TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +1d
assessed
48
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
41.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1122
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0038
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00942 | 0.009429 | +0.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009196 | +0.18% | 0.00942 | +2.61% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009205 | +0.27% | 0.00918 | +0.00% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008973 | +0.32% | 0.00918 | +2.63% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008412 | +0.44% | 0.008945 | +6.81% | 0.0375 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.008026 | +0.52% | 0.008375 | +4.88% | 0.0471 | ✓ | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007996 | +0.57% | 0.007985 | +0.44% | 0.0229 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.00874 | +0.57% | 0.00795 | -8.52% | 0.1165 | ✗ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010412 | +0.36% | 0.00869 | -16.24% | 0.1224 | ✗ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010456 | +0.44% | 0.010375 | -0.34% | 0.0594 | ✗ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012604 | +0.11% | 0.01041 | -17.32% | 0.1200 | ✗ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.011079 | +0.31% | 0.01259 | +13.99% | 0.1005 | ✓ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010676 | +0.39% | 0.011045 | +3.86% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010739 | +0.50% | 0.010635 | -0.47% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012401 | +0.25% | 0.010685 | -13.62% | 0.0932 | ✗ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012648 | +0.10% | 0.01237 | -2.10% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.014272 | -0.23% | 0.012635 | -11.67% | 0.1143 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.01546 | -1.15% | 0.014305 | -8.54% | 0.0503 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011601 | +0.22% | 0.01564 | +35.12% | 0.2422 | ✓ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011209 | +0.08% | 0.011575 | +3.35% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.015011 | -2.21% | 0.0112 | -27.04% | 0.2821 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008839 | +0.67% | 0.01535 | +74.83% | 0.5194 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.008953 | +0.77% | 0.00878 | -1.18% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008878 | +0.82% | 0.008885 | +0.91% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010873 | +0.86% | 0.008805 | -18.32% | 0.1865 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012252 | +0.79% | 0.01078 | -11.31% | 0.1291 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.011823 | +0.83% | 0.012155 | +3.67% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015815 | +0.67% | 0.011725 | -25.37% | 0.2925 | ✗ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.018776 | +0.52% | 0.01571 | -15.90% | 0.1784 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.02119 | +0.38% | 0.01868 | -11.51% | 0.1047 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.020964 | +0.40% | 0.02111 | +1.10% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.021321 | +0.48% | 0.02088 | -1.60% | 0.0857 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.020596 | +0.56% | 0.02122 | +3.61% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.021149 | +0.61% | 0.02048 | -2.57% | 0.0366 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.022364 | +0.58% | 0.02102 | -5.46% | 0.1196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.02393 | +0.59% | 0.022235 | -6.54% | 0.0762 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.026881 | +0.58% | 0.02379 | -10.98% | 0.1296 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.032929 | +0.53% | 0.026725 | -18.41% | 0.1751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.029731 | +0.54% | 0.032755 | +10.77% | 0.0791 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.033223 | +0.55% | 0.02957 | -10.50% | 0.1105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.030167 | +0.56% | 0.03304 | +10.13% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.031006 | +0.52% | 0.03 | -2.74% | 0.0417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.036529 | +0.70% | 0.030845 | -14.97% | 0.1465 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.048136 | +0.64% | 0.036275 | -24.16% | 0.2808 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055869 | +0.62% | 0.04783 | -13.86% | 0.1472 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.079064 | +0.44% | 0.055525 | -29.46% | 0.3378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.095169 | +0.32% | 0.078715 | -17.02% | 0.1962 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.095063 | +0.38% | 0.094865 | +0.17% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.114933 | +0.39% | 0.0947 | -17.29% | 0.1739 | ✗ | 1.00 |