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2022-09-10 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3210
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.7%
in alpha space · 91.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.056022-14.96%0.05695-13.55%0.1517✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.3822-14.41%1.305-19.20%0.0770✓1.0943k2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.5315-13.01%5.154-18.95%0.0332✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.786.7751-12.92%6.21-20.18%0.0402✓1.03237k2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5528.3676-12.85%25.01-23.16%0.0852✓1.71178k2022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,184.26-12.04%7,851.69-24.80%0.0155✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.5581-11.56%5.1074-31.12%0.2223✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.8751-11.13%1.573-25.45%0.0170✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.2397-10.62%0.752-45.78%0.3040✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21410.9564-10.30%13.805+13.03%0.2852✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.618228-9.88%0.573-16.47%0.0209✓0.78116k2022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.283761-9.63%0.1964-37.45%0.2418✓1.0292k2022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1166-9.55%1.72-26.50%0.0661✓1.14229k2022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2016-9.31%1.1707-11.65%0.0863✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.061042-8.89%0.0565-15.67%0.0718✓1.21608k2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.3785-8.81%14.59-18.76%0.0400✓0.61384k2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.2526-8.70%1.118-18.51%0.0214✓1.09385k2022-10-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.26e-7-8.60%5.04e-7-26.47%0.1149✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000398735-8.29%0.00028839-33.67%0.2620✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.800487-8.19%0.6906-20.79%0.0253✓0.99988k2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3691-8.11%1.11-25.50%0.0994✓0.8981k2022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.354027-7.95%0.3199-16.82%0.0334✓1.09335k2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.2122-7.89%3.325-27.29%0.1735✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.8932-7.56%1.526-25.49%0.0148✓1.6260k2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2336.3698-7.29%24.25-38.19%0.2268✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.953963-7.20%0.85-17.32%0.0611✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.2401-7.20%3.921-14.18%0.0328✓0.90289k2022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.789212-7.17%0.78289-7.91%0.1021✗0.8913k2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.481-7.13%4.5127-35.33%0.3432✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.161586-7.03%0.137-21.17%0.0625✓0.8324k2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.7099-6.86%11.97-18.68%0.0090✓1.02925k2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.27069-6.77%0.2216-23.68%0.0808✓0.9614k2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.1529-6.59%2.7499-18.53%0.0178✓0.9619k2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.188347-6.57%0.1892-6.15%0.1074✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.2411-6.49%6.391-4.24%0.1772✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.434918-6.48%0.30405-34.62%0.2430✓0.93392k2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.021578-6.39%0.02172-5.77%0.1089✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1793-6.36%1.7409-25.20%0.0894✓1.0913k2022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.109867-6.34%0.0913-22.17%0.0577✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001294-6.32%0.0009418-31.79%0.2351✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.119436-6.25%0.0751-41.05%0.3785✓0.69195k2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.4585-6.23%7.19-20.29%0.1076✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.020256-6.11%0.018973-12.06%0.0276✓0.7512k2022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002734-6.08%0.002108-27.59%0.1552✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.222-6.01%5.83-11.93%0.0123✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.3095-6.01%6.253-19.60%0.0344✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.8432-5.98%2.119-29.93%0.1173✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.049141-5.86%0.0399-23.56%0.1020✓0.86204k2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.144374-5.82%0.1384-9.72%0.0816✗1.00361k2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.022807-5.72%0.025041+3.51%0.0988✗0.04454k2022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4278-5.69%1.473-2.71%0.1673✗1.1071k2022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9324-5.63%1.0487-48.79%0.5037✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.689535-5.54%0.59-19.18%0.1091✓0.3850k2022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.036083-5.54%0.02885-24.48%0.1022✓0.9859k2022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1023-5.47%1.602-27.97%0.1360✓1.1033k2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003047-5.36%0.00326+1.24%0.1838✗0.94481k2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.153-5.26%12.445-22.19%0.0558✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3249.609-5.18%41.93-19.86%0.0537✓0.93363k2022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.043754-5.17%0.03912-15.21%0.0242✓0.7114k2022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.6968-5.15%1.635-8.61%0.0680✗0.85627k2022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.7947-5.09%5.134+1.62%0.2223✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.4772-5.09%1.98-24.14%0.1430✓0.66262k2022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.1072-5.04%2.91-11.06%0.0042✓0.50653k2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.49015-5.01%0.4-22.48%0.0808✓0.997,7812022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.1365-5.01%5.09-21.21%0.1336✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.2325-4.91%3.7704-15.30%0.0723✗1.52129k2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.540252-4.89%0.472-16.90%0.0027✓1.0763k2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.4993-4.88%0.3899-25.72%0.1653✓0.66444k2022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007477-4.87%0.00625-20.48%0.0516✓1.03389k2022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.124358-4.85%0.1201-8.11%0.0340✓0.0183k2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.270349-4.81%0.242-14.79%0.0221✓0.72563k2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.1503-4.80%4.35-19.59%0.1177✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.0912-4.77%3.324-22.63%0.1538✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000042453-4.73%0.00003879-12.95%0.0069✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.1865-4.66%0.8515-31.58%0.1494✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.844-4.66%16.13+3.60%0.1909✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.32426-4.66%0.2837-16.58%0.0037✓1.0582k2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.043619-4.63%0.040114-12.29%0.0139✓0.7928k2022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.200471-4.54%0.1511-28.05%0.1401✓1.15108k2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.132849-4.49%0.1217-12.51%0.0280✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.048721-4.47%0.0369-27.65%0.1614✓0.94546k2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,595.90-4.46%1,251.04-25.11%0.1198✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.06185-4.45%0.059392-8.25%0.0833✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.5554-4.43%7.34-7.16%0.0902✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.86296-4.33%0.8294-8.05%0.1288✗1.3694k2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.528197-4.31%0.435-21.20%0.0601✓1.0877k2022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.308445-4.30%0.3195-0.87%0.1416✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.402412-4.28%0.3127-25.62%0.1247✓1.03209k2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.350869-4.26%0.2763-24.61%0.1123✓1.0271k2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.040733-4.24%0.036464-14.27%0.0474✓0.5123k2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.008983-4.24%0.00578-38.38%0.3515✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6926.5181-4.23%23.56-14.92%0.0015✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.109874-4.21%0.123692+7.83%0.2213✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.172052-4.20%0.14541-19.03%0.0534✓0.93268k2022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.4366-4.18%3.91-15.55%0.0644✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.49117-4.14%0.4012-21.70%0.0954✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.003962-4.08%0.00343-16.95%0.0329✓0.90103k2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.6181-4.07%16.22-20.68%0.0454✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.00001274-4.06%0.00001021-23.12%0.1104✓0.90951k2022-10-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4716.7622-4.05%15.09-13.62%0.0211✓0.681.6M2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.069068-4.03%0.06817-5.28%0.0033✓0.13389k2022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1796-4.01%3.411-21.66%0.1631✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.6226-3.96%3.218-33.14%0.2385✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.6961-3.95%2.188-22.05%0.1095✓0.80630k2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7746.8429-3.95%41.83-14.23%0.0043✓0.95328k2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1741-3.92%1.035-15.30%0.0092✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8642-3.85%1.644-15.21%0.0040✓1.0523k2022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5220,817.81-3.85%19,132.83-11.63%0.0393✓1.00473.4M2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.156296-3.82%0.1577-2.95%0.1222✗0.921,0012022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.47101.4533-3.81%151.15+43.31%0.4921✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.555952-3.80%0.5363-7.20%0.0552✗0.74826k2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.046085-3.79%0.0397-17.12%0.0397✓0.88132k2022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.06337-3.69%0.0602-8.51%0.0481✗0.8081k2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0651.1113-3.67%57.34+8.07%0.2632✗1.209,0502022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.14366-3.65%0.125-16.16%0.0214✓0.95117k2022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005714-3.64%0.00482-18.72%0.0926✓0.63911k2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.871-3.62%5.318-25.40%0.1520✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001544-3.59%0.001375-14.12%0.0346✓0.666,5532022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.0023-3.45%10.738-20.27%0.0820✓0.8822k2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.428125-3.44%0.3444-22.33%0.0773✓1.1381k2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.785852-3.42%0.66749-17.97%0.0604✓0.83584k2022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.8172-3.39%4.65-22.77%0.1719✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.03663-3.35%0.0363-4.22%0.0828✗0.747,8252022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,715.79-3.32%1,290.06-27.31%0.1239✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.342582-3.24%0.2881-18.63%0.0560✓0.9534k2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.390748-3.20%0.38835-3.79%0.1096✗0.9431k2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.725775-3.11%0.6445-13.96%0.0495✗1.36210k2022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0733.9944-3.07%31.95-8.90%0.0663✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.9535-3.06%4.88-4.50%0.0856✗0.81943k2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.01064-3.04%0.010135-7.65%0.0750✗1.006082022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8328-3.02%2.42+28.04%0.3404✗0.5161k2022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.02e-7-3.01%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0634✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.129628-2.97%0.1203-9.96%0.0566✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.273529-2.94%0.2643-6.21%0.0631✗0.7984k2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.222642-2.90%0.2229-2.79%0.1057✗0.85503k2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.3634-2.89%13.12-22.14%0.0875✓1.0885k2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3261.503-2.87%52.63-16.88%0.0382✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.205546-2.86%0.1844-12.85%0.0354✗1.16139k2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.139609-2.86%0.12369-13.94%0.0170✓1.12157k2022-10-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,120.69-2.82%19,152.00-11.87%0.0187✓0.9413k2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.286729-2.77%0.2601-11.80%0.0158✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.323125-2.76%0.34896+5.01%0.1656✗0.72327k2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.100752-2.75%0.0821-20.75%0.1174✓0.712,6892022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006057-2.74%0.006179-0.79%0.0743✗0.4433k2022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64129.0296-2.72%111.62-15.85%0.0073✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3915-2.69%1.59+11.19%0.1271✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6222-2.65%1.3702-17.77%0.0406✓1.04241k2022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51153.3372-2.65%142.31-9.65%0.0502✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6171-2.64%1.54-7.28%0.0436✗0.7544k2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.096288-2.64%0.1072+8.39%0.2175✗0.89336k2022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001507-2.64%0.00151-2.45%0.0966✗0.77343k2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23653.8143-2.57%48-13.10%0.0244✓0.73284k2022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3363.6551-2.56%52.65-19.41%0.0446✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.038771-2.54%0.03408-14.33%0.0352✓0.762,2982022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.024827-2.53%0.02272-10.80%0.0851✗1.412,9582022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.963079-2.47%0.8062-18.36%0.0377✓1.13899k2022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3024-2.45%1.2607-5.57%0.1043✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012757-2.37%0.010998-15.83%0.0729✓0.61929k2022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0098-2.35%0.9327-9.81%0.0166✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.916531-2.32%0.772633-17.66%0.0741✓0.7849k2022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.641779-2.32%0.576-12.33%0.0051✓0.92178k2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049685-2.19%0.0551+8.46%0.2259✗0.99234k2022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.182058-2.17%0.1562-16.07%0.0126✓1.341,5202022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020609-2.14%0.01855-11.92%0.0145✓0.73223k2022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.167632-2.14%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0473-2.09%0.956518-10.58%0.0082✓0.8034k2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.306553-1.96%0.258723-17.26%0.0470✓0.99514k2022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038631-1.95%0.0329-16.50%0.0560✓0.8584k2022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.216504-1.95%0.1907-13.63%0.0126✓0.9257k2022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.225443-1.94%0.161-29.97%0.2419✓0.7767k2022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.112373-1.86%0.0951-16.94%0.0713✓0.77169k2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.54616-1.84%0.4444-20.13%0.0550✓1.2239k2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.960679-1.77%0.844-13.70%0.0199✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.496955-1.77%0.4416-12.71%0.0172✓1.09384k2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.6044-1.76%8.752-10.47%0.0206✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.097844-1.66%0.0801-19.50%0.0942✓0.8613k2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.7791-1.56%9.1-16.89%0.0187✓1.22298k2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018673-1.43%0.014562-23.14%0.1250✓1.006792022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.387943-1.31%0.3174-19.26%0.0692✓1.067402022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006218-1.31%0.006061-3.80%0.0593✗0.692,0442022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075004-1.28%0.06087-19.89%0.0713✓1.1125k2022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068255-1.24%0.06086-11.94%0.0002✓0.936022022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.671931-1.19%0.559-17.79%0.0442✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.51001-1.16%0.347-32.75%0.2431✓1.154,5592022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059252-0.92%0.048-19.73%0.1023✓0.8881k2022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.9007-0.91%4.0725-17.65%0.1734✓0.09115k2022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.3089-0.35%4.3574+0.77%0.1040✗0.75702k2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.18%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0725✓0.7515k2022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.7671+0.03%73.6-20.64%0.0556✗1.425.6M2022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064806+0.34%0.06275-2.84%0.0439✓0.62129k2022-10-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.013152+0.71%0.01132-13.32%0.0612✗0.72228k2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.