NIULAI

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +7d

assessed

48

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

72.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1808

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0264

actual -0.0428

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.061981	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062016	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.058253	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.059074	+0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059891	+0.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064784	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066803	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068948	-0.98%	0.06254	-10.18%	0.1184	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.073344	-1.72%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1571	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071202	-1.19%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2077	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.07785	-1.79%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2530	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.078635	-1.80%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2534	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073215	-1.31%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1009	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072451	-0.89%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0800	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071142	-0.76%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0085	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078382	-0.88%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0098	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076225	-0.75%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0091	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081932	-0.51%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0110	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079615	-0.62%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0348	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086942	-0.69%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1275	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098223	-1.05%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2472	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.103125	-1.62%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3592	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.103373	-1.67%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2974	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.112922	-2.52%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4207	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.102363	-1.60%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2505	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.103909	-1.82%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2654	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.102328	-1.90%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1627	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.098922	-1.71%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0040	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.105018	-2.23%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0114	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.10979	-2.26%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0039	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.105668	-1.95%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1408	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.098222	-2.84%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0010	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.104498	-3.17%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0425	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.11521	-3.69%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1553	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.102498	-3.55%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1184	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097009	-3.52%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.114757	-4.14%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1528	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.117086	-4.22%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1852	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.112135	-4.23%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1589	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.128331	-4.89%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2234	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.119919	-4.65%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0489	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.115335	-4.98%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076268	-2.95%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3041	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097873	-4.16%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2386	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.078985	-3.26%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4485	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.087669	-3.68%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3344	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.114281	-5.21%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.1988	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.081365	-3.27%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4669	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.092691	-3.76%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3296	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.075005	-3.62%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.080128	-3.88%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2291	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.097466	-5.25%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.094014	-7.36%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.05506	+0.22%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7635	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.056098	+0.07%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3818	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.