META2

META2 · · lstm_s4

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

50.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2049

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0273

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.7975	+0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.7697	+0.13%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0034	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.651	+0.08%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0097	✗	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.6833	+0.04%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0003	✓	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.8115	-0.08%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0163	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.6556	-0.17%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0113	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6847	-0.35%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0089	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5362	-1.09%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0040	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6687	-1.13%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0260	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.776	-0.99%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0144	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.1222	+0.08%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0202	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.1167	+0.00%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0120	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.8785	-0.05%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0077	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.8332	-0.20%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0098	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.0696	-0.28%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0136	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9812	-0.74%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0450	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	18.0244	-0.88%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0085	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.4807	-0.12%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0565	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.2821	-0.22%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0171	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.2538	-0.30%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0002	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.3372	-0.39%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0044	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.2285	-0.58%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0117	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.6205	-0.74%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0393	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.1113	-1.87%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0321	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	17.0626	-0.19%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.0965	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.5539	-0.22%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0314	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.8214	-0.31%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0197	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	17.0623	-0.43%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0058	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5873	-0.49%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0324	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.6015	-0.61%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0395	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.1673	-0.68%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0405	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.9012	-0.58%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0131	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3589	-0.59%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1166	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9713	-1.48%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3519	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.8814	-1.76%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0738	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.8338	-2.11%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0160	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.7475	-2.51%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0140	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.6919	-2.93%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0916	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.5955	-3.40%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0023	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.4934	-3.96%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0515	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.6947	-4.45%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0832	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.3792	-5.62%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0470	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.3148	-11.52%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.1682	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.3226	-6.43%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0669	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.3882	-3.43%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7259	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.3259	-5.61%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.1102	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.6438	-4.00%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6342	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.682	-8.37%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5998	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.566	-11.20%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.2061	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.4322	-14.69%	4.016	-0.17%	0.0671	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.332	-17.11%	4.023	+0.07%	0.1938	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.1761	-15.20%	4.02	-34.14%	0.1878	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.6849	-0.24%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9540	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	41.0402	-0.25%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0310	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	41.0876	-0.34%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0245	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.5489	-0.37%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0474	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.2713	-0.83%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3847	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.0882	-1.43%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3832	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.8081	-0.18%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.3108	-0.62%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.8769	-2.95%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2353	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.5807	-0.17%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5554	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.4967	-0.88%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.3988	-1.02%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.1864	-1.19%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.5724	-3.39%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0293	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.0989	-1.48%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.9963	-1.89%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.0309	-5.25%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.163	-19.38%	30.638	+493.30%	2.0031	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.4168	-0.91%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7735	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.243	-1.61%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0167	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.3408	-1.83%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0189	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.8632	-3.03%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.5386	-4.31%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.2771	-2.00%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0191	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.