ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s4
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3065
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0121
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008213 | -1.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007364 | +0.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006953 | +1.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005847 | +2.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.007 | +1.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007781 | +1.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008748 | +0.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008732 | +0.95% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0616 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007623 | +1.44% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008776 | +0.99% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2478 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010978 | -1.10% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010581 | -0.74% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012412 | -1.34% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013392 | -1.53% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4366 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013801 | -1.49% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013387 | -1.20% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013805 | -1.11% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014205 | -0.77% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013135 | -1.47% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1869 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015276 | -1.38% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1707 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014036 | -1.40% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013784 | -1.82% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014416 | -1.80% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0844 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018818 | -1.94% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021044 | -2.12% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023329 | -2.87% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5635 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.02395 | -3.25% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4407 | ✓ | 1.00 |