BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
38.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1128
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0066
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0836 | -0.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0294 | -0.68% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0320 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9543 | -0.61% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0646 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3906 | -1.02% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1985 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.4106 | -1.13% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0136 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9113 | -0.86% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2413 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.8019 | -0.81% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0561 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3408 | -1.66% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2440 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0419 | -2.22% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1287 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7307 | -1.08% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2121 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.612 | -0.85% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0478 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5711 | -0.83% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0476 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.561 | -0.90% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0212 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3823 | -0.75% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1464 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2897 | -0.60% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0481 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2065 | -0.58% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0326 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2268 | -0.56% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0146 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.238 | -0.63% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0171 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0325 | -0.50% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2244 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3704 | -0.80% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2732 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4064 | -0.84% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0251 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3194 | -0.72% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1004 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3763 | -0.90% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0368 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1119 | -0.65% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2263 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2107 | -0.82% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.1023 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.995382 | -0.62% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2051 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2938 | -1.64% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2486 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.948349 | -0.63% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3208 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0281 | -0.94% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0742 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.890945 | -0.76% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1739 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.794075 | -0.83% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1274 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.740301 | -0.90% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.588593 | -0.29% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.626298 | -0.62% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0636 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.714917 | -0.69% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1837 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.745128 | -0.68% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.700048 | -0.71% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0618 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.578904 | -0.63% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.719054 | -2.10% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.548188 | -0.38% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.2985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.507793 | -0.20% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0797 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.498177 | -0.37% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.45257 | +0.33% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1223 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.439467 | +0.39% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.452963 | +0.42% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.449656 | +0.50% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.453997 | +0.40% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.457655 | +0.24% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.454643 | +0.05% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.48808 | -0.31% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.00 |