S

Sonic · native · lstm_s4

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,428

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

75.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1474

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0494

actual -0.0705

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.056345	0.048547	-13.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.049969	-13.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.050865	-13.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.044842	-13.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.045723	-13.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.047923	-12.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.049163	-12.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.047742	-11.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.050415	-11.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.049707	-11.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.05206	-14.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.041385	-12.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.038407	-12.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.033735	-12.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.035872	-12.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.038248	-12.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.038295	-12.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.035824	-12.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.037831	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.033302	-12.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.033839	-12.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.035522	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.032833	-12.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.033966	-12.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.035353	-12.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.035046	-12.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.036345	-12.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.036057	-11.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.035542	-11.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.038255	-11.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.035077	-11.19%	0.056345	+42.66%	0.5365	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.034634	-13.40%	0.05751	+43.79%	0.4734	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.030281	-9.65%	0.05861	+74.88%	0.6489	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.029832	-7.97%	0.051685	+59.45%	0.5280	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.025278	-6.38%	0.052695	+95.17%	0.6479	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.024279	-6.10%	0.054935	+112.47%	0.7254	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.023894	-6.15%	0.055925	+119.66%	0.7433	✗	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.025344	-5.26%	0.054155	+102.45%	0.7052	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.024901	-5.48%	0.057115	+116.80%	0.7296	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.025992	-5.43%	0.05647	+105.46%	0.7043	✗	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.025687	-4.93%	0.06086	+125.24%	0.7592	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.025201	-4.87%	0.04728	+78.48%	0.5268	✗	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.027244	-3.53%	0.043925	+55.54%	0.4111	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.028648	-3.61%	0.038495	+29.53%	0.2448	✗	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.02931	-2.25%	0.040855	+36.25%	0.2669	✗	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030838	-0.46%	0.043535	+40.53%	0.2699	✗	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.02995	+0.40%	0.043635	+46.28%	0.2914	✓	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029949	+1.42%	0.040785	+38.11%	0.2140	✓	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.029384	+3.98%	0.043395	+53.56%	0.3396	✓	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026545	-0.13%	0.03797	+42.85%	0.2445	✗	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027828	+0.68%	0.03865	+39.83%	0.2103	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.029153	+4.98%	0.040745	+46.72%	0.2588	✓	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.02902	+5.18%	0.037615	+36.34%	0.1686	✓	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.032273	+6.26%	0.038825	+27.84%	0.1095	✓	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.031979	+7.17%	0.04043	+35.49%	0.1394	✓	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.033183	+8.90%	0.039945	+31.10%	0.1261	✓	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.034996	+9.33%	0.04142	+29.40%	0.0937	✓	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.029745	+8.60%	0.04092	+49.40%	0.2330	✓	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.031126	+8.70%	0.04014	+40.18%	0.1754	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.030594	+8.64%	0.04336	+53.98%	0.2251	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.02945	+8.75%	0.039495	+45.85%	0.1547	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.031073	+8.80%	0.039995	+40.04%	0.2106	✓	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.025142	+0.33%	0.033515	+33.74%	0.1729	✓	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.022541	-3.01%	0.032415	+39.48%	0.2012	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.019991	-6.48%	0.027	+26.32%	0.1325	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.020311	-7.00%	0.025855	+18.38%	0.0711	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.020228	-7.89%	0.02546	+15.94%	0.0361	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.020473	-8.23%	0.02675	+19.90%	0.0419	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.02029	-8.02%	0.026345	+19.42%	0.0529	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.020875	-7.72%	0.027485	+21.51%	0.0677	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.020715	-7.44%	0.02702	+20.73%	0.0557	✓	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.021324	-7.29%	0.02649	+15.17%	0.0178	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.021806	-7.33%	0.02824	+20.02%	0.0406	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.021902	-6.84%	0.02972	+26.41%	0.0964	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.021929	-7.00%	0.029985	+27.16%	0.0956	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.020355	-6.16%	0.03098	+42.83%	0.1821	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.020504	-6.37%	0.02983	+36.21%	0.1338	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.020618	-5.98%	0.02953	+34.66%	0.1224	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.02096	-6.22%	0.02826	+26.44%	0.0312	✓	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.021056	-6.54%	0.02658	+17.98%	0.0056	✓	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.020344	-6.55%	0.02764	+26.96%	0.0779	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.019965	-6.71%	0.02777	+29.77%	0.0715	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.019893	-6.65%	0.02759	+29.47%	0.0830	✗	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.020232	-5.86%	0.03037	+41.32%	0.1829	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.019885	-5.94%	0.02984	+41.15%	0.1747	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.020407	-5.78%	0.03047	+40.67%	0.1356	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.020418	-5.69%	0.03201	+47.85%	0.1997	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.022102	-5.59%	0.02739	+17.00%	0.0101	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.022099	-5.76%	0.028635	+22.11%	0.0283	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.022096	-5.57%	0.02816	+20.34%	0.0259	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.02277	-5.28%	0.02708	+12.65%	0.0163	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.023409	-4.90%	0.02856	+16.03%	0.0121	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.023431	-4.40%	0.02506	+2.24%	0.0356	✓	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.02387	-5.09%	0.02324	-7.59%	0.0950	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.022781	-4.92%	0.021375	-10.79%	0.0637	✓	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.023133	-4.65%	0.02184	-9.98%	0.0520	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.023559	-4.93%	0.02196	-11.38%	0.0514	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.023671	-4.97%	0.02231	-10.44%	0.0453	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.024308	-4.56%	0.02206	-13.39%	0.0653	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.024377	-4.37%	0.02262	-11.26%	0.0461	✓	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.023981	-5.06%	0.02238	-11.40%	0.0919	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.024121	-4.70%	0.023	-9.13%	0.0434	✓	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.024649	-4.77%	0.02353	-9.10%	0.0492	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.024794	-4.75%	0.02351	-9.68%	0.0673	✓	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.024042	-4.88%	0.02358	-6.71%	0.0535	✓	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.023794	-4.90%	0.02169	-13.31%	0.1452	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.024358	-4.92%	0.0219	-14.52%	0.1250	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.025283	-5.13%	0.02193	-17.71%	0.1541	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.025702	-5.44%	0.02235	-17.77%	0.1494	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.0253	-5.21%	0.02253	-15.59%	0.1239	✓	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.025677	-5.28%	0.02177	-19.70%	0.1851	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.023769	-4.51%	0.0214	-14.02%	0.1307	✓	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.02208	-3.87%	0.02131	-7.23%	0.0919	✓	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.021983	-3.12%	0.02149	-5.29%	0.1483	✓	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.023641	-3.43%	0.02114	-13.64%	0.1852	✓	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.023335	-3.29%	0.02166	-10.24%	0.1607	✓	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.021336	-3.63%	0.02165	-2.21%	0.0604	✓	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.01934	-4.16%	0.02341	+16.01%	0.0857	✗	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.019238	-3.90%	0.02345	+17.13%	0.1065	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.020065	-3.95%	0.0234	+12.02%	0.0930	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.022736	-4.31%	0.02404	+1.18%	0.0128	✓	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.023934	-4.47%	0.024615	-1.76%	0.0088	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.025818	-4.27%	0.02451	-9.12%	0.1102	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.026837	-3.95%	0.02515	-9.99%	0.0823	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.029429	-4.30%	0.02396	-22.08%	0.2277	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.031221	-4.78%	0.02426	-26.01%	0.2883	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.030642	-4.39%	0.02478	-22.68%	0.2017	✓	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.030782	-4.28%	0.02491	-22.54%	0.1764	✓	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.03135	-4.25%	0.02547	-22.21%	0.1774	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.030835	-4.39%	0.02549	-20.96%	0.1764	✓	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.029474	-4.18%	0.02526	-17.88%	0.1105	✓	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.029328	-3.94%	0.02531	-17.10%	0.1515	✓	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.029419	-3.73%	0.025885	-15.30%	0.1323	✓	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.028361	-3.50%	0.02603	-11.43%	0.1418	✓	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.0304	-3.83%	0.025275	-20.04%	0.2159	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.028691	-3.98%	0.02502	-16.27%	0.1190	✓	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.028641	-3.82%	0.02562	-13.97%	0.1119	✓	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.028438	-3.57%	0.02665	-9.63%	0.1356	✓	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.028649	-3.34%	0.02718	-8.30%	0.1094	✓	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.032166	-3.58%	0.02669	-19.99%	0.1717	✓	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.035406	-4.20%	0.02711	-26.65%	0.2357	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.035478	-4.29%	0.02489	-32.86%	0.2453	✓	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.038061	-5.65%	0.02297	-43.06%	0.2838	✓	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.037493	-5.84%	0.02269	-43.02%	0.2002	✓	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.038134	-5.77%	0.02448	-39.51%	0.1820	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.038043	-5.65%	0.02413	-40.15%	0.1868	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.03814	-5.48%	0.02214	-45.13%	0.2841	✓	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.040471	-5.64%	0.02018	-52.95%	0.4294	✓	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.042042	-5.86%	0.02002	-55.17%	0.4439	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.04324	-6.12%	0.02089	-54.65%	0.4288	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.042577	-6.24%	0.02376	-47.68%	0.3229	✓	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.043756	-6.52%	0.025055	-46.48%	0.3322	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.04272	-6.42%	0.02697	-40.92%	0.2398	✓	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.044932	-7.05%	0.02794	-42.20%	0.2428	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.041713	-6.39%	0.03075	-30.99%	0.0591	✓	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.04085	-6.37%	0.03279	-24.85%	0.0247	✓	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.041694	-6.43%	0.03205	-28.07%	0.0405	✓	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.041107	-6.51%	0.03216	-26.86%	0.0389	✓	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.042661	-6.25%	0.03274	-28.05%	0.0603	✓	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.044171	-5.64%	0.03225	-31.10%	0.0831	✓	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.047021	-4.85%	0.03076	-37.76%	0.1346	✓	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.045865	-5.30%	0.03053	-36.96%	0.1314	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.047979	-4.60%	0.03056	-39.24%	0.1593	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.050622	-4.52%	0.02939	-44.57%	0.2228	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.052344	-4.83%	0.03161	-42.53%	0.1833	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.0498	-5.20%	0.02988	-43.12%	0.2375	✓	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.050398	-6.71%	0.02978	-44.87%	0.2695	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.04681	-4.18%	0.02949	-39.64%	0.1628	✓	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.047252	-3.23%	0.02964	-39.30%	0.1525	✓	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.043713	-3.46%	0.03336	-26.33%	0.0316	✓	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.042615	-3.89%	0.03696	-16.64%	0.0810	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.041775	-4.41%	0.03707	-15.17%	0.0465	✗	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.041873	-4.36%	0.04034	-7.86%	0.0629	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.042286	-4.07%	0.03982	-9.66%	0.0029	✓	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.041252	-4.49%	0.04047	-6.30%	0.0179	✓	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.042982	-4.88%	0.04032	-10.77%	0.0287	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.043766	-4.90%	0.04035	-12.32%	0.0389	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.043592	-4.34%	0.04289	-5.88%	0.0294	✓	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.045192	-3.31%	0.04466	-4.45%	0.0299	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.044531	-3.59%	0.04606	-0.28%	0.0396	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.04464	-3.67%	0.04541	-2.01%	0.0243	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.042765	-2.74%	0.04681	+6.46%	0.1146	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.0423	-2.63%	0.04565	+5.09%	0.1176	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.04147	-3.69%	0.04834	+12.26%	0.1353	✗	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.041562	-3.77%	0.04456	+3.17%	0.0454	✗	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.039741	-4.25%	0.04363	+5.12%	0.0479	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.041545	-2.93%	0.04456	+4.11%	0.0517	✗	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.045789	-2.64%	0.04397	-6.51%	0.0452	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.044442	-3.90%	0.045505	-1.60%	0.0208	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.041068	-3.71%	0.04681	+9.75%	0.0677	✗	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.039426	-3.70%	0.04942	+20.71%	0.1236	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.041269	-3.77%	0.04843	+12.93%	0.0881	✗	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.038432	-4.98%	0.050295	+24.35%	0.1194	✗	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.040321	-4.13%	0.05302	+26.06%	0.1442	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.040545	-4.07%	0.055	+30.13%	0.1673	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.03968	-4.43%	0.05253	+26.52%	0.1458	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.03948	-4.57%	0.05402	+30.58%	0.1739	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.04188	-4.91%	0.048855	+10.93%	0.0309	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.038108	-5.49%	0.04883	+21.11%	0.0570	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.03855	-5.54%	0.04528	+10.95%	0.0202	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.039079	-6.26%	0.04434	+6.36%	0.0729	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.039412	-6.18%	0.0437	+4.02%	0.0852	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.039311	-5.98%	0.04378	+4.71%	0.0837	✓	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.042124	-7.64%	0.04408	-3.35%	0.1167	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.038408	-6.12%	0.04319	+5.57%	0.0151	✓	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.037574	-6.35%	0.045185	+12.62%	0.0341	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.037308	-6.36%	0.04602	+15.51%	0.0363	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.038468	-6.43%	0.04557	+10.85%	0.0140	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.03771	-6.30%	0.04674	+16.14%	0.0119	✓	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.03958	-6.10%	0.04619	+9.58%	0.0092	✓	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.041014	-5.61%	0.04634	+6.65%	0.0224	✓	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.040977	-5.97%	0.04397	+0.89%	0.0553	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.041231	-5.91%	0.04344	-0.87%	0.0670	✓	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.03932	-6.52%	0.04306	+2.38%	0.0529	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.04029	-6.50%	0.04319	+0.23%	0.0475	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.041808	-6.09%	0.041505	-6.77%	0.0632	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.041908	-5.93%	0.0428	-3.93%	0.0759	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.042822	-4.93%	0.04703	+4.41%	0.0032	✓	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.04676	-4.96%	0.046245	-6.01%	0.0311	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.047726	-4.05%	0.04265	-14.25%	0.1116	✓	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.044496	-4.23%	0.04094	-11.88%	0.1054	✓	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.041565	-4.80%	0.042885	-1.78%	0.0215	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.040599	-4.52%	0.040445	-4.88%	0.0006	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.040673	-4.91%	0.04206	-1.67%	0.0091	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.039851	-4.73%	0.042265	+1.04%	0.0121	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.039512	-4.35%	0.04152	+0.51%	0.0185	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.038161	-4.77%	0.04137	+3.24%	0.0353	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.036563	-5.22%	0.04404	+14.17%	0.0829	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.036636	-5.16%	0.04032	+4.37%	0.0676	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.037702	-4.91%	0.04081	+2.93%	0.0636	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.039693	-4.26%	0.04169	+0.55%	0.1116	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.040839	-3.66%	0.04201	-0.90%	0.1274	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.039003	-4.96%	0.04181	+1.88%	0.0960	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.038474	-4.77%	0.04561	+12.90%	0.1832	✗	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.037357	-4.88%	0.04091	+4.16%	0.0444	✓	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.038145	-4.78%	0.04012	+0.15%	0.0549	✗	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.037934	-5.02%	0.03984	-0.25%	0.0471	✓	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.038593	-4.85%	0.04111	+1.36%	0.0859	✗	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.040523	-4.95%	0.040245	-5.61%	0.0247	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.037176	-4.87%	0.04215	+7.86%	0.0351	✓	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.037837	-4.72%	0.04345	+9.42%	0.0149	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.039372	-4.55%	0.04358	+5.65%	0.0481	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.041099	-4.55%	0.04382	+1.76%	0.0103	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.041557	-4.49%	0.04206	-3.33%	0.0146	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.040916	-4.38%	0.04309	+0.70%	0.0156	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.042096	-4.39%	0.04452	+1.11%	0.0205	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.046205	-5.02%	0.04455	-8.42%	0.0813	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.046545	-5.14%	0.045045	-8.20%	0.0758	✓	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.045801	-4.62%	0.0492	+2.46%	0.0196	✓	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.047773	-5.16%	0.04974	-1.25%	0.0488	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.043906	-4.53%	0.04646	+1.02%	0.0144	✓	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.042982	-4.19%	0.04366	-2.67%	0.0765	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.043187	-4.94%	0.04252	-6.41%	0.0861	✓	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.038451	-4.95%	0.042775	+5.73%	0.0747	✗	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.039226	-4.63%	0.04183	+1.70%	0.0623	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.040289	-4.30%	0.04131	-1.88%	0.0309	✓	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.043535	-4.37%	0.04007	-11.98%	0.0675	✓	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.045429	-4.41%	0.038575	-18.83%	0.0784	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.040424	-4.16%	0.03863	-8.42%	0.1356	✓	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.045497	-4.76%	0.03965	-17.00%	0.0167	✓	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.048077	-4.84%	0.04146	-17.93%	0.0352	✓	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.049951	-4.88%	0.04239	-19.28%	0.0267	✓	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.047538	-4.62%	0.04104	-17.66%	0.0423	✓	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.05	-4.36%	0.0404	-22.72%	0.0080	✓	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.058247	-5.35%	0.039275	-36.18%	0.0056	✓	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.058197	-5.21%	0.04006	-34.75%	0.0043	✓	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.064649	-5.68%	0.03994	-41.73%	0.0162	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.063644	-5.67%	0.04056	-39.88%	0.0166	✓	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.063631	-5.69%	0.042635	-36.81%	0.0023	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.062191	-5.64%	0.03908	-40.71%	0.0010	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.066044	-5.95%	0.03971	-43.45%	0.0148	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.06681	-5.70%	0.04125	-41.78%	0.0483	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.06793	-5.82%	0.04306	-40.30%	0.0295	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.068776	-5.62%	0.04351	-40.29%	0.0333	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.066805	-5.75%	0.04279	-39.63%	0.0197	✓	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.072737	-5.14%	0.04403	-42.58%	0.0091	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.073343	-5.00%	0.048645	-36.99%	0.0981	✗	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.077225	-4.71%	0.04907	-39.45%	0.0398	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.078596	-4.42%	0.04802	-41.60%	0.0091	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.078771	-4.19%	0.05037	-38.74%	0.0343	✓	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.083508	-3.89%	0.04599	-47.07%	0.0719	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.085125	-4.90%	0.04486	-49.88%	0.0738	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.077155	-5.59%	0.04543	-44.41%	0.0589	✓	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.079288	-6.10%	0.040455	-52.09%	0.2433	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.079615	-6.27%	0.04113	-51.58%	0.2652	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.081902	-6.87%	0.0421	-52.13%	0.2599	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.083023	-7.20%	0.045525	-49.11%	0.1686	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.084405	-8.11%	0.047525	-48.26%	0.0300	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.088196	-9.64%	0.04218	-56.79%	0.1086	✗	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.087762	-9.52%	0.04777	-50.75%	0.0850	✓	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.084094	-8.16%	0.05052	-44.83%	0.1283	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.077788	-5.86%	0.052515	-36.45%	0.1131	✓	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.077708	-5.83%	0.04984	-39.60%	0.1340	✓	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.076028	-5.65%	0.05228	-35.12%	0.1361	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.070138	-4.95%	0.06154	-16.60%	0.0541	✓	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.072923	-5.14%	0.061395	-20.14%	0.0856	✓	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.071034	-4.91%	0.06854	-8.25%	0.0814	✓	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.073682	-5.09%	0.06747	-13.09%	0.1155	✓	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.073244	-5.12%	0.06747	-12.60%	0.0919	✓	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.069223	-4.76%	0.06591	-9.31%	0.0327	✓	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.068158	-4.41%	0.070225	-1.51%	0.0120	✓	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.071996	-5.01%	0.07085	-6.52%	0.0568	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.067913	-4.72%	0.07213	+1.19%	0.0158	✓	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.069924	-5.11%	0.07287	-1.11%	0.0238	✓	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.071465	-5.36%	0.07088	-6.14%	0.0011	✓	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.073986	-5.68%	0.07668	-2.24%	0.0560	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.075121	-5.40%	0.0772	-2.78%	0.0922	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.071494	-4.28%	0.08104	+8.50%	0.0833	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.074743	-5.14%	0.08223	+4.37%	0.1041	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.078005	-6.35%	0.08222	-1.28%	0.1115	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.077754	-6.37%	0.086885	+4.63%	0.1139	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.080899	-7.34%	0.08951	+2.52%	0.0524	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.084596	-7.75%	0.08172	-10.88%	0.0547	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.084013	-7.37%	0.08444	-6.90%	0.0077	✓	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.087638	-7.18%	0.08494	-10.04%	0.0153	✓	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.088394	-7.25%	0.08794	-7.72%	0.0277	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.091555	-7.23%	0.089465	-9.35%	0.0125	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.088828	-7.56%	0.09185	-4.41%	0.0201	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.085141	-7.49%	0.09761	+6.06%	0.0669	✓	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.088646	-7.32%	0.097	+1.41%	0.0083	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.089119	-6.92%	0.09157	-4.36%	0.0195	✓	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.094649	-6.51%	0.08263	-18.38%	0.1036	✓	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.098879	-5.98%	0.08252	-21.54%	0.1058	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.096811	-6.23%	0.08058	-21.95%	0.1270	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.089445	-6.15%	0.07379	-22.58%	0.2206	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.098171	-6.19%	0.076875	-26.54%	0.1998	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.101414	-5.78%	0.0747	-30.60%	0.2217	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.10442	-5.78%	0.07763	-29.96%	0.2284	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.105249	-5.73%	0.0772	-30.86%	0.2310	✓	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.105753	-5.61%	0.07268	-35.13%	0.3043	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.10642	-5.58%	0.0713	-36.74%	0.3969	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.105334	-5.44%	0.07579	-31.96%	0.3137	✓	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.098718	-5.14%	0.07128	-31.51%	0.3404	✓	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.099428	-4.69%	0.07369	-29.36%	0.3945	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.100877	-4.42%	0.075515	-28.45%	0.3764	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.108951	-4.64%	0.07844	-31.34%	0.3714	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.115129	-4.69%	0.07941	-34.26%	0.2890	✓	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.117708	-4.93%	0.07469	-39.68%	0.2712	✓	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.11432	-4.69%	0.07879	-34.31%	0.2256	✓	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.119591	-4.96%	0.08329	-33.81%	0.2071	✓	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.125696	-4.93%	0.08304	-37.20%	0.1921	✓	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.125519	-4.33%	0.08731	-33.45%	0.2087	✓	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.130217	-4.90%	0.0917	-33.03%	0.1193	✓	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.134213	-5.30%	0.0907	-36.00%	0.1130	✓	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.13259	-5.42%	0.09442	-32.65%	0.0882	✓	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.140412	-7.40%	0.0953	-37.15%	0.0593	✓	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.142466	-7.54%	0.09869	-35.95%	0.0806	✓	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.149981	-10.10%	0.09609	-42.41%	0.1496	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.149476	-10.11%	0.09203	-44.65%	0.1650	✓	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.119098	-4.02%	0.09565	-22.92%	0.0651	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.119855	-4.43%	0.09574	-23.66%	0.1189	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.120059	-4.17%	0.10124	-19.20%	0.0568	✗	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.115995	-5.00%	0.10517	-13.87%	0.2381	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.131245	-6.59%	0.10324	-26.52%	0.2436	✗	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.133489	-6.54%	0.09531	-33.27%	0.2800	✗	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.128937	-6.30%	0.10465	-23.95%	0.2791	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.134788	-6.35%	0.10764	-25.21%	0.2262	✗	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.149295	-6.36%	0.11083	-30.49%	0.1804	✗	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.152121	-5.90%	0.11165	-30.94%	0.2299	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.157766	-5.69%	0.11204	-33.03%	0.2468	✗	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.164485	-5.94%	0.11271	-35.54%	0.3103	✗	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.156893	-6.01%	0.11139	-33.27%	0.2593	✗	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.156554	-5.64%	0.10407	-37.28%	0.2198	✗	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.154821	-5.44%	0.10432	-36.29%	0.2754	✗	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.152327	-5.22%	0.10554	-34.33%	0.2372	✗	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.156664	-5.20%	0.11425	-30.86%	0.2633	✗	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.164464	-5.48%	0.1208	-30.58%	0.1850	✗	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.167207	-5.21%	0.123815	-29.81%	0.1020	✗	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.164725	-4.71%	0.11994	-30.62%	0.0735	✗	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.164393	-4.16%	0.12583	-26.64%	0.0474	✗	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.173153	-4.34%	0.13222	-26.95%	0.0493	✗	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.179704	-4.67%	0.1312	-30.40%	0.0951	✗	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.190906	-4.90%	0.13693	-31.79%	0.0067	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.20109	-5.29%	0.14172	-33.25%	0.0249	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.186744	-5.05%	0.14019	-28.72%	0.0069	✓	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.171591	-3.96%	0.15163	-15.13%	0.0128	✓	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.167981	-4.99%	0.15409	-12.85%	0.1088	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.261595	-4.28%	0.16684	-38.95%	0.1519	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.27494	-3.47%	0.16628	-41.62%	0.1986	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.283072	-4.79%	0.12409	-58.26%	0.5054	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.27365	-2.75%	0.12541	-55.43%	0.4291	✓	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.268017	-2.60%	0.12529	-54.47%	0.3842	✓	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.269968	-2.94%	0.1221	-56.10%	0.5266	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.27398	-2.62%	0.14051	-50.06%	0.4735	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.270403	-2.88%	0.142825	-48.70%	0.4617	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.271205	-3.56%	0.137605	-51.07%	0.5208	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.240807	-4.61%	0.143925	-42.99%	0.4154	✓	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.234364	-5.08%	0.15944	-35.43%	0.3097	✓	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.232544	-5.51%	0.16166	-34.31%	0.3762	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.222156	-6.17%	0.16729	-29.34%	0.3626	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.224828	-5.97%	0.174865	-26.87%	0.3387	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.217463	-5.37%	0.16693	-27.36%	0.3125	✓	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.235857	-5.79%	0.165915	-33.73%	0.3105	✓	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.240578	-5.81%	0.16373	-35.89%	0.3500	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.235483	-5.71%	0.16071	-35.65%	0.2901	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.270246	-5.50%	0.165255	-42.21%	0.3767	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.274175	-5.19%	0.174005	-39.83%	0.3695	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.281348	-5.26%	0.1764	-40.60%	0.3506	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.293985	-5.24%	0.172865	-44.28%	0.3678	✓	1.85
2025-09-17	oos	0.30842	0.290901	-5.68%	0.171525	-44.39%	0.3621	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.