PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s4

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

60.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3592

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0684

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.095969	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.096209	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092627	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.082864	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.085517	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.088603	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092606	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095534	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.09941	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.103438	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104798	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.108362	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.108373	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.108226	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.107862	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.108661	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.110326	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.111425	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.11177	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.112072	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.111992	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.113157	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.111565	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.110854	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.110115	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.116692	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.117056	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.115496	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.114056	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.109601	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.116798	-3.33%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1666	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.114608	-2.97%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1543	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.110119	-4.65%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1285	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.111745	-4.39%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2534	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.108994	-4.58%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1924	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.103501	-4.96%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0769	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.104215	-4.65%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0405	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.102706	-4.40%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0051	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.107652	-4.98%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0184	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.105541	-4.58%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0570	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.1115	-5.01%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0083	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.108858	-4.93%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0813	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.104616	-4.60%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1202	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.113042	-4.10%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0323	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.120497	-4.14%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0494	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.127144	-4.08%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0934	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.122186	-4.27%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0391	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.121602	-3.59%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0207	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.119612	-3.47%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0038	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.125461	-2.83%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0566	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.131113	-3.98%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0962	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.143394	-3.61%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1738	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.154135	-2.83%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2570	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.169727	-2.42%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3602	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.180924	-0.78%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4337	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.187594	+0.22%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.4074	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.212138	+4.63%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.5323	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.214111	+4.97%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.5530	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.224908	+6.01%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.6132	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.235815	+7.24%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.7069	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.248305	+7.40%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.6934	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.247251	+7.78%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.7077	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.274911	+8.96%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.8561	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.23177	-9.75%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6516	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.282426	-10.81%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9126	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.397122	-11.38%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4480	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.348029	-10.83%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3079	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.353458	-11.11%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3666	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.311542	-12.14%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2162	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.310451	-11.49%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2214	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.266511	-11.22%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0185	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.287459	-11.23%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1377	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.292167	-11.50%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1782	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.269712	-11.50%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0446	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.243359	-11.44%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.8782	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.265003	-11.89%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9193	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.250373	-11.85%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9035	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.245301	-12.30%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.8989	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.239888	-11.76%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.8882	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.228121	-11.27%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8185	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.229166	-11.33%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7216	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.234301	-11.75%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6644	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.2148	-11.19%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5376	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.217196	-11.76%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4435	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.215888	-12.66%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.3728	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.190051	-10.27%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.1903	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.174032	-3.98%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0390	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.174101	-3.70%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0264	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.180692	-5.67%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0151	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.173428	-4.00%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1220	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.172681	-3.94%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1784	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.166644	-3.08%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2159	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.16618	-2.46%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3131	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.172011	-2.75%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3452	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.168378	-3.16%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.5947	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.166819	-3.16%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9881	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.166716	-3.47%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8542	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.164282	-3.43%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8953	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.163813	-2.99%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7821	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.164754	-2.77%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7739	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.169838	-3.00%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5881	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.159585	-3.44%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6944	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.164964	-3.53%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6960	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.163878	-3.15%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6192	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.167837	-3.54%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4877	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.163756	-3.46%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5951	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.165778	-3.73%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5193	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.176114	-7.13%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4567	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.176081	-7.33%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4306	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.165684	-3.95%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4368	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.172089	-6.53%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.4044	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.167874	-6.31%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4510	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.159741	-4.90%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4052	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.158099	-4.72%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4207	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.152807	-3.94%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4341	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.155978	-4.45%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2787	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.148424	-3.73%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1771	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146064	-3.16%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1986	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.140269	-2.67%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2918	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.140717	-2.40%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2325	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.135582	-2.25%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2581	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.138231	-2.54%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2083	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.134568	-2.94%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2268	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.138372	-2.91%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2308	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.140748	-2.79%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2070	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.141492	-2.04%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1914	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.14798	-2.10%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1455	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.153567	-2.46%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1048	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.159701	-3.07%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0631	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.175688	-4.63%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0308	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.179492	-5.61%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0223	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.182501	-6.86%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0902	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.181053	-5.54%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0580	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.183261	-7.82%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0806	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.168018	-4.42%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0296	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.171898	-4.49%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0163	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.177006	-6.28%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0263	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.169731	-4.65%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1108	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.167687	-3.31%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1216	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.170229	-2.68%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0105	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.17738	-5.79%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0367	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.186491	-10.06%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0413	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.177552	-8.85%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0530	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.178039	-10.02%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0739	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.182158	-10.40%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1511	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.181365	-10.64%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1192	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.16762	-7.76%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1037	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.163727	-8.29%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1011	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.146344	-4.89%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0172	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.150847	-5.87%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0576	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.160867	-6.84%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1791	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.166924	-7.07%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1888	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.177012	-7.64%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2652	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.175884	-6.85%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2327	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.182552	-7.52%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2709	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.185462	-7.51%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2915	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.186291	-7.14%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2504	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.192111	-7.13%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2371	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.187099	-6.28%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1605	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.191403	-6.00%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0740	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.204725	-6.94%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1267	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.231147	-7.98%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2868	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.23209	-9.03%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3047	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.232005	-9.00%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2797	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.247281	-9.76%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5225	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.245058	-9.69%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.4922	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.257704	-11.09%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4508	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.251886	-11.25%	0.178	-37.29%	0.4822	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.244067	-11.05%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.4978	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.239055	-10.62%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.4761	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.251511	-11.33%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4205	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.234827	-11.55%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2552	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.223219	-11.54%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2408	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.232689	-11.41%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2263	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.224507	-11.20%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1396	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.248211	-11.55%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2180	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.27779	-11.44%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4386	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.306916	-13.45%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5622	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.266626	-17.99%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.5689	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.199465	-9.63%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2168	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.189751	-8.71%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.0942	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.188504	-8.25%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0481	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.189603	-6.12%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.211247	-9.56%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.203778	-9.85%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.198913	-9.68%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.17475	-8.05%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0989	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.170235	-5.45%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1791	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.217189	-12.54%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.222441	-25.16%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.1269	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.168411	-6.84%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2123	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.166351	-7.28%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3232	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.163315	-7.06%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3831	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.167342	-9.64%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2922	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.157621	-8.58%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4413	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.147835	-8.61%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4886	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.152718	-9.52%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5245	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.156826	-10.25%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4727	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.15398	-10.23%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4710	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.152912	-10.66%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3912	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.168613	-12.58%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3610	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.146549	-11.38%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.4231	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.128007	-11.26%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.5190	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.