ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0361

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0056

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.18017	-0.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.180137	-0.16%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0016	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.183351	-0.13%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0162	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.184317	+0.01%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0039	✗	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182959	+0.04%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0071	✓	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.178231	+0.04%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0259	✓	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.182098	-0.03%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0217	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184739	-0.07%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0142	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181994	-0.00%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0153	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.180403	-0.05%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0091	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184735	-0.16%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0235	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184927	-0.04%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0007	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.182534	+0.05%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0135	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.187368	-0.02%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0267	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.185163	+0.09%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0123	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.190564	+0.12%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0299	✗	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.178159	+0.09%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0661	✓	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.194107	+0.26%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0867	✗	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.195096	+0.21%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0075	✗	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.202881	+0.35%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0412	✗	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.198772	+0.41%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0170	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.201375	+0.29%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0172	✗	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.198721	+0.46%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0105	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.196155	+0.38%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0084	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.203768	+0.58%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0429	✗	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.224071	+0.59%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.1007	✗	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.230136	+0.51%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0322	✗	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.234701	+0.43%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0251	✗	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.24424	+0.47%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0441	✗	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.238898	+0.26%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0159	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.248097	+0.10%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0411	✗	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.247358	+0.26%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0114	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.231968	+0.31%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0615	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.232235	+0.26%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0037	✗	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.232583	-0.05%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0043	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.233273	-0.10%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0020	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.242017	-0.10%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0351	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240965	+0.09%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0027	✓	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.24038	+0.11%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0028	✓	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.240912	+0.17%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0038	✗	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.249003	+0.12%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0347	✗	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.250726	+0.02%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0074	✗	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.244677	+0.11%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0228	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.24576	+0.16%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0055	✗	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.24342	+0.23%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0079	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.245377	+0.15%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0115	✗	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.24622	+0.14%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0044	✗	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.253225	+0.10%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0293	✗	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.261538	+0.07%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0351	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255909	+0.31%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0235	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.265825	+0.31%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0412	✗	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.253524	+0.26%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0423	✓	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.260191	+0.23%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0255	✗	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.240547	+0.18%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0746	✓	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.233932	+0.22%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0272	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.242383	+0.14%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0456	✗	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.248712	+0.13%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0233	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.246479	+0.08%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0093	✓	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.251607	+0.05%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0231	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253848	+0.08%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0053	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.258778	+0.08%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0178	✗	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.253841	+0.00%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0142	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.249052	+0.10%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0416	✓	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.251958	+0.04%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0047	✓	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.257092	-0.16%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0016	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.262486	-0.22%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0180	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.261112	-0.27%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0166	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261994	-0.31%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0017	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.26806	-0.40%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0195	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.264425	-0.38%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0147	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.256953	-0.27%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0326	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.26489	-0.46%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0287	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257422	-0.39%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0306	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257372	-0.28%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0036	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.262034	-0.28%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0156	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257925	-0.18%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0187	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.259721	-0.15%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0005	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.263808	-0.11%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0171	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.256469	-0.04%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0339	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.267552	-0.05%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0375	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.26603	+0.01%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0060	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.258891	+0.05%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0323	✓	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.265482	+0.02%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0261	✗	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.263565	+0.07%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0068	✗	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.270946	-0.04%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0257	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.270194	-0.05%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0033	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.269768	-0.09%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0026	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.274029	-0.08%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0207	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.28454	-0.28%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0337	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.273846	-0.15%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0418	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.283531	-0.28%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0366	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.27773	-0.08%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0199	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.283338	-0.23%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0207	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.286831	-0.40%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0058	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.27361	-0.07%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0531	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.281193	-0.18%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0271	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.283871	-0.35%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0047	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.277736	-0.27%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0257	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.253221	+0.09%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0925	✓	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.268221	-0.07%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0592	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.265065	-0.21%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0204	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.26906	-0.32%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0179	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.277004	-0.60%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0260	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.277159	-0.31%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0043	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273333	-0.30%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0202	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.278814	-0.42%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0141	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.2891	-0.62%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0358	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.287636	-0.65%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0088	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.289982	-0.82%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0002	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.288696	-0.81%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0143	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.291099	-0.82%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0015	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.289449	-0.87%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0170	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.271149	-0.80%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0802	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.278273	-0.92%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0134	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.246094	-0.60%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1300	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.247952	-0.82%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0009	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.248847	-0.81%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0042	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.254374	-0.89%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0139	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.255682	-0.90%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0040	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.261994	-0.91%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0171	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.241213	-0.86%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0914	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.24942	-0.93%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0262	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.249081	-1.06%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0112	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.246124	-1.10%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0217	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.243361	-0.96%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0229	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.248466	-0.92%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0110	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.262993	-1.12%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0503	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.267334	-1.27%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0078	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.271058	-1.47%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0028	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.269792	-1.72%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0208	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.268321	-1.83%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0252	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.27646	-2.21%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0107	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.275361	-2.35%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0263	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.258381	-2.37%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0915	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.250598	-2.47%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0541	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.229016	-2.00%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1139	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.21432	-1.60%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0863	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.21126	-1.48%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0310	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.215852	-1.61%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0066	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.225598	-2.56%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0406	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.191548	-1.06%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1884	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.180378	-0.88%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0612	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.163883	-0.81%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1222	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.167957	-0.93%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0161	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.172403	-1.09%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0168	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175492	-1.24%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.175812	-1.40%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.177513	-1.54%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.16172	-1.42%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1288	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.170288	-1.63%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.171271	-1.63%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.183801	-1.93%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.181795	-1.89%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.177884	-1.88%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0683	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.169868	-1.93%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.181581	-2.38%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.185553	-2.46%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.171462	-2.68%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1099	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.183986	-5.66%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.147241	-3.56%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2932	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.11396	-1.89%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3177	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.102962	-1.52%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0982	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.122347	-4.12%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1422	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101153	-1.56%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2477	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079687	-0.79%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2601	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084558	-1.09%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0704	✓	1.00