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2022-09-09 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2896
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.056787-18.54%0.05915-15.15%0.1453✓1.111.5M2022-10-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3795.4504-14.56%5.43-14.88%0.0765✓0.856.2M2022-10-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.321-14.50%1.285-16.83%0.0771✓1.1143k2022-10-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.058,984.30-13.94%8,080.63-22.59%0.0243✓1.384.5M2022-10-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.926.8358-13.69%6.59-16.79%0.0653✓1.08255k2022-10-09
METISMetisEthereum32.4228.0771-13.40%25.89-20.14%0.0801✓1.71185k2022-10-09
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.2386-12.22%0.844-40.18%0.2304✓1.632.8M2022-10-09
FLOWFlownative2.1111.8551-12.12%1.704-19.28%0.0387✓1.311.1M2022-10-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51526.6465-11.56%5.7888-22.97%0.1103✓0.309.9M2022-10-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.612632-10.56%0.585-14.60%0.0316✓0.83129k2022-10-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.0882-10.49%14.608+17.93%0.3213✗0.4816.0M2022-10-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.2122-10.21%1.2235-9.38%0.0978✓0.941.2M2022-10-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.1123-10.12%1.8-23.40%0.0516✓1.15232k2022-10-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.278533-9.89%0.224-27.53%0.1229✓1.0195k2022-10-09
BANDBandEthereum1.381.2466-9.67%1.217-11.81%0.0861✓1.17385k2022-10-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0916.3494-9.62%15.1-16.53%0.0185✓0.65396k2022-10-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.3397-9.48%1.16-21.62%0.0579✓0.9181k2022-10-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.058206-9.05%0.057-10.94%0.0918✓1.20608k2022-10-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.80248-8.91%0.7352-16.55%0.0068✓1.001.0M2022-10-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000393447-8.64%0.00030654-28.82%0.2026✓0.501.5M2022-10-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.71e-7-8.31%5.37e-7-26.58%0.1557✓0.702.3M2022-10-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.8445-8.24%1.613-19.75%0.0179✓1.6165k2022-10-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.3008-7.98%3.692-21.01%0.0686✓0.89298k2022-10-09
STXStacksnative0.38130.351189-7.90%0.3386-11.20%0.0680✓1.11348k2022-10-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.1316-7.68%3.5064-21.65%0.1114✓0.567.3M2022-10-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.78183-7.64%0.81537-3.68%0.1275✗0.9114k2022-10-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.104132-7.52%0.0963-14.48%0.0202✓1.042.7M2022-10-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.0212-7.51%6.633+1.89%0.2138✗1.246.9M2022-10-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.040.962771-7.43%0.854-17.88%0.0843✓0.382.9M2022-10-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7113.643-7.25%12.43-15.50%0.0061✓1.05925k2022-10-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.4478-7.20%5.1729-25.55%0.1999✓0.228.6M2022-10-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.26943-7.10%0.23395-19.33%0.0480✓0.9914k2022-10-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.0808-6.95%2.8703-13.31%0.0209✓0.9719k2022-10-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1936.4856-6.90%26.97-31.18%0.1653✓1.4511.8M2022-10-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.021899-6.85%0.02177-7.40%0.0693✓0.809.2M2022-10-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.191709-6.62%0.2155+4.97%0.1970✗0.853.2M2022-10-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.036512-6.55%0.03037-22.27%0.0901✓1.0072k2022-10-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.020372-6.51%0.019486-10.57%0.0287✓0.7813k2022-10-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.2546-6.50%6.478-16.51%0.0194✓1.0010.0M2022-10-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001298-6.48%0.0009941-28.37%0.1961✓0.752.5M2022-10-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.144947-6.37%0.1452-6.20%0.1002✗1.04421k2022-10-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.3206-6.30%8.02-9.68%0.0075✓0.472.2M2022-10-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.8129-6.20%2.253-24.87%0.0888✓1.413.0M2022-10-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002721-6.12%0.00221-23.77%0.1249✓0.881.2M2022-10-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.116598-6.12%0.069-44.44%0.4606✓0.68195k2022-10-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048818-6.12%0.0423-18.65%0.0608✓0.88204k2022-10-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1868-6.04%1.7824-23.41%0.1015✓1.0913k2022-10-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.1624-5.98%13.193-18.19%0.0311✓1.1515.6M2022-10-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.0851-5.95%6.4-1.08%0.0935✗0.462.1M2022-10-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.527944-5.89%0.492-12.30%0.0308✓1.0757k2022-10-09
XVGVergenative0.003280.003087-5.88%0.00335+2.13%0.1721✗0.96483k2022-10-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.0636-5.86%1.728-21.17%0.0733✓1.1134k2022-10-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.7375-5.83%1.732-6.12%0.0796✗0.88627k2022-10-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.3986-5.82%1.564+5.32%0.2156✗1.1071k2022-10-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.687859-5.77%0.6-17.81%0.1083✓0.3052k2022-10-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.043596-5.62%0.04054-12.23%0.0061✓0.7114k2022-10-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.022902-5.52%0.026132+7.81%0.1379✗0.06465k2022-10-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.7773-5.34%5.265+4.32%0.2202✗1.316.4M2022-10-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.393986-5.31%0.31729-23.75%0.1269✓0.95392k2022-10-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.201251-5.29%0.1578-25.74%0.1339✓1.16111k2022-10-09
KSMKusamaHydration52.6549.8654-5.29%43.67-17.06%0.0427✓0.96395k2022-10-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.7475-5.13%1.131-38.60%0.3505✓0.901.2M2022-10-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.3335-5.11%4.5126-1.19%0.1863✗1.55129k2022-10-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.505308-5.09%0.4026-24.38%0.1618✓0.69467k2022-10-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.066-5.07%5.63-11.89%0.0311✓0.462.2M2022-10-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.699-5.05%18.05+16.60%0.2893✗0.891.7M2022-10-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.263034-5.04%0.248-10.47%0.0096✓0.73563k2022-10-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4499-5.04%2.03-21.32%0.1235✓0.69262k2022-10-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.353634-4.96%0.2904-21.96%0.0994✓1.0471k2022-10-09
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000042337-4.95%0.00004076-8.49%0.0383✓0.812.5M2022-10-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.049245-4.93%0.0386-25.48%0.1523✓0.97546k2022-10-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007455-4.91%0.00655-16.45%0.0292✓1.06406k2022-10-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009245-4.88%0.0063-35.19%0.3133✓0.753.5M2022-10-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.003958-4.85%0.00353-15.14%0.0276✓0.92111k2022-10-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.130792-4.81%0.1262-8.15%0.0110✓0.503.0M2022-10-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.1309-4.81%4.8-10.95%0.0249✓0.442.0M2022-10-09
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.044003-4.80%0.041301-10.65%0.0121✓0.8029k2022-10-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.060888-4.74%0.062134-2.79%0.1160✗1.021.3M2022-10-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.0229-4.74%3.707-12.22%0.0371✓0.472.1M2022-10-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.747316-4.73%0.6442-17.87%0.0151✓1.42210k2022-10-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.17046-4.68%0.15261-14.66%0.0219✓0.94268k2022-10-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.3827-4.67%7.634-1.42%0.1268✗0.9918.0M2022-10-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.309499-4.65%0.3389+4.41%0.1730✗0.875.8M2022-10-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1485-4.62%0.8827-26.70%0.1262✓1.454.5M2022-10-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.129533-4.62%0.1177-13.33%0.0947✓0.0187k2022-10-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.816885-4.61%0.8318-2.87%0.1475✗1.3794k2022-10-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.522912-4.58%0.452-17.52%0.0426✓1.0977k2022-10-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,524.59-4.55%1,282.56-19.70%0.0786✓1.003.4M2022-10-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.109331-4.43%0.1288+12.58%0.2424✗0.836.5M2022-10-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.156852-4.42%0.1463-10.85%0.0183✓0.931,1642022-10-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.097-4.41%3.019-6.82%0.0267✓0.55720k2022-10-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.068879-4.40%0.06824-5.29%0.0031✓0.13397k2022-10-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.431568-4.37%0.3586-20.54%0.0757✓1.1675k2022-10-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.6298-4.37%2.276-17.24%0.0663✓0.83630k2022-10-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.1807-4.32%1.084-12.16%0.0006✓0.911.1M2022-10-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.8528-4.30%1.7097-11.69%0.0181✓1.0523k2022-10-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.040741-4.29%0.037252-12.49%0.0429✓0.5025k2022-10-09
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.480706-4.28%0.423-15.77%0.0434✓0.9037.9M2022-10-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.317813-4.27%0.2876-13.37%0.0011✓1.0587k2022-10-09
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.0535-4.25%24.14-11.28%0.0114✓0.936.8M2022-10-09
DASHDashDash49.0146.933-4.24%42.99-12.28%0.0020✓0.95338k2022-10-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.5399-4.22%16.91-17.11%0.0309✓1.2118.8M2022-10-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001557-4.15%0.001377-15.21%0.0602✓0.667,1022022-10-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.398383-4.12%0.3236-22.12%0.1069✓1.07215k2022-10-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.1448-4.10%3.71-14.16%0.0829✓0.302.2M2022-10-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.4221-4.08%4.34-5.86%0.0314✓0.531.3M2022-10-09
HIVEHivenative0.57680.553293-4.08%0.516-10.54%0.0031✓0.77867k2022-10-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012394-4.07%0.00001104-14.55%0.0299✓0.91898k2022-10-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.426001-4.05%0.413-6.98%0.0629✗1.007,7812022-10-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005603-4.05%0.00499-14.55%0.0574✓0.62951k2022-10-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2816.5975-3.95%15.46-10.53%0.0043✓0.801.6M2022-10-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.143992-3.94%0.1309-12.68%0.0032✓0.98128k2022-10-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5020,529.08-3.91%19,443.47-8.99%0.0399✓1.00480.9M2022-10-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.8228-3.90%5.854-17.55%0.0734✓0.854.4M2022-10-09
QNTQuantEthereum103.3599.3426-3.88%156.03+50.97%0.5256✗0.793.4M2022-10-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.133529-3.87%0.1466+5.54%0.1716✗0.8324k2022-10-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.777545-3.77%0.69192-14.37%0.0391✓0.82537k2022-10-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.010759-3.75%0.01046-6.42%0.0660✗1.005862022-10-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.061251-3.69%0.0611-3.93%0.0733✗0.8082k2022-10-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.036223-3.66%0.037-1.60%0.0895✗0.727,8252022-10-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.8969-3.65%5.026-17.88%0.1158✓0.473.6M2022-10-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.8373-3.64%5.02+0.00%0.1131✗0.81943k2022-10-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.045793-3.59%0.0405-14.74%0.0381✓0.90138k2022-10-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.341912-3.46%0.30141-14.90%0.0357✓0.9635k2022-10-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.130645-3.44%0.1292-4.51%0.0853✗1.021.4M2022-10-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.5271-3.43%11.0215-15.03%0.0416✓0.9222k2022-10-09
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.384068-3.39%0.3903-1.82%0.1030✗0.9231k2022-10-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.267201-3.36%0.2675-3.25%0.0770✗0.8184k2022-10-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,663.06-3.27%1,323.41-23.02%0.1064✓1.30617.0M2022-10-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6306-3.23%1.55-8.01%0.0201✓0.7551k2022-10-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8020,688.14-3.20%19,442.20-9.03%0.0267✓0.9413k2022-10-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025184-3.14%0.02333-10.27%0.0407✗1.242,9582022-10-09
SOLSolanaSolana34.6933.6304-3.05%32.93-5.07%0.0786✗1.0660.5M2022-10-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.7938-3.04%2.43+31.35%0.3440✗0.4363k2022-10-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.137011-3.03%0.12637-10.56%0.0248✓1.12163k2022-10-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9128.8898-3.02%117.18-11.83%0.0097✓1.114.4M2022-10-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.208057-3.00%0.1989-7.27%0.0717✗1.24139k2022-10-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006123-2.99%0.006271-0.63%0.0642✗0.4336k2022-10-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3874-2.98%1.58+10.49%0.1098✗-0.21128k2022-10-09
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.83e-7-2.97%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0532✓0.751.8M2022-10-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.3239-2.96%0.36474+9.27%0.1907✗0.76332k2022-10-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.283731-2.90%0.2723-6.81%0.0455✗0.922.7M2022-10-09
ZECZcashZcash66.0164.1046-2.89%54.8-16.98%0.0492✓1.141.2M2022-10-09
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.3959-2.87%13.53-19.85%0.0895✓1.0987k2022-10-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51253.9553-2.80%49.815-10.26%0.0090✓0.75287k2022-10-09
XMRMoneroMonero161.29156.7923-2.79%145.74-9.64%0.0215✓1.001.3M2022-10-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001508-2.77%0.001516-2.26%0.0774✗0.77374k2022-10-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.095796-2.75%0.1144+16.14%0.2627✗0.90359k2022-10-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.371526-2.74%0.3281-14.11%0.0244✓1.066802022-10-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.100583-2.72%0.0846-18.18%0.1070✓0.702,7842022-10-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.012888-2.72%0.011043-16.64%0.0954✓0.63929k2022-10-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1559.4897-2.72%53.93-11.81%0.0075✓0.9613.1M2022-10-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0186-2.71%0.9431-9.91%0.0272✓0.532.8M2022-10-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.051668-2.70%0.0621+16.95%0.2788✗1.01234k2022-10-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.223591-2.66%0.229-0.30%0.1079✗0.89537k2022-10-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2915-2.63%1.3862+4.52%0.1747✗1.101.1M2022-10-09
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6022-2.62%1.4242-13.44%0.0188✓1.05247k2022-10-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.020709-2.59%0.01851-12.94%0.0432✓0.73234k2022-10-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.180315-2.59%0.1601-13.51%0.0029✓1.291,5202022-10-09
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6950.3683-2.56%59.1+14.34%0.2737✗1.219,1802022-10-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.954555-2.55%0.836-14.65%0.0233✓1.16899k2022-10-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.642456-2.51%0.607-7.89%0.0300✗0.92178k2022-10-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.03804-2.36%0.03485-10.55%0.0148✓0.772,4552022-10-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058804-2.32%0.0491-18.44%0.0951✓0.9180k2022-10-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0558-2.28%1.0032-7.15%0.0242✗0.8038k2022-10-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.216721-2.25%0.1993-10.10%0.0057✓0.9557k2022-10-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.307018-2.21%0.272878-13.08%0.0221✓1.02514k2022-10-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017984-2.18%0.015117-17.77%0.0794✓1.004152022-10-09
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.907064-2.15%0.782722-15.57%0.0718✓0.8052k2022-10-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.166812-2.11%0.16431-3.58%0.1883✗2.164042022-10-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.546172-2.10%0.45944-17.64%0.0558✓1.2441k2022-10-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.112007-2.09%0.0973-14.95%0.0639✓0.82169k2022-10-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.4733-2.03%9.36-12.44%0.0029✓1.22281k2022-10-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038312-2.02%0.034-13.04%0.0377✓0.8777k2022-10-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.489985-1.87%0.4318-13.52%0.0231✓1.10384k2022-10-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.4369-1.81%9.025-6.10%0.0417✗0.921.2M2022-10-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.944803-1.79%0.882-8.32%0.0476✗1.231.5M2022-10-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.225225-1.73%0.1679-26.75%0.2216✓0.7767k2022-10-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.066259-1.59%0.06045-10.22%0.0088✓0.886022022-10-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.681445-1.38%0.59-14.62%0.0374✓1.133.8M2022-10-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.07308-1.34%0.06092-17.75%0.0771✓1.1125k2022-10-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.490978-1.21%0.372-25.15%0.1652✓1.194,5592022-10-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006141-1.19%0.005787-6.89%0.0056✓0.692,0942022-10-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.092788-1.18%0.0817-12.99%0.0417✓0.9113k2022-10-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.9234-0.91%4.1088-17.31%0.1723✓0.09115k2022-10-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.42e-7-0.81%7.80e-7-17.89%0.1174✓0.7615k2022-10-09
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2948-0.44%4.3572+1.01%0.0868✗0.77724k2022-10-09
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1491.1795+0.04%75.5-17.16%0.0545✗1.426.0M2022-10-09
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.063533+0.24%0.062443-1.48%0.0384✓0.59123k2022-10-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012429+0.56%0.0124+0.32%0.0585✓0.65228k2022-10-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.