RE
RE · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 354
Track record at +1d
assessed
117
of 118 predictions shown
direction hit
57.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0452
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0039
actual -0.0095
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.39165 | 0.390715 | -0.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.06 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39145 | 0.390638 | -0.21% | 0.39165 | +0.05% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.387008 | -0.20% | 0.39145 | +0.94% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.379704 | -0.14% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.380298 | -0.11% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0017 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.393298 | -0.15% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.406522 | -0.17% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.418634 | -0.10% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.42149 | -0.18% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.431374 | -0.16% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.425589 | -0.18% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.446565 | -0.22% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.444002 | -0.20% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.440125 | -0.15% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.43766 | -0.10% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.461528 | -0.23% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0369 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.48103 | -0.24% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0185 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.503344 | -0.29% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0410 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.515422 | -0.42% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.506571 | -0.51% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.504199 | -0.40% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.512727 | -0.42% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.480246 | -0.26% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0586 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.475135 | -0.17% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.461453 | -0.06% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.488454 | -0.15% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.490199 | -0.17% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.477069 | -0.12% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0252 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.468875 | -0.05% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0218 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.446605 | +0.05% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.472497 | +0.02% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.468097 | -0.01% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.457896 | -0.27% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0572 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.465101 | -0.29% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.457738 | -0.27% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.442488 | -0.34% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.439708 | -0.24% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.41681 | -0.15% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.435914 | -0.20% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.4245 | -0.19% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.440789 | -0.18% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.452208 | -0.13% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.432465 | +0.04% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0331 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.424888 | +0.11% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.45458 | +0.05% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.462414 | +0.09% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.460298 | +0.20% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.451278 | +0.19% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.43825 | +0.24% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.46871 | +0.19% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0399 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.463843 | +0.12% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0718 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.479574 | +0.10% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.489696 | +0.14% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.469341 | +0.14% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.491924 | +0.11% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.51617 | +0.10% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0572 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.53641 | -0.02% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.526563 | -0.01% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.551779 | -0.06% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0570 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.538275 | -0.14% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0348 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.540927 | -0.14% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.501017 | -0.16% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.522344 | -0.35% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.507554 | -0.51% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.1014 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.5293 | -1.51% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1587 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.39624 | -0.34% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.1952 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.404082 | -0.33% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.417708 | -0.36% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.457441 | -0.90% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0823 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.443616 | -0.73% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0385 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.437176 | -0.64% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.429201 | -0.62% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0245 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.41699 | -0.52% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0384 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.406793 | -0.44% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0404 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.402503 | -0.48% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0414 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.406911 | -0.49% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.387958 | -0.43% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0521 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.393729 | -0.49% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.382716 | -0.50% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.382931 | -0.54% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.40244 | -0.67% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0618 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.417488 | -0.81% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0290 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.437572 | -0.87% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.438733 | -0.76% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.442378 | -0.78% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.490958 | -1.02% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1257 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.447805 | -0.82% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1005 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.446287 | -0.81% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.476629 | -1.01% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.538925 | -1.26% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1533 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.571025 | -1.85% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0536 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.543755 | -1.76% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1078 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.468515 | -1.30% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2148 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.394325 | -0.27% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2065 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.374975 | -0.01% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.392352 | +0.01% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0722 | ✗ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.39536 | -0.01% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.447003 | -0.13% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.489005 | -0.30% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0904 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.485404 | -0.29% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.524784 | -0.38% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0709 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.524628 | -0.34% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.554142 | -0.52% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.577652 | -0.59% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.571077 | -0.66% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.580604 | -0.67% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0249 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.598921 | -0.68% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.625298 | -0.71% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.651778 | -0.84% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.640135 | -0.86% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.627569 | -0.89% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.616222 | -0.88% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.680515 | -1.04% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.578747 | -0.81% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1474 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.643172 | -0.79% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.772049 | -1.39% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1471 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.600255 | -0.92% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2541 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.684763 | -1.10% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1148 | ✓ | 1.00 |