ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +1d
assessed
54
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0430
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0039
actual -0.0165
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004485 | 0.004464 | -0.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00452 | 0.004476 | -0.98% | 0.004485 | -0.77% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004367 | -0.85% | 0.00452 | +2.61% | 0.0425 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004396 | -0.88% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0106 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004799 | -0.95% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0802 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004846 | -0.80% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0049 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.00498 | -0.70% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0202 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004582 | -0.29% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0857 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004548 | -0.27% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0146 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004622 | -0.29% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0251 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004769 | -0.34% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0181 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004967 | -0.37% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0527 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.00509 | -0.40% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0147 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005033 | -0.43% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0181 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005237 | -0.43% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0286 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005702 | -0.32% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0947 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005795 | -0.26% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005859 | -0.28% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0101 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005976 | -0.32% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0236 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006122 | -0.37% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0054 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.00594 | -0.33% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0360 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005896 | -0.32% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0078 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006195 | -0.40% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0350 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006284 | -0.42% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0109 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006405 | -0.47% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0133 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006487 | -0.51% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0167 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006384 | -0.48% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0214 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006374 | -0.49% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0092 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006485 | -0.53% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0149 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006201 | -0.47% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0502 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006786 | -0.65% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1025 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006813 | -0.68% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006755 | -0.67% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0899 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006968 | -0.74% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0255 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006871 | -0.79% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006777 | -0.77% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.00669 | -0.88% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007836 | -1.62% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1565 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005881 | -0.08% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3371 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006129 | +0.06% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0583 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006329 | +0.06% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006637 | +0.03% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0489 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006941 | +0.02% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.00705 | -0.00% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007962 | -0.23% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007997 | -0.16% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007942 | -0.04% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0242 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008193 | -0.03% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008295 | +0.06% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.00831 | +0.12% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009265 | -0.06% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009759 | -0.06% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0502 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010546 | -0.09% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010734 | -0.05% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0283 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.01105 | -0.00% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |