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2022-09-12 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2079
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.2%
in alpha space · 72.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.181539+5.20%0.1565-9.31%0.0291✓0.765152022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.5519+3.83%4.405+0.48%0.0831✓0.74688k2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.041513+3.78%0.03373-15.68%0.0984✗0.702,2982022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.071225+3.00%0.05545-19.81%0.1044✗0.938202022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.103911+2.58%0.0774-23.59%0.1754✗0.762,7302022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9993.2692+2.50%71.52-21.40%0.0261✗1.536.0M2022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,870.28+2.46%19,167.20-14.13%0.0329✗0.9213k2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.065419+2.40%0.061673-3.46%0.0140✓0.47123k2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.188119+2.29%0.147-20.07%0.0665✗1.151,7442022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.040815+2.29%0.0353-11.53%0.0061✓0.899,1922022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.093525+2.21%0.0807-11.80%0.0065✓0.9814k2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.30e-7+2.21%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0596✗0.7415k2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001687+2.20%0.001361-17.57%0.1086✗0.685,8832022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.1141+2.12%0.929799-14.78%0.0602✗0.7736k2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77167.2184+2.11%144.74-11.62%0.0070✓0.971.4M2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.061201+2.00%0.0499-16.83%0.0715✗0.8590k2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.407529+1.94%0.3906-2.29%0.1162✓1.0131k2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.073353+1.89%0.06138-14.74%0.0216✗1.0025k2022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.491941+1.85%0.328-32.09%0.2158✗1.214,2692022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.414944+1.70%0.3171-22.28%0.0986✗1.09202k2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.022319+1.37%0.018543-15.78%0.0884✗0.6212k2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.487565+1.36%0.377-21.62%0.0939✗1.047,9852022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.6565+1.31%0.57-12.04%0.0188✓1.02178k2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.047292+1.24%0.039427-15.59%0.0421✗0.8928k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.3334+1.22%2.7159-17.53%0.0423✗1.0419k2022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.040145+1.12%0.0326-17.88%0.0488✗1.0289k2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004246+1.10%0.00336-20.00%0.0866✗0.94103k2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60955.1926+1.07%48.073-11.97%0.0005✓0.88264k2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9822+1.03%1.5946-18.73%0.0418✗1.1223k2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.357743+0.95%0.28328-20.06%0.0645✗1.0833k2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.567818+0.86%0.42113-25.20%0.0895✗1.3439k2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.051972+0.72%0.052+0.78%0.1507✓0.96234k2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.920686+0.71%0.760819-16.78%0.0561✗0.8649k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.047751+0.59%0.03857-18.75%0.1119✗0.6514k2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006243+0.53%0.0049-21.10%0.1429✗0.63911k2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001634+0.50%0.001688+3.81%0.1555✓0.79374k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.042862+0.44%0.035794-16.12%0.0966✗0.5323k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.295504+0.41%0.21464-27.07%0.1783✗0.9015k2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.496736+0.39%0.4253-14.05%0.0258✓1.16384k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.1426+0.34%0.12114-14.76%0.0264✓1.21151k2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4336+0.25%1.52+6.29%0.0371✓-0.14124k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.856198+0.22%0.75156-12.02%0.0069✗0.7913k2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.051406+0.21%0.0392-23.59%0.0889✗1.16178k2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.065527+0.19%0.0544-16.82%0.0044✓1.22563k2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003576+0.17%0.00312-12.61%0.0186✓0.99483k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.23492+0.14%0.1864-20.55%0.0909✗0.9057k2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.00636+0.06%0.005602-11.86%0.0268✗0.641,9622022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.066734+0.05%0.0689+3.30%0.1961✓1.0579k2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00451.0045+0.00%0.9569-4.74%0.0407✓0.572.6M2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.9466-0.04%6.78-24.25%0.1850✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.6512-0.11%10.3905-17.96%0.0372✓1.0221k2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.134504-0.15%0.1193-11.43%0.0497✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.205675-0.30%0.1782-13.62%0.0270✗1.09135k2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020956-0.31%0.01798-14.46%0.0584✓0.61191k2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049139-0.33%0.0378-23.33%0.1292✓0.85145k2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.4135-0.40%12.49-24.21%0.0771✓1.2579k2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003093-0.41%0.002075-33.19%0.2562✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.113623-0.42%0.0931-18.40%0.0616✓0.88188k2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.6554-0.42%51.73-17.78%0.0091✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4161.1446-0.43%52.23-14.95%0.0058✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012821-0.46%0.00001016-21.12%0.0741✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012879-0.47%0.01098-15.15%0.0570✓0.65233k2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.790049-0.53%0.64761-18.46%0.0221✓1.13624k2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1595-0.53%1.571-27.64%0.1188✓1.2732k2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.6577-0.59%9.053-6.81%0.0704✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2979-0.60%4.06-23.83%0.1652✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.349163-0.64%0.2656-24.42%0.0902✓1.1772k2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.0127-0.64%4.1434-17.87%0.1804✓0.06119k2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.9435-0.69%8.85-19.69%0.0018✓1.34288k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048856-0.70%0.0357-27.44%0.1296✓1.18546k2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.163043-0.70%0.1486-9.50%0.1126✗1.319132022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.5163-0.74%3.72-18.24%0.0987✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.233743-0.75%0.2291-2.72%0.1165✗0.87527k2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.1318-0.79%1.672-22.19%0.0664✓1.1313k2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.93e-7-0.81%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0323✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024666-0.86%0.02169-12.82%0.0407✗1.082,9582022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65105.7298-0.86%153.65+44.07%0.5201✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5199-0.92%1.389-9.45%0.0862✗1.1371k2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1746.7172-0.96%41.74-11.51%0.0549✗1.07312k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.563495-0.97%0.457-19.68%0.0302✓1.1466k2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.685-1.01%40.13-23.14%0.0920✓1.03363k2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006169-1.04%0.00603-3.27%0.0352✗0.3730k2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.536324-1.05%0.428-21.03%0.0346✓1.2277k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.150191-1.06%0.1213-20.09%0.0573✓1.00119k2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101583-1.09%0.1026-0.10%0.1688✗1.01336k2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.130464-1.09%0.1178-10.69%0.0823✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7253-1.12%2.24-18.72%0.0660✓0.83523k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.662401-1.13%0.556-17.01%0.0083✓1.07111k2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012998-1.19%0.010459-20.49%0.0864✓0.84882k2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.202851-1.19%0.1515-26.21%0.1163✓1.12108k2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.573025-1.24%0.5112-11.89%0.0176✓0.62836k2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.27142-1.30%0.234-14.91%0.0276✓0.77563k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.9097-1.31%1.505-22.22%0.0299✗1.7160k2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.06309-1.36%0.05987-6.39%0.1058✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87127.083-1.39%111.75-13.28%0.0556✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.43689-1.51%0.3394-23.49%0.0682✓1.1875k2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1718-1.56%3.141-25.88%0.2022✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008908-1.57%0.0055-39.23%0.3345✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8953-1.62%2.065-29.83%0.0951✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.286972-1.62%0.2577-11.66%0.0513✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.8723-1.64%17.14+13.36%0.2986✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,688.49-1.64%1,294.33-24.60%0.0534✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3721.0026-1.72%15.95-25.36%0.0597✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.292468-1.72%0.2122-28.70%0.1518✓1.0874k2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008186-1.73%0.00592-28.93%0.1400✓1.18428k2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.02239-1.80%0.02101-7.85%0.1032✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.9443-1.81%23.36-17.92%0.0201✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4149-1.83%1.91-22.36%0.1393✓0.61261k2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.7647-1.86%31.16-16.82%0.0261✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1213-1.90%0.8202-28.24%0.0709✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6241-1.96%1.3516-18.41%0.0178✓1.06241k2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.313746-2.09%0.252468-21.21%0.0630✓0.99471k2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5183-2.11%6.054-9.09%0.1461✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.7753-2.18%5.07-26.80%0.1336✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7632-2.21%1.584-12.15%0.0520✗1.02627k2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.151175-2.28%0.1346-12.99%0.0423✗1.01336k2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.936778-2.33%0.7783-18.85%0.0128✓1.27899k2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.5753-2.36%7.147-7.88%0.1193✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.072239-2.38%0.06929-6.36%0.0206✓0.13378k2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,864.74-2.40%19,155.92-14.49%0.0243✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.795-2.44%2.23+21.20%0.2905✗0.4758k2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7353.3679-2.49%55.48+1.37%0.2380✗1.278,6412022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3182-2.50%1.105-18.27%0.0234✓1.28323k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4654-2.59%6.173-19.45%0.0072✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8455-2.70%4.7-5.62%0.1050✗0.87839k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.325489-2.72%0.28-16.32%0.0125✓1.0482k2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.653643-2.73%0.549-18.30%0.0037✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.49888-2.73%0.3722-27.43%0.1589✓0.86396k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2343-2.77%1.1675-8.03%0.1231✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.110569-2.89%0.116277+2.12%0.1894✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.1003-2.89%14.49-12.61%0.0169✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.838676-2.91%0.6656-22.95%0.0472✓1.17946k2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.218989-2.97%0.1479-34.47%0.2736✓0.7667k2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.306554-3.06%0.33712+6.61%0.2034✗0.69326k2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.31298-3.31%0.3135-3.15%0.1555✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.484258-3.42%0.3813-23.95%0.0816✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2351-3.43%1.022-20.09%0.0432✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.4789-3.44%5.67-15.50%0.0561✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.863197-3.53%0.8317-7.05%0.2081✗1.5789k2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.1526-3.56%4.67-26.80%0.1935✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.935121-3.60%0.833-14.12%0.0704✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.727-3.71%4.066-31.64%0.2420✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.714287-3.72%0.628-15.35%0.1124✗1.54210k2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0233-3.74%1.558-25.88%0.0393✓1.42967k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.2852-3.77%4.714-14.17%0.1045✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.6773-3.82%11.54-18.85%0.0158✓1.19925k2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.111-4.06%3.305-22.87%0.1608✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1007-4.08%1.67-23.74%0.0300✓1.27227k2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.697968-4.39%0.54-26.03%0.2190✓0.2444k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.6487-4.41%3.8083-21.69%0.0343✓1.49122k2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.346142-4.57%0.3109-14.28%0.0579✗1.061,1592022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.169165-4.59%0.14279-19.47%0.0003✓1.08271k2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.069-4.73%5.66-23.72%0.0507✓1.10224k2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.035508-4.80%0.02798-24.99%0.0723✓1.0635k2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.368398-5.03%0.3107-19.90%0.0029✓1.07314k2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9328.4211-5.04%24.34-18.68%0.1057✗1.66159k2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4825-5.15%1.454-6.97%0.1724✗1.2343k2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.956551-5.29%0.873-13.56%0.0275✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.108319-5.32%0.067-41.43%0.3867✓0.60188k2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5331-5.48%1.463-9.80%0.0681✗0.7329k2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,216.06-5.49%7,877.53-19.22%0.0650✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,526.25-5.51%1,254.87-22.31%0.0392✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.1954-5.65%0.747-41.04%0.2049✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000043322-5.76%0.00003798-17.38%0.0063✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.121124-5.81%0.0876-31.88%0.1279✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.7982-5.97%1.0233-46.49%0.4313✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.022585-6.03%0.024833+3.32%0.1089✗0.09465k2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.188981-6.17%0.1899-5.71%0.1589✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.0441-6.19%2.859-11.90%0.0045✓0.37676k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011185-6.83%0.009569-20.28%0.0006✓1.006492022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.178383-6.90%0.1135-40.76%0.4303✓0.1483k2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017208-6.93%0.014341-22.43%0.0257✓1.009912022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.7348-7.03%3.153-38.09%0.2500✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2316.9253-7.16%14.98-17.83%0.0386✓0.53396k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.2336-7.21%3.0801-32.50%0.2220✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3039-7.52%1.1-21.99%0.0040✓1.0668k2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.1802-7.60%3.802-15.96%0.0527✓0.94273k2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001222-7.63%0.0009175-30.67%0.1574✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4535.4559-7.79%23.79-38.13%0.1524✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.2837-8.15%1.0849-22.37%0.0012✓1.08922k2022-10-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.0209-8.16%5.147-21.49%0.0051✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.403868-8.27%0.30131-31.56%0.1392✓0.98379k2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.1762-8.72%11.739-24.41%0.0119✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.3643-9.14%4.2544-39.27%0.3871✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66046.9321-9.51%4.8842-36.24%0.3109✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.05845-9.72%0.05596-13.56%0.1519✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.19468-10.04%0.128-40.85%0.3021✓0.7526k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.366529-10.45%0.2554-37.60%0.2340✓0.8189k2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000268157-10.61%0.00028659-4.47%0.1086✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3410.7978-12.50%13.627+10.43%0.2915✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.50e-7-13.24%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1168✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.