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2022-09-13 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2501
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9783.5306+0.68%70.96-14.48%0.1042✗1.466.2M2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.060896+0.35%0.060975+0.48%0.0194✓0.45123k2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012503-0.14%0.01008-19.49%0.1905✓0.62233k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.1307-0.30%4.3617+5.27%0.0836✗0.72696k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.067602-0.44%0.06122-9.84%0.0607✓0.9625k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.347335-0.76%0.319-8.86%0.0466✓0.961,1592022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.615053-1.12%0.53-14.79%0.1049✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.00583-1.17%0.005472-7.24%0.0377✓0.641,9622022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.59e-7-1.30%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0811✓0.6915k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016957-1.48%0.013771-19.99%0.1678✓1.001,0292022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.063677-1.55%0.05314-17.84%0.1452✓0.897802022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8917-1.57%4.2295-14.90%0.1420✓0.09119k2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.897953-1.65%0.847-7.23%0.0130✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.206607-1.76%0.1528-27.34%0.2719✓0.7467k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011934-1.80%0.010334-14.96%0.1105✓0.83882k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.5511-1.84%8.67-10.89%0.0433✓1.33288k2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.498398-1.89%0.41049-19.19%0.1417✓1.3041k2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.0786-1.90%9.399+1.57%0.0679✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035409-1.91%0.0319-11.63%0.0639✓1.0190k2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.163966-2.04%0.14863-11.20%0.0700✓0.703542022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.453017-2.05%0.4211-8.95%0.0280✓1.12366k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6115.1756-2.06%108.8-7.48%0.0107✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44142.3417-2.13%142.89-1.75%0.0437✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.283166-2.15%0.246962-14.66%0.0976✓0.97487k2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.05597-2.15%0.0499-12.76%0.0824✓0.8090k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.13182-2.18%0.12034-10.70%0.0452✓1.14151k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005507-2.19%0.0048-14.74%0.1108✓0.66911k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.43911-2.20%0.319-28.95%0.2728✓1.164,5592022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.048505-2.21%0.0541+9.07%0.1439✗0.86234k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035662-2.24%0.03232-11.40%0.0698✓0.712,2982022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.203795-2.26%0.1796-13.86%0.0897✓0.9159k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.827085-2.27%0.761919-9.97%0.0482✓0.8446k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.090279-2.30%0.0998+8.01%0.1410✗1.01336k2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.24-2.33%30.49-7.63%0.0076✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.998218-2.36%0.9674-5.37%0.0117✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.4253-2.36%15.65-17.06%0.1090✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.261515-2.38%0.2551-4.78%0.0149✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4979-2.40%1.3832-9.88%0.0384✓1.02246k2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.858453-2.40%0.7636-13.19%0.0683✓1.21899k2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9257.4798-2.44%50.94-13.54%0.0763✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.580433-2.45%0.563-5.38%0.0096✓1.00178k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.157.6443-2.46%51.09-13.55%0.0818✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.160835-2.52%0.1439-12.79%0.0659✓1.131,7442022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001481-2.53%0.001497-1.45%0.0409✗0.74353k2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1404-2.56%1.2571+7.42%0.1415✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010716-2.56%0.009275-15.67%0.1042✓1.006682022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.104765-2.63%0.0911-15.33%0.1057✓0.84188k2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.37e-7-2.67%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0549✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.1803-2.69%50.036-2.97%0.0314✗0.85246k2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.302108-2.70%0.277-10.79%0.0467✓0.9982k2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.975574-2.71%0.905877-9.66%0.0431✓0.7741k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039196-2.74%0.0342-15.14%0.1047✓0.799,5132022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,681.48-2.75%19,353.70-4.37%0.0202✓0.9215k2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.370537-2.79%0.39142+2.69%0.0932✗0.9531k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,530.79-2.79%1,286.96-18.27%0.1208✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.193443-2.79%0.1711-14.02%0.0820✓1.01132k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022508-2.86%0.02101-9.32%0.0279✓1.022,9582022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.042824-2.89%0.0344-22.00%0.1723✓1.16546k2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.582-2.95%10.1346-15.08%0.0941✓0.9821k2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.3963-2.99%12.53-15.57%0.0899✓1.2275k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.208-3.00%5.03-21.41%0.1715✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.300242-3.04%0.327+5.60%0.1111✗0.64326k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.12143-3.09%0.1164-7.10%0.0024✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.093802-3.10%0.0743-23.24%0.2043✓0.722,9132022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3652-3.18%1.66+17.73%0.1912✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.082105-3.18%0.082-3.30%0.0376✗0.9711k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.066883-3.25%0.071+2.71%0.0678✗0.20354k2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0181-3.27%0.8006-23.93%0.1811✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7742.3379-3.27%40.41-7.68%0.0051✓1.03312k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.3527-3.27%3.53-21.56%0.1867✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.419749-3.28%0.38-12.44%0.0576✓1.047,9852022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.208974-3.30%0.225+4.12%0.1089✗0.87527k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011689-3.32%0.00001039-14.06%0.0788✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7262-3.38%1.5752-11.84%0.0475✓1.1025k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.0014-3.39%3.061-26.10%0.2531✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.5003-3.40%1.479-4.76%0.0137✓0.6929k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019384-3.42%0.01727-13.95%0.0918✓0.59173k2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6259-3.42%2.183-19.71%0.1253✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,476.87-3.46%19,378.65-3.95%0.0352✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040677-3.52%0.038379-8.97%0.0220✓0.9028k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.530857-3.55%0.4902-10.94%0.0554✓0.60871k2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001476-3.58%0.001276-16.66%0.1186✓0.676,5532022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.636911-3.59%0.5935-10.16%0.0105✓1.49210k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.9136-3.59%3.961-35.43%0.3782✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7445-3.62%2.79+54.14%0.4881✗0.4656k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.704978-3.62%0.63573-13.09%0.0600✓1.08624k2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.309724-3.63%0.29812-7.24%0.0033✓1.0333k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8794.3049-3.64%160.75+64.25%0.5706✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.119742-3.67%0.1168-6.03%0.0175✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.446589-3.69%0.3769-18.72%0.1308✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.474438-3.77%0.426-13.59%0.0600✓1.1877k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.9148-3.77%23.44-9.46%0.0208✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.7601-3.77%7.028+0.04%0.0834✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005977-3.85%0.00599-3.64%0.0156✓0.3330k2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.385347-3.86%0.3093-22.83%0.1798✓0.99202k2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057102-3.87%0.0671+12.96%0.2037✗1.0578k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.2528-3.88%0.23-12.55%0.0649✓0.74534k2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.4791-3.88%4.61-1.07%0.0624✗0.83839k2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.317658-3.97%0.2586-21.83%0.1613✓1.1072k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043365-4.06%0.0333-26.33%0.2298✓0.85142k2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.100383-4.08%0.1121+7.11%0.1454✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.181959-4.13%0.141-25.71%0.2139✓1.02101k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.811314-4.13%0.8267-2.32%0.0782✗1.4894k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.284144-4.20%0.3194+7.69%0.1554✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1034-4.22%0.978-15.10%0.0831✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.384326-4.25%0.3269-18.56%0.1158✓1.1467k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.149444-4.26%0.153-1.99%0.0710✗1.189132022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.465695-4.28%0.3679-24.38%0.2030✓0.81422k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.130642-4.29%0.1133-17.00%0.1214✓0.5283k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007617-4.31%0.00571-28.27%0.2438✓1.10463k2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042015-4.40%0.00003711-15.56%0.0907✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.2849-4.40%11.342-18.39%0.1078✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3906-4.42%1.407-3.30%0.0548✗1.0771k2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.8834-4.45%19.43+33.72%0.3735✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.8999-4.46%3.097-24.13%0.2100✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038084-4.48%0.035845-10.10%0.0388✓0.5423k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,405.21-4.50%1,248.14-15.17%0.0783✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.9175-4.50%2.773-9.23%0.0351✓0.39759k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.132936-4.50%0.1172-15.80%0.0867✓0.98128k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8446-4.50%4.46-27.12%0.2495✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008122-4.55%0.00533-37.37%0.3850✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2139-4.57%1.85-20.26%0.1551✓0.61247k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003636-4.58%0.00324-14.96%0.0775✓0.9495k2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.2155-4.58%3.04-31.19%0.2866✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4974-4.61%2.208-15.66%0.0908✓0.80523k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.05686-4.65%0.059662+0.04%0.0867✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032094-4.68%0.02754-18.21%0.1108✓1.0532k2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.155134-4.73%0.13775-15.41%0.0771✓1.04271k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019453-4.78%0.0198-3.08%0.0590✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.5995-4.79%1.553-7.56%0.0085✓0.94627k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.8882-4.82%4.551-11.39%0.0188✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.040643-4.88%0.03722-12.89%0.0604✓0.6814k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3723-5.01%3.7246-19.08%0.1072✓1.32118k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.4276-5.11%3.81-33.39%0.3329✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.253159-5.16%0.20766-22.20%0.1625✓0.8815k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.493137-5.17%0.439-15.58%0.0716✓1.1166k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8545-5.32%0.9616-50.90%0.6276✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8352.8509-5.34%54.83-1.79%0.0824✗1.138,6412022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.00319-5.34%0.00306-9.20%0.0039✓0.94483k2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1162-5.47%5.61-13.29%0.0669✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.396906-5.50%0.35148-16.32%0.0839✓0.93392k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.325166-5.58%0.2499-27.44%0.2274✓0.8989k2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3843.7699-5.63%40.69-12.27%0.0320✓1.02363k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002668-5.63%0.002098-25.79%0.2038✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.02328-5.72%0.024977+1.15%0.0721✗0.04471k2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.2478-5.74%6.57-24.91%0.2050✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.104061-5.74%0.0666-39.67%0.4236✓0.56182k2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8488-5.77%2.6695-11.70%0.0243✓1.0120k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9149-5.80%1.5924-21.67%0.1417✓1.0613k2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019004-5.88%0.01784-11.64%0.0378✓0.6312k2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.214.2916-5.98%14.3-5.92%0.0322✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.865691-6.01%0.836-9.23%0.0164✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.8988-6.09%1.535-24.09%0.1646✓1.1930k2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.9531-6.15%3.817-9.38%0.0020✓0.92245k2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.327609-6.32%0.3005-14.07%0.0439✓1.06313k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.3455-6.33%11.09-15.86%0.0620✓1.12925k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.6508-6.35%6.15+1.92%0.1389✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.1621-6.35%3.9876-39.40%0.4287✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.180793-6.52%0.1844-4.65%0.0569✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001155-6.58%0.0008937-27.71%0.2239✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.770185-6.61%0.73564-10.80%0.0163✓0.7313k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100905-6.74%0.0879-18.76%0.0863✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.5916-6.77%6.113-13.54%0.0308✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.6632-6.82%1.495-16.25%0.0415✓1.6265k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.8501-6.82%2.9712-28.09%0.2327✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044579-6.93%0.0379-20.88%0.1179✓1.10177k2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.134337-6.97%0.1342-7.06%0.0382✓0.97336k2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.054862-7.01%0.053-10.17%0.0137✓1.20568k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.659984-7.04%0.52-26.76%0.2285✓0.2442k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.74645-7.46%0.6504-19.37%0.0930✓1.11946k2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1986-7.80%1.06-18.46%0.0819✓1.0258k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2932.4549-8.03%23.01-34.80%0.2834✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.180495-8.05%0.1351-31.18%0.2589✓0.7730k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.4427-8.08%14.34-14.64%0.0513✓0.57396k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7066-8.44%1.511-18.94%0.0657✓1.39967k2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.134-8.76%1.0884-12.43%0.0028✓1.09922k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.271109-9.02%0.2072-30.47%0.2300✓0.9774k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.554556-9.09%0.536-12.13%0.0080✓1.04114k2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.0735-9.18%0.732-38.07%0.3185✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.9654-9.32%13.225+9.37%0.2022✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.29e-7-9.62%4.93e-7-29.22%0.2098✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000323372-9.69%0.00027827-22.28%0.1463✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.1718-9.78%24.71-11.43%0.0434✓1.54159k2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.5112-10.00%4.5312-37.37%0.3509✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1184-10.09%1.068-14.15%0.0029✓1.22323k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,086.37-10.32%7,725.27-14.33%0.0086✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.053364-10.33%0.05517-7.29%0.0816✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.2619-10.38%5.141-12.43%0.0158✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.2305-10.61%6.09-12.63%0.0196✓1.05224k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8045-11.11%1.6-21.18%0.0715✓1.21227k2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.251-11.28%1.531+8.58%0.2500✗1.1943k2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.