STX

Stacks · native · lstm_s4

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,166

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1980

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0560

actual +0.0265

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.321304	-10.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.318535	-10.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.319803	-10.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.316034	-10.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.32571	-11.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.347065	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.38007	-11.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.375115	-11.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.384618	-11.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.36321	-11.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.352886	-11.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.355978	-11.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.350541	-11.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.338524	-11.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.328476	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.337877	-12.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.334822	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.342677	-11.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.33841	-11.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.325127	-11.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.329265	-11.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.323324	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.279003	-11.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.277148	-11.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.297019	-12.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.300496	-12.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.28691	-12.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.276038	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.271568	-11.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.294933	-12.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.299913	-12.15%	0.35975	+5.37%	0.2479	✗	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.293149	-12.79%	0.35575	+5.83%	0.1597	✗	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.275094	-12.72%	0.3583	+13.67%	0.2526	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.248897	-12.39%	0.35505	+24.97%	0.3334	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.220772	-12.08%	0.3681	+46.59%	0.4146	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.21368	-11.90%	0.3924	+61.78%	0.5055	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.207153	-11.77%	0.43015	+83.20%	0.6065	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.230821	-12.47%	0.4238	+60.71%	0.5474	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.231668	-12.66%	0.4344	+63.77%	0.5159	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.233426	-12.95%	0.4101	+52.94%	0.4833	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.221047	-12.54%	0.3984	+57.63%	0.4732	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.220893	-12.74%	0.40105	+58.42%	0.4807	✗	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.239489	-12.55%	0.39515	+44.29%	0.4259	✗	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.237204	-12.63%	0.38165	+40.57%	0.4184	✗	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.243436	-12.18%	0.37065	+33.71%	0.3475	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.236128	-12.29%	0.3845	+42.83%	0.3976	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.236191	-12.29%	0.37935	+40.87%	0.3711	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.233024	-11.93%	0.38935	+47.15%	0.3966	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.24249	-11.79%	0.3843	+39.80%	0.4015	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.230136	-11.86%	0.3678	+40.87%	0.3386	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.225569	-11.65%	0.37365	+46.36%	0.3686	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.221878	-11.64%	0.37085	+47.69%	0.4250	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.207548	-11.42%	0.3168	+35.21%	0.3174	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.215901	-11.30%	0.3139	+28.96%	0.2837	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.230798	-11.33%	0.3385	+30.04%	0.2681	✗	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.228985	-10.97%	0.3427	+33.24%	0.3302	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.238055	-11.44%	0.32625	+21.37%	0.2235	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.231154	-12.24%	0.3134	+18.98%	0.1988	✗	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.220183	-4.68%	0.3081	+33.38%	0.2372	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.211206	-9.74%	0.33585	+43.53%	0.3082	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.206271	-5.94%	0.3414	+55.68%	0.3294	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.20459	+7.79%	0.33615	+77.11%	0.4410	✓	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.147088	+0.68%	0.3152	+115.74%	0.6278	✓	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.12521	-2.48%	0.2841	+121.26%	0.6415	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.114821	-4.28%	0.2511	+109.34%	0.5886	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.115499	-4.47%	0.24255	+100.62%	0.5454	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.116323	-4.81%	0.2348	+92.14%	0.4773	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.115848	-4.77%	0.2637	+116.77%	0.5608	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.116522	-4.65%	0.26525	+117.06%	0.5814	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.118857	-4.53%	0.26815	+115.38%	0.5721	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.11755	-4.35%	0.25275	+105.66%	0.5193	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.121917	-4.45%	0.25315	+98.39%	0.5002	✗	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.124787	-4.67%	0.27385	+109.21%	0.5360	✗	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.123957	-4.50%	0.2715	+109.17%	0.5486	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.126667	-4.47%	0.2772	+109.05%	0.5391	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.123703	-4.25%	0.2692	+108.36%	0.5151	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.124484	-4.32%	0.2693	+106.99%	0.5042	✗	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.127777	-4.50%	0.2646	+97.76%	0.4679	✗	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.128402	-4.68%	0.2749	+104.08%	0.4683	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.131765	-4.93%	0.2611	+88.38%	0.4389	✗	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.132132	-5.01%	0.2553	+83.54%	0.4012	✗	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.132107	-5.16%	0.2511	+80.26%	0.3517	✗	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.130792	-4.88%	0.2343	+70.40%	0.3088	✗	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.134073	-4.34%	0.2434	+73.67%	0.3467	✗	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.128838	-4.42%	0.2603	+93.10%	0.4495	✗	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.132392	-4.03%	0.2572	+86.44%	0.3701	✗	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.128588	-4.18%	0.2688	+100.30%	0.4613	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.142209	-3.19%	0.2634	+79.31%	0.3899	✗	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.131732	-3.70%	0.231	+68.86%	0.3153	✗	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.139575	-3.68%	0.234	+61.49%	0.2829	✗	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.157501	-4.23%	0.2193	+33.35%	0.1339	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.162674	-3.91%	0.1898	+12.11%	0.0419	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.161064	-3.78%	0.1461	-12.72%	0.2054	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.158464	-4.25%	0.1284	-22.42%	0.2802	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.156408	-4.45%	0.11995	-26.73%	0.2654	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.157971	-4.40%	0.1209	-26.84%	0.2618	✓	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.15718	-4.51%	0.1222	-25.76%	0.2324	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.159593	-4.49%	0.12165	-27.20%	0.2576	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.16155	-4.07%	0.1222	-27.43%	0.2478	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.162263	-3.84%	0.1245	-26.22%	0.2368	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.158464	-4.54%	0.1229	-25.96%	0.2765	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.162125	-4.04%	0.1276	-24.47%	0.2354	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.164519	-4.24%	0.1309	-23.81%	0.2313	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.164312	-4.30%	0.1298	-24.40%	0.2496	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.161457	-4.46%	0.1326	-21.54%	0.2305	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.159112	-4.67%	0.1292	-22.59%	0.2599	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.157537	-4.35%	0.1301	-21.01%	0.2099	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.163777	-4.22%	0.1338	-21.75%	0.2138	✓	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.164884	-4.47%	0.1347	-21.96%	0.2113	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.165656	-4.30%	0.1386	-19.93%	0.1858	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.165603	-4.61%	0.1391	-19.87%	0.1934	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.159038	-4.42%	0.1393	-16.29%	0.1575	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.157346	-4.75%	0.1375	-16.77%	0.1921	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.153071	-4.81%	0.14015	-12.84%	0.2129	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.158442	-4.90%	0.1348	-19.09%	0.2362	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.157108	-4.84%	0.13795	-16.44%	0.2180	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.159709	-4.65%	0.1342	-19.88%	0.2496	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.162175	-4.38%	0.1469	-13.38%	0.2051	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.1577	-4.02%	0.1368	-16.74%	0.2341	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.16482	-4.12%	0.1449	-15.71%	0.1893	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.169957	-4.20%	0.16445	-7.30%	0.0786	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.172103	-4.17%	0.1693	-5.73%	0.0563	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.169789	-4.13%	0.1674	-5.48%	0.0755	✓	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.176397	-3.87%	0.1655	-9.81%	0.0823	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.174022	-3.75%	0.1637	-9.46%	0.0840	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.177403	-3.74%	0.16525	-10.34%	0.1076	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.183028	-3.72%	0.1646	-13.41%	0.0956	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.185823	-3.72%	0.1671	-13.42%	0.0714	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.186665	-3.58%	0.1684	-13.02%	0.0737	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.187868	-3.71%	0.16875	-13.51%	0.0938	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.178538	-3.34%	0.166	-10.12%	0.0309	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.173939	-2.91%	0.16895	-5.69%	0.0330	✓	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.17847	-2.69%	0.1718	-6.32%	0.0421	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.170607	-2.57%	0.1717	-1.94%	0.0453	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.177472	-2.41%	0.169	-7.07%	0.0777	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.180544	-2.57%	0.1669	-9.93%	0.0626	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.182505	-2.66%	0.1647	-12.16%	0.1030	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.176401	-2.11%	0.171	-5.11%	0.0910	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.172641	-1.85%	0.1726	-1.88%	0.0488	✓	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.186066	-2.74%	0.1731	-9.51%	0.0592	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.203301	-3.42%	0.1736	-17.53%	0.1313	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.204198	-3.86%	0.1664	-21.66%	0.1124	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.218617	-6.57%	0.1652	-29.40%	0.0937	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.221736	-7.46%	0.1608	-32.89%	0.0733	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.21867	-7.15%	0.1666	-29.26%	0.0585	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.218309	-6.90%	0.1651	-29.59%	0.0581	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.21731	-6.93%	0.1675	-28.27%	0.0456	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.216424	-7.11%	0.1696	-27.21%	0.0210	✓	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.2239	-7.67%	0.1643	-32.25%	0.0626	✓	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.228184	-7.84%	0.1719	-30.57%	0.0210	✓	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.224828	-7.86%	0.1774	-27.30%	0.0093	✓	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.227812	-8.10%	0.1796	-27.55%	0.0411	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.221905	-7.77%	0.1771	-26.39%	0.0339	✓	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.231074	-7.90%	0.1835	-26.86%	0.0272	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.224765	-7.08%	0.1808	-25.26%	0.0019	✓	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.218349	-6.45%	0.1843	-21.04%	0.0449	✓	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.223371	-6.19%	0.1901	-20.16%	0.0298	✓	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.220267	-5.79%	0.193	-17.45%	0.0468	✓	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.225371	-5.31%	0.1936	-18.66%	0.0256	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.236348	-5.31%	0.1951	-21.83%	0.0078	✓	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.254301	-5.15%	0.1847	-31.11%	0.0771	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.249881	-6.17%	0.17915	-32.73%	0.0991	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.255207	-5.58%	0.1834	-32.15%	0.0844	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.259141	-4.48%	0.1751	-35.46%	0.1000	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.259223	-3.42%	0.18185	-32.25%	0.0570	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.253453	-4.18%	0.1853	-29.94%	0.0575	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.2539	-4.41%	0.1875	-29.41%	0.0580	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.244861	-2.85%	0.1802	-28.51%	0.0211	✓	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.24683	-1.90%	0.1759	-30.09%	0.0401	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.245126	-3.15%	0.1913	-24.42%	0.0239	✓	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.216337	-3.16%	0.2105	-5.77%	0.1836	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.215311	-3.84%	0.2124	-5.14%	0.1358	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.21832	-3.65%	0.234	+3.27%	0.1617	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.21418	-3.83%	0.2396	+7.59%	0.1698	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.210352	-4.62%	0.2355	+6.78%	0.1457	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.211534	-4.65%	0.2345	+5.70%	0.1341	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.2147	-4.39%	0.2335	+3.99%	0.1201	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.218589	-3.62%	0.233	+2.73%	0.1027	✗	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.225147	-2.83%	0.2425	+4.66%	0.1099	✗	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.22033	-3.15%	0.2476	+8.84%	0.1217	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.221948	-2.87%	0.244	+6.78%	0.1009	✗	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.222451	-2.22%	0.2479	+8.97%	0.1291	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.221275	-2.18%	0.2406	+6.37%	0.1193	✗	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.217043	-3.28%	0.2509	+11.81%	0.1295	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.216244	-3.42%	0.2419	+8.04%	0.0912	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.210717	-4.00%	0.2334	+6.33%	0.0627	✗	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.223866	-3.00%	0.2381	+3.16%	0.0457	✗	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.237043	-1.89%	0.2338	-3.23%	0.0178	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.235404	-3.07%	0.238	-2.00%	0.0282	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.228168	-2.95%	0.2496	+6.17%	0.0339	✗	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.213236	-3.03%	0.2681	+21.92%	0.1388	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.220627	-3.19%	0.2663	+16.85%	0.1249	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.2028	-4.34%	0.2703	+27.50%	0.1595	✗	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.211026	-3.46%	0.2713	+24.11%	0.1403	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.215212	-3.54%	0.2684	+20.30%	0.1030	✗	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.212688	-4.02%	0.2645	+19.36%	0.1023	✗	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.21178	-4.09%	0.2656	+20.29%	0.1068	✗	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.2183	-3.92%	0.25205	+10.94%	0.0380	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.206827	-4.82%	0.2516	+15.78%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.203311	-4.82%	0.2531	+18.49%	0.0600	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.202898	-5.19%	0.2234	+4.39%	0.0780	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.203354	-5.02%	0.2239	+4.58%	0.0703	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.203456	-4.99%	0.2266	+5.81%	0.0631	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.212273	-5.19%	0.2227	-0.54%	0.0981	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.212905	-5.16%	0.22055	-1.76%	0.0841	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.207801	-5.11%	0.22185	+1.30%	0.0700	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.20309	-5.10%	0.22455	+4.93%	0.0546	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.208911	-5.21%	0.2268	+2.90%	0.0817	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.213799	-5.21%	0.2317	+2.73%	0.1008	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.222263	-5.00%	0.2275	-2.76%	0.1066	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.231176	-4.51%	0.2285	-5.62%	0.1004	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.231172	-4.75%	0.2275	-6.26%	0.1279	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.232685	-4.52%	0.2262	-7.18%	0.1341	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.219592	-5.10%	0.2244	-3.03%	0.1052	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.227083	-5.07%	0.2239	-6.40%	0.1171	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.23465	-4.61%	0.2195	-10.77%	0.1159	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.235075	-4.48%	0.2308	-6.22%	0.1038	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.241468	-4.03%	0.2416	-3.97%	0.0844	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.257225	-3.04%	0.24285	-8.46%	0.0752	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.262782	-2.53%	0.2351	-12.80%	0.1106	✓	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.247933	-3.49%	0.2199	-14.40%	0.1396	✓	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.240795	-3.84%	0.2279	-8.99%	0.1025	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.245797	-3.85%	0.212	-17.07%	0.1450	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.245425	-4.06%	0.2186	-14.54%	0.1542	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.245159	-4.08%	0.2231	-12.72%	0.1365	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.248024	-4.20%	0.2216	-14.41%	0.1407	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.241555	-4.56%	0.2208	-12.76%	0.1310	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.237556	-5.09%	0.2272	-9.23%	0.1399	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.243482	-5.11%	0.2173	-15.32%	0.1397	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.247823	-4.87%	0.2136	-18.00%	0.1630	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.253726	-4.07%	0.214	-19.09%	0.1123	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.259876	-3.46%	0.2141	-20.47%	0.1016	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.244155	-4.63%	0.21415	-16.35%	0.1067	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.244776	-4.53%	0.2239	-12.68%	0.0771	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.240199	-4.87%	0.2245	-11.09%	0.1112	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.248455	-4.99%	0.219	-16.25%	0.1220	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.246659	-4.98%	0.214	-17.57%	0.1438	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.248831	-4.74%	0.2204	-15.62%	0.1001	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.252359	-4.77%	0.22555	-14.89%	0.0827	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.226645	-4.33%	0.23395	-1.25%	0.0518	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.226203	-4.27%	0.2421	+2.45%	0.0464	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.233926	-4.25%	0.2427	-0.65%	0.0127	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.242816	-4.40%	0.2437	-4.06%	0.0459	✓	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.245259	-4.23%	0.2314	-9.64%	0.0558	✓	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.239915	-4.07%	0.2392	-4.36%	0.0363	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.242671	-3.99%	0.246	-2.67%	0.0564	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.250411	-3.95%	0.2461	-5.60%	0.0587	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.256589	-4.01%	0.2516	-5.87%	0.0591	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.256164	-3.95%	0.2653	-0.52%	0.0485	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.265402	-4.22%	0.2696	-2.71%	0.0659	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.259243	-3.88%	0.2569	-4.75%	0.0748	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.252377	-3.64%	0.2504	-4.39%	0.0931	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.24648	-3.38%	0.25565	+0.22%	0.0300	✓	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.244818	-3.27%	0.2558	+1.07%	0.0144	✓	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.254916	-3.22%	0.2556	-2.96%	0.0009	✓	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.260662	-3.06%	0.2589	-3.72%	0.0014	✓	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.259941	-2.93%	0.2531	-5.49%	0.0126	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.269644	-3.01%	0.2503	-9.96%	0.0054	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.24332	-2.24%	0.2566	+3.09%	0.0330	✓	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.268055	-3.54%	0.2605	-6.26%	0.0816	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.287175	-6.82%	0.2645	-14.18%	0.0185	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.270618	-6.52%	0.2692	-7.01%	0.1241	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.243551	-4.43%	0.256	+0.45%	0.2324	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.24944	-4.61%	0.2564	-1.95%	0.2422	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.266292	-7.92%	0.2525	-12.69%	0.3453	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.263514	-7.99%	0.2615	-8.69%	0.3704	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.269876	-10.01%	0.2596	-13.44%	0.4699	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.269868	-10.07%	0.2612	-12.96%	0.4397	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.268235	-9.93%	0.265	-11.01%	0.4251	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.257684	-8.72%	0.2369	-16.08%	0.4177	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.270125	-10.67%	0.2363	-21.86%	0.3970	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.277183	-10.47%	0.2443	-21.09%	0.3381	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.280434	-10.77%	0.254	-19.19%	0.3563	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.279677	-11.16%	0.2561	-18.65%	0.3668	✗	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.269015	-10.55%	0.2501	-16.84%	0.3819	✗	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.286508	-11.35%	0.25275	-21.80%	0.4226	✗	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.301235	-12.07%	0.2607	-23.91%	0.3936	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.317474	-12.32%	0.2673	-26.18%	0.3520	✗	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.327816	-11.90%	0.2667	-28.33%	0.3270	✗	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.323228	-11.78%	0.2771	-24.37%	0.3565	✗	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.339895	-11.59%	0.2697	-29.85%	0.3228	✗	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.348961	-11.68%	0.2619	-33.71%	0.3138	✗	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.332677	-11.77%	0.2551	-32.34%	0.2530	✗	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.337367	-11.85%	0.2531	-33.86%	0.1834	✗	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.340868	-11.74%	0.2634	-31.80%	0.1750	✗	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.329479	-11.74%	0.2689	-27.97%	0.2333	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.313432	-11.46%	0.2678	-24.35%	0.3140	✗	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.30924	-11.04%	0.278	-20.02%	0.4243	✗	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.330624	-11.17%	0.2489	-33.13%	0.5375	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.332071	-11.57%	0.2779	-25.99%	0.3369	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.313127	-11.99%	0.3082	-13.38%	0.3731	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.282024	-6.68%	0.2895	-4.20%	0.3102	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.262832	-4.77%	0.25485	-7.66%	0.2806	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.251552	-4.43%	0.2615	-0.65%	0.2769	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.23375	-4.14%	0.2892	+18.60%	0.2894	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.241856	-4.59%	0.2864	+12.98%	0.2561	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.242599	-4.75%	0.2999	+17.75%	0.1671	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.250958	-5.16%	0.3001	+13.42%	0.1518	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.25184	-5.18%	0.2978	+12.12%	0.1580	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.238968	-4.77%	0.2823	+12.49%	0.1826	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.233195	-4.55%	0.3024	+23.78%	0.2189	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.237214	-4.66%	0.3096	+24.44%	0.2265	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.232467	-4.57%	0.3143	+29.02%	0.2586	✗	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.235904	-4.76%	0.3148	+27.09%	0.2716	✗	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.237153	-4.85%	0.30075	+20.66%	0.2445	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.243576	-4.89%	0.3232	+26.20%	0.1949	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.242733	-4.51%	0.3426	+34.78%	0.2302	✗	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.230597	-4.18%	0.3621	+50.47%	0.2507	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.239705	-4.46%	0.3721	+48.31%	0.2476	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.251058	-4.79%	0.3664	+38.95%	0.2197	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.251265	-4.75%	0.38445	+45.74%	0.2079	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.264004	-5.20%	0.3951	+41.87%	0.2550	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.274065	-5.20%	0.37705	+30.42%	0.2996	✗	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.274	-4.89%	0.3827	+32.84%	0.3217	✗	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.284371	-4.38%	0.3862	+29.86%	0.3511	✗	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.293098	-4.48%	0.3733	+21.66%	0.2737	✗	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.301881	-4.44%	0.354	+12.06%	0.1939	✗	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.286589	-4.66%	0.3476	+15.64%	0.1799	✗	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.279226	-4.77%	0.3722	+26.94%	0.2191	✗	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.282491	-4.79%	0.3755	+26.56%	0.1887	✗	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.279163	-4.46%	0.3558	+21.77%	0.1972	✗	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.294863	-4.23%	0.3022	-1.85%	0.0559	✗	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.307065	-4.19%	0.276	-13.88%	0.0338	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.295113	-4.18%	0.2632	-14.55%	0.0598	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.270348	-4.27%	0.24385	-13.65%	0.1304	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.294211	-4.34%	0.2535	-17.57%	0.1059	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.299862	-4.17%	0.2547	-18.60%	0.0821	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.304122	-4.09%	0.2646	-16.56%	0.0735	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.310015	-4.12%	0.2656	-17.86%	0.0786	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.309353	-4.05%	0.25095	-22.16%	0.1406	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.307096	-3.82%	0.2443	-23.49%	0.2253	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.309197	-3.68%	0.2488	-22.49%	0.2025	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.297139	-3.46%	0.2436	-20.86%	0.2128	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.297652	-3.20%	0.2477	-19.45%	0.2747	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.302731	-3.00%	0.24925	-20.14%	0.2779	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.317367	-3.15%	0.2561	-21.85%	0.2558	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.330014	-3.50%	0.2542	-25.67%	0.1811	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.333232	-3.77%	0.24065	-30.51%	0.1467	✓	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.325034	-3.69%	0.2509	-25.66%	0.1172	✓	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.333829	-3.88%	0.2637	-24.07%	0.0863	✓	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.345674	-4.09%	0.2638	-26.80%	0.0544	✓	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.345255	-3.96%	0.2785	-22.53%	0.0652	✓	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.363682	-5.03%	0.2891	-24.51%	0.0087	✓	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.380259	-5.58%	0.2881	-28.47%	0.0127	✓	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.388722	-5.56%	0.2974	-27.75%	0.0268	✓	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.403341	-6.05%	0.30685	-28.52%	0.0462	✓	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.397102	-5.90%	0.3159	-25.14%	0.0486	✓	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.380263	-5.55%	0.3006	-25.34%	0.0406	✓	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.388127	-5.61%	0.2932	-28.70%	0.0194	✓	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.336517	-4.48%	0.2967	-15.78%	0.1497	✗	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.345349	-4.42%	0.2922	-19.13%	0.1647	✗	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.339616	-4.36%	0.3079	-13.29%	0.1192	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.354945	-4.46%	0.3205	-13.73%	0.2055	✗	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.404823	-4.77%	0.308	-27.55%	0.1654	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.404177	-4.74%	0.2824	-33.44%	0.2020	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.394665	-4.37%	0.30755	-25.48%	0.1931	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.389172	-4.19%	0.3129	-22.97%	0.1870	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.421311	-4.41%	0.3171	-28.05%	0.1489	✗	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.42289	-4.26%	0.32335	-26.79%	0.2259	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.437709	-4.43%	0.3224	-29.61%	0.2340	✗	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.446835	-4.75%	0.3193	-31.93%	0.2951	✗	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.426582	-4.50%	0.321	-28.14%	0.2682	✗	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.430225	-4.30%	0.3078	-31.53%	0.2487	✗	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.415445	-3.85%	0.3075	-28.84%	0.3195	✗	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.406883	-3.49%	0.3121	-25.97%	0.2919	✗	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.412208	-3.53%	0.3277	-23.31%	0.3047	✗	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.425478	-3.87%	0.342	-22.73%	0.2400	✗	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.421523	-3.48%	0.3463	-20.70%	0.1814	✗	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.407539	-3.38%	0.3375	-19.99%	0.1774	✗	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.410872	-2.74%	0.3473	-17.79%	0.1268	✗	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.421474	-3.42%	0.3604	-17.42%	0.1434	✗	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.435863	-4.29%	0.3595	-21.06%	0.1929	✗	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.447873	-4.79%	0.38295	-18.59%	0.1531	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.465253	-4.92%	0.40275	-17.70%	0.1641	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.438046	-4.88%	0.4116	-10.62%	0.2037	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.409996	-2.84%	0.4293	+1.73%	0.1521	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.414192	-3.50%	0.422	-1.68%	0.2051	✗	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.574529	-3.26%	0.4026	-32.21%	0.0157	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.594819	-2.88%	0.4112	-32.86%	0.0254	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.577966	-3.11%	0.3523	-40.94%	0.1458	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.609279	-3.24%	0.3613	-42.62%	0.1674	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.578582	-3.33%	0.3551	-40.67%	0.1087	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.581625	-3.51%	0.3715	-38.37%	0.1794	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.598999	-3.40%	0.4251	-31.44%	0.1469	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.599433	-3.89%	0.4243	-31.97%	0.1665	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.580052	-4.16%	0.4127	-31.81%	0.1828	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.543673	-4.95%	0.4062	-28.99%	0.1876	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.555686	-4.94%	0.44075	-24.60%	0.1531	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.554799	-5.16%	0.4417	-24.50%	0.2410	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.543265	-5.43%	0.458	-20.27%	0.2539	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.548888	-5.30%	0.4691	-19.06%	0.2488	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.535448	-5.20%	0.4467	-20.91%	0.2317	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.564485	-5.09%	0.44955	-24.41%	0.1828	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.565636	-5.23%	0.4321	-27.60%	0.2316	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.573305	-5.14%	0.4216	-30.24%	0.2046	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.611568	-5.29%	0.4273	-33.82%	0.2229	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.624328	-5.19%	0.4426	-32.79%	0.2416	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.622721	-5.04%	0.4367	-33.40%	0.2147	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.653773	-5.28%	0.4218	-38.89%	0.2402	✓	2.24
2025-09-17	oos	0.6744	0.640048	-5.09%	0.42245	-37.36%	0.2145	✓	2.23

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.