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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
47.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3456
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0633
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.2564-4.84%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.2275-4.59%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9608-4.33%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9462-4.19%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.9834-4.21%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.0446-4.11%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8994-4.16%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.9576-4.11%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1736-5.20%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.2049-5.06%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5566-7.25%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.4146-6.12%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.4149-5.83%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.4045-5.59%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3665-5.77%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5486-6.99%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7515-6.65%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4834-4.94%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3787-5.27%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.3623-5.32%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.5581-6.49%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.6526-7.53%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.614-8.11%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.0543-8.71%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.2194-9.35%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.3862-9.45%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.4156-9.00%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.6065-9.19%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.8286-9.23%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.593-9.35%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.2967-9.33%3.4219-27.79%0.1616✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.305-9.83%3.3826-29.15%0.2770✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.3461-9.63%3.0947-35.65%0.3518✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.307-9.68%3.0752-35.51%0.3597✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.3278-10.04%3.1146-35.26%0.4455✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.1412-10.04%3.1752-31.03%0.3886✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.6353-9.56%3.0253-24.73%0.3341✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38853.9561-9.85%3.0842-29.72%0.3239✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.6977-10.10%3.3476-18.61%0.2366✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.7838-10.25%3.3759-19.92%0.2115✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35183.9284-9.73%3.8347-11.88%0.1628✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.8827-9.54%3.6372-15.26%0.2041✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.1058-9.29%3.6262-19.88%0.2154✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.3747-9.42%3.6061-25.33%0.2643✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.2831-9.35%3.5727-24.38%0.2736✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.1051-9.07%3.8154-15.49%0.1829✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.3184-9.18%4.0187-15.48%0.1972✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.3926-9.03%3.6643-24.12%0.3188✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.039-9.07%3.5667-19.71%0.1979✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.4511-8.97%3.5512-6.34%0.1063✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.2324-8.17%3.8048+8.09%0.0200✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.2958-7.59%3.9499+10.75%0.0969✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.2483-7.94%3.9328+11.46%0.1229✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.2852-7.56%4.4413+24.97%0.2418✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.2569-6.84%4.6547+33.14%0.2817✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.475-6.35%4.844+30.54%0.2869✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.323-3.73%4.8522+40.57%0.3241✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2946+0.33%5.0729+54.48%0.3695✓0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.3584-1.22%5.3196+56.46%0.4021✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.3257-6.90%5.0667+41.84%0.3204✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.1454-1.38%4.7386+48.58%0.2981✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.2693+4.56%4.7745+52.70%0.3442✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6584-0.37%4.8092+80.24%0.5059✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4613-5.47%4.7687+83.15%0.5086✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2274-5.57%4.8107+103.95%0.6136✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.186-6.18%4.6035+97.57%0.5818✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1321-6.37%4.0195+76.51%0.4509✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1206-6.25%4.3885+94.01%0.5162✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1055-5.79%4.1132+84.03%0.4741✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1307-6.19%4.2158+85.61%0.4904✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.173-6.96%4.3518+86.32%0.4938✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2283-7.85%4.2923+77.50%0.4681✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.1971-7.78%4.5262+89.98%0.5158✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1428-6.98%4.8297+109.67%0.6095✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1312-6.62%4.7248+107.03%0.5840✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1505-6.43%4.5148+96.43%0.5165✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1932-7.63%4.7547+100.25%0.5429✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0483-6.25%4.8289+121.01%0.6304✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9465-5.44%4.4421+115.80%0.5762✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8962-5.45%3.7914+89.05%0.4889✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9007-6.50%3.52+73.16%0.4068✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.8864-6.49%3.5664+76.80%0.4046✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9286-6.69%3.5283+70.70%0.3842✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1004-7.88%3.5537+55.87%0.3440✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0165-7.42%3.4962+60.52%0.3656✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.109-8.24%3.7108+61.45%0.3556✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9613-7.86%3.4518+62.16%0.3720✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9623-8.44%3.2837+53.22%0.3522✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.8846-8.63%3.3999+64.84%0.4039✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8569-8.61%3.5721+75.80%0.4833✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1621.9721-8.78%3.1894+47.52%0.3359✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1038-8.55%3.1267+35.92%0.2568✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.1287-9.24%2.6682+13.77%0.1495✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1791.9742-9.40%2.6037+19.49%0.2317✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20981.981-10.36%2.3588+6.74%0.1746✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.0277-10.13%2.33+3.26%0.1426✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.0694-9.60%2.2771-0.53%0.1092✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.0684-9.52%2.262-1.05%0.0995✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.183-9.67%2.235-7.51%0.0453✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3392-9.78%2.2713-12.40%0.0102✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.077-9.86%2.3356+1.36%0.1050✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.3685-10.01%2.4181-8.12%0.0227✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3279-9.68%2.3824-7.56%0.0218✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.4378-9.36%2.3035-14.36%0.0642✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.1693-9.48%2.2822-4.77%0.0336✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1227-8.90%2.2984-1.35%0.0511✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2402-8.84%2.3744-3.38%0.0485✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3385-9.25%2.1849-15.21%0.0742✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2317-9.21%2.0584-16.26%0.0857✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.0001-9.13%2.0055-8.88%0.0012✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9247-8.94%2.0328-3.82%0.0447✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.8816-9.05%2.0172-2.50%0.0565✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8694-9.74%2.0669-0.21%0.0699✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6774-9.28%2.28+23.31%0.2511✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.6844-9.46%2.1781+17.08%0.2237✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5654-9.38%2.2984+33.05%0.3435✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5669-8.88%2.1286+23.78%0.2726✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6576-9.07%2.1431+17.57%0.2090✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.4731-8.45%2.0626+28.18%0.2966✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5412-9.12%2.0319+19.82%0.2500✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3714-8.86%2.162+43.68%0.4287✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4601-9.27%2.3005+42.95%0.4331✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4172-9.60%2.3453+49.61%0.4711✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4096-9.45%2.179+39.98%0.4259✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.3962-9.67%2.2098+42.97%0.4465✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4583-9.52%2.2564+39.99%0.4158✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5562-9.56%2.2892+33.04%0.3913✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5593-10.05%2.2859+31.87%0.4004✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5162-10.26%2.4166+43.03%0.4824✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5071-10.65%2.5928+53.72%0.5496✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4555-10.81%2.3042+41.20%0.4825✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.3748-10.58%2.6319+71.19%0.6474✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.3907-10.74%2.5774+65.42%0.6149✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2473-10.37%2.6896+93.27%0.7454✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4272-9.85%2.3965+51.38%0.5054✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3323-9.64%2.33+58.02%0.5666✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.2971-9.51%2.4575+71.44%0.6388✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.296-9.42%2.5769+80.11%0.6570✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3669-9.38%2.458+62.95%0.5604✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3189-9.23%2.201+51.47%0.5203✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6156-9.51%2.1136+18.38%0.2866✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4524-9.45%2.0689+28.99%0.4315✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.22-9.21%2.0712+54.13%0.7734✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2511-9.11%1.849+34.33%0.7190✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.244-9.13%1.8603+35.89%0.6794✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1401-9.45%1.7274+37.19%0.6980✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.068-8.89%1.7196+46.70%0.7525✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0375-8.49%1.8228+60.77%0.8585✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0819-8.56%1.6091+35.99%0.7253✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2555-8.99%1.6959+22.92%0.5900✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.1732-9.15%1.5047+16.53%0.4982✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1215-8.64%1.6094+31.11%0.5763✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.0909-8.37%1.5676+31.67%0.5724✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.2791-10.30%1.5567+9.16%0.4015✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1505-9.87%1.5456+21.09%0.5140✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0358-9.26%1.6118+41.20%0.6579✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.919455-3.31%1.7207+80.95%0.8266✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.836512-3.12%1.7335+100.76%0.9207✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.852418-3.11%1.6896+92.04%0.8750✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.834953-2.69%1.6867+96.59%0.9180✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.896681-2.02%1.6319+78.31%0.8634✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.874379-2.52%1.5373+71.39%0.8333✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.908364-1.96%1.5581+68.16%0.8232✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.977397-2.24%1.3916+39.19%0.6900✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0341-2.15%1.5831+49.80%0.7658✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0205-3.20%1.4745+39.87%0.6616✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.036-4.16%1.4334+32.60%0.6063✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.964777-2.61%1.4307+44.42%0.7187✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.941731-1.27%1.5084+58.14%0.8284✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.951613-1.58%1.4531+50.29%0.6704✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.886593-1.81%1.7854+97.74%0.9170✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.899021-2.50%1.6039+73.94%0.7438✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.883699-2.68%1.3438+48.00%0.5189✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.883863-2.17%1.3765+52.35%0.5053✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.855092-3.24%1.369+54.91%0.5054✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.912004-3.84%1.2591+32.75%0.3556✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.8654-3.42%1.1722+30.81%0.3456✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.837402-3.02%1.1338+31.30%0.3487✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.899067-1.89%1.1832+29.12%0.3169✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.90864-2.25%1.3796+48.41%0.4236✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.927322-1.93%1.2913+36.57%0.3386✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.917135-0.79%1.2275+32.79%0.3167✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.873865-0.61%1.1906+35.42%0.3523✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.876726-2.37%1.426+58.80%0.4676✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.877658-2.38%1.2764+41.96%0.3492✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.858403-3.63%1.1415+28.15%0.2376✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.958836-2.04%0.9509-2.86%0.0272✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0445-0.41%0.86345-17.67%0.1951✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0167-2.79%0.8798-15.88%0.1906✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04191.0115-2.92%0.858-17.65%0.2302✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.999917-2.52%0.9152-10.78%0.1949✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0851-5.09%0.897-21.54%0.2656✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0288-5.84%0.92655-15.20%0.2596✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1136-7.67%0.99975-17.11%0.2399✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0706-5.82%1.0568-7.04%0.1530✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.984446-2.96%1.0542+3.91%0.0660✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.971277-2.80%1.081+8.18%0.0321✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0379-3.58%0.99065-7.96%0.1691✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.987954-3.59%0.95385-6.92%0.2278✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.977478-3.03%0.96685-4.09%0.1935✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.953404-3.41%0.9029-8.53%0.2510✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.955404-3.43%0.9221-6.80%0.2191✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.923035-2.70%0.908-4.28%0.2025✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.870643-2.24%0.9035+1.45%0.1240✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.848981-2.70%0.88375+1.29%0.0899✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.78563-2.68%0.94845+17.48%0.0437✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.801927-3.00%0.89605+8.38%0.0566✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.833115-2.93%0.8635+0.61%0.1410✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.858233-2.75%0.9164+3.84%0.1301✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.884627-2.96%0.9296+1.97%0.0907✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.958943-3.69%0.94555-5.04%0.1083✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.975435-4.08%0.9244-9.10%0.1729✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.919111-3.76%0.8792-7.94%0.1570✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.904584-3.68%0.898-4.38%0.1445✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0065-4.39%0.8991-14.59%0.2232✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0205-4.03%0.89075-16.24%0.1892✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1256-5.63%0.97885-17.94%0.2335✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1466-5.36%1.0488-13.44%0.1820✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2313-5.00%1.0459-19.30%0.1824✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1215-3.55%1.0419-10.39%0.0728✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0392-4.24%1.0257-5.47%0.0343✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0536-4.90%1.1433+3.20%0.0296✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0463-4.76%1.0926-0.55%0.0464✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.0901-5.40%1.2061+4.66%0.0589✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0171-5.10%1.1368+6.07%0.0654✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0053-4.79%1.0145-3.92%0.0214✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.978146-4.14%0.99925-2.07%0.0232✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.973573-4.53%1.0763+5.55%0.0026✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.076-4.73%1.0248-9.27%0.0765✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0882-4.43%1.008-11.47%0.0919✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1583-4.20%0.9871-18.36%0.0988✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3354-2.63%0.98935-27.86%0.2059✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.241-4.41%0.9486-26.93%0.2439✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2944-4.77%0.8906-34.48%0.3617✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.294-4.76%0.8725-35.78%0.4386✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3262-4.29%0.8073-41.74%0.4922✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3043-3.88%0.82675-39.07%0.4577✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3718-3.95%0.85825-39.91%0.4479✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.3995-3.82%0.8825-39.35%0.4317✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3837-3.22%0.91165-36.24%0.5082✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.35-2.81%0.9957-28.32%0.4306✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.395-3.55%1.017-29.69%0.3707✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4779-3.05%0.955-37.35%0.4912✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4855-3.03%0.9391-38.70%0.4565✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4345-2.85%1.0527-28.71%0.3381✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.4111-2.41%1.0634-26.46%0.3425✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.546-2.69%1.1928-24.92%0.2951✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.646-2.48%1.2116-28.22%0.3405✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6367-2.40%1.2961-22.71%0.3054✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.6094-2.33%1.1627-29.44%0.3956✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5637-2.09%1.0852-32.06%0.4221✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.4094-1.35%1.1078-22.46%0.3139✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3948-1.49%1.0986-22.42%0.2956✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4402-2.04%1.1523-21.62%0.2478✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.509-2.57%1.0717-30.80%0.3437✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5751-2.75%1.0559-34.81%0.3954✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5884-2.32%1.0204-37.25%0.4308✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.6012-3.71%1.0198-38.67%0.3843✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4424+0.21%1.1295-21.53%0.3133✗1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4563-7.56%1.1386-27.72%0.1767✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.3603-8.15%1.2091-18.36%0.0527✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.4641-8.30%1.3715-14.10%0.0138✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.3906-8.17%1.2982-14.27%0.0493✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4404-8.03%1.3592-13.22%0.0753✓1.00