BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
30.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2706
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0261
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.022 | -3.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9744 | -3.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9025 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3233 | -3.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3435 | -3.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8609 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7556 | -3.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2777 | -4.31% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0599 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9839 | -5.00% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0269 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6839 | -3.75% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1568 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5687 | -3.51% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4022 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5279 | -3.56% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4402 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5171 | -3.69% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2210 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3447 | -3.45% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3088 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2558 | -3.22% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6083 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1749 | -3.18% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5319 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1951 | -3.13% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3088 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2053 | -3.25% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2478 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.005 | -3.16% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4164 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.333 | -3.51% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1259 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3683 | -3.52% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0497 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.285 | -3.31% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0036 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3395 | -3.54% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0573 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0839 | -3.15% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1796 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1795 | -3.37% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1021 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.971422 | -3.01% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0736 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2584 | -4.33% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1027 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.925698 | -3.01% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4367 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0024 | -3.41% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2640 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.869611 | -3.14% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4983 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.776016 | -3.08% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4031 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.721236 | -3.46% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4863 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.577287 | -2.20% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.611305 | -3.00% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.696798 | -3.21% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.727084 | -3.08% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.683393 | -3.07% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.566633 | -2.74% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.699827 | -4.71% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.536769 | -2.46% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.498929 | -1.94% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1872 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.488205 | -2.37% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3908 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450991 | -0.02% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5366 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.439245 | +0.34% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.45437 | +0.74% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2603 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.454231 | +1.53% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.457759 | +1.23% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.461249 | +1.03% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.463206 | +1.94% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.484914 | -0.96% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0848 | ✓ | 1.00 |