DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
50.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0377
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0014
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.203626 | -0.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.207907 | -0.19% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.190932 | +0.20% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0777 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.186589 | +0.21% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.182738 | +0.21% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0134 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.183692 | +0.21% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.18877 | +0.22% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0240 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.190211 | +0.16% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.206683 | -0.08% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0724 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.231018 | -0.72% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1222 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.267072 | -1.47% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1239 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.250813 | -0.47% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0723 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.233306 | -0.10% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.220688 | -0.10% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0508 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.218155 | +0.12% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.215098 | +0.26% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.214389 | +0.23% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.215342 | +0.25% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.214405 | +0.24% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.216155 | +0.30% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.216795 | +0.28% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0033 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.214501 | +0.30% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.215138 | +0.32% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.211518 | +0.32% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.226153 | +0.24% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.231814 | +0.18% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0275 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.22513 | +0.17% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.224678 | +0.21% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.220746 | +0.20% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.221371 | +0.24% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.219746 | +0.20% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.212254 | +0.12% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.216253 | +0.16% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.212949 | +0.19% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0107 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.202839 | +0.12% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.197215 | +0.11% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.200238 | +0.12% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0208 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.213672 | +0.10% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0471 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.216898 | +0.14% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.215939 | +0.16% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.211682 | +0.25% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.199867 | +0.28% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0498 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.206134 | +0.31% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.220415 | +0.30% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.234417 | +0.33% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.243541 | +0.37% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.247655 | +0.39% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.243418 | +0.44% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.24246 | +0.42% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.237422 | +0.37% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.258647 | +0.37% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0881 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.273878 | +0.43% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0460 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.307115 | +0.33% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1303 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.2829 | +0.41% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0861 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.261558 | +0.35% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.238978 | +0.20% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.236576 | +0.24% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.247043 | +0.22% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0521 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.231922 | +0.16% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0667 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.225261 | +0.14% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.233063 | +0.11% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.253385 | +0.05% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0684 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.234157 | -0.49% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.253374 | -0.68% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1262 | ✓ | 1.00 |