UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s4

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

41.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0592

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.036058	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040199	+0.12%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1152	✗	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043999	+0.11%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0760	✗	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.048034	-0.03%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0914	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055787	-0.29%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1392	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064661	-0.67%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1466	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064464	-0.52%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0001	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.219097	-12.66%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2103	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.058188	+0.15%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4563	✓	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.05891	+0.19%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0091	✗	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.059208	+0.27%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0121	✗	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059335	+0.23%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0025	✗	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.059211	+0.19%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0010	✓	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.06166	+0.10%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0396	✗	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061908	+0.18%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0095	✗	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.06355	+0.24%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0336	✗	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.06195	+0.08%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0226	✓	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060748	-0.33%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0168	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065795	-0.31%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0723	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064828	+0.20%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0185	✓	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066727	+0.27%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0316	✗	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.063155	+0.33%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0554	✓	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063441	+0.38%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0079	✗	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.067263	+0.47%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0620	✗	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077836	+0.30%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1532	✗	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.07604	+0.18%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0204	✓	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.078195	+0.31%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0290	✗	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083763	+0.20%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0727	✗	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.089149	+0.17%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0642	✗	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.093266	-0.09%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0525	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096502	-0.15%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0346	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.098057	+0.01%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0111	✓	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.098761	-0.14%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0076	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.098748	-0.56%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0033	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.099181	-0.07%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0284	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.099803	-0.10%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0043	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.099242	-0.11%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0101	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098999	-0.45%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0127	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099934	+0.03%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0042	✓	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.099732	-0.07%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0013	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.099451	-0.05%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0038	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.099666	-0.03%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0023	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.099896	+0.05%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0120	✗	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.100337	-0.01%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0057	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.100114	-0.09%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0009	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099867	-0.08%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0028	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.100246	-0.15%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0004	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.099649	-0.10%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0082	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.10027	-0.18%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0122	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.121767	-0.48%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1844	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.100198	-0.05%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.1996	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.099567	-0.08%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0038	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.101101	+0.00%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0131	✗	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.100637	-0.11%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0035	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.100474	-0.22%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0035	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.10058	-0.27%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0027	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.100122	-0.38%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0095	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100449	-0.45%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0015	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.100322	-0.47%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0048	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.100269	-0.48%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0083	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.099492	-0.36%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0143	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.098977	-0.53%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0059	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.099844	-0.46%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0128	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.100047	-0.20%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0193	✗	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.104732	-0.02%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0198	✓	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.104482	+0.17%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0036	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.131487	+0.10%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2281	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.139123	+0.05%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0579	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.139493	-0.01%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0031	✓	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.154779	-0.27%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1053	✓	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.160917	-0.27%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0361	✓	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.180081	-0.23%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1102	✓	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.204855	-0.39%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1279	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.21167	-0.53%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0323	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.235313	-0.54%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.1008	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.234165	-0.52%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0104	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.242486	-0.62%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0275	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.246096	-0.73%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0097	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.242445	-0.98%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0241	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.248978	-1.28%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0148	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.262391	-1.62%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0397	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.267659	-2.06%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0011	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.266274	-4.42%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0258	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.236327	-6.57%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.1614	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.229973	-9.05%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0972	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.228857	-12.00%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0998	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.185067	-15.46%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.3403	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.251597	-12.64%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.1461	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.433769	+0.75%	0.288	-33.11%	0.4077	✗	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.551123	+0.98%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2469	✗	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.680519	+0.96%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2216	✗	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.903358	+0.68%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2964	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0115	+0.42%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1214	✗	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2462	+0.43%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2110	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.3009	-0.29%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6185	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3725	-0.36%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0275	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3536	-0.33%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0097	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2347	-0.24%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0549	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2733	-0.32%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0130	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.213	-0.35%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0306	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2333	-0.56%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0123	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2241	-0.65%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0134	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2147	-0.62%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0108	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.218	-0.52%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0056	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2045	-0.62%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0089	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1994	-0.67%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0060	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1995	-0.66%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0095	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1774	-0.58%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0184	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1692	-0.67%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0085	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1279	-0.77%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0246	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1226	-0.65%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0088	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1094	-0.60%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0099	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0811	-0.70%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0152	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.072	-0.56%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0070	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0704	-0.56%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0113	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0465	-0.67%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0152	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0151	-0.55%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0236	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	2.0002	-0.60%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0131	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9691	-0.85%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0208	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9508	-0.67%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0218	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9367	-0.82%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0190	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8722	-1.35%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0463	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8135	-0.30%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0433	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.798	-0.34%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0144	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7859	-0.45%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0080	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7647	-0.58%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0146	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7814	-0.29%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0007	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7655	-0.37%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0151	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7625	-0.35%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0072	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7558	-0.44%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0057	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7421	-0.56%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0086	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7261	-0.34%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0122	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7127	-0.30%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0113	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7172	-0.30%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0074	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7078	-0.21%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0093	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7234	-0.23%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0022	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6804	-0.14%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0284	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6824	-0.17%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0106	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.686	-0.11%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0004	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6857	-0.21%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0137	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6733	-0.13%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0105	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.612	+0.08%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0549	✓	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7243	-0.17%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0716	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6956	-0.07%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0177	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6972	-0.12%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0003	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6461	-0.14%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0320	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6366	-0.12%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0070	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6384	-0.16%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0006	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6207	-0.09%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0112	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6465	-0.20%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0177	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6141	-0.14%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0224	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.61	-0.16%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0046	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.605	-0.16%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5997	-0.12%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0324	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6588	-0.22%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0360	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6138	-0.19%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0205	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.672	-0.19%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5766	-0.05%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0666	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5363	-0.08%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5319	-0.02%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0158	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.519	+0.03%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5334	-0.08%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5215	-0.07%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0235	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5119	+0.01%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0224	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5139	-0.06%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0043	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.575	-0.16%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0579	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5484	-0.18%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0129	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.523	-0.24%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0160	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6183	-0.29%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6644	-0.41%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6328	-0.55%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0102	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7491	-0.74%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0796	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7409	-0.74%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0137	✗	1.00