POD
Dolphin · Base · lstm_s4
- token id
- #186
- symbol
- POD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xed664536023d8e4b1640c394777d34abaff1df8f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-11
- predictions
- 249
Track record at +1d
assessed
80
of 83 predictions shown
direction hit
55.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0982
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0078
actual +0.0092
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.627 | 0.620019 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.6579 | 0.65064 | -1.10% | 0.627 | -4.70% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.5335 | 0.528923 | -0.86% | 0.6579 | +23.32% | 0.2004 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.5441 | 0.539374 | -0.87% | 0.5335 | -1.95% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.604937 | -0.97% | 0.5441 | -10.93% | 0.1165 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.6536 | 0.646467 | -1.09% | 0.61085 | -6.54% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.7113 | 0.7024 | -1.25% | 0.6536 | -8.11% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.7195 | 0.710486 | -1.25% | 0.7113 | -1.14% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.66875 | 0.660778 | -1.19% | 0.7195 | +7.59% | 0.1121 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.68615 | 0.677593 | -1.25% | 0.66875 | -2.54% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.603837 | -1.15% | 0.68615 | +12.33% | 0.1678 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.59675 | 0.589969 | -1.14% | 0.61085 | +2.36% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.6003 | 0.593309 | -1.16% | 0.59675 | -0.59% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.5809 | 0.574187 | -1.16% | 0.6003 | +3.34% | 0.0269 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.66895 | 0.660423 | -1.27% | 0.5809 | -13.16% | 0.0984 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.73025 | 0.720323 | -1.36% | 0.66895 | -8.39% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.7983 | 0.786345 | -1.50% | 0.73025 | -8.52% | 0.0705 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.87205 | 0.856055 | -1.83% | 0.7983 | -8.46% | 0.0577 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.78375 | 0.766053 | -2.26% | 0.87205 | +11.27% | 0.1029 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.56005 | 0.551786 | -1.48% | 0.78375 | +39.94% | 0.3473 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.42495 | 0.420235 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3388 | 0.337847 | -0.28% | 0.42495 | +25.43% | 0.2293 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.3664 | 0.365259 | -0.31% | 0.3388 | -7.53% | 0.0476 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.3979 | 0.395939 | -0.49% | 0.3664 | -7.92% | 0.0722 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.355727 | -0.72% | 0.3979 | +11.05% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.3161 | 0.314658 | -0.46% | 0.3583 | +13.35% | 0.1308 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.31685 | 0.315293 | -0.49% | 0.3161 | -0.24% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2885 | 0.28687 | -0.56% | 0.31685 | +9.83% | 0.0762 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.2564 | 0.255468 | -0.36% | 0.2885 | +12.52% | 0.1202 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2937 | 0.291901 | -0.61% | 0.2564 | -12.70% | 0.1346 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.3089 | 0.307379 | -0.49% | 0.2937 | -4.92% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.30325 | 0.301637 | -0.53% | 0.3089 | +1.86% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2928 | 0.291627 | -0.40% | 0.30325 | +3.57% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.302334 | -0.42% | 0.2928 | -3.56% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.3418 | 0.339586 | -0.65% | 0.3036 | -11.18% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.3149 | 0.314053 | -0.27% | 0.3418 | +8.54% | 0.1140 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.302816 | -0.16% | 0.3149 | +3.82% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2584 | 0.258595 | +0.08% | 0.3033 | +17.38% | 0.1755 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2653 | 0.265345 | +0.02% | 0.2584 | -2.60% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.281647 | -0.04% | 0.2653 | -5.84% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.3224 | 0.322026 | -0.12% | 0.28175 | -12.61% | 0.1388 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.3468 | 0.346804 | +0.00% | 0.3224 | -7.04% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.3219 | 0.321545 | -0.11% | 0.3468 | +7.74% | 0.0763 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.3456 | 0.345304 | -0.09% | 0.3219 | -6.86% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.3517 | 0.351793 | +0.03% | 0.3456 | -1.73% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.34005 | 0.335903 | -1.22% | – | pending | – | – | 2.52 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.2972 | 0.294678 | -0.85% | 0.34005 | +14.42% | 0.1310 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3087 | 0.305678 | -0.98% | 0.2972 | -3.73% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.300331 | -0.98% | 0.3087 | +1.78% | 0.0955 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.3263 | 0.322355 | -1.21% | 0.3033 | -7.05% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 2.50 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.329921 | -1.34% | 0.3263 | -2.42% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 2.57 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2912 | 0.288188 | -1.03% | 0.3344 | +14.84% | 0.1900 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.3186 | 0.314485 | -1.29% | 0.2912 | -8.60% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.2782 | 0.275679 | -0.91% | 0.3186 | +14.52% | 0.1191 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.2869 | 0.283754 | -1.10% | 0.2782 | -3.03% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.3279 | 0.322709 | -1.58% | 0.2869 | -12.50% | 0.0696 | ✓ | 2.67 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2881 | 0.284395 | -1.29% | 0.3279 | +13.81% | 0.1694 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.3328 | 0.326325 | -1.95% | 0.2881 | -13.43% | 0.1495 | ✓ | 2.88 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.332185 | -2.36% | 0.3328 | -2.18% | 0.0581 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.2506 | 0.248689 | -0.76% | 0.3402 | +35.75% | 0.2759 | ✗ | 2.69 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.2836 | 0.278984 | -1.63% | 0.2506 | -11.64% | 0.1062 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.2301 | 0.229512 | -0.26% | 0.2836 | +23.25% | 0.1298 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.2123 | 0.212489 | +0.09% | 0.2301 | +8.38% | 0.0835 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213948 | +0.02% | 0.2123 | -0.75% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.2183 | 0.218307 | +0.00% | 0.2139 | -2.02% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.1647 | 0.165706 | +0.61% | 0.2183 | +32.54% | 0.2361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.1805 | 0.181557 | +0.59% | 0.1647 | -8.75% | 0.0945 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.208968 | +0.32% | 0.1805 | -13.35% | 0.1020 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.263 | 0.261356 | -0.63% | 0.2083 | -20.80% | 0.2232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.2161 | 0.21594 | -0.07% | 0.263 | +21.70% | 0.2372 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.2555 | 0.253075 | -0.95% | 0.2161 | -15.42% | 0.0904 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.2595 | 0.256754 | -1.06% | 0.2555 | -1.54% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.266868 | -1.20% | 0.2595 | -3.92% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.2474 | 0.244941 | -0.99% | 0.2701 | +9.18% | 0.0923 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.2056 | 0.204231 | -0.67% | 0.2474 | +20.33% | 0.1937 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.1846 | 0.183488 | -0.60% | 0.2056 | +11.38% | 0.1247 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.2346 | 0.232543 | -0.88% | 0.1846 | -21.31% | 0.2108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.2073 | 0.205488 | -0.87% | 0.2346 | +13.17% | 0.1511 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.2618 | 0.259193 | -1.00% | 0.2073 | -20.82% | 0.2269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-23 | oos | 0.2748 | 0.271946 | -1.04% | 0.2618 | -4.73% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-22 | oos | 0.205 | 0.203184 | -0.89% | 0.2748 | +34.05% | 0.2861 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | oos | 0.2729 | 0.270246 | -0.97% | 0.205 | -24.88% | 0.2488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | oos | 0.2854 | 0.282385 | -1.06% | 0.2729 | -4.38% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.00 |