TENDIES
TENDIES · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #799
- symbol
- TENDIES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-16
- predictions
- 270
Track record at +1d
assessed
89
of 90 predictions shown
direction hit
59.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1271
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0022
actual -0.0239
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003815 | 0.003803 | -0.33% | – | pending | – | – | 2.62 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003821 | 0.003811 | -0.24% | 0.003815 | -0.14% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004425 | 0.004398 | -0.63% | 0.003821 | -13.67% | 0.1728 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00342 | 0.003432 | +0.36% | 0.004425 | +29.40% | 0.2221 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0035 | 0.003515 | +0.42% | 0.00342 | -2.29% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 2.20 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00385 | 0.003861 | +0.29% | 0.0035 | -9.09% | 0.1150 | ✗ | 2.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003762 | 0.003779 | +0.44% | 0.00385 | +2.34% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 2.22 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004347 | 0.004355 | +0.19% | 0.003762 | -13.46% | 0.1295 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004939 | 0.004936 | -0.06% | 0.004347 | -11.99% | 0.1423 | ✓ | 2.23 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.005042 | 0.00504 | -0.04% | 0.004939 | -2.04% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 2.26 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004456 | 0.004476 | +0.45% | 0.005042 | +13.15% | 0.0825 | ✓ | 2.22 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005425 | 0.005425 | -0.00% | 0.004456 | -17.86% | 0.1471 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005468 | 0.005475 | +0.13% | 0.005425 | -0.79% | 0.0287 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004698 | 0.004726 | +0.60% | 0.005468 | +16.39% | 0.1365 | ✓ | 2.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005044 | 0.005074 | +0.60% | 0.004698 | -6.86% | 0.0992 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005198 | 0.005229 | +0.60% | 0.005044 | -2.96% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.006669 | 0.006675 | +0.09% | 0.005198 | -22.06% | 0.1966 | ✗ | 1.99 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007464 | 0.007454 | -0.14% | 0.006669 | -10.65% | 0.1064 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.006732 | 0.006749 | +0.26% | 0.007464 | +10.87% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006723 | 0.006751 | +0.42% | 0.006732 | +0.14% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006885 | 0.006917 | +0.47% | 0.006723 | -2.36% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.008486 | 0.008483 | -0.03% | 0.006885 | -18.87% | 0.2006 | ✓ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008463 | 0.00847 | +0.08% | 0.008486 | +0.27% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008951 | 0.008952 | +0.01% | 0.008463 | -5.45% | 0.0542 | ✗ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00977 | 0.009757 | -0.12% | 0.008951 | -8.38% | 0.0906 | ✓ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.010303 | 0.010285 | -0.17% | 0.00977 | -5.18% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011222 | 0.011191 | -0.27% | 0.010303 | -8.19% | 0.0838 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010876 | 0.010857 | -0.17% | 0.011222 | +3.18% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.010248 | 0.010247 | -0.01% | 0.010876 | +6.13% | 0.0665 | ✗ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01068 | 0.010677 | -0.03% | 0.010248 | -4.04% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011654 | -0.12% | 0.01068 | -8.47% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.013417 | 0.013384 | -0.24% | 0.011668 | -13.04% | 0.1284 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.012814 | 0.012782 | -0.25% | 0.013417 | +4.71% | 0.0865 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.013697 | 0.013652 | -0.33% | 0.012814 | -6.45% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.014911 | 0.014845 | -0.44% | 0.013697 | -8.14% | 0.0897 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011718 | 0.011732 | +0.12% | 0.014911 | +27.24% | 0.1373 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.01202 | 0.012037 | +0.14% | 0.011718 | -2.51% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.01274 | 0.012749 | +0.07% | 0.01202 | -5.65% | 0.0721 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014146 | 0.014136 | -0.08% | 0.01274 | -9.94% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.013051 | 0.013066 | +0.12% | 0.014146 | +8.39% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.014048 | 0.014054 | +0.04% | 0.013051 | -7.10% | 0.0640 | ✗ | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.016721 | 0.016689 | -0.19% | 0.014048 | -15.99% | 0.1734 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018437 | 0.018377 | -0.33% | 0.016721 | -9.31% | 0.1091 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.01575 | 0.015746 | -0.02% | 0.018437 | +17.06% | 0.2011 | ✗ | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.016751 | 0.016735 | -0.09% | 0.01575 | -5.98% | 0.0567 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.016325 | 0.016317 | -0.05% | 0.016751 | +2.61% | 0.0420 | ✗ | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.017816 | 0.017792 | -0.13% | 0.016325 | -8.37% | 0.0565 | ✓ | 1.89 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.021024 | 0.020962 | -0.30% | 0.017816 | -15.26% | 0.1747 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.019526 | -0.23% | 0.021024 | +7.43% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.029397 | 0.029023 | -1.27% | 0.01957 | -33.43% | 0.3650 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.033181 | 0.032408 | -2.33% | 0.029397 | -11.40% | 0.1958 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.017887 | 0.017842 | -0.25% | 0.033181 | +85.50% | 0.6229 | ✗ | 2.14 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01556 | 0.015549 | -0.07% | 0.017887 | +14.96% | 0.1749 | ✗ | 2.34 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01848 | 0.018427 | -0.28% | 0.01556 | -15.80% | 0.1968 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.017954 | 0.01791 | -0.25% | 0.01848 | +2.93% | 0.0492 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.01445 | 0.014443 | -0.05% | 0.017954 | +24.25% | 0.2053 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016556 | 0.016542 | -0.09% | 0.01445 | -12.72% | 0.0631 | ✓ | 2.34 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.017784 | 0.017742 | -0.24% | 0.016556 | -6.91% | 0.1068 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.015549 | 0.015532 | -0.11% | 0.017784 | +14.37% | 0.1203 | ✗ | 2.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.020972 | 0.020831 | -0.67% | 0.015549 | -25.86% | 0.2797 | ✓ | 2.21 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.018399 | 0.018316 | -0.45% | 0.020972 | +13.98% | 0.1012 | ✗ | 2.14 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.01375 | 0.013729 | -0.15% | 0.018399 | +33.81% | 0.2747 | ✗ | 2.08 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.01328 | 0.013269 | -0.08% | 0.01375 | +3.54% | 0.0715 | ✗ | 2.19 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.01453 | 0.014474 | -0.38% | 0.01328 | -8.60% | 0.3316 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01378 | 0.013717 | -0.46% | 0.01453 | +5.44% | 0.1566 | ✓ | 4.10 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.009565 | 0.0096 | +0.37% | 0.01378 | +44.07% | 0.1797 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01009 | 0.010112 | +0.22% | 0.009565 | -5.20% | 0.0640 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011054 | +0.04% | 0.01009 | -8.69% | 0.1848 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01269 | 0.012672 | -0.14% | 0.01105 | -12.92% | 0.1267 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.01476 | 0.014724 | -0.25% | 0.01269 | -14.02% | 0.1493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.01771 | 0.01764 | -0.39% | 0.01476 | -16.66% | 0.1711 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.01887 | 0.018775 | -0.50% | 0.01771 | -6.15% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.02139 | 0.021217 | -0.81% | 0.01887 | -11.78% | 0.1153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.02278 | 0.022527 | -1.11% | 0.02139 | -6.10% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.01943 | 0.019294 | -0.70% | 0.02278 | +17.24% | 0.1807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.02054 | 0.020351 | -0.92% | 0.01943 | -5.40% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.0169 | 0.016807 | -0.55% | 0.02054 | +21.54% | 0.2003 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01809 | 0.017956 | -0.74% | 0.0169 | -6.58% | 0.0703 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02558 | 0.025076 | -1.97% | 0.01809 | -29.28% | 0.3214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019837 | -1.41% | 0.02558 | +27.14% | 0.2457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.01793 | 0.017732 | -1.11% | 0.02012 | +12.21% | 0.1172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.01447 | 0.014379 | -0.63% | 0.01793 | +23.91% | 0.2212 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01273 | 0.012676 | -0.42% | 0.01447 | +13.67% | 0.1207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.01294 | 0.012883 | -0.44% | 0.01273 | -1.62% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01824 | 0.018027 | -1.17% | 0.01294 | -29.06% | 0.3018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.01305 | 0.012993 | -0.44% | 0.01824 | +39.77% | 0.3264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.00984 | 0.009843 | +0.03% | 0.01305 | +32.62% | 0.2813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.011276 | -0.13% | 0.00984 | -12.84% | 0.1386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013293 | -0.28% | 0.01129 | -15.30% | 0.1378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.01339 | 0.013355 | -0.26% | 0.01333 | -0.45% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.00 |