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2022-09-26 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 193 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3619
193 of 193 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.3%
in alpha space · 64.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (193 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.23734.288+1.20%4.5392+7.12%0.0098✓0.61666k2022-10-26
AAVEAaveEthereum76.2876.4702+0.25%83.5+9.47%0.0230✗1.434.9M2022-10-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,140.5019,089.08-0.27%20,813.10+8.74%0.0154✗0.9211k2022-10-26
TRXTRONTron0.0595950.059419-0.30%0.063427+6.43%0.0267✗0.50122k2022-10-26
QTUMQtumQtum2.84392.8348-0.32%2.8539+0.35%0.0736✓1.0421k2022-10-26
XMRMoneroMonero145.75145.214-0.37%146.93+0.81%0.0583✓0.901.3M2022-10-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.58.4553-0.53%6.78-20.24%0.2661✓0.592.3M2022-10-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.07244.0496-0.56%4.3229+6.15%0.0477✗0.23222k2022-10-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.299420.297415-0.67%0.29342-2.00%0.0902✓0.9933k2022-10-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32720.324726-0.76%0.3217-1.68%0.0671✓0.75157k2022-10-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060710.060221-0.81%0.06529+7.54%0.0147✗0.8529k2022-10-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0194380.019256-0.94%0.018829-3.13%0.0800✓0.7412k2022-10-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.033980.033645-0.99%0.0334-1.71%0.0650✓0.751,5782022-10-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.04670.046175-1.12%0.0491+5.14%0.0077✓0.69211k2022-10-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.00380.992022-1.18%0.991917-1.19%0.0653✓0.8435k2022-10-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05240.051736-1.27%0.077+46.95%0.3247✗0.9458k2022-10-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001530.001511-1.27%0.001357-11.31%0.1529✓0.59324k2022-10-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.33150.6613-1.30%48.456-5.60%0.1159✓0.92202k2022-10-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6250.616651-1.34%0.609-2.56%0.0990✓1.12162k2022-10-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.906721-1.34%0.995+8.27%0.0119✓1.051.4M2022-10-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.08970.088497-1.34%0.176+96.21%0.6284✗0.762,5002022-10-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum7.90e-77.79e-7-1.36%8.30e-7+5.06%0.0082✓0.7115k2022-10-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3471.3277-1.43%1.627+20.79%0.1079✗1.2321k2022-10-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.185.103-1.49%3.83-26.06%0.3188✓0.412.0M2022-10-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.080842-1.53%0.0823+0.24%0.0496✓0.879,1052022-10-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.04070.04003-1.65%0.035-14.00%0.2184✓1.09103k2022-10-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05620.055235-1.72%0.0539-4.09%0.1241✓1.29470k2022-10-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.4552.511-1.76%56.42+5.56%0.0008✓0.9415.7M2022-10-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,336.611,312.75-1.78%1,566.37+17.19%0.0759✗1.30524.9M2022-10-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.00490.004812-1.79%0.0049+0.00%0.0352✓0.69854k2022-10-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003520.003457-1.80%0.00332-5.68%0.1118✓0.9279k2022-10-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.7021.6709-1.83%1.606-5.64%0.1347✓1.2318k2022-10-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0020480.002009-1.89%0.002314+12.99%0.0633✗1.011.8M2022-10-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05280.051798-1.90%0.0515-2.46%0.0567✓0.6667k2022-10-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3750.367842-1.91%0.29-22.67%0.3349✓1.252,6282022-10-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.781460.766225-1.95%0.80064+2.45%0.0152✓0.7615k2022-10-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011120.000010902-1.96%0.00001079-2.97%0.0817✓0.92594k2022-10-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84760.830615-2.00%0.914+7.83%0.0271✓1.5975k2022-10-26
NANOnanopayBase0.7677130.751863-2.06%0.737893-3.88%0.0875✓0.8939k2022-10-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90690.887748-2.11%1.1837+30.52%0.2527✗0.451.8M2022-10-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.240560.23541-2.14%0.2153-10.50%0.1566✓0.8722k2022-10-26
XEMNEMnative0.0401630.039297-2.16%0.039175-2.46%0.0785✓0.9719k2022-10-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.14140.138324-2.18%0.1756+24.19%0.1615✗1.007692022-10-26
HIVEHivenative0.49330.482502-2.19%0.4858-1.52%0.0448✓0.67708k2022-10-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3421.3125-2.20%1.493+11.25%0.0446✗1.0947k2022-10-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014520.00142-2.21%0.001261-13.15%0.1803✓0.803,7302022-10-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.1691.143-2.22%0.9233-21.02%0.2675✓0.701.1M2022-10-26
BTTCBTTC7.90e-77.72e-7-2.26%8.20e-7+3.80%0.0030✓0.741.6M2022-10-26
ZENHorizenBase14.0713.7523-2.26%13.47-4.26%0.1147✓1.2160k2022-10-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04070.039778-2.26%0.03858-5.21%0.0957✓0.8415k2022-10-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0367470.035904-2.29%0.038718+5.36%0.0283✗0.6123k2022-10-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9023.8115-2.32%3.184-18.40%0.2234✓0.561.5M2022-10-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.078.8576-2.34%9.32+2.76%0.0518✓1.33166k2022-10-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.870.849415-2.37%0.826-5.06%0.0682✓0.522.0M2022-10-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5910.576955-2.38%0.614+3.89%0.0137✓0.9876k2022-10-26
DIADIAEthereum0.385220.375946-2.41%0.40255+4.50%0.0041✓0.9433k2022-10-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.032884-2.42%0.0345+2.37%0.0294✓1.0061k2022-10-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170140.16602-2.42%0.17271+1.51%0.0135✓0.682492022-10-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.006850.006684-2.43%0.00473-30.95%0.4194✓0.952.6M2022-10-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44410.433315-2.43%0.4484+0.97%0.0432✓1.00299k2022-10-26
MOVRMoonriverBase10.894210.6277-2.45%11.15+2.35%0.0233✓0.9218k2022-10-26
FISStafiEthereum0.31230.304591-2.47%0.3583+14.73%0.0914✗0.928952022-10-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124430.121241-2.56%0.12949+4.07%0.0115✓1.00106k2022-10-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.2574-2.58%3.34-23.57%0.2875✓0.581.0M2022-10-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.0990.096401-2.62%0.0956-3.43%0.0692✓0.79250k2022-10-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.03880.037779-2.63%0.0355-8.51%0.1556✓1.21516k2022-10-26
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,292.731,258.30-2.66%1,516.86+17.34%0.0997✗1.133.3M2022-10-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11320.110185-2.66%0.1256+10.95%0.0501✗1.042.2M2022-10-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.268430.261246-2.68%0.258506-3.70%0.0928✓1.06378k2022-10-26
ZECZcashZcash58.9557.3666-2.69%55.11-6.51%0.1235✓1.081.1M2022-10-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8614.458-2.71%18.2+22.48%0.1497✗1.042.1M2022-10-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.365440.355418-2.74%0.31143-14.78%0.2017✓0.90383k2022-10-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0049880.004851-2.74%0.006433+28.98%0.2340✗0.621,2862022-10-26
GITCOINGITCOIN1.76311.7145-2.76%1.6206-8.08%0.1393✓1.0715k2022-10-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.1178.8649-2.77%9.891+8.49%0.0528✗0.731.2M2022-10-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3940.382996-2.79%0.413+4.82%0.0006✓0.986,9542022-10-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.5313-2.81%5.79-13.84%0.1594✓0.501.6M2022-10-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10250.099602-2.83%0.0824-19.61%0.2990✓1.411.9M2022-10-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.70711.658-2.88%1.678-1.71%0.0764✓1.1432k2022-10-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018570.018032-2.90%0.01769-4.74%0.0619✓0.55122k2022-10-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.9314.4927-2.93%15.15+1.47%0.0045✓0.52278k2022-10-26
SOLSolanaSolana33.8932.8859-2.96%31.29-7.67%0.1476✓1.2636.5M2022-10-26
FLOWFlownative1.6621.6127-2.97%1.622-2.41%0.0994✓1.361.2M2022-10-26
KSMKusamaHydration42.1440.8761-3.00%35.87-14.88%0.2114✓1.04309k2022-10-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.5717.0395-3.02%17.02-3.13%0.1035✓1.3214.0M2022-10-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.33112.7946-3.04%114.45-1.62%0.0770✓1.183.2M2022-10-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04180.040516-3.07%0.0306-26.79%0.3432✓0.81118k2022-10-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.12860.12461-3.10%0.1238-3.73%0.0851✓1.0280k2022-10-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0282.9332-3.13%3.029+0.03%0.0148✓0.22886k2022-10-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,228.0018,619.14-3.17%20,775.40+8.05%0.0322✗1.00493.0M2022-10-26
DODODODOEthereum0.12420.120235-3.19%0.1322+6.44%0.0085✓1.121.1M2022-10-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.010970.010616-3.23%0.0093-15.22%0.1725✓0.52180k2022-10-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.11680.113023-3.23%0.101-13.53%0.1490✓0.4790k2022-10-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.5851.5337-3.23%1.548-2.33%0.1074✓1.5143k2022-10-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.74030.716-3.28%0.5643-23.77%0.3230✓1.10613k2022-10-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.3762.2973-3.31%2.217-6.69%0.0983✓0.81330k2022-10-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.29910.289166-3.32%0.2653-11.30%0.1703✓1.0931k2022-10-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15150.146456-3.33%0.1451-4.22%0.0917✓1.068282022-10-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.161.1209-3.37%1.13-2.59%0.0751✓1.0737k2022-10-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19670.190056-3.38%0.1942-1.27%0.0517✓0.9550k2022-10-26
OPTIMOptimism0.9230.891456-3.42%1.113+20.59%0.1017✗1.552.3M2022-10-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.381-3.43%1.66+16.08%0.1714✗0.1662k2022-10-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.459380.443509-3.45%0.43244-5.86%0.1154✓1.1623k2022-10-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117010.011295-3.47%0.014419+23.23%0.1768✗0.87770k2022-10-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.702550.678049-3.49%0.63891-9.06%0.1420✓1.07514k2022-10-26
RADRadworksEthereum1.991.9205-3.49%2.02+1.51%0.0056✓0.58100k2022-10-26
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0149370.014415-3.50%0.016956+13.52%0.0850✗1.001,0232022-10-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13940.134504-3.51%0.1356-2.73%0.0647✓0.94257k2022-10-26
DASHDashDash41.7140.2438-3.52%42.01+0.72%0.0397✓1.07224k2022-10-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.241184-3.53%0.24-4.00%0.0649✓0.77392k2022-10-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.995.7778-3.54%4.37-27.05%0.3259✓0.601.7M2022-10-26
STEEMSteemnative0.22040.212579-3.55%0.2373+7.67%0.0419✗0.88528k2022-10-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,333.348,032.21-3.61%8,152.79-2.17%0.0891✓1.343.3M2022-10-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17380.167423-3.67%0.1986+14.27%0.1010✗0.9081k2022-10-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.4627.3937-3.75%25.51-10.37%0.1961✓1.619.0M2022-10-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611330.058781-3.85%0.072794+19.07%0.1470✗0.86988k2022-10-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.5596.3051-3.87%6.467-1.40%0.0609✓1.119.3M2022-10-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0253240.024328-3.93%0.022383-11.61%0.0731✓-0.13452k2022-10-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4680.449493-3.95%0.48+2.56%0.0193✓1.1079k2022-10-26
FTTFTXEthereum24.2123.2512-3.96%24.65+1.82%0.0180✓0.997.6M2022-10-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.26960.258862-3.98%0.2756+2.23%0.0051✓0.8888k2022-10-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6775.4491-4.01%3.93-30.77%0.3667✓0.512.2M2022-10-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2345.9824-4.04%5.099-18.21%0.2314✓0.923.0M2022-10-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.15870.152271-4.05%0.1624+2.33%0.0455✗0.2454k2022-10-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36140.346636-4.09%0.306-15.33%0.2200✓1.2345k2022-10-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.92980.891468-4.12%0.9337+0.42%0.0664✓1.463.3M2022-10-26
UNIUniswapEthereum5.9245.677-4.17%6.688+12.90%0.0609✗1.336.2M2022-10-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.85920.822901-4.22%0.7795-9.28%0.1498✓1.24861k2022-10-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9437.6056-4.25%7.16-9.86%0.1424✓1.0619.6M2022-10-26
STXStacksnative0.3270.312999-4.28%0.3178-2.81%0.0650✓1.04196k2022-10-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006970.006671-4.29%0.00615-11.76%0.1705✓1.15358k2022-10-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.4714.8016-4.32%14.98-3.17%0.0547✓0.861.2M2022-10-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4670.446786-4.33%0.444-4.93%0.0994✓1.2057k2022-10-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0731.0258-4.40%1.032-3.82%0.0697✓0.981.1M2022-10-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030520.029166-4.44%0.02917-4.42%0.0872✓1.1312k2022-10-26
METISMetisEthereum24.423.316-4.44%30.06+23.20%0.1362✗1.52107k2022-10-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.42840.409198-4.48%0.4071-4.97%0.0721✓0.87392k2022-10-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.391.3273-4.51%1.389-0.07%0.0043✓0.6427k2022-10-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12640.12069-4.52%0.1445+14.32%0.1179✗0.80173k2022-10-26
BANDBandEthereum1.2121.157-4.54%1.131-6.68%0.1190✓1.24246k2022-10-26
XVGVergenative0.003240.003093-4.54%0.00316-2.47%0.0469✓0.88413k2022-10-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023060.022002-4.59%0.01838-20.29%0.2625✓1.079.2M2022-10-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.079283-4.59%0.0753-9.39%0.0942✓0.55159k2022-10-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.86973.6911-4.62%3.0044-22.36%0.2597✓0.705.9M2022-10-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.062230.05935-4.63%0.05914-4.97%0.0587✓0.719722022-10-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.012-4.63%1.6686+57.24%0.4171✗1.071.2M2022-10-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3272.2176-4.70%2.439+4.81%0.0160✓1.442.0M2022-10-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064970.006191-4.71%0.005978-7.99%0.0552✓0.2624k2022-10-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.16050.15288-4.75%0.1536-4.30%0.0732✓1.0161k2022-10-26
XTZTezosTezos1.4751.4047-4.77%1.4334-2.82%0.0596✓1.03180k2022-10-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.6081.5282-4.96%1.72+6.97%0.0324✓1.11360k2022-10-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.5619-4.96%4.83+0.63%0.0095✓0.86668k2022-10-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.64070.608834-4.97%0.4886-23.74%0.3310✓1.43148k2022-10-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.560.53211-4.98%0.544-2.86%0.0560✓1.012.4M2022-10-26
ADACardanoCardano0.44710.424678-5.02%0.403-9.86%0.1277✓0.9730.6M2022-10-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.10230.097138-5.05%0.1037+1.37%0.0073✓0.94409k2022-10-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28260.268018-5.16%0.2235-20.91%0.2633✓1.0645k2022-10-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.022220.021069-5.18%0.0211-5.04%0.0636✓0.842,6342022-10-26
XECeCashnative0.000040710.000038599-5.19%0.00003865-5.06%0.0640✓0.844.2M2022-10-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6945.3925-5.29%5.257-7.67%0.1023✓0.994.8M2022-10-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.145860.138099-5.32%0.14255-2.27%0.0490✓1.04282k2022-10-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0420.039742-5.38%0.0377-10.24%0.1166✓0.8210k2022-10-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.713.5086-5.43%4.476+20.65%0.1654✗1.01136k2022-10-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.511.7976-5.62%9.14-26.88%0.3399✓1.09697k2022-10-26
PROPropyEthereum0.620.584705-5.69%0.4811-22.40%0.2091✓0.1830k2022-10-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.873.649-5.71%3.051-21.16%0.2061✓0.351.3M2022-10-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1137350.107223-5.73%0.113497-0.21%0.0132✓0.917.9M2022-10-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.781.6773-5.77%1.64-7.87%0.1196✓1.26161k2022-10-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.073210.068818-6.00%0.05287-27.78%0.2802✓0.21250k2022-10-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.29160.274064-6.01%0.2873-1.47%0.0309✓1.0155k2022-10-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21.1264-6.13%1.0844-9.63%0.1114✓0.95415k2022-10-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010520.000986547-6.20%0.0008639-17.86%0.1949✓0.801.2M2022-10-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31160.292045-6.28%0.257-17.52%0.2071✓1.023.1M2022-10-26
AURORAAuroraEthereum1.1471.0716-6.58%0.838-26.94%0.3232✓1.0051k2022-10-26
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR3.6873.4429-6.62%3.056-17.11%0.1966✓1.00904k2022-10-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.466.0286-6.68%5.83-9.75%0.1197✓1.1175k2022-10-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87795.4677-6.98%4.065-30.84%0.2991✓0.039.8M2022-10-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.33214.947-7.22%3.9473-25.97%0.3188✓1.20102k2022-10-26
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0107330.009941-7.38%0.010889+1.45%0.0216✓0.901,6782022-10-26
QNTQuantEthereum120.63111.4676-7.60%173.63+43.94%0.3744✗0.893.7M2022-10-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.061820.057104-7.63%0.06328+2.36%0.0069✓1.24710k2022-10-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.90312.8142-7.83%12.281-11.67%0.1389✓1.2521.6M2022-10-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.2580.237402-7.98%0.2021-21.67%0.2342✓0.952.9M2022-10-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.01116.4503-8.00%4.2797-38.96%0.4281✓0.2312.0M2022-10-26
CVXConvex FinanceEthereum4.7764.362-8.67%5.855+22.59%0.2170✗1.00104k2022-10-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.5145.0021-9.28%4.653-15.61%0.1682✓1.246.6M2022-10-26
COMPCompoundEthereum62.8256.842-9.52%52.95-15.71%0.1475✓0.995,8622022-10-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36880.33181-10.03%0.3414-7.43%0.0433✓0.936.7M2022-10-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain17.59615.6083-11.30%12.13-31.06%0.2773✓0.3314.7M2022-10-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480740.424641-11.67%0.341-29.07%0.2642✓0.58393k2022-10-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030910.000268838-13.03%0.00024401-21.06%0.1171✓0.264.2M2022-10-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-74.97e-7-14.30%4.69e-7-19.13%0.1177✓0.771.1M2022-10-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.842.3476-17.34%2.29-19.37%0.0778✓0.6862k2022-10-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.