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2022-09-11 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2655
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 91.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4232-13.64%1.424-13.59%0.1692✗1.2443k2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.056407-13.50%0.05586-14.34%0.1603✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.228495-12.49%0.1306-49.98%0.4502✓0.8024k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.636.6979-12.22%5.83-23.59%0.0112✓1.10230k2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.6332-12.21%5.133-20.01%0.0381✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9828.116-12.08%24.24-24.20%0.0831✓1.70168k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.709-11.83%5.0794-33.25%0.2440✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,061.06-11.12%7,823.46-23.26%0.0488✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.895-10.44%1.581-25.28%0.0126✓1.43967k2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.2793-10.44%14.164+12.47%0.2787✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2638-9.86%0.738-47.36%0.3033✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.621289-9.43%0.555-19.10%0.0336✓1.08111k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.1147-9.24%1.67-28.33%0.0608✓1.29227k2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.63e-7-9.17%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1774✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.1983-8.84%1.105-15.94%0.0646✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.26804-8.49%0.2043-30.25%0.1248✓1.0883k2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000395002-8.43%0.00028097-34.87%0.2902✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.060781-8.19%0.0548-17.22%0.0632✓1.23555k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2597-7.98%1.115-18.55%0.0506✓1.27343k2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.3122-7.84%3.1333-33.03%0.2371✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3488-7.62%1.09-25.34%0.0676✓1.0779k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.800328-7.62%0.6867-20.73%0.0071✓1.18946k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.360717-7.58%0.3122-20.01%0.0020✓1.08324k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003522-7.56%0.00325-14.70%0.0570✓1.01481k2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.6562-7.53%23.73-38.46%0.1918✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.5086-7.51%14.03-25.88%0.1473✓0.55384k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.6336-7.18%4.4242-38.10%0.3909✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.951493-7.08%0.853-16.70%0.0541✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8494-7.06%1.515-23.87%0.0341✓1.7260k2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.794224-6.76%0.75273-11.63%0.0537✓0.7913k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.1973-6.75%3.85-14.46%0.0422✓0.95286k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.587-6.68%11.52-20.88%0.0032✓1.19925k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.1542-6.57%1.6843-26.95%0.0916✓1.1413k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.273043-6.32%0.21515-26.18%0.1165✓0.9015k2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.1002-6.24%2.6817-18.90%0.0030✓1.0419k2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.117603-6.22%0.0677-46.01%0.4679✓0.62191k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001283-6.20%0.000927-32.21%0.2103✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.021878-6.18%0.0222-4.80%0.1590✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.195485-6.15%0.1946-6.58%0.1315✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.0939-6.12%5.992-7.69%0.1732✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.447-5.94%7.02-21.83%0.1035✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.2496-5.87%6.18-19.76%0.0009✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002734-5.86%0.002081-28.34%0.1508✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048954-5.86%0.0393-24.42%0.0608✓1.17190k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.109965-5.77%0.0886-24.08%0.0479✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.430471-5.76%0.30021-34.28%0.2237✓1.01379k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.3461-5.70%5.78-14.12%0.0252✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.7948-5.68%2.062-30.41%0.0913✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.020655-5.63%0.018475-15.59%0.0272✓0.6212k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.3662-5.56%4.693-17.41%0.0574✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022645-5.54%0.025016+4.35%0.1095✗0.07455k2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035728-5.51%0.02814-25.58%0.0934✓1.0745k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.680889-5.43%0.56-22.22%0.1640✓0.2346k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.146113-5.43%0.1354-12.36%0.0620✗1.02336k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0856-5.29%1.57-28.70%0.1098✓1.2832k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.8764-5.24%12.174-22.45%0.0243✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4939-5.17%1.94-26.24%0.1667✓0.62262k2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.120463-5.15%0.1155-9.06%0.0414✓0.0183k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.5982-5.13%3.9604-18.29%0.0590✗1.53129k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.1111-5.09%2.858-12.81%0.0339✓0.38720k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7451-5.06%1.592-13.38%0.0475✓1.02627k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4404-5.05%1.432-5.60%0.1467✗1.1271k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.00802-4.98%0.00619-26.66%0.0988✓1.18406k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.91-4.87%1.0218-49.11%0.5099✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.252-4.84%4.92-25.11%0.1658✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.200441-4.82%0.1451-31.10%0.1664✓1.15108k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.044459-4.68%0.03846-17.54%0.0574✓0.6414k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000043489-4.67%0.000038-16.70%0.0148✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.2028-4.59%3.254-26.13%0.1825✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1809-4.59%4.18-23.02%0.1248✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.492076-4.58%0.3748-27.32%0.1561✓0.85418k2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.315715-4.56%0.255-22.91%0.1099✓0.7684k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.6119-4.41%40.86-21.27%0.0561✓1.02395k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.406856-4.38%0.313-26.44%0.1118✓1.11202k2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.31219-4.35%0.3177-2.67%0.1516✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.6806-4.35%7.132-11.18%0.0794✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2552.851-4.34%55.84+1.07%0.2301✗1.298,9662022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.04476-4.33%0.039437-15.71%0.0052✓0.8928k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.8645-4.32%14.48-12.67%0.0154✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060959-4.31%0.060216-5.47%0.1250✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.040506-4.29%0.036015-14.90%0.0458✓0.5323k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1324-4.28%0.8192-30.75%0.1119✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.569657-4.26%0.454-23.70%0.0696✓1.1664k2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047969-4.25%0.0362-27.74%0.1232✓1.17536k2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.109523-4.25%0.116096+1.49%0.1786✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.318778-4.21%0.2783-16.38%0.0065✓1.0575k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.0398-4.20%16.63+5.92%0.2383✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.520233-4.19%0.426-21.55%0.0335✓1.2274k2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,587.61-4.18%1,240.98-25.10%0.1105✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.071063-4.15%0.07114-4.05%0.0195✓0.14378k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009049-4.15%0.00556-41.10%0.3560✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.7425-4.11%23.25-16.64%0.0015✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.132142-4.11%0.1203-12.70%0.0583✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.170697-4.04%0.14363-19.26%0.0279✓1.07268k2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.6999-4.00%3.171-35.23%0.2576✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.489853-3.97%0.3906-23.43%0.0894✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82104.52-3.95%153.96+41.48%0.5168✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7220,973.11-3.93%19,058.11-12.70%0.0401✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.047748-3.93%0.0383-22.94%0.1049✓0.85138k2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.4586-3.91%3.71-20.04%0.0998✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2024-3.89%1.022-18.31%0.0356✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.8939-3.85%15.96-22.86%0.0340✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.85451-3.83%0.8294-6.65%0.1833✗1.5794k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.146061-3.78%0.122-19.63%0.0436✓1.00110k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.348311-3.76%0.2662-26.44%0.1083✓1.1872k2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6777-3.75%2.134-23.29%0.1202✓0.79586k2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3546.5798-3.66%41.25-14.68%0.0250✓1.08321k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001576-3.65%0.001366-16.50%0.0506✓0.686,5532022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1951-3.65%3.34-23.29%0.1774✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8544-3.62%1.6014-16.77%0.0054✓1.1223k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012522-3.60%0.00001023-21.25%0.0639✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.00404-3.57%0.00336-19.81%0.0559✓0.95103k2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.274855-3.56%0.233-18.25%0.0590✓0.78563k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.162095-3.51%0.1567-6.73%0.1462✗1.321,0012022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.9215-3.51%5.226-27.14%0.1437✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.775874-3.47%0.64753-19.44%0.0262✓1.14584k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.429195-3.44%0.355-20.13%0.0308✓1.1781k2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.062312-3.39%0.0631-2.17%0.1528✗1.0379k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.559635-3.38%0.5306-8.39%0.0312✓0.62826k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.339904-3.35%0.2823-19.73%0.0392✓1.0834k2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.9377-3.28%4.3-29.96%0.2330✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,709.46-3.25%1,279.94-27.56%0.1030✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.497131-3.09%0.383-25.34%0.1164✓1.067,7812022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8441-2.94%2.27+19.47%0.2727✗0.4861k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.228175-2.90%0.2305-1.91%0.1282✗0.87503k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,035.04-2.90%19,028.40-12.16%0.0244✓0.9213k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.9946-2.90%30.8-12.03%0.0654✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036134-2.87%0.0355-4.57%0.1011✗0.877,8252022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.207967-2.86%0.1798-16.02%0.0024✓1.09138k2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.954-2.86%4.82-5.49%0.0901✗0.86859k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.321927-2.86%0.33684+1.64%0.1407✗0.70326k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.129502-2.85%0.118-11.48%0.0682✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22154.6931-2.84%144.57-9.20%0.0657✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006424-2.81%0.00472-28.59%0.2213✓0.64911k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.0085-2.80%12.5-24.10%0.0772✓1.2584k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006133-2.79%0.006021-4.56%0.0338✗0.3830k2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.714601-2.79%0.6398-12.96%0.0980✗1.53226k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.85e-7-2.77%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0508✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.139964-2.68%0.12111-15.79%0.0201✓1.21151k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.382-2.67%1.52+7.04%0.0759✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1860.5184-2.67%52.01-16.36%0.0097✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.284502-2.67%0.2614-10.57%0.0532✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.097048-2.66%0.105+5.32%0.2156✗1.01336k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2691-2.60%1.2564-3.57%0.1462✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038581-2.57%0.03308-16.46%0.0601✓0.692,1832022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.394884-2.56%0.38304-5.48%0.1074✗1.0132k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35127.0381-2.54%111.17-14.71%0.0277✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.950355-2.51%0.7788-20.11%0.0265✓1.27899k2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.6138-2.49%1.496-9.61%0.0256✗0.7536k2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.5728-2.44%10.4764-18.70%0.0435✓1.0222k2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.1366-2.42%47.915-12.01%0.0143✓0.87275k2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.011041-2.41%0.009663-14.59%0.0026✓1.006302022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012875-2.41%0.010365-21.44%0.1020✓0.85920k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024889-2.40%0.02204-13.57%0.0319✗1.132,9142022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6453-2.39%1.3396-20.52%0.0610✓1.06241k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001522-2.33%0.001486-4.62%0.0806✗0.77353k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0042-2.27%0.9454-7.99%0.0173✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.100383-2.26%0.0794-22.69%0.1301✓0.772,6892022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.22517-2.23%0.1864-19.06%0.0674✓0.8957k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0623-2.20%0.922593-15.07%0.0365✓0.7734k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.907389-2.20%0.762754-17.79%0.0554✓0.8749k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049703-2.16%0.0515+1.38%0.1637✗0.94234k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.63511-2.14%0.562-13.41%0.0175✓1.03178k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2762.9107-2.11%51.54-19.81%0.0391✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.226405-2.07%0.1522-34.17%0.2929✓0.7766k2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.307416-2.03%0.252068-19.67%0.0645✓0.99471k2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020869-2.03%0.0178-16.43%0.0776✓0.60206k2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.505022-1.94%0.336-34.76%0.2404✓1.234,2692022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.502139-1.93%0.4268-16.64%0.0024✓1.18384k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038557-1.89%0.0324-17.56%0.0353✓1.0288k2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.113417-1.89%0.0922-20.24%0.0880✓0.88169k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.956259-1.82%0.833-14.48%0.0252✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.5928-1.66%8.744-10.36%0.0248✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.171373-1.59%0.15473-11.15%0.0043✓0.783512022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2311.0546-1.56%8.81-21.55%0.0419✓1.36298k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.092752-1.43%0.0796-15.41%0.0184✓0.9914k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.547492-1.36%0.42218-23.94%0.0777✓1.3439k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.180705-1.25%0.148-19.13%0.0409✓1.171,7442022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.00646-1.17%0.005604-14.27%0.0511✓0.672,0442022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.668367-1.13%0.553-18.20%0.0339✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06275.0076-1.09%4.1004-19.01%0.1914✓0.06117k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.074696-1.01%0.06085-19.36%0.0673✓1.0124k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060524-0.94%0.0499-18.33%0.0766✓0.8682k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.018109-0.94%0.014339-21.56%0.0975✓1.008742022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.07264-0.59%0.05605-23.29%0.1270✓0.977022022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.07e-7-0.29%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0623✓0.7515k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.318-0.28%4.365+0.81%0.1104✗0.73690k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6391.8796+0.27%71.42-22.06%0.0435✗1.535.6M2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064401+0.33%0.06166-3.94%0.0231✓0.49123k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.01304+0.85%0.0104-19.57%0.1366✗0.66233k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.354924+1.38%0.3202-8.54%0.0399✓1.057782022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.