ARX
Arcium · Solana · lstm_s4
- token id
- #310
- symbol
- ARX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-22
- predictions
- 339
Track record at +7d
assessed
106
of 113 predictions shown
direction hit
65.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1241
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0111
actual -0.0032
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2285 | 0.22587 | -1.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.23045 | 0.227386 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.22725 | 0.22404 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.23265 | 0.228816 | -1.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23705 | 0.232953 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.23935 | 0.235141 | -1.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2303 | 0.226264 | -1.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2421 | 0.237391 | -1.94% | 0.2285 | -5.62% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.25125 | 0.246222 | -2.00% | 0.23045 | -8.28% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2508 | 0.245861 | -1.97% | 0.22725 | -9.39% | 0.0794 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2821 | 0.274427 | -2.72% | 0.23265 | -17.53% | 0.1557 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.2784 | 0.270554 | -2.82% | 0.23705 | -14.85% | 0.1239 | ✓ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.25605 | 0.249509 | -2.55% | 0.23935 | -6.52% | 0.0359 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.26245 | 0.255291 | -2.73% | 0.2303 | -12.25% | 0.1054 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.27185 | 0.263714 | -2.99% | 0.2421 | -10.94% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.27005 | 0.261885 | -3.02% | 0.25125 | -6.96% | 0.0289 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2923 | 0.282823 | -3.24% | 0.2508 | -14.20% | 0.0978 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2751 | 0.26559 | -3.46% | 0.2821 | +2.54% | 0.0779 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2819 | 0.272631 | -3.29% | 0.2784 | -1.24% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2895 | 0.280845 | -2.99% | 0.25605 | -11.55% | 0.0794 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.284 | 0.275432 | -3.02% | 0.26245 | -7.59% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2786 | 0.270307 | -2.98% | 0.27185 | -2.42% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.27045 | 0.262774 | -2.84% | 0.27005 | -0.15% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.25885 | 0.251539 | -2.82% | 0.2923 | +12.92% | 0.1377 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2513 | 0.243343 | -3.17% | 0.2751 | +9.47% | 0.1094 | ✗ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2266 | 0.220004 | -2.91% | 0.2819 | +24.40% | 0.2457 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.2494 | 0.241813 | -3.04% | 0.2895 | +16.08% | 0.1769 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.244716 | -2.81% | 0.284 | +12.79% | 0.1455 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2311 | 0.224714 | -2.76% | 0.2786 | +20.55% | 0.2210 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.2222 | 0.2163 | -2.66% | 0.27045 | +21.71% | 0.2437 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.20055 | 0.198706 | -0.92% | 0.25885 | +29.07% | 0.2950 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.19665 | 0.191463 | -2.64% | 0.2513 | +27.79% | 0.2402 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.19445 | 0.189488 | -2.55% | 0.2266 | +16.53% | 0.1482 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1914 | 0.186394 | -2.62% | 0.2494 | +30.30% | 0.2601 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1731 | 0.168397 | -2.72% | 0.2518 | +45.47% | 0.3333 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1693 | 0.164791 | -2.66% | 0.2311 | +36.50% | 0.2674 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1623 | 0.158198 | -2.53% | 0.2222 | +36.91% | 0.2502 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.16235 | 0.160232 | -1.30% | 0.20055 | +23.53% | 0.1510 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.15375 | 0.151966 | -1.16% | 0.19665 | +27.90% | 0.2195 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15455 | 0.153121 | -0.92% | 0.19445 | +25.82% | 0.2041 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.1391 | 0.139512 | +0.30% | 0.1914 | +37.60% | 0.2837 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.13475 | 0.135438 | +0.51% | 0.1731 | +28.46% | 0.2471 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1473 | 0.148141 | +0.57% | 0.1693 | +14.94% | 0.1513 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.152897 | +0.33% | 0.1623 | +6.50% | 0.0834 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.14595 | 0.147734 | +1.22% | 0.16235 | +11.24% | 0.1020 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1413 | 0.144554 | +2.30% | 0.15375 | +8.81% | 0.0929 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1321 | 0.135166 | +2.32% | 0.15455 | +16.99% | 0.1564 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1363 | 0.139667 | +2.47% | 0.1391 | +2.05% | 0.0174 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.129 | 0.133218 | +3.27% | 0.13475 | +4.46% | 0.0563 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1263 | 0.127272 | +0.77% | 0.1473 | +16.63% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1232 | 0.124394 | +0.97% | 0.1524 | +23.70% | 0.1928 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.12885 | 0.131642 | +2.17% | 0.14595 | +13.27% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.11945 | 0.120839 | +1.16% | 0.1413 | +18.29% | 0.1321 | ✓ | 0.72 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.12315 | 0.125401 | +1.83% | 0.1321 | +7.27% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1217 | 0.123736 | +1.67% | 0.1363 | +12.00% | 0.0801 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.132 | 0.136941 | +3.74% | 0.129 | -2.27% | 0.0677 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1292 | 0.133148 | +3.06% | 0.1263 | -2.24% | 0.0387 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.13065 | 0.134285 | +2.78% | 0.1232 | -5.70% | 0.0769 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13355 | 0.137898 | +3.26% | 0.12885 | -3.52% | 0.0645 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1465 | 0.150472 | +2.71% | 0.11945 | -18.46% | 0.2303 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.1243 | 0.125984 | +1.35% | 0.12315 | -0.93% | 0.0325 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1294 | 0.132202 | +2.17% | 0.1217 | -5.95% | 0.0788 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.117 | 0.115967 | -0.88% | 0.132 | +12.82% | 0.0933 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.1163 | 0.11447 | -1.57% | 0.1292 | +11.09% | 0.0721 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.1134 | 0.112155 | -1.10% | 0.13065 | +15.21% | 0.0983 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.1128 | 0.11183 | -0.86% | 0.13355 | +18.40% | 0.1217 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.1097 | 0.109715 | +0.01% | 0.1465 | +33.55% | 0.2489 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.10755 | 0.108052 | +0.47% | 0.1243 | +15.57% | 0.1003 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.11125 | 0.111499 | +0.22% | 0.1294 | +16.31% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.1114 | 0.111785 | +0.35% | 0.117 | +5.03% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1143 | 0.114613 | +0.27% | 0.1163 | +1.75% | 0.0041 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.11885 | 0.118863 | +0.01% | 0.1134 | -4.59% | 0.0508 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.1269 | 0.126272 | -0.49% | 0.1128 | -11.11% | 0.1144 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.1266 | 0.126221 | -0.30% | 0.1097 | -13.35% | 0.1335 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.13015 | 0.129737 | -0.32% | 0.10755 | -17.36% | 0.1813 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.14055 | 0.139345 | -0.86% | 0.11125 | -20.85% | 0.2188 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.1461 | 0.144469 | -1.12% | 0.1114 | -23.75% | 0.2569 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.15025 | 0.148266 | -1.32% | 0.1143 | -23.93% | 0.2559 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.14175 | 0.14052 | -0.87% | 0.11885 | -16.16% | 0.1661 | ✓ | 0.17 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.1479 | 0.146115 | -1.21% | 0.1269 | -14.20% | 0.1424 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.1524 | 0.150183 | -1.46% | 0.1266 | -16.93% | 0.1749 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.16225 | 0.158943 | -2.04% | 0.13015 | -19.78% | 0.2082 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.15805 | 0.155116 | -1.86% | 0.14055 | -11.07% | 0.1067 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.1536 | 0.151066 | -1.65% | 0.1461 | -4.88% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.156 | 0.153213 | -1.79% | 0.15025 | -3.69% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.1527 | 0.150197 | -1.64% | 0.14175 | -7.17% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.1502 | 0.148111 | -1.39% | 0.1479 | -1.53% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.40 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.16 | 0.156781 | -2.01% | 0.1524 | -4.75% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.1795 | 0.174364 | -2.86% | 0.16225 | -9.61% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.1715 | 0.16744 | -2.37% | 0.15805 | -7.84% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.17255 | 0.168505 | -2.34% | 0.1536 | -10.98% | 0.0901 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.16805 | 0.164682 | -2.00% | 0.156 | -7.17% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.1516 | 0.149489 | -1.39% | 0.1527 | +0.73% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.15445 | 0.152471 | -1.28% | 0.1502 | -2.75% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.1477 | 0.146273 | -0.97% | 0.16 | +8.33% | 0.0796 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.1512 | 0.149693 | -1.00% | 0.1795 | +18.72% | 0.1893 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.1625 | 0.160522 | -1.22% | 0.1715 | +5.54% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.159963 | -1.38% | 0.17255 | +6.38% | 0.0559 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.16265 | 0.160307 | -1.44% | 0.16805 | +3.32% | 0.0262 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.16555 | 0.162925 | -1.59% | 0.1516 | -8.43% | 0.0953 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.1726 | 0.169937 | -1.54% | 0.15445 | -10.52% | 0.1418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.1679 | 0.164833 | -1.83% | 0.1477 | -12.03% | 0.1244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.1814 | 0.177662 | -2.06% | 0.1512 | -16.65% | 0.1772 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.1783 | 0.174316 | -2.23% | 0.1625 | -8.86% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.17915 | 0.175295 | -2.15% | 0.1622 | -9.46% | 0.0870 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.18075 | 0.177258 | -1.93% | 0.16265 | -10.01% | 0.1251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.1964 | 0.192115 | -2.18% | 0.16555 | -15.71% | 0.1748 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.2184 | 0.213549 | -2.22% | 0.1726 | -20.97% | 0.1854 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.2388 | 0.233111 | -2.38% | 0.1679 | -29.69% | 0.3306 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.2062 | 0.20148 | -2.29% | 0.1814 | -12.03% | 0.1158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.2145 | 0.209384 | -2.38% | 0.1783 | -16.88% | 0.1861 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.220317 | -2.34% | 0.17915 | -20.59% | 0.2340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.2228 | 0.21783 | -2.23% | 0.18075 | -18.87% | 0.2239 | ✓ | 1.00 |