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2022-09-08 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2696
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.1%
in alpha space · 80.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.668,009.81-13.56%8,043.91-13.20%0.0029✓1.424.5M2022-10-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.1082-12.90%5.399-7.95%0.0510✓0.876.2M2022-10-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.2677-12.57%1.23-15.17%0.0361✓1.1745k2022-10-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.376.482-12.05%6.43-12.75%0.0137✓1.13276k2022-10-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.271.9968-12.04%1.8-20.70%0.1101✓1.26232k2022-10-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.053217-11.94%0.05844-3.29%0.0881✓1.101.5M2022-10-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.1231-11.77%1.2-5.73%0.0601✓1.21429k2022-10-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68226.7829-11.71%6.0322-21.48%0.1191✓0.369.9M2022-10-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0434-11.43%0.836-29.03%0.2299✓1.642.8M2022-10-08
FLOWFlownative1.9561.7369-11.20%1.686-13.80%0.0367✓1.381.1M2022-10-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.2438-11.16%1.14-18.57%0.0920✓0.9681k2022-10-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.0802-10.94%1.2118-0.09%0.1102✓0.951.3M2022-10-08
METISMetisEthereum29.1325.9639-10.87%25.79-11.47%0.0159✓1.83186k2022-10-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3815.5491-10.53%15-13.69%0.0394✓0.68396k2022-10-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.583617-10.49%0.58-11.04%0.0106✓0.86134k2022-10-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000462423-10.43%0.00029525-42.81%0.4523✓0.721.2M2022-10-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41611.1448-10.24%15.367+23.77%0.3185✗0.5516.0M2022-10-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.146302-9.91%0.1363-16.07%0.0761✓1.0524k2022-10-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.26893-9.88%0.2372-20.51%0.1311✓1.0997k2022-10-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.2743-9.48%3.746-20.67%0.1369✓0.99298k2022-10-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.094437-9.46%0.0962-7.77%0.0130✓1.082.7M2022-10-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.135374-9.21%0.1437-3.62%0.0541✓1.11469k2022-10-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.74501-8.97%0.7275-11.11%0.0290✓1.041.0M2022-10-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1735.6361-8.70%6.512+5.49%0.1378✗1.326.9M2022-10-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.133.885-8.67%26.96-27.33%0.2364✓1.5511.8M2022-10-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-76.83e-7-8.62%5.29e-7-29.30%0.2608✓0.842.3M2022-10-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.783551-8.28%0.80978-5.21%0.0279✓1.0014k2022-10-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.04499-8.18%0.0408-16.73%0.1024✓0.91204k2022-10-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.6924-8.17%1.562-15.25%0.0887✓1.6965k2022-10-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.056756-8.16%0.057-7.77%0.0021✓1.27617k2022-10-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.1274-7.75%3.5435-20.80%0.1557✓0.637.3M2022-10-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019134-7.68%0.019332-6.73%0.0062✓0.8113k2022-10-08
STXStacksnative0.36210.334354-7.66%0.3278-9.47%0.0257✓1.17365k2022-10-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.120079-7.63%0.0685-47.31%0.5653✓0.79203k2022-10-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0380.959205-7.59%0.85-18.11%0.1230✓0.422.9M2022-10-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3896.8364-7.48%6.312-14.58%0.0851✓1.0510.0M2022-10-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.001235-7.46%0.0009955-25.43%0.2198✓0.802.5M2022-10-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.278864-7.42%0.2731-9.33%0.0257✓0.9683k2022-10-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.4074-7.41%2.02-22.31%0.1793✓0.77262k2022-10-08
PROPropyEthereum0.730.677502-7.19%0.6-17.81%0.1232✓0.3453k2022-10-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.399-7.18%5.2565-23.75%0.1980✓0.268.4M2022-10-08
KSMKusamaHydration50.2646.6744-7.13%42.64-15.16%0.0954✓1.00409k2022-10-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.173788-7.07%0.2155+15.24%0.2108✗0.863.1M2022-10-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.260537-6.85%0.2332-16.62%0.1161✓1.0514k2022-10-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.16922.9592-6.62%2.8264-10.81%0.0511✓1.0319k2022-10-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.041447-6.61%0.04056-8.61%0.0254✓0.7514k2022-10-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.1065-6.56%1.7914-20.54%0.1681✓1.2013k2022-10-08
XVGVergenative0.003160.00296-6.33%0.00335+6.01%0.1186✗1.02483k2022-10-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.2308-6.25%7.98-9.11%0.0335✓0.522.2M2022-10-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.375.9728-6.24%6.41+0.63%0.0681✗0.502.1M2022-10-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8512.996-6.17%12.34-10.90%0.0574✓1.11925k2022-10-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.032983-6.17%0.03008-14.42%0.0972✓1.0159k2022-10-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0721.9461-6.07%1.708-17.57%0.1364✓1.1734k2022-10-08
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003748-6.06%0.00349-12.53%0.0763✓0.98123k2022-10-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002564-6.03%0.00215-21.19%0.1806✓0.921.2M2022-10-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.160264-5.92%0.15272-10.34%0.0532✓1.00268k2022-10-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.6588-5.91%1.758-0.28%0.0533✓0.94578k2022-10-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7114.7861-5.88%17.73+12.86%0.1765✗1.011.7M2022-10-08
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,405.05-5.81%1,276.54-14.43%0.1010✓1.003.5M2022-10-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.02301-5.79%0.026408+8.12%0.1372✗0.11465k2022-10-08
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.009977-5.55%0.010527-0.34%0.0486✓1.005382022-10-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.2004-5.50%4.7846+7.64%0.1193✗2.17129k2022-10-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.360323-5.47%0.31877-16.37%0.1274✓0.97392k2022-10-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.324042-5.42%0.2851-16.78%0.1334✓1.0671k2022-10-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.3385-5.41%1.618+14.35%0.1838✗1.1771k2022-10-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.6771-5.36%1.1244-36.55%0.4046✓0.951.2M2022-10-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1247-5.33%1.058-10.94%0.0659✓0.951.1M2022-10-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.346.0024-5.32%5.63-11.20%0.0666✓0.512.2M2022-10-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.5159-5.27%2.269-14.57%0.1078✓0.88671k2022-10-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.480192-5.23%0.3931-22.42%0.2038✓0.73467k2022-10-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.18879-5.23%0.1568-21.29%0.1924✓1.33111k2022-10-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.057821-5.18%0.06163+1.07%0.0584✗1.071.3M2022-10-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.038864-5.15%0.037113-9.42%0.0487✓0.5125k2022-10-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.133001-5.13%0.1309-6.63%0.0210✓1.01128k2022-10-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.1778-5.08%13.15-5.28%0.0078✓1.1414.8M2022-10-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008413-5.05%0.00626-29.35%0.2993✓0.743.5M2022-10-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.0562-4.96%4.87-8.46%0.0400✓0.492.0M2022-10-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.790697-4.93%0.8303-0.17%0.0414✓1.4899k2022-10-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6028-4.88%1.589-5.70%0.0130✓0.8759k2022-10-08
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.042169-4.86%0.041135-7.19%0.0291✓0.8429k2022-10-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.250418-4.78%0.246-6.46%0.0216✓0.76581k2022-10-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.0539-4.77%7.454+0.63%0.0498✗1.0618.0M2022-10-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.133095-4.73%0.1205-13.74%0.0996✓0.0490k2022-10-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.293272-4.72%0.335+8.84%0.1285✗0.915.8M2022-10-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0563.8658-4.69%3.706-8.63%0.0447✓0.502.1M2022-10-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.148876-4.69%0.1422-8.96%0.0509✓1.001,2532022-10-08
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.309994-4.68%0.325-0.06%0.0424✓0.976202022-10-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.00145-4.64%0.00137-9.87%0.0598✓0.677,1022022-10-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.7966-4.59%2.215-24.43%0.2408✓1.533.3M2022-10-08
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000040256-4.58%0.00004095-2.94%0.0129✓0.842.5M2022-10-08
HIVEHivenative0.55180.526542-4.58%0.535-3.04%0.0119✓0.81867k2022-10-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.125032-4.56%0.1313+0.23%0.0463✓0.523.2M2022-10-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.381382-4.49%0.3541-11.32%0.0801✓1.1775k2022-10-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.0524.8865-4.47%24.12-7.41%0.0362✓0.976.8M2022-10-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.915.1921-4.45%15.04-5.41%0.0141✓0.791.6M2022-10-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.399395-4.45%0.412-1.44%0.0258✓1.057,7812022-10-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.0993-4.44%3.701-13.73%0.1040✓0.352.2M2022-10-08
QNTQuantEthereum101.9297.3928-4.44%148.85+46.05%0.4198✗0.873.4M2022-10-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.019978-4.41%0.02161+3.40%0.0745✗0.799.2M2022-10-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.501919-4.40%0.446-15.05%0.1240✓1.1774k2022-10-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.7698-4.39%1.6788-9.30%0.0584✓1.1123k2022-10-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044461-4.38%0.0411-11.61%0.0835✓0.97138k2022-10-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.057297-4.35%0.0615+2.67%0.0666✗0.8382k2022-10-08
DASHDashDash46.2844.2703-4.34%42.37-8.45%0.0489✓1.00338k2022-10-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.3061-4.31%5.166+14.80%0.1754✗1.336.4M2022-10-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.316251-4.26%0.29691-10.12%0.0681✓1.0035k2022-10-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.2543-4.25%10.8961-14.86%0.1224✓0.9925k2022-10-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1125.8536-4.23%5.085-16.80%0.1435✓0.543.9M2022-10-08
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.458773-4.22%0.4221-11.88%0.0880✓0.9438.4M2022-10-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.5976-4.22%5.09+6.04%0.0975✗0.85943k2022-10-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.099961-4.21%0.12613+20.87%0.2283✗0.836.5M2022-10-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.046311-4.12%0.0382-20.91%0.1976✓1.01620k2022-10-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.480829-4.03%0.49-2.20%0.0135✓1.0857k2022-10-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007133-4.00%0.00635-14.54%0.1219✓1.12389k2022-10-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0932.9696-3.99%2.98-3.65%0.0007✓0.56720k2022-10-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020052-3.97%0.01883-9.82%0.0668✓0.79241k2022-10-08
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.364196-3.93%0.39246+3.53%0.0698✗0.9832k2022-10-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.388624-3.92%0.3252-19.60%0.1840✓1.15215k2022-10-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.627683-3.92%0.6385-2.27%0.0100✓1.40210k2022-10-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.005949-3.91%0.006309+1.91%0.0565✗0.4538k2022-10-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.0842-3.87%0.8838-21.64%0.2122✓1.554.5M2022-10-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.065245-3.87%0.06886+1.46%0.0537✗0.05389k2022-10-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.743295-3.82%0.68921-10.82%0.0799✓0.87537k2022-10-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.023184-3.76%0.02311-4.07%0.0097✓1.292,9142022-10-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3669-3.74%1.53+7.75%0.1138✗-0.22124k2022-10-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.372-3.70%4.39-3.30%0.0012✓0.581.3M2022-10-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.095635-3.69%0.0858-13.60%0.1122✓0.742,7842022-10-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000011779-3.69%0.000011-10.06%0.0732✓0.96898k2022-10-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.314655-3.66%0.36616+12.11%0.1475✗0.82327k2022-10-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.170352-3.59%0.1582-10.47%0.0809✓1.361,5202022-10-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.033853-3.55%0.0372+5.98%0.0906✗0.736,2432022-10-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,578.59-3.49%1,315.71-19.56%0.1891✓1.38660.9M2022-10-08
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.988-3.49%13.54-12.81%0.1073✓1.1287k2022-10-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.2812-3.47%1.3699+3.21%0.0608✗1.221.1M2022-10-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.206093-3.47%0.1991-6.74%0.0396✓1.0157k2022-10-08
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.017008-3.47%0.015261-13.38%0.1134✓1.001512022-10-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.120572-3.47%0.1312+5.04%0.0791✗1.061.4M2022-10-08
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5329-3.45%1.4096-11.22%0.0895✓1.12247k2022-10-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.016-3.39%0.977066-7.09%0.0434✓0.8637k2022-10-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1018,652.20-3.33%19,285.80-0.05%0.0287✓0.9412k2022-10-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.063859-3.33%0.06058-8.30%0.0575✓0.956022022-10-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.036222-3.31%0.03529-5.79%0.0302✓0.822,5652022-10-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8718,684.73-3.30%19,419.39+0.50%0.0335✗1.00480.9M2022-10-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.094041-3.25%0.1123+15.53%0.1725✗0.99368k2022-10-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.2682-3.24%5.811-10.30%0.0800✓0.854.4M2022-10-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.617533-3.21%0.6-5.96%0.0338✓0.99178k2022-10-08
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.52e-7-3.16%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0925✓0.801.8M2022-10-08
SOLSolanaSolana33.6232.5594-3.15%32.59-3.06%0.0048✓1.1461.7M2022-10-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.214944-3.13%0.2332+5.09%0.0768✗0.94503k2022-10-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.7829-3.10%2.46+33.70%0.3195✗0.4868k2022-10-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4346.9443-3.07%58.49+20.77%0.2135✗1.289,1802022-10-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2751.6373-3.06%49.962-6.21%0.0370✓0.79287k2022-10-08
ZECZcashZcash61.1359.2595-3.06%54.42-10.98%0.0912✓1.191.2M2022-10-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.296016-3.04%0.270386-11.44%0.0961✓1.09514k2022-10-08
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.849309-2.97%0.786751-10.12%0.0807✓0.8352k2022-10-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62122.943-2.90%117.04-7.57%0.0551✓1.184.4M2022-10-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.305772-2.90%0.288-8.54%0.0656✓1.1387k2022-10-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.132699-2.88%0.12627-7.58%0.0557✓1.20167k2022-10-08
XMRMoneroMonero152.39148.0057-2.88%147.42-3.26%0.0092✓1.051.3M2022-10-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.198364-2.86%0.1872-8.33%0.0645✓1.31139k2022-10-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1418.5937-2.85%16.79-12.28%0.1084✓1.2719.2M2022-10-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.107796-2.80%0.0979-11.72%0.1007✓0.87169k2022-10-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.514866-2.79%0.47285-10.73%0.0918✓1.3241k2022-10-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.090024-2.78%0.0808-12.74%0.1130✓0.9811k2022-10-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.037146-2.76%0.0339-11.26%0.0961✓0.9466k2022-10-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.271793-2.72%0.2676-4.22%0.0204✓0.972.7M2022-10-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.153525-2.70%0.1645+4.26%0.0589✗2.022952022-10-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.890506-2.66%0.8295-9.32%0.0771✓1.22908k2022-10-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005522-2.62%0.00499-11.99%0.1045✓0.65951k2022-10-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001426-2.56%0.001536+4.99%0.0707✗0.78397k2022-10-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.949599-2.52%0.9356-3.95%0.0175✓0.532.8M2022-10-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.050403-2.51%0.0567+9.67%0.1123✗1.09234k2022-10-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.054143-2.45%0.0483-12.97%0.1188✓0.9280k2022-10-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9956.5777-2.44%52.82-8.92%0.0738✓1.0113.1M2022-10-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012665-2.38%0.011067-14.70%0.1383✓0.68929k2022-10-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.698-2.24%9.22-7.06%0.0570✓1.28281k2022-10-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.2779.0711-2.22%8.997-3.02%0.0131✓0.961.2M2022-10-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.463336-2.17%0.4263-9.99%0.0891✓1.15384k2022-10-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005789-1.97%0.005918+0.21%0.0184✓0.712,0942022-10-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.222482-1.90%0.174-23.28%0.2500✓0.8366k2022-10-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.877158-1.88%0.872-2.46%0.0124✓1.291.5M2022-10-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.77e-7-1.50%7.80e-7-12.36%0.1207✓0.7815k2022-10-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.8948-1.46%4.0878-17.70%0.1807✓0.10115k2022-10-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.462221-1.45%0.368-21.54%0.2342✓1.244,4682022-10-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.633805-1.43%0.585-9.02%0.0860✓1.163.9M2022-10-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.070028-0.99%0.06169-12.78%0.1327✓1.1825k2022-10-08
GTGateEthereum4.04594.0338-0.30%4.3521+7.57%0.0720✗0.78724k2022-10-08
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.061066-0.21%0.062098+1.48%0.0137✗0.62123k2022-10-08
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2988.2133-0.09%74.71-15.38%0.1739✓1.546.0M2022-10-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011699+0.25%0.0144+23.39%0.2044✓0.66228k2022-10-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.