MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s4
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0817
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0110
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.710355 | -1.21% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.748225 | -1.49% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.760714 | -1.74% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0538 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.765655 | -1.98% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.73319 | -1.74% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.640319 | -0.92% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1587 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.620707 | -0.75% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.604605 | -0.66% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.595812 | -0.55% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0985 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.593421 | -0.56% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.605474 | -0.56% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0884 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.607858 | -0.56% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0390 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.56099 | -0.41% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0814 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.510219 | -0.26% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0886 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.546518 | -0.34% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0470 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.685495 | -0.60% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1963 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.649483 | -0.47% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.668387 | -0.49% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.699736 | -0.66% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.70484 | -0.70% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.717281 | -0.79% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.738384 | -0.95% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0364 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.787012 | -1.17% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.770926 | -1.24% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.764753 | -1.39% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0325 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.754216 | -1.51% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.76502 | -1.59% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.72094 | -1.50% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0789 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.816008 | -1.68% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.890888 | -2.12% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.710996 | -1.50% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2516 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.51091 | -1.26% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2808 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.807102 | -2.65% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4436 | ✓ | 1.00 |