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2022-09-11 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1907
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.5%
in alpha space · 80.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.33014.4577+2.95%4.365+0.81%0.0786✓0.73690k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.177706+2.05%0.15473-11.15%0.0320✗0.783512022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.040248+1.64%0.03308-16.46%0.1024✗0.692,1832022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.074252+1.62%0.05605-23.29%0.1490✗0.977022022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.185844+1.55%0.148-19.13%0.0689✗1.171,7442022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6393.0512+1.55%71.42-22.06%0.0562✗1.535.6M2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.065152+1.50%0.06166-3.94%0.0115✓0.49123k2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.522655+1.49%0.336-34.76%0.2747✗1.234,2692022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,984.36+1.48%19,028.40-12.16%0.0198✗0.9213k2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22161.3338+1.33%144.57-9.20%0.0237✓0.981.3M2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.21e-7+1.21%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0772✗0.7515k2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.103924+1.19%0.0794-22.69%0.1648✗0.772,6892022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.061756+1.07%0.0499-18.33%0.0968✗0.8682k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0979+1.07%0.922593-15.07%0.0694✗0.7734k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.095099+1.06%0.0796-15.41%0.0434✗0.9914k2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.408905+0.90%0.38304-5.48%0.0725✓1.0132k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001651+0.89%0.001366-16.50%0.0966✗0.686,5532022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.037446+0.66%0.0355-4.57%0.0655✓0.877,8252022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.075934+0.63%0.06085-19.36%0.0837✗1.0124k2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.3223+0.47%2.6817-18.90%0.0722✗1.0419k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.651345+0.36%0.562-13.41%0.0077✗1.03178k2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45454.5699+0.21%47.915-12.01%0.0123✗0.87275k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004198+0.19%0.00336-19.81%0.0942✗0.95103k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.555985+0.17%0.42218-23.94%0.0931✗1.3439k2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021922+0.16%0.018475-15.59%0.0867✗0.6212k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.039309+0.02%0.0324-17.56%0.0546✗1.0288k2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.9242+0.01%1.6014-16.77%0.0315✗1.1223k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.05079-0.02%0.0515+1.38%0.1420✗0.94234k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.046706-0.17%0.039437-15.71%0.0477✓0.8928k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.350751-0.27%0.2823-19.73%0.0706✓1.0834k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001553-0.34%0.001486-4.62%0.0605✗0.77353k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.509355-0.52%0.4268-16.64%0.0167✓1.18384k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.922919-0.52%0.762754-17.79%0.0723✓0.8749k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.046359-0.60%0.03846-17.54%0.0992✓0.6414k2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.846627-0.61%0.75273-11.63%0.0102✓0.7913k2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.042054-0.63%0.036015-14.90%0.0833✓0.5323k2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.142799-0.71%0.12111-15.79%0.0000✓1.21151k2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.05163-0.71%0.0393-24.42%0.1140✓1.17190k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.422289-0.75%0.313-26.44%0.1490✓1.11202k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.065696-0.76%0.0548-17.22%0.0145✓1.23555k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.289219-0.77%0.21515-26.18%0.1740✓0.9015k2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.064-0.78%0.0631-2.17%0.1261✗1.0379k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4083-0.83%1.52+7.04%0.0571✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.9006-0.88%7.02-21.83%0.1558✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.02111-0.89%0.0178-16.43%0.0890✓0.60206k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012809-0.93%0.0104-19.57%0.1188✓0.66233k2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.7649-0.94%10.4764-18.70%0.0586✓1.0222k2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.136387-1.03%0.1203-12.70%0.0266✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006537-1.10%0.00472-28.59%0.2387✓0.64911k2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002869-1.21%0.002081-28.34%0.1990✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0147-1.24%0.9454-7.99%0.0069✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.227312-1.30%0.1864-19.06%0.0768✓0.8957k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.2539-1.31%12.5-24.10%0.0924✓1.2584k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.793167-1.32%0.64753-19.44%0.0482✓1.14584k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2763.4029-1.35%51.54-19.81%0.0469✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.211193-1.36%0.1798-16.02%0.0130✓1.09138k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.3288-1.37%52.01-16.36%0.0230✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.231645-1.43%0.2305-1.91%0.1131✗0.87503k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.3514-1.45%4.18-23.02%0.1572✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.57-1.51%3.71-20.04%0.1245✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012788-1.55%0.00001023-21.25%0.0849✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.6016-1.57%8.744-10.36%0.0238✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.049306-1.59%0.0362-27.74%0.1507✓1.17536k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.951.019-1.70%40.86-21.27%0.0840✓1.02395k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.94e-7-1.81%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0607✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006416-1.84%0.005604-14.27%0.0442✓0.672,0442022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.3619-1.85%30.8-12.03%0.0546✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7304-1.86%2.134-23.29%0.1397✓0.79586k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2624-1.88%1.6843-26.95%0.1406✓1.1413k2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012945-1.88%0.010365-21.44%0.1074✓0.85920k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.1604-1.89%1.57-28.70%0.1451✓1.2832k2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048711-1.99%0.0383-22.94%0.1249✓0.85138k2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9617-2.00%4.1004-19.01%0.1822✓0.06117k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.354634-2.01%0.2662-26.44%0.1263✓1.1872k2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.113229-2.05%0.0922-20.24%0.0864✓0.88169k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.164536-2.06%0.1567-6.73%0.1312✗1.321,0012022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3547.3467-2.08%41.25-14.68%0.0087✓1.08321k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82106.5565-2.08%153.96+41.48%0.4975✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006176-2.11%0.006021-4.56%0.0269✗0.3830k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.062344-2.13%0.060216-5.47%0.1026✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.148514-2.16%0.122-19.63%0.0603✓1.00110k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.130414-2.16%0.118-11.48%0.0612✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.9861-2.17%8.81-21.55%0.0356✓1.36298k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.02494-2.19%0.02204-13.57%0.0298✗1.132,9142022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4837-2.20%1.432-5.60%0.1171✗1.1271k2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.097498-2.21%0.105+5.32%0.2110✗1.01336k2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.670808-2.21%0.555-19.10%0.0431✓1.08111k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.530958-2.22%0.426-21.55%0.0539✓1.2274k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.566168-2.25%0.5306-8.39%0.0196✓0.62826k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8961-2.26%2.062-30.41%0.1269✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.205634-2.36%0.1451-31.10%0.1920✓1.15108k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35127.2645-2.37%111.17-14.71%0.0259✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.1979-2.38%15.96-22.86%0.0492✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.278103-2.42%0.233-18.25%0.0707✓0.78563k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.433743-2.42%0.355-20.13%0.0413✓1.1781k2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.284949-2.52%0.2614-10.57%0.0517✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.499669-2.60%0.383-25.34%0.1215✓1.067,7812022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.285262-2.61%0.2043-30.25%0.1871✓1.0883k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.9361-2.71%1.515-23.87%0.0117✓1.7260k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.3151-2.71%5.992-7.69%0.1376✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022684-2.73%0.0222-4.80%0.1228✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.1266-2.74%23.25-16.64%0.0157✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,718.05-2.77%1,279.94-27.56%0.1080✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,210.00-2.85%19,058.11-12.70%0.0289✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1488-2.89%0.8192-30.75%0.1262✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009161-2.96%0.00556-41.10%0.3683✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.123238-2.96%0.1155-9.06%0.0641✓0.0183k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.086-2.98%14.48-12.67%0.0015✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.577051-3.02%0.454-23.70%0.0825✓1.1664k2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.2696-3.07%3.254-26.13%0.1982✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8409-3.11%2.27+19.47%0.2744✗0.4861k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.071817-3.13%0.07114-4.05%0.0089✓0.14378k2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.303668-3.22%0.252068-19.67%0.0523✓0.99471k2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.943201-3.24%0.7788-20.11%0.0189✓1.27899k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.778-3.26%1.592-13.38%0.0288✓1.02627k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.9271-3.43%5.226-27.14%0.1446✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.652528-3.47%0.553-18.20%0.0099✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008147-3.47%0.00619-26.66%0.1144✓1.18406k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6269-3.48%1.3396-20.52%0.0498✓1.06241k2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.4323-3.50%6.18-19.76%0.0258✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.321-3.51%1.115-18.55%0.0031✓1.27343k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.112575-3.53%0.0886-24.08%0.0714✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.497313-3.57%0.3748-27.32%0.1667✓0.85418k2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.9169-3.59%4.82-5.49%0.0976✗0.86859k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.320848-3.59%0.2783-16.38%0.0001✓1.0575k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.148911-3.62%0.1354-12.36%0.0431✗1.02336k2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.109996-3.84%0.116096+1.49%0.1743✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.318227-3.97%0.33684+1.64%0.1522✗0.70326k2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.221552-4.17%0.1522-34.17%0.2712✓0.7766k2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1981-4.23%1.022-18.31%0.0320✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2478-4.23%1.2564-3.57%0.1631✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.829526-4.24%0.6867-20.73%0.0287✓1.18946k2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.312396-4.29%0.3177-2.67%0.1510✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.488163-4.30%0.3906-23.43%0.0860✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.6822-4.33%7.132-11.18%0.0792✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.428-4.49%5.78-14.12%0.0380✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.848061-4.55%0.8294-6.65%0.1909✗1.5794k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.929229-4.60%0.833-14.48%0.0538✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.9759-4.61%16.63+5.92%0.2426✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.70022-4.74%0.6398-12.96%0.1183✗1.53226k2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.8407-4.86%4.3-29.96%0.2165✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1162.0116-4.93%1.581-25.28%0.0471✓1.43967k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.8389-4.95%11.52-20.88%0.0216✓1.19925k2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2552.3837-5.19%55.84+1.07%0.2389✗1.298,9662022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.227-5.22%4.92-25.11%0.1618✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2005-5.56%1.67-28.33%0.1006✓1.29227k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.5705-5.70%3.9604-18.29%0.0651✗1.53129k2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1049-5.72%3.34-23.29%0.1556✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.678669-5.74%0.56-22.22%0.1607✓0.2346k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.1838-5.85%5.83-23.59%0.0588✓1.10230k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.329123-5.99%0.3202-8.54%0.1154✗1.057782022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4715-6.03%1.94-26.24%0.1577✓0.62262k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.3324-6.15%4.693-17.41%0.0638✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.166895-6.18%0.14363-19.26%0.0053✓1.07268k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003572-6.26%0.00325-14.70%0.0431✓1.01481k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.00004276-6.27%0.000038-16.70%0.0021✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5496-6.37%1.496-9.61%0.0662✗0.7536k2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.958525-6.39%0.853-16.70%0.0615✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035372-6.45%0.02814-25.58%0.0834✓1.0745k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.0635-6.54%2.858-12.81%0.0185✓0.38720k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.364461-6.62%0.3122-20.01%0.0083✓1.08324k2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,546.81-6.64%1,240.98-25.10%0.0844✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.194337-6.70%0.1946-6.58%0.1374✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.7705-6.91%24.24-24.20%0.0260✓1.70168k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022312-6.93%0.025016+4.35%0.1243✗0.07455k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.01699-7.06%0.014339-21.56%0.0338✓1.008742022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.5316-7.07%1.424-13.59%0.0959✗1.2443k2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.3433-7.17%3.1333-33.03%0.2443✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,440.66-7.40%7,823.46-23.26%0.0078✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.5336-7.40%3.171-35.23%0.2216✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010476-7.41%0.009663-14.59%0.0551✓1.006302022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.8586-7.43%1.0218-49.11%0.4826✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.30421-8.04%0.255-22.91%0.0728✓0.7684k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2071-8.17%1.105-15.94%0.0573✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.1232-8.39%3.85-14.46%0.0600✓0.95286k2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2841-8.41%0.738-47.36%0.3193✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.8755-8.44%5.133-20.01%0.0041✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.3194-8.51%14.03-25.88%0.1364✓0.55384k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3327-8.72%1.09-25.34%0.0557✓1.0779k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001247-8.78%0.000927-32.21%0.1824✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.16-8.82%23.73-38.46%0.1778✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.114306-8.85%0.0677-46.01%0.4395✓0.62191k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.2932-8.95%12.174-22.45%0.0157✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.415415-9.06%0.30021-34.28%0.1881✓1.01379k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.4917-9.17%4.4242-38.10%0.3693✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.8829-9.55%5.0794-33.25%0.2696✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.058427-10.40%0.05586-14.34%0.1251✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000385045-10.74%0.00028097-34.87%0.2646✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.0089-12.59%14.164+12.47%0.3030✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.30e-7-13.66%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1266✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.224791-13.91%0.1306-49.98%0.4339✓0.8024k2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.