ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
66.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0429
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0079
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004712 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004373 | -0.72% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0861 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004401 | -0.76% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0094 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004785 | -1.23% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0774 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004834 | -1.05% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0074 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004952 | -1.26% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0145 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004572 | -0.49% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0877 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004541 | -0.43% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0162 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.00461 | -0.54% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0225 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004762 | -0.48% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0167 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004956 | -0.58% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0506 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005079 | -0.60% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0127 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005024 | -0.62% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0200 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005222 | -0.73% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0255 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005681 | -0.68% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0910 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005768 | -0.73% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0283 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005834 | -0.69% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005954 | -0.68% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0199 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.0061 | -0.73% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0018 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005915 | -0.75% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0402 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00587 | -0.75% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0121 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006179 | -0.66% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0324 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006265 | -0.72% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0079 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006382 | -0.83% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00646 | -0.92% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0126 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006361 | -0.85% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0251 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006351 | -0.85% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0128 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006463 | -0.87% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0115 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006173 | -0.92% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0548 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006756 | -1.08% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.0981 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.00678 | -1.16% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0037 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006699 | -1.49% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0982 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006919 | -1.43% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0185 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006835 | -1.30% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006747 | -1.22% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006668 | -1.21% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007692 | -3.43% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005866 | -0.32% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3396 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006103 | -0.37% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0540 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006298 | -0.43% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006605 | -0.45% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006906 | -0.49% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007016 | -0.48% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007928 | -0.65% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007974 | -0.45% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007914 | -0.39% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008154 | -0.50% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008257 | -0.40% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008275 | -0.30% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009212 | -0.63% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009704 | -0.62% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010494 | -0.58% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0571 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010673 | -0.62% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010988 | -0.56% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 1.00 |