CARDS

Collector Crypt · Solana · lstm_s4

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 21 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0978

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual +0.0161

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37764	0.373891	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.376255	0.370516	-1.53%	0.37764	+0.37%	0.0167	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.341225	0.336604	-1.35%	0.376255	+10.27%	0.0983	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.332115	0.328588	-1.06%	0.341225	+2.74%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.25713	0.25564	-0.58%	0.332115	+29.16%	0.2638	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.271445	0.269557	-0.70%	0.25713	-5.27%	0.0549	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.29283	0.288831	-1.37%	0.271445	-7.30%	0.0606	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.349415	0.344049	-1.54%	0.29283	-16.19%	0.1536	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.31083	0.30609	-1.52%	0.349415	+12.41%	0.1256	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.279395	0.276135	-1.17%	0.31083	+11.25%	0.1370	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.2734	0.271629	-0.65%	0.279395	+2.19%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.32592	0.322833	-0.95%	0.2734	-16.11%	0.1428	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.31055	0.306561	-1.28%	0.32592	+4.95%	0.0520	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.29286	0.289385	-1.19%	0.31055	+6.04%	0.0662	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.25146	0.249435	-0.81%	0.29286	+16.46%	0.1501	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.272395	0.270273	-0.78%	0.25146	-7.69%	0.0530	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.310145	0.30579	-1.40%	0.272395	-12.17%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.285115	0.281076	-1.42%	0.310145	+8.78%	0.1009	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.23562	0.234015	-0.68%	0.285115	+21.01%	0.2063	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.26884	0.265388	-1.28%	0.23562	-12.36%	0.1396	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.2746	0.270992	-1.31%	0.26884	-2.10%	0.0108	✓	1.00