NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +30d
assessed
81
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
81.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2541
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0454
actual -0.2719
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.11832 | 0.1161 | -1.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.118829 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.111827 | -2.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.116287 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.118016 | -1.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.120319 | -1.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.136739 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.143292 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.134236 | -1.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.13109 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.138617 | -1.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.138219 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.135957 | -1.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.131892 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.136957 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.138306 | +0.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.145017 | +0.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.151403 | +1.11% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.146553 | +0.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.14892 | +0.26% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.152042 | +0.42% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.151568 | +0.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.160829 | +0.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.162181 | +0.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.168072 | +1.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.164306 | +0.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.160562 | +0.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.166099 | +0.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.165263 | +0.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.1722 | +2.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.174329 | +2.89% | 0.11832 | -30.17% | 0.3811 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.158616 | -2.40% | 0.12079 | -25.68% | 0.2739 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.158612 | -2.20% | 0.114105 | -29.64% | 0.3299 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.153922 | -2.13% | 0.118045 | -24.94% | 0.2663 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.146126 | -5.00% | 0.11967 | -22.20% | 0.2013 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.151753 | -6.62% | 0.122125 | -24.85% | 0.2189 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.153757 | -7.26% | 0.138695 | -16.35% | 0.1053 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.145304 | -3.92% | 0.146385 | -3.20% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.144151 | -3.84% | 0.136455 | -8.98% | 0.0662 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.15243 | -4.68% | 0.13391 | -16.26% | 0.1366 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.145392 | -3.04% | 0.14095 | -6.01% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.138685 | -4.15% | 0.14031 | -3.02% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.112472 | -2.66% | 0.13735 | +18.88% | 0.1819 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.11963 | -2.34% | 0.13322 | +8.75% | 0.0942 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.128874 | -1.73% | 0.137455 | +4.82% | 0.0486 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.127397 | -1.09% | 0.137615 | +6.84% | 0.0564 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.127319 | -1.65% | 0.14428 | +11.46% | 0.1014 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.136395 | -1.02% | 0.14974 | +8.66% | 0.0664 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.140776 | +0.96% | 0.14604 | +4.73% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.133968 | -2.47% | 0.14854 | +8.14% | 0.0752 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.137377 | -2.27% | 0.1514 | +7.70% | 0.0684 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.142499 | -1.33% | 0.15126 | +4.74% | 0.0409 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.154735 | -0.81% | 0.16081 | +3.08% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.153841 | +0.16% | 0.1614 | +5.08% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.140991 | -1.65% | 0.16563 | +15.54% | 0.1337 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.153516 | +6.94% | 0.163905 | +14.18% | 0.0471 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.160025 | +7.18% | 0.15964 | +6.93% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.17577 | +9.51% | 0.16505 | +2.83% | 0.0909 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.140489 | +2.54% | 0.16465 | +20.17% | 0.1281 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.210889 | +8.06% | 0.168615 | -13.60% | 0.2902 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.221838 | +8.03% | 0.16943 | -17.49% | 0.3457 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.239827 | +8.56% | 0.16252 | -26.43% | 0.4105 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.214401 | -0.72% | 0.162175 | -24.90% | 0.3487 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.205042 | -3.94% | 0.15727 | -26.32% | 0.3738 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.192568 | -6.43% | 0.15382 | -25.25% | 0.3470 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.197997 | -6.75% | 0.16251 | -23.46% | 0.3210 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.197414 | -7.99% | 0.1658 | -22.72% | 0.3223 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.192831 | -7.46% | 0.15123 | -27.42% | 0.4181 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.194081 | -7.39% | 0.14991 | -28.47% | 0.4195 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.19204 | -6.98% | 0.15991 | -22.54% | 0.3475 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.186552 | -7.02% | 0.149955 | -25.26% | 0.3827 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.189316 | -6.81% | 0.144685 | -28.78% | 0.4242 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.190556 | -6.66% | 0.11554 | -43.40% | 0.6705 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.191954 | -6.14% | 0.1225 | -40.10% | 0.6141 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.196172 | -6.13% | 0.13114 | -37.25% | 0.5734 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.191458 | -5.85% | 0.1288 | -36.66% | 0.5816 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.192013 | -5.71% | 0.12945 | -36.44% | 0.5827 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.186049 | -5.35% | 0.1378 | -29.89% | 0.4890 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.193325 | -5.37% | 0.13944 | -31.75% | 0.5476 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.194961 | -5.61% | 0.13736 | -33.49% | 0.5351 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.193528 | -5.40% | 0.14057 | -31.29% | 0.5058 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.199659 | -5.49% | 0.14442 | -31.64% | 0.5435 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.195997 | -5.33% | 0.156 | -24.65% | 0.4368 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.205197 | -4.41% | 0.15359 | -28.45% | 0.4773 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.209166 | -4.69% | 0.14335 | -34.68% | 0.5800 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.207575 | -4.51% | 0.14355 | -33.97% | 0.6036 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.21413 | -4.73% | 0.1493 | -33.57% | 0.5825 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.228794 | -5.43% | 0.1605 | -33.66% | 0.5181 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.228356 | -5.83% | 0.13701 | -43.50% | 0.6980 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.235806 | -7.10% | 0.195165 | -23.11% | 0.3666 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.247044 | -8.54% | 0.205345 | -23.97% | 0.3542 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.248283 | -8.28% | 0.220915 | -18.39% | 0.2867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.220488 | -4.64% | 0.215955 | -6.60% | 0.1140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.217376 | -5.06% | 0.21345 | -6.78% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.212346 | -4.88% | 0.20579 | -7.82% | 0.0314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.214106 | -5.10% | 0.21233 | -5.88% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.22282 | -6.38% | 0.214555 | -9.85% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.231646 | -7.31% | 0.20837 | -16.63% | 0.0940 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.223272 | -6.80% | 0.20957 | -12.52% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.225454 | -6.96% | 0.20644 | -14.81% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.226057 | -8.16% | 0.200645 | -18.49% | 0.1375 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.217351 | -7.86% | 0.203145 | -13.89% | 0.0643 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.241492 | -9.47% | 0.204145 | -23.47% | 0.1702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.24774 | -10.37% | 0.20451 | -26.01% | 0.2029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.243597 | -10.95% | 0.208985 | -23.60% | 0.1803 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.259857 | -12.67% | 0.20336 | -31.66% | 0.2869 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.246121 | -11.98% | 0.20365 | -27.17% | 0.2042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.225543 | -10.56% | 0.19656 | -22.05% | 0.1469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.238135 | -12.46% | 0.2043 | -24.90% | 0.1606 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.210848 | -10.93% | 0.20654 | -12.75% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.199318 | -10.58% | 0.204585 | -8.22% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |