MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s4

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

119

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3347

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0202

actual -0.1788

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.00033306	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000349582	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.00034046	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.00039774	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000409111	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000422045	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.00040112	-11.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000384669	-15.22%	0.0003449	-23.98%	0.1229	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000481493	-14.00%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.2800	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000577852	-13.30%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.4815	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000591388	-15.88%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.3266	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000316813	+2.20%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000323273	+1.98%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000325311	+1.91%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000398833	+0.28%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000404203	+0.45%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000401109	+0.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000448956	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000493623	+0.09%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.2104	✗	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000486194	-0.00%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3304	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000470897	+0.21%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2735	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000466826	+0.24%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1845	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000501295	-0.00%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.2052	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000540382	-0.35%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1907	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000516682	-0.77%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0230	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000540826	-0.57%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0321	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000547805	-0.60%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0148	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000508008	-0.23%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0203	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000501231	+0.21%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0405	✗	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000500509	+0.22%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0067	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000546341	-0.67%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0839	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000538241	-0.69%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0343	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000499475	+0.14%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0437	✗	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000510521	+0.10%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0202	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000504291	+0.56%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0888	✗	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000521773	+0.03%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0278	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000537307	-0.09%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0756	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000495164	+0.97%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0122	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000517347	+0.61%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0464	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000537266	+0.63%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0678	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000496311	+2.16%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1472	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000575209	+0.91%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1957	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000585939	-0.72%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0558	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000613385	-1.05%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0392	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.0006221	-1.33%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0620	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.00061638	-0.76%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0464	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000657311	-1.14%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0591	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000627406	-0.14%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0072	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000785998	-5.05%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.0959	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000673197	-1.00%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1374	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000702341	-1.08%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.2055	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000597691	+1.12%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1191	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000652089	+0.63%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2610	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.00059778	+1.22%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1547	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000690241	+0.06%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.0967	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000746786	-1.17%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1723	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.00077802	-1.52%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2474	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000790086	-1.36%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3272	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000807177	-1.56%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.1915	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000685074	+0.75%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.3983	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000653471	+1.52%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1472	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000699349	+1.35%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.1347	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000748692	+1.17%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0042	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000719998	+1.41%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.1273	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000820292	+1.27%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0224	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000900267	+1.15%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1522	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001093	+0.26%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4328	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001393	-1.22%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7658	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001356	-1.04%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.6149	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001521	-1.86%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.7075	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.00154	-1.90%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.8155	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001451	-1.31%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.6185	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001572	-1.73%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.5714	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001421	-1.35%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.3096	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001316	-1.76%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.1440	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001724	-2.05%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.0889	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001358	-3.66%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.1734	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001693	-1.58%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.0631	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002058	+0.37%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.1449	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002408	+0.34%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.1487	✗	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002514	+0.58%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.3294	✗	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002352	+0.52%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.4504	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002755	+1.27%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.4292	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003148	+1.54%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.6491	✗	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004137	+0.65%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.7569	✗	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004567	-0.50%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.7303	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004953	-1.33%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.7483	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006125	-4.14%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.8985	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006313	-4.78%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.8476	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004844	-0.74%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.5748	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005051	-1.35%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.5257	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006971	-4.51%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.5355	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009105	-3.65%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.7030	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.01048	-3.94%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.8490	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013149	-4.16%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.8104	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.009927	-4.27%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.6498	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012651	-3.87%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1752	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016094	-4.09%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3420	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.01537	-4.00%	0.0073	-54.40%	1.0296	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.01901	-4.52%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9701	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.019674	-4.73%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.8205	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017192	-4.28%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.4062	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.021689	-4.96%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.7250	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.024898	-5.83%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3959	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.021586	-5.66%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.1310	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019111	-5.58%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0624	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.019399	-7.01%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1341	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015421	-6.54%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4251	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012234	-4.80%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3659	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012173	-4.97%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5289	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012519	-5.80%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.4820	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010732	-4.18%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6183	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014226	-8.40%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3208	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011484	-6.02%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5556	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007811	-1.13%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7350	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008899	-1.78%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4186	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.00973	-2.40%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3296	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009709	-2.91%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3368	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008242	-1.88%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3228	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007436	-1.12%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7583	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006778	-0.61%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.6268	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007572	-1.15%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0601	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011019	-1.44%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1877	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013519	-1.47%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2308	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015414	-4.20%	0.01	-37.85%	0.3197	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012253	-1.03%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2837	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010633	-0.99%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.3044	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009747	-0.84%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3203	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010875	-1.04%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3236	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011755	-1.05%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009278	-1.20%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.2977	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009268	-0.99%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4653	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011478	-0.45%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0438	✗	1.00