XCH

Chia · native · lstm_s4

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

39.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0874

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0134

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4919	+1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.5378	+1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5895	+1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5918	+1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.6201	+1.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.6161	+0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.616	+1.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5963	+1.29%	1.4765	-6.31%	0.0895	✗	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.6572	+1.58%	1.512	-7.32%	0.0900	✗	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.6096	+1.49%	1.5675	-1.17%	0.0274	✗	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.6201	+1.86%	1.57	-1.29%	0.0151	✓	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.6183	+1.55%	1.6035	+0.63%	0.0060	✓	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.5456	+1.62%	1.6015	+5.29%	0.0458	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4958	+1.83%	1.5965	+8.68%	0.0609	✓	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.5217	+1.78%	1.576	+5.42%	0.0516	✓	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5949	+1.75%	1.6315	+4.08%	0.0452	✓	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.6098	+1.66%	1.586	+0.16%	0.0226	✓	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.6185	+2.08%	1.5905	+0.32%	0.0091	✓	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.6011	+1.69%	1.5935	+1.21%	0.0127	✓	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.5638	+1.94%	1.521	-0.85%	0.0090	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.6251	+1.63%	1.469	-8.13%	0.0711	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.6476	+1.39%	1.495	-8.00%	0.0946	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.6138	+1.30%	1.5675	-1.60%	0.0463	✗	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5777	+1.27%	1.5835	+1.64%	0.0172	✗	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.6098	+1.92%	1.5855	+0.38%	0.0312	✗	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6706	+1.31%	1.5745	-4.52%	0.0618	✗	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6742	+1.25%	1.534	-7.23%	0.0906	✗	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.6599	+1.83%	1.599	-1.90%	0.0410	✗	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.58	+2.33%	1.625	+5.25%	0.0346	✓	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6794	+3.29%	1.593	-2.03%	0.0337	✗	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7785	+3.34%	1.558	-9.47%	0.1082	✗	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5635	+1.56%	1.5795	+2.60%	0.0117	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5591	+1.54%	1.649	+7.39%	0.0349	✓	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.5247	+1.34%	1.6535	+9.90%	0.0601	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.4272	+0.40%	1.63	+14.67%	0.0846	✓	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3981	+1.27%	1.544	+11.84%	0.0508	✓	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3842	+1.26%	1.626	+18.95%	0.0997	✓	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4866	+1.06%	1.721	+17.00%	0.1042	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4923	+0.90%	1.5395	+4.09%	0.0080	✓	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.5109	+1.13%	1.5355	+2.78%	0.0045	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.5047	+1.05%	1.5045	+1.04%	0.0189	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.5099	+1.13%	1.4215	-4.79%	0.0593	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5914	+1.33%	1.3805	-12.10%	0.1310	✗	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6413	+1.41%	1.367	-15.54%	0.1678	✗	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6754	+1.85%	1.471	-10.58%	0.1254	✗	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5346	+2.75%	1.479	-0.97%	0.0142	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4919	+2.92%	1.494	+3.07%	0.0177	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.46	+3.11%	1.489	+5.16%	0.0379	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4886	+3.30%	1.493	+3.61%	0.0384	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4597	+2.87%	1.5705	+10.68%	0.0660	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4956	+3.29%	1.6185	+11.77%	0.0713	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4703	+3.29%	1.645	+15.56%	0.1084	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.463	+3.54%	1.4935	+5.70%	0.0015	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4367	+3.85%	1.4495	+4.77%	0.0032	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4511	+3.68%	1.416	+1.18%	0.0384	✗	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4612	+3.56%	1.441	+2.13%	0.0213	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4252	+3.39%	1.419	+2.94%	0.0087	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4336	+3.36%	1.448	+4.40%	0.0190	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4343	+3.33%	1.4235	+2.56%	0.0042	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5426	+3.18%	1.413	-5.48%	0.0872	✗	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5548	+3.24%	1.3835	-8.13%	0.1274	✗	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5725	+3.35%	1.3995	-8.02%	0.1122	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4738	+2.31%	1.411	-2.05%	0.1079	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4584	+0.86%	1.3785	-4.67%	0.1634	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3783	-0.05%	1.387	+0.58%	0.1505	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3837	+0.05%	1.388	+0.36%	0.1674	✗	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3744	-0.16%	1.495	+8.61%	0.0964	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.3279	-0.01%	1.506	+13.40%	0.0430	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.3062	+0.13%	1.5215	+16.63%	0.0286	✗	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.3165	+0.12%	1.4405	+9.54%	0.0219	✗	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.3044	+0.26%	1.446	+11.15%	0.0300	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3464	+0.22%	1.379	+2.64%	0.0093	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3732	+0.01%	1.383	+0.73%	0.0005	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3331	+0.01%	1.3765	+3.26%	0.0568	✓	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.4012	-0.30%	1.328	-5.51%	0.0302	✓	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.3166	+0.39%	1.3045	-0.53%	0.0149	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3694	+0.40%	1.315	-3.59%	0.0298	✗	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4601	+0.04%	1.301	-10.86%	0.1000	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.5065	-0.39%	1.3435	-11.17%	0.1079	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.528	-0.75%	1.373	-10.82%	0.1127	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.689	-2.37%	1.333	-22.95%	0.2541	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4447	-0.78%	1.4055	-3.47%	0.0522	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.408	-0.57%	1.3115	-7.38%	0.0947	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4363	+0.05%	1.364	-4.98%	0.0464	✗	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3701	+0.12%	1.4595	+6.65%	0.0558	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3344	+0.03%	1.5125	+13.38%	0.1231	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2643	+0.23%	1.5395	+22.04%	0.1993	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.332	+0.91%	1.73	+31.06%	0.2795	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2904	+0.93%	1.456	+13.88%	0.1359	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1683	+1.06%	1.416	+22.49%	0.2044	✓	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1709	+1.07%	1.4355	+23.91%	0.2069	✓	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2546	+1.22%	1.3685	+10.41%	0.1072	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.2205	+1.25%	1.334	+10.66%	0.1135	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.2172	+0.93%	1.2615	+4.60%	0.0513	✓	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2929	+0.97%	1.32	+3.08%	0.0137	✓	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3398	+1.23%	1.2785	-3.40%	0.0413	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.386	+1.39%	1.156	-15.44%	0.1836	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.4096	+1.30%	1.1585	-16.74%	0.2099	✗	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.5002	+1.26%	1.2395	-16.33%	0.2045	✗	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.4231	+1.32%	1.2055	-14.17%	0.1813	✗	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.4169	+1.21%	1.206	-13.86%	0.1936	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4467	+1.38%	1.2805	-10.27%	0.1324	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4696	+1.32%	1.3235	-8.76%	0.1152	✗	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.5094	+1.54%	1.367	-8.04%	0.0967	✗	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5559	+1.23%	1.3915	-9.47%	0.1181	✗	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5272	+0.91%	1.4815	-2.11%	0.0558	✗	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5714	+0.96%	1.4045	-9.77%	0.1293	✗	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6331	+0.84%	1.4	-13.55%	0.1361	✗	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.6125	+0.72%	1.427	-10.87%	0.1239	✗	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6663	+0.62%	1.4505	-12.41%	0.1459	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6889	+0.56%	1.4865	-11.49%	0.1446	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7397	+0.53%	1.537	-11.18%	0.1425	✗	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7606	+0.43%	1.5135	-13.66%	0.1775	✗	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7376	+0.88%	1.5565	-9.64%	0.1664	✗	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5821	+1.13%	1.6195	+3.52%	0.0267	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6365	+1.20%	1.601	-0.99%	0.0763	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6354	+1.51%	1.656	+2.79%	0.0290	✗	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.7176	+1.51%	1.6795	-0.74%	0.0558	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7318	+1.57%	1.7305	+1.50%	0.0247	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.7329	+1.58%	1.753	+2.75%	0.0263	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8333	+1.12%	1.7225	-4.99%	0.0065	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.9183	+0.86%	1.5645	-17.74%	0.1547	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.9195	+1.00%	1.617	-14.92%	0.1222	✗	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.9053	+0.86%	1.611	-14.72%	0.1108	✗	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9466	+1.10%	1.692	-12.13%	0.0934	✗	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	2.0293	+1.52%	1.705	-14.71%	0.1306	✗	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	2.0494	+1.36%	1.706	-15.63%	0.1368	✗	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0898	+1.23%	1.813	-12.18%	0.1026	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.1108	+1.09%	1.902	-8.91%	0.0713	✗	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.1516	+0.85%	1.9005	-10.92%	0.0894	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.181	+0.79%	1.889	-12.71%	0.1407	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	2.0536	+1.56%	1.9255	-4.77%	0.0635	✗	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.0709	+1.66%	1.999	-1.87%	0.0252	✗	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	2.045	+2.17%	2.022	+1.02%	0.0567	✗	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.1099	+2.50%	2.0645	+0.29%	0.0806	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.234	+1.87%	2.088	-4.79%	0.1138	✗	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.2668	+2.29%	2.1335	-3.72%	0.0947	✗	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	2.091	+3.21%	2.164	+6.81%	0.0123	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.247	+3.12%	2.022	-7.21%	0.1374	✗	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.2566	+2.53%	2.037	-7.45%	0.0992	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.2633	+2.74%	2.0015	-9.15%	0.0877	✗	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.2886	+1.72%	2.0585	-8.51%	0.0375	✗	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.4648	-0.17%	2.193	-11.18%	0.0131	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.3415	+0.17%	2.216	-5.20%	0.0825	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.358	+0.09%	2.026	-14.01%	0.0183	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.4499	+0.12%	2.179	-10.95%	0.0485	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.3376	+0.33%	2.201	-5.54%	0.0680	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.5827	-0.34%	2.203	-14.99%	0.0327	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6877	-0.71%	2.25	-16.88%	0.0707	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.9044	-1.89%	2.469	-16.60%	0.0944	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.7208	-1.24%	2.3375	-15.15%	0.1126	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8843	-2.09%	2.356	-20.03%	0.1685	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.8779	-2.08%	2.447	-16.74%	0.1376	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.2688	-3.02%	2.33	-30.87%	0.2956	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.5067	-3.54%	2.5915	-28.72%	0.2690	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.227	-3.66%	2.707	-19.18%	0.1661	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.8018	-1.01%	2.9605	+4.59%	0.0518	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.6505	-0.26%	2.755	+3.67%	0.0433	✗	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.6166	+0.10%	2.946	+12.70%	0.1342	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.4198	+1.22%	2.939	+22.94%	0.2354	✓	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5751	+1.24%	3.3705	+32.51%	0.3079	✓	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.5348	+0.43%	3.6355	+44.04%	0.3809	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.2521	+1.72%	3.3495	+51.29%	0.4418	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3697	+2.14%	2.8305	+22.00%	0.2341	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4926	+2.45%	2.6575	+9.23%	0.1193	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3988	+2.51%	2.614	+11.71%	0.1153	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.4631	+2.46%	2.3905	-0.56%	0.0172	✓	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.243	+2.77%	2.5435	+16.54%	0.1141	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1791	+3.20%	2.524	+19.54%	0.1700	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1872	+3.10%	2.214	+4.36%	0.0162	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1747	+2.82%	2.32	+9.69%	0.0473	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1927	+2.56%	2.433	+13.80%	0.0700	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.2009	+2.46%	2.34	+8.94%	0.0427	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.2233	+2.27%	2.404	+10.58%	0.0595	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.297	+1.66%	2.1825	-3.41%	0.0875	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.3	+1.36%	2.1115	-6.94%	0.1413	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.3005	+1.70%	2.1215	-6.21%	0.1256	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.3222	+2.28%	2.115	-6.85%	0.1176	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.4383	+3.06%	2.138	-9.64%	0.1303	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.4171	+2.68%	2.148	-8.75%	0.1282	✗	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5283	+2.95%	2.174	-11.48%	0.1587	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.6803	+3.15%	2.2595	-13.05%	0.1510	✗	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8511	+2.52%	2.269	-18.41%	0.2037	✗	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.6472	+2.39%	2.262	-12.51%	0.1570	✗	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5383	+2.54%	2.2705	-8.28%	0.1262	✗	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.4406	+1.99%	2.366	-1.13%	0.0780	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.5064	+2.53%	2.354	-3.70%	0.0813	✗	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.3549	+2.92%	2.456	+7.34%	0.0385	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3702	+2.38%	2.5985	+12.25%	0.0609	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2466	+2.38%	2.781	+26.73%	0.1799	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.2071	+2.37%	2.5855	+19.92%	0.1363	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.3004	+2.63%	2.4755	+10.44%	0.0590	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2697	+1.58%	2.393	+7.09%	0.0195	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3608	+1.87%	2.4445	+5.48%	0.0070	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.3237	+2.00%	2.288	+0.44%	0.0586	✗	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.445	+1.94%	2.315	-3.48%	0.0914	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3598	+1.74%	2.1945	-5.39%	0.1135	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.428	+1.69%	2.156	-9.70%	0.1435	✗	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.3411	+1.08%	2.2415	-3.22%	0.1048	✗	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3988	+1.24%	2.2345	-5.70%	0.0906	✗	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3706	+1.07%	2.3175	-1.19%	0.0899	✗	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.4104	+0.81%	2.278	-4.73%	0.1269	✗	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.428	+0.68%	2.3985	-0.54%	0.0698	✗	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.5263	+0.89%	2.3195	-7.37%	0.1201	✗	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.6328	+1.03%	2.3875	-8.38%	0.1409	✗	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.6368	+1.16%	2.316	-11.15%	0.1554	✗	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.657	+0.97%	2.3695	-9.96%	0.1517	✗	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.7031	+1.12%	2.3455	-12.25%	0.1539	✗	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.6437	+1.49%	2.391	-8.21%	0.1080	✗	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.8573	+1.38%	2.4115	-14.44%	0.1471	✗	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8939	+1.83%	2.504	-11.89%	0.1072	✗	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.8621	+1.56%	2.606	-7.52%	0.0664	✗	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.779	+1.66%	2.6065	-4.65%	0.0145	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.6569	+1.39%	2.6315	+0.42%	0.0134	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6892	+1.35%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0253	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.735	+1.62%	2.605	-3.21%	0.0009	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.7662	+1.29%	2.8185	+3.20%	0.0323	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8854	+1.70%	2.842	+0.18%	0.0158	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.2105	+1.90%	2.818	-10.55%	0.0922	✗	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	3.0518	+2.34%	2.7335	-8.33%	0.0645	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.8366	+2.07%	2.6205	-5.70%	0.0221	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7797	+1.67%	2.6535	-2.94%	0.0197	✗	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6957	+1.53%	2.6915	+1.37%	0.0035	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.6411	+1.58%	2.731	+5.04%	0.0405	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.6108	+1.63%	2.837	+10.43%	0.0713	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5772	+2.01%	3.1505	+24.70%	0.1565	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5922	+2.16%	2.982	+17.52%	0.0673	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.6145	+2.21%	2.779	+8.64%	0.0216	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5601	+2.18%	2.734	+9.12%	0.0173	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.6561	+2.10%	2.655	+2.06%	0.0346	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7939	+1.97%	2.6	-5.11%	0.0677	✗	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.9295	+1.97%	2.569	-10.58%	0.1026	✗	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.7347	+1.51%	2.5265	-6.22%	0.0983	✗	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6914	+1.31%	2.5375	-4.48%	0.0542	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6598	+1.50%	2.558	-2.39%	0.0417	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7677	+1.36%	2.5055	-8.24%	0.1033	✗	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.7295	+1.41%	2.6015	-3.34%	0.0771	✗	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.703	+1.87%	2.74	+3.26%	0.0295	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6817	+1.93%	2.873	+9.20%	0.0103	✓	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4698	+2.67%	2.694	+11.99%	0.0329	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6603	+2.12%	2.6565	+1.98%	0.0532	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7745	+1.28%	2.6205	-4.34%	0.0344	✗	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.7125	+1.78%	2.7305	+2.46%	0.0186	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6987	+1.61%	2.6915	+1.34%	0.0231	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6685	+2.10%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0119	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7636	+1.71%	2.631	-3.17%	0.0684	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9675	+1.66%	2.4055	-17.59%	0.1689	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9803	+1.82%	2.605	-11.00%	0.0838	✗	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	3.0269	+2.04%	2.7395	-7.65%	0.0860	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.1516	+1.76%	2.665	-13.95%	0.1465	✗	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9786	+2.46%	2.656	-8.63%	0.1051	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.896	+2.91%	2.6135	-7.13%	0.1115	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	3.0801	+2.91%	2.717	-9.22%	0.1187	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.154	+2.80%	2.919	-4.86%	0.0629	✗	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.1534	+2.67%	2.927	-4.70%	0.0612	✗	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.3345	+2.44%	2.9665	-8.86%	0.1007	✗	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.5311	+3.14%	3.097	-9.54%	0.1371	✗	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.439	+3.24%	2.907	-12.73%	0.1478	✗	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.1992	+4.07%	2.814	-8.46%	0.1731	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.4492	+3.08%	2.993	-10.55%	0.0435	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.4477	+2.61%	3.068	-8.69%	0.0088	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.5221	+1.99%	3.0715	-11.06%	0.0035	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.5185	+2.61%	3.255	-5.07%	0.0302	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.6391	+2.60%	3.4235	-3.48%	0.0942	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.802	+1.36%	3.331	-11.20%	0.0909	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.9755	+1.31%	3.074	-21.66%	0.1225	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	4.0784	+0.79%	3.346	-17.31%	0.0664	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.2557	+0.76%	3.36	-20.45%	0.0177	✗	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.2437	+1.06%	3.4535	-17.75%	0.0552	✗	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	4.0608	+1.33%	3.429	-14.44%	0.0150	✗	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.2684	+1.36%	3.547	-15.77%	0.0240	✗	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.2495	+1.59%	3.751	-10.33%	0.0443	✗	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.4002	+1.57%	3.924	-9.42%	0.0407	✗	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.6525	+1.31%	4.0465	-11.89%	0.1366	✗	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.5905	+1.56%	4.2235	-6.56%	0.0949	✗	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.7133	+2.12%	4.199	-9.02%	0.0522	✗	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	5.0083	+2.21%	4.0075	-18.21%	0.1194	✗	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	5.0848	+2.25%	4.211	-15.32%	0.1031	✗	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	5.0897	+2.29%	4.183	-15.93%	0.1109	✗	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.2279	+2.40%	4.332	-15.15%	0.1015	✗	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.5578	+2.42%	4.5925	-15.37%	0.0845	✗	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.5859	+2.21%	4.52	-17.29%	0.1119	✗	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.3081	+1.79%	4.6155	-11.49%	0.1592	✗	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.6304	+1.46%	4.9	-11.70%	0.1783	✗	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	5.1576	+1.55%	4.973	-2.09%	0.1025	✗	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.2971	+1.53%	4.9755	-4.64%	0.1350	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	5.064	+1.65%	5.1055	+2.48%	0.0555	✗	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	5.1551	+1.64%	5.4265	+6.99%	0.0466	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	5.1775	+2.00%	5.465	+7.66%	0.0251	✓	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.3233	+2.02%	5.2145	-0.07%	0.0271	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.829	+1.73%	5.5495	+16.91%	0.1500	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.8041	+1.57%	5.079	+7.38%	0.0596	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.8879	+1.24%	5.2175	+8.07%	0.0553	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.781	+1.04%	4.982	+5.28%	0.0002	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.6312	+1.35%	5.072	+11.00%	0.0235	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.7041	+1.33%	5.076	+9.34%	0.0170	✗	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.7223	+1.22%	5.218	+11.84%	0.0192	✗	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.8603	+1.26%	4.747	-1.10%	0.0877	✗	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	5.0298	+0.57%	4.73	-5.43%	0.1104	✗	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.6349	+1.35%	4.828	+5.58%	0.0054	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.8423	+1.14%	4.732	-1.16%	0.0505	✗	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.9995	+0.86%	4.5695	-7.82%	0.0880	✗	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.8658	+0.96%	4.6425	-3.67%	0.0640	✗	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.8967	+1.25%	4.6655	-3.53%	0.0230	✗	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.889	+1.41%	4.8	-0.44%	0.0051	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.9451	+1.29%	5.0015	+2.45%	0.0204	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.9646	+1.16%	4.573	-6.82%	0.0681	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.5735	+1.42%	4.7875	+6.16%	0.0156	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.6638	+1.57%	4.957	+7.96%	0.0365	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.8878	+1.23%	4.8195	-0.19%	0.0067	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.9062	+0.70%	4.836	-0.74%	0.0518	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	5.0816	+0.70%	4.821	-4.46%	0.0607	✗	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.276	+0.71%	4.882	-6.81%	0.0448	✗	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.3432	+0.90%	4.9075	-7.33%	0.0478	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.5287	+0.76%	4.5095	-17.81%	0.0826	✗	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.6839	+0.57%	4.5915	-18.76%	0.1132	✗	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.7761	+0.44%	4.8285	-16.04%	0.0973	✗	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.5168	+0.46%	4.872	-11.28%	0.0517	✗	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.5389	+0.40%	5.046	-8.54%	0.0553	✗	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.6017	+0.23%	5.239	-6.26%	0.0837	✗	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.559	+0.53%	5.2955	-4.23%	0.0644	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.787	+0.61%	5.487	-4.61%	0.0606	✗	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.9333	+0.72%	5.652	-4.06%	0.0252	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	6.1303	+0.50%	5.751	-5.71%	0.0874	✗	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.5852	+1.47%	5.4915	-0.24%	0.0931	✗	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.9378	+0.66%	5.517	-6.48%	0.0741	✗	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	6.013	+0.73%	5.589	-6.37%	0.0467	✗	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.9384	+0.88%	5.5295	-6.06%	0.0450	✗	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	6.0221	+1.00%	5.752	-3.53%	0.0588	✗	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.1694	+1.06%	5.891	-3.50%	0.0934	✗	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.2049	+1.61%	6.0995	-0.11%	0.0846	✗	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.3402	+1.30%	5.5045	-12.05%	0.1070	✗	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.3521	+1.85%	5.899	-5.42%	0.1360	✗	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.3756	+2.06%	5.9695	-4.44%	0.1770	✗	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.5551	+1.84%	5.8865	-8.55%	0.2127	✗	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.8914	+1.49%	5.9625	-12.19%	0.2289	✗	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	7.013	+0.87%	6.1045	-12.20%	0.1209	✗	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	7.2417	+0.35%	6.1065	-15.38%	0.0696	✗	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.2863	+0.31%	6.259	-13.83%	0.0826	✗	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.4681	-0.16%	6.237	-16.62%	0.0488	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.6877	-0.28%	6.247	-18.96%	0.0135	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.9035	-0.21%	6.4365	-18.74%	0.0344	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.8811	-0.77%	6.7905	-14.50%	0.0967	✗	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.9002	-1.52%	6.9525	-13.34%	0.0584	✗	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.9305	-1.41%	7.2165	-10.29%	0.0830	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.5124	-1.99%	7.2635	-16.37%	0.0764	✗	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	9.0342	-2.96%	7.48	-19.66%	0.0066	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.7177	-0.75%	7.709	-0.86%	0.1096	✗	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	8.0683	-2.34%	7.9205	-4.13%	0.1232	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.4503	+1.46%	7.9425	+24.93%	0.2324	✓	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	6.0795	+1.55%	8.0225	+34.01%	0.3102	✓	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.9583	+2.70%	8.044	+38.65%	0.2772	✓	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.4469	+1.51%	8.6855	+36.76%	0.3062	✓	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.8906	+0.82%	9.31	+36.22%	0.3816	✓	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.8604	+0.92%	7.776	+14.39%	0.2348	✓	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.4124	+1.25%	8.262	+30.45%	0.3409	✓	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.5569	+1.85%	6.3575	-1.25%	0.0691	✓	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.9015	+1.61%	5.9865	-11.87%	0.0580	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.8679	+1.58%	5.8015	-14.19%	0.0086	✓	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	7.0867	+1.54%	6.351	-9.00%	0.0074	✓	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.9561	+1.58%	6.8345	-0.20%	0.0358	✓	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.6826	+1.58%	6.798	+3.34%	0.0392	✓	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.8456	+1.42%	6.3335	-6.16%	0.0573	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.9777	+1.16%	6.438	-6.67%	0.0552	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.9371	+1.09%	6.7925	-1.02%	0.0559	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	7.0313	+0.75%	6.761	-3.12%	0.1030	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.2291	+0.58%	6.979	-2.90%	0.0844	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.3099	+0.79%	6.848	-5.58%	0.1468	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.1734	+1.05%	6.5785	-7.33%	0.1496	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.2559	+1.74%	6.7495	-5.36%	0.1373	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.618	+1.49%	6.898	-8.10%	0.1262	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.6063	+1.41%	6.8625	-8.51%	0.0577	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.6993	+1.39%	6.979	-8.10%	0.0323	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.9032	+1.35%	7.1875	-7.83%	0.0295	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.8983	+1.27%	7.2525	-7.01%	0.0031	✓	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.1607	+1.26%	7.099	+0.39%	0.0392	✓	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.6183	+1.61%	7.1315	+9.49%	0.1692	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.8509	+1.96%	7.506	-13.53%	0.0463	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	9.094	+2.11%	7.5005	-15.78%	0.0820	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.9361	+2.12%	7.594	-13.22%	0.0945	✗	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	9.1919	+2.68%	7.798	-12.89%	0.0847	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.8151	+2.27%	7.799	-9.52%	0.0516	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.7116	+1.98%	7.0715	-17.22%	0.1082	✗	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.8766	+1.72%	6.5135	-25.36%	0.2302	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.9243	+1.56%	8.6805	-1.21%	0.0368	✗	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.7482	+1.30%	8.906	+3.13%	0.0216	✗	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.2801	+1.02%	8.751	+6.77%	0.0062	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.5344	+0.94%	8.952	+5.88%	0.0407	✗	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.7647	+0.77%	8.6195	-0.90%	0.1207	✗	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.6241	+0.69%	8.5425	-0.26%	0.1291	✗	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.8399	+0.94%	8.7265	-0.35%	0.1310	✗	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.6141	+0.95%	8.787	+2.98%	0.0891	✗	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	9.1751	+1.03%	8.6355	-4.92%	0.1083	✗	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	9.1525	+1.02%	8.1965	-9.54%	0.1294	✗	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	9.2314	+1.25%	8.4545	-7.27%	0.1026	✗	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.756	+1.33%	8.698	-9.66%	0.0874	✗	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.6783	+1.53%	8.565	-10.14%	0.0669	✗	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.7178	+1.27%	8.7575	-8.74%	0.0480	✗	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.9726	+1.10%	8.533	-13.49%	0.0800	✗	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.9244	+1.09%	9.082	-7.49%	0.0599	✗	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.