SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s4
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +1d
assessed
98
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0076
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0056
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 771.035 | 767.2141 | -0.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 769.995 | 766.512 | -0.45% | 771.035 | +0.14% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 767.7403 | -0.49% | 769.995 | -0.19% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 764.2923 | -0.52% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 763.8438 | -0.51% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 756.9843 | -0.50% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 758.3506 | -0.52% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 767.2083 | -0.54% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 763.7139 | -0.56% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 774.0239 | -0.58% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 773.2728 | -0.63% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 776.064 | -0.63% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 774.1996 | -0.62% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 774.3073 | -0.61% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 770.033 | -0.63% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 772.87 | -0.64% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 775.4756 | -0.57% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 770.5825 | -0.58% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 766.6617 | -0.55% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0119 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 766.4741 | -0.58% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 765.5412 | -0.55% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 760.8878 | -0.55% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 761.2481 | -0.60% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 761.5119 | -0.60% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 761.5199 | -0.61% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 765.2577 | -0.60% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 765.6503 | -0.61% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 767.0963 | -0.62% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 761.464 | -0.62% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 762.7513 | -0.64% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 768.7435 | -0.62% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 768.4096 | -0.68% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 754.9105 | -1.10% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 748.2288 | -1.90% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0200 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 750.8137 | -1.60% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0153 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 755.4609 | -0.92% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 751.173 | -0.90% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 752.144 | -0.85% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 754.7914 | -0.82% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 753.8475 | -0.81% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 758.978 | -0.79% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 759.3615 | -0.74% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 752.7979 | -0.67% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 758.3245 | -0.63% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 761.2018 | -0.60% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 764.7513 | -0.56% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 766.0217 | -0.51% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 768.0082 | -0.43% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 767.0873 | -0.36% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 770.0622 | -0.27% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 764.2356 | -0.17% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 761.4669 | -0.08% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 767.162 | -0.06% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 766.4396 | -0.01% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0006 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 771.4128 | +0.07% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 770.5779 | +0.18% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 771.1075 | +0.18% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 771.5928 | +0.15% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0037 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 766.006 | +0.11% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 764.3241 | +0.07% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 765.8402 | -0.02% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 764.6339 | -0.09% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0011 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 765.7485 | -0.13% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 761.8007 | -0.17% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 769.1087 | -0.15% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 766.0959 | -0.17% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 771.5226 | -0.23% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 775.1354 | -0.32% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 773.7709 | -0.43% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 772.3875 | -0.54% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 773.4512 | -0.65% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 767.7054 | -0.68% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 765.8265 | -0.74% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 766.9079 | -0.81% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 764.092 | -0.81% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 766.8548 | -0.90% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 766.0432 | -0.97% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 761.8747 | -1.04% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 764.2721 | -0.99% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 765.2601 | -1.08% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 751.7698 | -0.96% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 745.7214 | -0.63% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 738.9123 | -0.84% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 739.421 | -0.81% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 739.1156 | -0.75% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0383 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 728.5326 | -0.72% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 739.3205 | -0.57% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 736.2676 | -0.50% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 742.3012 | -0.49% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 738.8011 | -0.48% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 736.5706 | -0.49% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 736.3436 | -0.49% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 743.7242 | -0.51% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0107 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 745.2097 | -0.54% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 738.3586 | -0.66% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 742.7897 | -0.51% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 741.0668 | -0.52% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 740.4273 | -0.54% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 746.4428 | -0.57% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |