3.24%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0295	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002479	-3.22%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0557	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002493	-3.28%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0299	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002452	-3.31%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0327	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002414	-3.33%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0330	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002478	-3.33%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0045	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002461	-3.22%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0938	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002478	-3.17%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0826	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002487	-3.16%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0775	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002456	-3.26%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0681	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002506	-3.28%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0304	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002562	-3.34%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0031	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002472	-3.10%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0059	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002533	-3.12%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0514	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002678	-3.31%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.0876	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002665	-3.23%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1051	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002539	-2.47%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0512	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002521	-1.85%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0253	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002323	+0.10%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1086	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002574	-1.68%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0290	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002694	-2.21%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0251	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002799	-2.45%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0454	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.00281	-2.29%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0553	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002735	-1.44%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0060	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003049	-2.50%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.0928	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003606	-2.66%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3138	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003519	-2.55%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1696	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003461	-2.63%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1406	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003546	-2.47%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1134	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003455	-2.47%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.0959	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003643	-2.62%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1480	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003768	-2.70%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0885	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003864	-2.88%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0535	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003792	-2.97%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.0965	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003666	-3.05%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1072	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.00367	-3.00%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1212	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003682	-2.99%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1649	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003649	-2.84%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1202	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003723	-2.83%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1036	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003732	-2.70%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0682	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003922	-2.80%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0649	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003997	-2.77%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0800	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.00402	-2.68%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0803	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004179	-2.61%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0589	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004123	-2.47%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0176	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004463	-2.48%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0808	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004479	-2.40%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0564	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.