A

Vaulta · native · lstm_s4

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,341

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0622

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0167

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09485	0.092496	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.095418	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.087047	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.088628	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.107544	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.101503	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.094762	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.100263	-3.22%	0.09485	-8.45%	0.0705	✓	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.096672	-3.04%	0.09785	-1.86%	0.0144	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.096149	-2.93%	0.0884	-10.75%	0.0854	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.10038	-3.29%	0.09015	-13.15%	0.0859	✓	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.099886	-3.26%	0.1117	+8.18%	0.1310	✗	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.10123	-3.36%	0.1047	-0.05%	0.0469	✗	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.094496	-2.93%	0.09715	-0.21%	0.0223	✓	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.095257	-3.05%	0.1036	+5.45%	0.1054	✗	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.099626	-3.42%	0.0997	-3.34%	0.0306	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.09812	-3.57%	0.09905	-2.65%	0.0582	✗	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.094734	-1.98%	0.1038	+7.40%	0.1259	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.093503	-2.35%	0.10325	+7.83%	0.1220	✗	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.092684	-1.66%	0.10475	+11.14%	0.1468	✗	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.094445	-1.77%	0.09735	+1.25%	0.0701	✗	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.095993	-2.79%	0.09825	-0.51%	0.0269	✓	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.094482	-1.94%	0.10315	+7.06%	0.0638	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.093729	-1.55%	0.10175	+6.88%	0.0534	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.100344	-3.42%	0.09665	-6.98%	0.0610	✓	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.099303	-2.36%	0.09575	-5.85%	0.0402	✓	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.099753	-2.49%	0.09425	-7.87%	0.0616	✓	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.0977	-1.71%	0.09615	-3.27%	0.0214	✓	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.091276	-0.52%	0.09875	+7.63%	0.0885	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.097203	-0.76%	0.09635	-1.63%	0.0207	✗	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.093522	+0.45%	0.0952	+2.26%	0.0551	✓	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.088371	-0.71%	0.1039	+16.74%	0.1209	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.089266	-0.76%	0.1017	+13.06%	0.0910	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.09062	-1.34%	0.1023	+11.38%	0.0809	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.078063	-0.68%	0.0994	+26.46%	0.1548	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.075729	-0.23%	0.09175	+20.88%	0.1040	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.075947	-0.33%	0.09795	+28.54%	0.1362	✗	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.080861	+0.14%	0.0931	+15.29%	0.0542	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.081165	-0.23%	0.089	+9.40%	0.0447	✗	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.078786	+0.62%	0.08995	+14.88%	0.0890	✓	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.077766	+1.32%	0.09185	+19.67%	0.1260	✓	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.07827	+0.99%	0.0786	+1.42%	0.0064	✓	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.082933	+1.76%	0.0759	-6.87%	0.0648	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.08244	+2.09%	0.0762	-5.63%	0.0429	✗	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.08295	+3.11%	0.08075	+0.37%	0.0156	✓	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.083464	+3.55%	0.08135	+0.93%	0.0178	✓	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.083329	+4.03%	0.0783	-2.25%	0.0308	✓	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.080546	+4.27%	0.07675	-0.65%	0.0180	✓	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.082275	+4.54%	0.0775	-1.52%	0.0021	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.079927	+4.28%	0.0815	+6.33%	0.0063	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.077857	+4.51%	0.08075	+8.39%	0.0222	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.078145	+4.40%	0.08045	+7.48%	0.0223	✓	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.077184	+4.66%	0.0806	+9.29%	0.0087	✓	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.079701	+4.25%	0.0801	+4.77%	0.0151	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.079298	+4.13%	0.07725	+1.44%	0.0493	✗	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.080162	+3.30%	0.0787	+1.42%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.081388	+3.22%	0.07665	-2.79%	0.0377	✗	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.075248	+2.94%	0.0745	+1.92%	0.0045	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.074925	+2.57%	0.07485	+2.46%	0.0044	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.07725	+2.59%	0.07375	-2.06%	0.0455	✗	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.074876	+2.36%	0.07645	+4.51%	0.0052	✓	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.078982	+2.18%	0.07615	-1.49%	0.0302	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.070636	+1.42%	0.0776	+11.41%	0.0041	✓	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.066326	-0.26%	0.07885	+18.57%	0.0452	✗	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.060045	-0.67%	0.0731	+20.93%	0.0219	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.060506	-0.81%	0.07305	+19.75%	0.0045	✓	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.060415	-0.96%	0.0753	+23.44%	0.0227	✗	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.061054	-0.89%	0.07315	+18.75%	0.0054	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.061301	-0.97%	0.0773	+24.88%	0.0281	✗	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.061648	-1.20%	0.06965	+11.62%	0.0108	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.061874	-1.08%	0.0665	+6.31%	0.0138	✓	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.062413	-1.09%	0.06045	-4.20%	0.0492	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.063386	-1.11%	0.061	-4.84%	0.0469	✓	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.063711	-1.07%	0.061	-5.28%	0.0125	✓	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.064429	-1.18%	0.0616	-5.52%	0.0158	✓	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.063632	-1.12%	0.0619	-3.81%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.064429	-1.18%	0.0624	-4.29%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.06346	-1.15%	0.06255	-2.57%	0.0044	✓	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.064076	-1.27%	0.0631	-2.77%	0.0071	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.063507	-1.31%	0.0641	-0.39%	0.0021	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.062525	-1.30%	0.0644	+1.66%	0.0082	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.062869	-1.38%	0.0652	+2.27%	0.0026	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.063191	-1.26%	0.06435	+0.55%	0.0144	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.060757	-0.89%	0.0652	+6.36%	0.0782	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.05933	-0.79%	0.0642	+7.36%	0.0673	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.061776	-0.84%	0.0649	+4.17%	0.0460	✗	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.061792	-0.81%	0.06435	+3.29%	0.0443	✗	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.063092	-0.80%	0.06335	-0.39%	0.0333	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.061451	-0.72%	0.06375	+2.99%	0.0612	✗	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.062298	-0.56%	0.064	+2.15%	0.0475	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.064581	-0.64%	0.0613	-5.69%	0.0470	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.065674	-0.65%	0.0598	-9.53%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.066754	-0.66%	0.0623	-7.29%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.066126	-0.71%	0.0623	-6.46%	0.0352	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.067468	-0.71%	0.0636	-6.40%	0.0696	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.068914	-0.84%	0.0619	-10.94%	0.0992	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.06933	-0.96%	0.06265	-10.50%	0.1045	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.071577	-1.27%	0.065	-10.34%	0.1179	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.074447	-1.39%	0.0661	-12.45%	0.1411	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.073256	-1.27%	0.0672	-9.43%	0.1110	✓	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.072835	-1.51%	0.0666	-9.94%	0.1421	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.070572	-1.16%	0.06795	-4.83%	0.0552	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.072972	-1.46%	0.0695	-6.14%	0.0668	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.076897	-2.29%	0.07	-11.05%	0.0898	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.077412	-2.63%	0.0725	-8.81%	0.0763	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.073083	-1.64%	0.0755	+1.62%	0.0114	✓	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.072588	-1.57%	0.0742	+0.61%	0.0075	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.072863	-1.54%	0.07395	-0.07%	0.0462	✗	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.071199	-1.39%	0.0714	-1.11%	0.0001	✓	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.072481	-1.79%	0.07405	+0.34%	0.0094	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.066565	-1.24%	0.0787	+16.77%	0.1404	✗	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.063396	-1.10%	0.0795	+24.02%	0.1980	✗	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.063285	-1.04%	0.0743	+16.18%	0.1208	✗	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.062551	-0.63%	0.07375	+17.16%	0.0799	✗	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.060955	-0.72%	0.074	+20.52%	0.1246	✗	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.059676	-0.54%	0.0722	+20.33%	0.1165	✗	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.059893	-0.51%	0.0738	+22.59%	0.1516	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.061162	-0.47%	0.0674	+9.68%	0.0511	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.060014	-0.14%	0.0641	+6.66%	0.0331	✗	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.061773	-0.29%	0.06395	+3.23%	0.0534	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.064794	-0.62%	0.06295	-3.45%	0.0463	✗	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.064238	-0.56%	0.0614	-4.95%	0.0229	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.06389	-0.56%	0.06	-6.61%	0.0055	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.065871	-0.50%	0.0602	-9.06%	0.0144	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.066108	-0.36%	0.06145	-7.39%	0.0111	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.068758	-0.28%	0.0601	-12.84%	0.0764	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.073716	-0.72%	0.06195	-16.57%	0.1138	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.072303	-0.68%	0.0652	-10.44%	0.0530	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.07314	-0.76%	0.0646	-12.35%	0.0850	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.073504	-0.80%	0.06425	-13.29%	0.0924	✓	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.072095	-0.42%	0.0662	-8.56%	0.0818	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.070724	-0.25%	0.06635	-6.42%	0.0627	✓	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.072373	-0.45%	0.06895	-5.16%	0.0364	✓	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.063913	+0.89%	0.07425	+17.21%	0.1014	✓	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.064573	+1.05%	0.0728	+13.93%	0.0570	✓	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.065052	+1.17%	0.0737	+14.62%	0.0737	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.064808	+1.58%	0.0741	+16.14%	0.0963	✓	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.063114	+2.62%	0.0724	+17.72%	0.0813	✓	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.063855	+2.83%	0.0709	+14.17%	0.0656	✓	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.068814	+1.80%	0.0727	+7.54%	0.0585	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.072585	+1.23%	0.06335	-11.65%	0.0997	✗	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.071609	+0.72%	0.0639	-10.13%	0.0428	✗	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.075981	-1.32%	0.0643	-16.49%	0.0637	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.076203	-1.42%	0.0638	-17.46%	0.0474	✓	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.075865	-1.35%	0.0615	-20.03%	0.0505	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.075334	-1.14%	0.0621	-18.50%	0.0399	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.073605	-0.87%	0.0676	-8.96%	0.0331	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.074744	-0.94%	0.0717	-4.97%	0.0809	✗	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.077132	-1.11%	0.0711	-8.85%	0.0240	✗	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.078631	-0.97%	0.077	-3.02%	0.0460	✗	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.077019	-0.75%	0.0773	-0.39%	0.0414	✗	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.079874	-0.78%	0.0769	-4.47%	0.0067	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.077238	-0.72%	0.0762	-2.06%	0.0091	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.081375	-0.94%	0.07425	-9.62%	0.0494	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.080122	-1.08%	0.07545	-6.85%	0.0272	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.078839	-1.14%	0.078	-2.19%	0.0010	✓	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.080639	-1.06%	0.0794	-2.58%	0.0186	✓	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.079635	-0.89%	0.0776	-3.42%	0.0214	✓	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.083159	-0.94%	0.0805	-4.11%	0.0178	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.086591	-0.81%	0.0778	-10.88%	0.0702	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.091496	-0.76%	0.08215	-10.90%	0.0735	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.090042	-0.83%	0.081	-10.79%	0.0880	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.093339	-0.70%	0.07975	-15.16%	0.1220	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.096822	-0.59%	0.0815	-16.32%	0.1290	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.098343	-0.51%	0.08035	-18.72%	0.1588	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.094171	-0.66%	0.08395	-11.45%	0.0921	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.095696	-0.73%	0.0873	-9.44%	0.0819	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.090872	-0.47%	0.0922	+0.99%	0.0053	✗	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.091473	+0.08%	0.0908	-0.66%	0.0121	✓	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.087468	+0.02%	0.094	+7.49%	0.0764	✓	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.087393	-0.46%	0.0974	+10.93%	0.0894	✗	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.088025	-0.65%	0.09885	+11.57%	0.0787	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090159	-0.49%	0.0948	+4.64%	0.0296	✗	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.08891	-0.55%	0.0964	+7.83%	0.0605	✗	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.088021	-0.77%	0.0913	+2.93%	0.0039	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.093002	-1.27%	0.0914	-2.97%	0.0797	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.09122	-0.90%	0.08745	-5.00%	0.0936	✓	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.088686	-0.46%	0.0878	-1.46%	0.0381	✓	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.091286	-0.29%	0.0886	-3.22%	0.0286	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.087521	-0.32%	0.0906	+3.19%	0.0230	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.090787	-0.45%	0.0894	-1.97%	0.0242	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.087418	+0.14%	0.0887	+1.60%	0.0374	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.087175	+0.09%	0.0942	+8.15%	0.1060	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.082607	-0.35%	0.09205	+11.04%	0.1086	✗	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.081296	-0.25%	0.0891	+9.33%	0.0743	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.078606	-0.44%	0.09155	+15.96%	0.0953	✗	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.081323	-0.09%	0.0878	+7.86%	0.0541	✗	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.084914	+0.13%	0.0912	+7.55%	0.0672	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.083246	-0.24%	0.0873	+4.61%	0.0108	✗	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.080933	-0.21%	0.0871	+7.40%	0.0339	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.078112	-0.37%	0.0829	+5.74%	0.0336	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.079097	-0.26%	0.0815	+2.77%	0.0130	✗	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.076315	-0.76%	0.07895	+2.67%	0.0051	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.079965	-0.54%	0.0814	+1.24%	0.0149	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.080573	-0.53%	0.0848	+4.69%	0.0012	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.078677	-0.85%	0.08345	+5.17%	0.0171	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.078364	-0.99%	0.0811	+2.46%	0.0125	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.080354	-0.80%	0.0784	-3.21%	0.0529	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.077989	-1.16%	0.0793	+0.51%	0.0550	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.077593	-1.09%	0.0769	-1.98%	0.0320	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.078027	-1.36%	0.0804	+1.64%	0.0474	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.078592	-1.27%	0.081	+1.76%	0.0510	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.075951	-1.11%	0.07935	+3.32%	0.0227	✓	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.078111	-1.25%	0.07915	+0.06%	0.0272	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.074547	-1.13%	0.081	+7.43%	0.0330	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.073699	-1.07%	0.0789	+5.91%	0.0385	✗	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.071691	-0.84%	0.07845	+8.51%	0.0469	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.073702	-0.94%	0.0791	+6.32%	0.0568	✗	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.072971	-0.85%	0.0796	+8.15%	0.0783	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.075727	-1.01%	0.0768	+0.39%	0.0406	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.079595	-1.12%	0.0791	-1.74%	0.0374	✗	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.080602	-1.10%	0.0754	-7.48%	0.0348	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.078144	-0.89%	0.0745	-5.52%	0.0099	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.075379	-0.95%	0.0723	-4.99%	0.0147	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.077233	-0.98%	0.0744	-4.62%	0.0007	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.080185	-1.01%	0.0736	-9.14%	0.0281	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.080899	-0.86%	0.0765	-6.25%	0.0401	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.079604	-0.62%	0.0805	+0.50%	0.0104	✗	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.083827	-0.44%	0.0815	-3.21%	0.0185	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.085071	-0.27%	0.07885	-7.56%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.083244	-0.55%	0.0761	-9.08%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.078225	-0.60%	0.078	-0.89%	0.0297	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.07855	-0.82%	0.081	+2.27%	0.0370	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.076312	-1.02%	0.0816	+5.84%	0.0756	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.075821	-0.76%	0.0801	+4.84%	0.0404	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.075149	-0.73%	0.0842	+11.23%	0.0593	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.075693	-0.92%	0.0853	+11.65%	0.0300	✗	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.075572	-0.82%	0.0837	+9.84%	0.0014	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.075904	-0.78%	0.0787	+2.88%	0.0226	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.078568	-0.80%	0.0792	+0.00%	0.0334	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.078319	-0.61%	0.0771	-2.16%	0.0104	✓	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.079004	-0.50%	0.0764	-3.78%	0.0030	✓	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.076348	-0.85%	0.0757	-1.69%	0.0339	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.078484	-1.03%	0.0764	-3.66%	0.0206	✓	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.077982	-1.04%	0.0762	-3.30%	0.0264	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.080073	-1.08%	0.0765	-5.50%	0.0503	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.079291	-1.01%	0.0792	-1.12%	0.0370	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.079919	-0.97%	0.0788	-2.35%	0.0669	✓	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.081971	-1.12%	0.0794	-4.22%	0.1036	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.077763	-0.30%	0.077	-1.28%	0.0790	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.078391	-0.27%	0.0793	+0.89%	0.0552	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.079422	-0.72%	0.0788	-1.50%	0.0221	✗	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.0824	-0.78%	0.08095	-2.53%	0.0019	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.081708	-0.42%	0.0801	-2.38%	0.0143	✗	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.081041	-0.07%	0.0807	-0.49%	0.0125	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.082408	-0.17%	0.0829	+0.42%	0.0193	✓	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.084562	-0.40%	0.078	-8.13%	0.0256	✓	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.086024	-0.43%	0.0786	-9.03%	0.0223	✓	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.085662	-0.16%	0.08	-6.76%	0.0500	✓	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.089263	-0.49%	0.08305	-7.41%	0.0438	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.087502	+0.00%	0.08205	-6.23%	0.0515	✗	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.085366	+0.61%	0.0811	-4.42%	0.0635	✗	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.082525	+0.89%	0.08255	+0.92%	0.0098	✓	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.081534	+0.91%	0.0849	+5.07%	0.0614	✓	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.083492	+0.96%	0.0864	+4.47%	0.0534	✓	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.083657	+0.97%	0.0858	+3.56%	0.0485	✓	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.086453	+1.35%	0.0897	+5.16%	0.0283	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.086756	+1.65%	0.0875	+2.52%	0.0354	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.079468	+2.54%	0.08485	+9.48%	0.0055	✓	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.092439	+1.36%	0.0818	-10.31%	0.0130	✓	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.093264	+1.21%	0.0808	-12.32%	0.0224	✗	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.095812	+0.75%	0.0827	-13.04%	0.0035	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.092443	+1.53%	0.08285	-9.01%	0.0030	✓	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.093828	+1.66%	0.0853	-7.58%	0.0677	✓	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.100931	+0.33%	0.08535	-15.16%	0.0599	✓	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.102152	+0.44%	0.0775	-23.80%	0.1088	✓	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.108871	-0.76%	0.0912	-16.86%	0.0821	✗	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.109115	-0.80%	0.09215	-16.23%	0.0449	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.110317	-0.53%	0.0951	-14.25%	0.0004	✓	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.109204	+0.19%	0.09105	-16.47%	0.0280	✗	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.114066	-0.81%	0.0923	-19.74%	0.0508	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.111875	-0.64%	0.1006	-10.66%	0.0266	✓	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.108634	-0.52%	0.1017	-6.87%	0.0072	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.110127	-0.43%	0.1097	-0.81%	0.0010	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.10733	+0.50%	0.11	+3.00%	0.0128	✓	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.11364	-1.10%	0.1109	-3.48%	0.0369	✗	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.12003	-1.05%	0.109	-10.14%	0.0039	✓	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.126376	-0.88%	0.115	-9.80%	0.0114	✓	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.137104	-0.72%	0.1126	-18.46%	0.1147	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.171221	-0.45%	0.1092	-36.51%	0.3660	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.179264	-0.46%	0.1106	-38.59%	0.3806	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.1799	-0.66%	0.1068	-41.03%	0.4239	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.166465	-1.03%	0.1149	-31.69%	0.3894	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.169003	-0.99%	0.1213	-28.94%	0.3694	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.174425	-1.23%	0.1275	-27.80%	0.3787	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.173065	-1.11%	0.1381	-21.09%	0.2980	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.171355	-0.84%	0.172	-0.46%	0.0608	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.176612	-1.00%	0.1801	+0.95%	0.0883	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.184314	-1.01%	0.1811	-2.74%	0.0491	✓	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.184457	-1.15%	0.1682	-9.86%	0.0405	✓	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.175476	-1.25%	0.1707	-3.94%	0.0156	✓	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.170978	-1.17%	0.1766	+2.08%	0.0367	✗	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.169872	-1.24%	0.175	+1.74%	0.0189	✗	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.161785	-1.23%	0.1728	+5.49%	0.0215	✗	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.156365	-1.10%	0.1784	+12.84%	0.0587	✗	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.160122	-1.16%	0.1862	+14.94%	0.0501	✗	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.153557	-1.12%	0.1866	+20.15%	0.0683	✗	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.154852	-1.05%	0.1777	+13.55%	0.0693	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.156721	-1.00%	0.173	+9.29%	0.0466	✗	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.149339	-0.90%	0.172	+14.13%	0.0915	✗	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.151747	-1.01%	0.1638	+6.85%	0.0469	✗	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.159688	-1.12%	0.1581	-2.11%	0.0079	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.162545	-1.19%	0.162	-1.52%	0.0215	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.163079	-1.10%	0.1553	-5.82%	0.0217	✓	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.161403	-0.98%	0.1565	-3.99%	0.0166	✓	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.167669	-1.20%	0.1583	-6.72%	0.0477	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.159247	-0.78%	0.1507	-6.11%	0.0401	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.14688	+0.26%	0.1533	+4.64%	0.0105	✓	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.152793	-0.14%	0.1615	+5.56%	0.0292	✗	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.16183	-0.60%	0.1645	+1.04%	0.0242	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.161945	-0.28%	0.1649	+1.54%	0.0217	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.166513	-0.59%	0.163	-2.69%	0.0299	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.173818	-0.90%	0.1697	-3.25%	0.0112	✗	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.173623	-0.84%	0.1605	-8.34%	0.0387	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.180312	-0.82%	0.1465	-19.42%	0.0777	✓	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.183306	-0.97%	0.153	-17.34%	0.0733	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.187419	-0.89%	0.1628	-13.91%	0.0531	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.178417	-0.77%	0.1624	-9.68%	0.0168	✓	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.175832	-0.49%	0.1675	-5.21%	0.0082	✓	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.180582	-0.34%	0.1754	-3.20%	0.0470	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.178482	-0.29%	0.1751	-2.18%	0.0360	✓	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.188062	-0.65%	0.1818	-3.96%	0.0418	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.193531	-0.70%	0.1851	-5.03%	0.0196	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.189395	-0.53%	0.1891	-0.68%	0.0262	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.187636	+0.39%	0.1798	-3.80%	0.1289	✗	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.19421	-0.40%	0.1767	-9.38%	0.0951	✓	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.200382	-0.41%	0.1812	-9.94%	0.0697	✓	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.201789	-0.28%	0.179	-11.54%	0.0890	✓	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.205309	-0.19%	0.1893	-7.97%	0.0963	✓	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.205417	-0.06%	0.1949	-5.18%	0.1095	✓	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.206013	+0.54%	0.1904	-7.08%	0.1596	✗	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.211921	+0.20%	0.1869	-11.63%	0.0845	✗	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.209625	+0.76%	0.195	-6.27%	0.1453	✗	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.209945	+1.42%	0.2012	-2.80%	0.1713	✗	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.214967	+1.52%	0.20235	-4.44%	0.1819	✗	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.220171	+1.23%	0.2057	-5.43%	0.1662	✗	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.229998	+0.28%	0.20555	-10.38%	0.0918	✗	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.235444	-0.02%	0.2049	-12.99%	0.0217	✓	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.235781	+0.23%	0.2115	-10.10%	0.0279	✗	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.240501	-0.10%	0.20805	-13.58%	0.0086	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.246245	-0.29%	0.207	-16.18%	0.0540	✗	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.24446	+0.17%	0.21175	-13.23%	0.0550	✓	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.250696	-0.54%	0.2175	-13.71%	0.1388	✗	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.264926	-0.89%	0.22935	-14.20%	0.0656	✗	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.269439	-1.18%	0.2355	-13.63%	0.0693	✗	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.291545	-1.70%	0.23525	-20.68%	0.0563	✗	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.286195	-1.47%	0.24075	-17.11%	0.0322	✗	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.290646	-1.53%	0.24695	-16.33%	0.0279	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.305841	-2.16%	0.24405	-21.93%	0.0536	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.26166	-0.57%	0.25205	-4.22%	0.0065	✓	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.252629	-0.60%	0.2673	+5.17%	0.0979	✗	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.244722	+0.28%	0.27265	+11.72%	0.0792	✓	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.250541	-0.40%	0.2966	+17.91%	0.1798	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.269739	-0.81%	0.29045	+6.80%	0.1836	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.269284	-0.91%	0.29515	+8.61%	0.2400	✗	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.264831	-0.66%	0.3126	+17.25%	0.2852	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.263967	-0.47%	0.26315	-0.77%	0.1330	✗	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.278979	-0.81%	0.25415	-9.64%	0.0222	✗	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.282783	-0.85%	0.24405	-14.43%	0.0704	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.294199	-0.78%	0.25155	-15.16%	0.0177	✓	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.296638	-0.82%	0.27195	-9.08%	0.0143	✓	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.291014	-0.86%	0.27175	-7.43%	0.0384	✓	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.292771	-0.74%	0.2666	-9.61%	0.0658	✓	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.285706	-0.62%	0.2652	-7.76%	0.0403	✓	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.27716	-0.07%	0.28125	+1.41%	0.0318	✓	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.282263	-0.23%	0.2852	+0.81%	0.0746	✓	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.290561	-0.61%	0.2965	+1.42%	0.0448	✓	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.28805	-0.29%	0.2991	+3.53%	0.0722	✓	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.287027	+0.06%	0.29355	+2.34%	0.0629	✗	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.283966	+0.55%	0.29495	+4.44%	0.0502	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.289776	+0.34%	0.2875	-0.45%	0.0448	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.298115	-0.18%	0.27735	-7.13%	0.0097	✓	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.313478	-0.64%	0.2829	-10.33%	0.0126	✓	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.325777	-0.81%	0.29235	-10.99%	0.0198	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.304515	-0.49%	0.2889	-5.59%	0.0684	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.278551	+1.57%	0.28685	+4.59%	0.0967	✓	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.269	+1.36%	0.2824	+6.41%	0.1749	✓	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.383988	-0.73%	0.2888	-25.34%	0.1286	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.397971	-0.62%	0.29865	-25.42%	0.1456	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.396337	-0.65%	0.3155	-20.92%	0.1337	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.407689	-0.39%	0.32845	-19.75%	0.1096	✓	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.400485	-0.48%	0.306	-23.96%	0.1735	✓	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.401169	-0.60%	0.27425	-32.05%	0.2447	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.413468	-0.51%	0.2654	-36.14%	0.3360	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.414082	-0.63%	0.3868	-7.18%	0.0805	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.407829	-0.75%	0.40045	-2.54%	0.0712	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.390765	-0.77%	0.39895	+1.31%	0.0653	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.399622	-0.81%	0.4093	+1.59%	0.0958	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.408884	-1.01%	0.4024	-2.58%	0.1543	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.400274	-0.95%	0.4036	-0.12%	0.1514	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.406663	-0.85%	0.4156	+1.33%	0.1361	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.396605	-0.54%	0.4167	+4.50%	0.0958	✓	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.418238	-0.70%	0.4109	-2.45%	0.0843	✓	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.418545	-0.78%	0.3938	-6.65%	0.0875	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.42457	-0.57%	0.4029	-5.64%	0.0734	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.458869	-0.80%	0.41305	-10.70%	0.0673	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.466774	-0.83%	0.4041	-14.15%	0.0691	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.466069	-0.75%	0.41015	-12.66%	0.0537	✓	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.481023	-0.90%	0.39875	-17.85%	0.0887	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.48145	0.476327	-1.06%	0.4212	-12.51%	0.0853	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.