KAIA

Kaia · native · lstm_s4

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1727

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0027

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.037957	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.038818	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.037558	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038008	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.040221	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.038477	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.038643	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.039632	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.042887	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.041454	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.047608	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.051372	-9.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.052172	-13.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.036199	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.037311	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.038643	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.039745	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.038675	+3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.038019	+1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.037172	+3.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.037891	+2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.035605	+3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.035032	+3.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.033755	+3.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.034985	+4.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.036429	+3.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.036251	+4.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.03504	+6.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.033669	+6.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.033951	+6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.035006	+7.07%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.2038	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.031356	+3.33%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.2595	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.031516	+3.33%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.2495	✓	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.031209	+4.13%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.2637	✓	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.029266	+1.62%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3171	✓	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.028025	+0.70%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3086	✓	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.027567	+1.71%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3091	✓	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.029634	+2.29%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3138	✓	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.029645	+1.30%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3476	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.02972	+1.78%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3380	✓	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.029779	+1.81%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4379	✓	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027761	+1.50%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6015	✓	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.031031	+3.20%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.5960	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.032393	+1.83%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.0781	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.031786	+2.39%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1124	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.032709	+3.94%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1023	✓	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.032243	+4.45%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1248	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.032021	+5.09%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.0481	✓	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.032577	+7.43%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.0808	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.029803	+6.23%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.0697	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.031072	+7.59%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.0441	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.031478	+6.98%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0114	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.029361	+6.53%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.0484	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.031106	+7.89%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0315	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.031474	+8.74%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0405	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.034872	+9.97%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0504	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.03602	+10.04%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.1069	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.035463	+10.65%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.1546	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.034354	+10.87%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.1571	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.034984	+10.88%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.2124	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.035404	+10.76%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.2189	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.033482	+11.57%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.1420	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.028696	+9.07%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0583	✓	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.024798	+3.78%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0294	✓	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.021562	+0.26%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1339	✓	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.023036	+0.66%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0293	✓	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022861	-0.02%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0103	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.02392	+0.21%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0188	✗	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.024777	+0.60%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0219	✗	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.026258	+1.68%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0795	✗	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.026548	+1.37%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0890	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.027071	+0.82%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1646	✗	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.02689	+0.75%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0775	✗	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.027126	+0.39%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0193	✗	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.027472	+0.89%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0634	✗	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.027589	+1.84%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0717	✗	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.027001	+1.13%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0703	✗	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.02702	+0.48%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0787	✗	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.027199	+1.36%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.1145	✗	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.02658	+0.95%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.1296	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.02641	+0.42%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0959	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.025918	+1.32%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0816	✗	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.02564	+1.77%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.1245	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.026769	+1.96%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.1002	✗	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.026402	+1.86%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0860	✗	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.026613	+2.00%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0303	✗	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.026034	+0.85%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0352	✓	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.030199	-0.22%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0861	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.029691	-0.43%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.1192	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.031254	-0.24%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.1428	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.031646	+1.12%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.1249	✗	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.032483	+1.27%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.2134	✗	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.033314	+1.47%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.3096	✗	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.032478	+0.57%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3532	✗	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.032329	+0.21%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.4077	✗	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.033164	+0.71%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3672	✗	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.032851	-0.47%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3491	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.033825	-0.16%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.3389	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.034364	+1.59%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.3096	✗	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.034648	+1.61%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2729	✗	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.033944	+0.06%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2759	✗	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.035362	+1.02%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2724	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.035072	+0.85%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2750	✗	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.035491	+1.69%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2825	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.034154	+1.62%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.2498	✗	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.033583	+1.08%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.2506	✗	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.034452	+1.75%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.2676	✗	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.034408	+1.62%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.2546	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.035409	+0.40%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2835	✗	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.035681	+1.17%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.3091	✗	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.035773	+1.00%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.3206	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.034613	+0.47%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.3193	✗	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.033483	-0.50%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.3225	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.034149	-2.18%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3471	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.034452	-1.52%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.3360	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.033478	-2.13%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.3108	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.033226	-1.52%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.3050	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.033555	-1.41%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1768	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032411	-1.40%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1469	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.033336	-0.83%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.1059	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.036257	-0.98%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1788	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.036764	-0.95%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1639	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.035245	-1.32%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.1125	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.035795	-0.87%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.1151	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.036056	-0.59%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.1263	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.036173	-0.36%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.1180	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.037532	+0.03%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.1217	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.037816	+0.23%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0868	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.037785	+0.28%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0913	✗	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.037475	-0.35%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0855	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.035796	-1.17%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0263	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035552	-1.09%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0180	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.035838	-1.00%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0327	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033706	-0.72%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0025	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.035173	-0.36%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0634	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.037626	+0.26%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.1148	✗	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.036462	+0.03%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0743	✗	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.036524	-0.34%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.1166	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.03777	-0.16%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.1027	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.040465	-0.26%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.1284	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.043474	-0.54%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1864	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.044129	-0.81%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1841	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.047171	-2.36%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.2189	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.045648	-1.89%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0974	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.047255	-2.70%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1543	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.047073	-3.54%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1684	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.047423	-2.81%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1945	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.046101	-2.84%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1484	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.047686	-2.17%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.2002	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.049216	-2.06%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.2019	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049896	-2.57%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1532	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.051195	-2.09%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1837	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.051165	-2.38%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2237	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.0527	-2.06%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2336	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050967	-1.17%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1873	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049477	-0.85%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1580	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.050524	-1.00%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1631	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050838	-0.73%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1732	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.046313	+0.92%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0774	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.047599	+2.74%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0869	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.050192	+5.03%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.1391	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.049008	+3.58%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.1315	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.049651	+4.90%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.1269	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.05096	+5.02%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1874	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.052276	+5.70%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1730	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.050199	+4.89%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.1046	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.0514	+5.03%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1644	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.049552	+5.21%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0925	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.050776	+7.94%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0438	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.050901	+7.98%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0112	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.049291	+6.60%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.0780	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.048421	+6.26%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.0652	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.048748	+6.79%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.0845	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.048134	+5.81%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0244	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.046835	+3.09%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.0680	✓	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.047468	+3.30%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.0578	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.048847	+3.44%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0358	✓	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.050599	+5.82%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0248	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.052594	+8.52%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0397	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.052463	+7.45%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0381	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.0519	+7.13%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0070	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.052827	+8.75%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0110	✓	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.052392	+9.66%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.0369	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.052088	+7.71%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.0165	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.051406	+5.60%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0185	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.04939	+4.82%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0306	✓	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.052315	+6.39%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0412	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.055957	+8.64%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0928	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.050819	+5.30%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.1416	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.049227	+3.93%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.1172	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.048658	+3.53%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.1100	✗	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.049735	+3.56%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.1146	✗	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.047186	+1.36%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.1320	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.048542	+2.26%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.1177	✗	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.048598	+2.18%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.1071	✗	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.047827	+1.43%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.1215	✗	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.04745	+1.29%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0958	✗	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.048765	+1.73%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.1468	✗	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.047001	+0.10%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1783	✗	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.047124	+0.19%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1696	✗	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.047419	-0.42%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.2129	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.048831	-0.46%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.2460	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.048842	-0.62%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.2473	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.047606	-0.72%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.2004	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.046434	-0.41%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1472	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.044355	-0.90%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.1059	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.044564	-0.85%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.1048	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.044476	-0.75%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0996	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.046042	-0.30%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1389	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.048797	-0.48%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.1345	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.05088	+0.29%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.1413	✗	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.051422	-0.41%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1736	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.051111	+0.19%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1777	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.049631	-1.30%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1607	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.050174	-0.95%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1400	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.051396	-0.35%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.1396	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.051349	-0.39%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.1347	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.053763	+0.22%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.1344	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.056759	+2.20%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1815	✗	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.057981	+3.49%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.2014	✗	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.056088	+2.43%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1987	✗	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.054645	+0.52%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1821	✗	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.053969	-0.21%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1446	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.054365	-0.75%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1784	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.054664	-0.79%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1861	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054741	-0.57%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1803	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.050434	-0.35%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.1189	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.048915	-1.27%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.1230	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.051965	-2.49%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1291	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.051764	-2.03%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.1113	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053308	-1.10%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0506	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.054575	-0.68%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0081	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.052166	-3.22%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0331	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.053425	-3.38%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.0951	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.052723	-3.56%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1689	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.053656	-3.41%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1770	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.05349	-3.86%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1759	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.054491	-3.70%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1737	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.055116	-3.41%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1463	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.051199	-3.48%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1319	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.051537	-3.47%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1368	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.053817	-2.92%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0937	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.055345	-2.75%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1336	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.055098	-2.45%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0889	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.054599	-2.32%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.1104	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.055302	-2.21%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1442	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.056223	-2.15%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1307	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.057216	-1.62%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.1066	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.056419	-1.27%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.1048	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.059785	-1.77%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1516	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.056828	-1.24%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.1063	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.056019	-1.09%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.1205	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.055059	-0.74%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0887	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.053804	-0.88%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0135	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.054656	-1.03%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0062	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.055075	-0.81%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0054	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.055179	+0.01%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0713	✗	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.056944	+0.06%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0546	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.050205	+0.88%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0289	✗	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.05704	-1.81%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0249	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.057302	-2.99%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0352	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.059532	-6.04%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0377	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.053392	-1.24%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.1777	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.054436	-1.62%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2126	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.055996	-2.93%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3624	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.056397	-2.23%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3508	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.062896	-4.18%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3356	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.068568	-7.59%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2334	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.066961	-7.31%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2332	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.070772	-9.14%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1845	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.081336	-14.69%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0474	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.06314	-12.52%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2801	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.051595	-1.37%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.4939	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.051869	-0.97%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.4785	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.050138	-0.72%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5053	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.054835	+0.54%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5045	✓	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.055883	+0.98%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.4932	✓	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.059989	+1.26%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4209	✓	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.060616	+1.57%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4023	✓	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.061345	+1.48%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.4346	✓	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.064512	+1.58%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.3666	✓	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.064648	+0.11%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.3859	✓	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.060098	-0.98%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.3556	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.062127	-2.35%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.2632	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.061984	-3.01%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2509	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.063377	-3.59%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2334	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.064712	-3.28%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2291	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.06512	-3.14%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3152	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.066801	-4.79%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4059	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.066014	-1.66%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3096	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.062018	-0.49%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.2785	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.058906	+0.06%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3139	✓	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.058129	-0.84%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.1945	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.055545	-1.76%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2004	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.054418	-1.57%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1246	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.055467	-0.90%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1144	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.05457	-1.66%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1464	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.055125	-2.47%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.2741	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.056441	-2.55%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2387	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.053897	-3.14%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3819	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.053938	-2.87%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5346	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.0563	-2.62%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2143	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.056984	-2.43%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1218	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.058491	-2.20%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1247	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.058317	-1.77%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1381	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.059016	-1.78%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1531	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.059342	-1.35%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1664	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.054738	-1.06%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0870	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.062327	-0.88%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.2008	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.070617	-0.73%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2824	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.070242	-1.46%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2750	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.07269	-1.58%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2376	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.074933	-1.38%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2264	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.073784	-1.27%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1581	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.075962	-0.66%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1365	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.07578	-0.46%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.1167	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.07875	-0.30%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1354	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.077606	-0.53%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1540	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.077998	-0.37%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1607	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.07698	-1.38%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2140	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.076139	-1.08%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2368	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.079682	-0.75%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2775	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.080736	-0.30%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2611	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.078853	-0.64%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2882	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.074939	-0.74%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3267	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.07782	-0.55%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2932	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.078402	-0.47%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2768	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.079114	-0.44%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2805	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.080736	-0.61%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2676	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.08151	-0.61%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3227	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.081123	-0.76%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3760	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.080718	-0.63%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3209	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.079317	-0.42%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3183	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.077206	+0.12%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3323	✗	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.076438	+0.58%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3233	✗	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.079818	-0.20%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.3189	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.082948	-0.43%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2544	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.085272	-0.64%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2836	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.084002	-0.80%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1714	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.086275	-1.07%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0677	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.086959	-1.09%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0173	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.086134	-0.65%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0282	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.092211	-1.17%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0114	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.096529	-1.45%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0377	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.09746	-1.48%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0526	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.102625	-1.64%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0492	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.099051	-1.79%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0105	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.099145	-1.74%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0219	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.097638	-1.28%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0146	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.089592	-0.47%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0807	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.090556	-0.77%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1006	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.085003	-0.30%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1103	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.091969	-0.84%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1001	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.103012	-1.10%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0601	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.10368	-1.26%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.0950	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.102572	-0.92%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0530	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.101184	-0.76%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0462	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.106205	-0.81%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0300	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.107557	-0.53%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0836	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.10962	-0.59%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1082	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.110271	-0.80%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1668	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.107243	-0.86%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1317	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.107772	-1.10%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1269	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.107241	-1.16%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1289	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.103792	-0.94%	0.076	-27.46%	0.0981	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.104853	-0.90%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1219	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.106162	-1.20%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.0958	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.105432	-0.81%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.0739	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.102914	-0.18%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.0753	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.102805	+0.60%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0525	✓	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.105993	-0.31%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0328	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.109034	-1.07%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0506	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.112409	-0.93%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0384	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.118239	-0.61%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0340	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.109862	-1.12%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.0885	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.104799	-0.40%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.0732	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.101985	-1.14%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1250	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.139972	+0.59%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.1174	✗	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.14524	+1.41%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1741	✗	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.14341	+0.96%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2525	✗	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.153786	+1.96%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.3154	✗	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.152038	+1.69%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3570	✗	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.1526	+1.16%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.3406	✗	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.156243	+1.15%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2909	✗	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.156599	+0.70%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2949	✗	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.155503	+0.10%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.3118	✗	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.149313	-1.12%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.3182	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.151481	-1.23%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2991	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.151589	-2.03%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.3459	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.148801	-1.94%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3513	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.150329	-1.98%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3585	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.146265	-2.06%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.3326	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.14809	-1.95%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2783	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.147817	-1.98%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2852	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.148752	-1.68%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2871	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.158107	-2.63%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.3207	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.153764	-1.96%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2924	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.153892	-1.83%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2816	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.156669	-1.61%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2916	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.157251	-1.73%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.3056	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.