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2022-09-14 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2730
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.7%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9284.2835+0.43%72.83-13.21%0.0691✗1.446.2M2022-10-14
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.061901+0.41%0.064+3.82%0.0562✓0.43129k2022-10-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012307-0.51%0.00989-20.05%0.1863✓0.61233k2022-10-14
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2828-0.60%4.3878+1.84%0.0611✗0.69696k2022-10-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.017035-0.65%0.013974-18.50%0.1448✓1.001,0682022-10-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.070296-0.85%0.05883-17.02%0.1268✓0.9625k2022-10-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.70e-7-1.19%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0463✓0.7015k2022-10-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.620378-1.21%0.523-16.72%0.1148✓1.053.2M2022-10-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005889-1.45%0.0079+32.21%0.3261✗0.611,9622022-10-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.8024-1.56%4.4399-8.99%0.0728✓0.11135k2022-10-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.901939-1.64%0.866-5.56%0.0165✓1.071.5M2022-10-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.206157-1.78%0.1539-26.68%0.2628✓0.5666k2022-10-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.011952-1.89%0.01404+15.24%0.2073✗0.87851k2022-10-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.065376-2.04%0.05449-18.35%0.1317✓0.958692022-10-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.03584-2.08%0.0315-13.93%0.0757✓1.0093k2022-10-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.1703-2.11%9.765+4.24%0.1080✗0.851.2M2022-10-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.433605-2.12%0.302-31.83%0.2986✓1.184,5592022-10-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.995222-2.17%0.9771-3.95%0.0056✓0.452.8M2022-10-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.7782-2.22%8.44-15.60%0.0784✓1.29288k2022-10-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.502982-2.24%0.40748-20.80%0.1308✓1.5039k2022-10-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.851087-2.25%0.741825-14.80%0.0932✓0.8347k2022-10-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99117.268-2.27%107.52-10.39%0.0277✓1.114.3M2022-10-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.03547-2.31%0.03213-11.51%0.0610✓0.712,2982022-10-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.8146.2919-2.34%140.46-6.23%0.0117✓0.981.5M2022-10-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.476721-2.37%0.4145-15.11%0.0865✓1.00366k2022-10-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.286699-2.44%0.244239-16.89%0.1057✓1.02430k2022-10-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.132991-2.44%0.12084-11.36%0.0355✓1.13146k2022-10-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.053945-2.45%0.0532-3.80%0.0235✓0.70234k2022-10-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.159547-2.54%0.1465-10.51%0.0263✓1.111,5602022-10-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.6434-2.54%15.67-18.09%0.1026✓1.3317.5M2022-10-14
ZECZcashZcash61.9660.3754-2.56%49.94-19.40%0.1329✓1.071.1M2022-10-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038098-2.56%0.0348-11.00%0.0517✓0.739,5132022-10-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005466-2.57%0.00482-14.08%0.0926✓0.62911k2022-10-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.875533-2.57%0.7535-16.15%0.0865✓1.19874k2022-10-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.264872-2.58%0.2484-8.64%0.0123✓0.972.7M2022-10-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.258.6179-2.63%51.32-14.75%0.0829✓0.9414.4M2022-10-14
ZENHorizenBase15.114.6903-2.71%12.32-18.41%0.1139✓1.1675k2022-10-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.19213-2.72%0.17-13.92%0.0716✓0.95130k2022-10-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.104669-2.72%0.0958-10.97%0.0444✓0.83188k2022-10-14
SOLSolanaSolana34.1233.1814-2.75%29.99-12.10%0.0383✓1.1852.2M2022-10-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.056597-2.75%0.0541-7.04%0.0042✓0.7782k2022-10-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1559-2.77%1.4654+23.26%0.2936✗1.061.2M2022-10-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.09236-2.78%0.0968+1.89%0.0997✗0.99319k2022-10-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.369449-2.78%0.38981+2.57%0.1044✗0.9529k2022-10-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011404-2.79%0.009888-15.71%0.0893✓1.007452022-10-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.594863-2.80%0.56-8.50%0.0068✓1.01178k2022-10-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.257-2.81%3.43-21.69%0.1887✓0.511.4M2022-10-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.041791-2.81%0.0338-21.40%0.1509✓1.15546k2022-10-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36650.8909-2.82%49.267-5.92%0.0129✓0.85221k2022-10-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001512-2.82%0.001483-4.69%0.0203✓0.75340k2022-10-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,592.59-2.84%1,296.36-20.91%0.1369✓1.29569.9M2022-10-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.988065-2.86%0.909812-10.55%0.0399✓0.8039k2022-10-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.205842-2.86%0.1796-15.24%0.0876✓0.9257k2022-10-14
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.311529-2.92%0.292-9.01%0.0139✓0.957782022-10-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.54e-7-2.93%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0287✓0.691.7M2022-10-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.4904-2.97%1.501-2.28%0.0440✗0.6929k2022-10-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.5662-3.01%3.784-34.07%0.3589✓0.513.1M2022-10-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.8919-3.02%3.032-24.45%0.2314✓0.342.0M2022-10-14
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5618-3.02%1.3651-15.23%0.0808✓1.01236k2022-10-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.022534-3.04%0.02065-11.14%0.0304✓1.072,9142022-10-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.1192-3.04%4.86-22.99%0.1801✓0.944.3M2022-10-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.121082-3.06%0.1189-4.80%0.0404✗1.101.4M2022-10-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.312849-3.09%0.34725+7.57%0.1454✗0.77326k2022-10-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.126464-3.09%0.1129-13.49%0.0857✓0.5283k2022-10-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.365859-3.11%0.3071-18.67%0.1238✓0.96202k2022-10-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0019,614.22-3.18%19,147.40-5.49%0.0243✓0.9113k2022-10-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7511-3.26%2.25+24.31%0.2751✗0.4656k2022-10-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.092168-3.29%0.1617+69.67%0.6027✗0.762,9132022-10-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.6541-3.34%9.9729-17.29%0.1061✓0.9321k2022-10-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.628-3.35%2.07-23.87%0.1584✓1.512.9M2022-10-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.019732-3.37%0.01711-16.21%0.1128✓0.56173k2022-10-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0339-3.43%0.814-23.97%0.1607✓1.474.5M2022-10-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3615-3.44%1.7+20.57%0.2120✗-0.19113k2022-10-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.088222-3.48%0.0798-12.69%0.0560✓0.8310k2022-10-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.211864-3.48%0.2237+1.91%0.1022✗0.90504k2022-10-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.066356-3.50%0.06559-4.61%0.0010✓0.20351k2022-10-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,512.14-3.54%19,178.00-5.19%0.0360✓1.00480.9M2022-10-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.314502-3.56%0.29045-10.93%0.0252✓1.0233k2022-10-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7441-3.58%1.5603-13.74%0.0535✓1.0928k2022-10-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011753-3.59%0.00001019-16.41%0.0916✓0.96951k2022-10-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.326936-3.67%0.2801-17.47%0.1015✓1.0079k2022-10-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.524.5578-3.69%23.45-8.04%0.0074✓1.016.8M2022-10-14
HIVEHivenative0.55510.534574-3.70%0.4831-12.97%0.0711✓0.57836k2022-10-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.414881-3.74%0.386-10.44%0.0147✓1.087,9852022-10-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.143138-3.74%0.1493+0.40%0.1018✗1.128922022-10-14
DASHDashDash45.5843.8746-3.74%40.19-11.83%0.0321✓1.04299k2022-10-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.120499-3.76%0.1172-6.39%0.0274✓1.032.6M2022-10-14
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.041109-3.76%0.037936-11.19%0.0322✓0.9028k2022-10-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.297893-3.78%0.2572-16.93%0.0979✓0.9289k2022-10-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.716041-3.80%0.62338-16.25%0.0822✓1.06584k2022-10-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.648922-3.88%0.5741-14.96%0.0423✓1.50194k2022-10-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006078-3.91%0.0058-8.30%0.0296✓0.3229k2022-10-14
QNTQuantEthereum99.0595.1682-3.92%165.76+67.35%0.6016✗0.883.5M2022-10-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.00147-3.94%0.001262-17.52%0.1111✓0.785,8832022-10-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.4843-3.98%4.51-3.43%0.0492✗0.82808k2022-10-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.257335-3.98%0.229-14.55%0.0765✓0.75512k2022-10-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1153-4.03%3.92-26.45%0.2417✓0.462.4M2022-10-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.7779-4.06%3.062-22.24%0.1837✓0.492.1M2022-10-14
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.461411-4.07%0.3667-23.76%0.1792✓0.9536.8M2022-10-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.322843-4.09%0.2521-25.10%0.1894✓1.0972k2022-10-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.058217-4.09%0.0667+9.88%0.1927✗1.0677k2022-10-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.1482-4.15%6.89-7.62%0.0206✓1.0818.0M2022-10-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.486897-4.15%0.42-17.32%0.0851✓1.1870k2022-10-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.100836-4.16%0.112512+6.94%0.1551✗0.866.5M2022-10-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.388778-4.29%0.3242-20.19%0.1211✓1.1466k2022-10-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.464339-4.32%0.3733-23.08%0.1756✓0.80396k2022-10-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044491-4.32%0.0313-32.69%0.3072✓0.83142k2022-10-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.6153-4.34%4.45-24.19%0.2055✓0.512.1M2022-10-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.0522-4.34%19.69+34.04%0.3835✗0.871.9M2022-10-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1156-4.41%0.961-17.65%0.1013✓0.901.1M2022-10-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.038658-4.44%0.035376-12.55%0.0579✓0.5824k2022-10-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.813187-4.50%0.8303-2.49%0.0936✗1.3789k2022-10-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.289377-4.56%0.3174+4.68%0.1422✗0.935.9M2022-10-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008112-4.56%0.00513-39.65%0.4108✓0.893.3M2022-10-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1092.9667-4.58%2.739-11.90%0.0629✓0.32676k2022-10-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.2421-4.59%1.93-17.87%0.1181✓0.60200k2022-10-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.133448-4.61%0.1151-17.73%0.0949✓1.00119k2022-10-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,475.69-4.61%1,258.83-18.63%0.1056✓1.003.3M2022-10-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.2763-4.65%3.7821-15.67%0.0528✓1.31118k2022-10-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.3216-4.67%11.643-16.68%0.0696✓1.2220.3M2022-10-14
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000044004-4.67%0.00003692-20.02%0.1314✓0.833.5M2022-10-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.180048-4.69%0.1475-21.92%0.1449✓1.0286k2022-10-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.4913-4.69%2.169-17.02%0.0940✓0.83464k2022-10-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007672-4.70%0.00585-27.33%0.2107✓1.13463k2022-10-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003705-4.76%0.00322-17.22%0.0912✓0.9289k2022-10-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.041034-4.79%0.03705-14.04%0.0607✓0.7814k2022-10-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.3951-4.84%1.404-4.23%0.0657✗1.1168k2022-10-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.058131-4.90%0.058661-4.03%0.0586✗0.931.1M2022-10-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.2966-4.90%3.003-33.53%0.3049✓1.001.4M2022-10-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.032731-4.91%0.02697-21.64%0.1371✓1.0629k2022-10-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.5816-4.95%1.533-7.87%0.0151✓0.87578k2022-10-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.155374-4.96%0.13698-16.21%0.0716✓1.02262k2022-10-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.849-4.96%4.517-11.47%0.0056✓1.236.4M2022-10-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.25.8894-5.01%5.59-9.84%0.0292✓0.432.1M2022-10-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.427.9976-5.02%6.54-22.33%0.1730✓0.532.4M2022-10-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.487194-5.03%0.431-15.98%0.0630✓1.1266k2022-10-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.255339-5.08%0.21178-21.27%0.1421✓0.8415k2022-10-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002722-5.21%0.002103-26.78%0.2096✓0.911.2M2022-10-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8369-5.21%0.9248-52.28%0.6504✓0.671.5M2022-10-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.019501-5.34%0.01992-3.30%0.0708✗0.939.2M2022-10-14
KSMKusamaHydration47.5845.032-5.36%39.92-16.10%0.0696✓0.95363k2022-10-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.390484-5.44%0.3101-24.91%0.1781✓0.98379k2022-10-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.003184-5.53%0.00305-9.50%0.0042✓0.88483k2022-10-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.019532-5.61%0.017637-14.77%0.0674✓0.6512k2022-10-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9094-5.68%1.5821-21.85%0.1294✓1.1013k2022-10-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.2275-5.71%4.1388-25.34%0.2283✓0.109.6M2022-10-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.107284-5.73%0.0686-39.72%0.4222✓0.47182k2022-10-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.024463-5.75%0.024857-4.24%0.0136✓-0.04485k2022-10-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1825.8201-5.85%6.285+1.67%0.1481✗1.346.9M2022-10-14
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0956.5191-5.94%54.51-9.29%0.0214✓1.088,4972022-10-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.0388-5.97%14.99-17.27%0.0889✓0.741.4M2022-10-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.872474-5.98%0.827-10.88%0.0286✓0.472.5M2022-10-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.106004-6.02%0.0853-24.38%0.1494✓1.272.4M2022-10-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9032-6.20%1.522-24.99%0.1630✓1.1327k2022-10-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.09632.904-6.21%2.6157-15.52%0.0511✓1.0019k2022-10-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.0315-6.24%3.774-12.23%0.0170✓0.92223k2022-10-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.760906-6.26%0.74011-8.83%0.0129✓0.7613k2022-10-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2086.7461-6.41%6.044-16.15%0.0543✓1.049.9M2022-10-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.179911-6.49%0.1801-6.39%0.0491✓0.903.1M2022-10-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.138488-6.55%0.1319-11.00%0.0013✓0.94322k2022-10-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.045504-6.56%0.0366-24.85%0.1620✓1.05177k2022-10-14
STXStacksnative0.35220.329074-6.57%0.2998-14.88%0.0368✓1.06298k2022-10-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001143-6.65%0.0008958-26.87%0.2030✓0.772.1M2022-10-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.4247-6.65%10.81-18.78%0.0811✓1.09874k2022-10-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.5754-6.73%2.9723-22.47%0.1518✓0.626.3M2022-10-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.6918-6.74%1.454-19.85%0.0657✓1.6160k2022-10-14
PROPropyEthereum0.720.670457-6.88%0.54-25.00%0.2049✓0.2242k2022-10-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.055783-7.18%0.0525-12.65%0.0044✓1.22608k2022-10-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.763353-7.29%0.6293-23.57%0.1351✓1.09920k2022-10-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2257-7.84%1.04-21.80%0.1122✓0.9856k2022-10-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9815.6037-8.11%14.25-16.08%0.0616✓0.55384k2022-10-14
FLOWFlownative1.8681.7165-8.11%1.48-20.77%0.0765✓1.35967k2022-10-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3736.1694-8.13%23.13-41.25%0.3666✓1.5110.6M2022-10-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.187256-8.43%0.1348-34.08%0.2876✓0.7730k2022-10-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.260606-8.56%0.2031-28.74%0.1953✓1.0172k2022-10-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.576483-8.78%0.528-16.46%0.0346✓1.00114k2022-10-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.12-8.84%1.0714-12.80%0.0113✓1.04844k2022-10-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.4656-8.91%4.5087-24.85%0.1790✓0.2512.5M2022-10-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.1694-8.97%12.749+14.12%0.2448✗0.3515.8M2022-10-14
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1033-9.27%0.719-40.87%0.3448✓1.572.7M2022-10-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000272297-9.36%0.00027202-9.45%0.0002✓0.012.4M2022-10-14
METISMetisEthereum27.5824.9171-9.66%24.63-10.70%0.0703✓1.54155k2022-10-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-75.93e-7-9.92%4.84e-7-26.38%0.1595✓0.792.1M2022-10-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.1319-9.95%1.054-16.15%0.0078✓1.19303k2022-10-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,251.84-10.25%7,558.88-17.78%0.0169✓1.334.0M2022-10-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.3427-10.28%5.068-14.90%0.0013✓0.975.9M2022-10-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.2411-10.52%1.532+10.45%0.2724✗1.1643k2022-10-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.054122-10.53%0.05442-10.03%0.0686✓1.181.1M2022-10-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.3112-10.86%5.78-18.36%0.0323✓1.04210k2022-10-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.814-11.08%1.59-22.06%0.0637✓1.28226k2022-10-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.