8=======>

2022-09-07 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2444
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.8%
in alpha space · 73.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,334.028,020.64-14.07%8,078.59-13.45%0.0104✓1.434.8M2022-10-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8525.0836-13.13%5.474-6.46%0.0632✓0.886.6M2022-10-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.486.5448-12.50%6.49-13.24%0.0225✓1.14276k2022-10-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4581.2758-12.50%1.264-13.31%0.0239✓1.1851k2022-10-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.2408-12.00%1.16-17.73%0.0794✓0.9881k2022-10-07
BANDBandEthereum1.2761.1237-11.93%1.215-4.78%0.0631✓1.21429k2022-10-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.382.0961-11.93%1.81-23.95%0.1619✓1.23229k2022-10-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060230.053168-11.72%0.05902-2.01%0.0908✓1.101.6M2022-10-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.62656.7324-11.72%6.2255-18.37%0.0828✓0.379.8M2022-10-07
OPTIMOptimism1.1721.0369-11.53%0.846-27.82%0.2234✓1.612.9M2022-10-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2341.0938-11.36%1.2387+0.38%0.1126✓0.961.3M2022-10-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.615.6845-10.88%15.42-12.39%0.0256✓0.70422k2022-10-07
METISMetisEthereum29.1225.9731-10.81%26.73-8.21%0.0062✓1.83190k2022-10-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6560.586965-10.52%0.585-10.82%0.0142✓0.88151k2022-10-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.63911.3367-10.30%16.094+27.34%0.3433✗0.5716.0M2022-10-07
FLOWFlownative1.8611.6702-10.25%1.684-9.51%0.0088✓1.371.2M2022-10-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30550.275358-9.87%0.2408-21.18%0.1476✓1.0998k2022-10-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.10e-77.30e-7-9.84%5.43e-7-32.95%0.3070✓0.882.1M2022-10-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14170.128015-9.66%0.144+1.62%0.1042✗1.09489k2022-10-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000438610.000396832-9.53%0.0002907-33.72%0.3202✓0.73825k2022-10-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.094106-9.51%0.0977-6.06%0.0240✓1.092.8M2022-10-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.2733.8004-9.31%27.5-26.21%0.2255✓1.5610.6M2022-10-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82690.750984-9.18%0.7401-10.50%0.0277✓1.061.1M2022-10-07
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1165.5826-8.72%6.79+11.02%0.1794✗1.337.2M2022-10-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.044603-8.41%0.0405-16.84%0.1080✓0.93190k2022-10-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.824790.758735-8.01%0.7783-5.64%0.0130✓1.0114k2022-10-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2016.6297-7.93%6.33-12.10%0.0593✓1.0610.2M2022-10-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0470.964037-7.92%0.856-18.24%0.1242✓0.432.9M2022-10-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8351.6902-7.89%1.598-12.92%0.0770✓1.6969k2022-10-07
STXStacksnative0.35110.324012-7.72%0.3264-7.04%0.0072✓1.18365k2022-10-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.63054.2779-7.61%3.6136-21.96%0.1766✓0.647.3M2022-10-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.609-7.60%3.908+0.05%0.0675✓0.98289k2022-10-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013140.001214-7.59%0.0009995-23.94%0.2046✓0.812.5M2022-10-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202660.01874-7.53%0.019201-5.26%0.0142✓0.8213k2022-10-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.055981-7.47%0.0569-5.95%0.0007✓1.27617k2022-10-07
PROPropyEthereum0.740.684985-7.43%0.58-21.62%0.1705✓0.3457k2022-10-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.92856.4148-7.41%5.3289-23.09%0.1888✓0.278.4M2022-10-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3001-7.25%2.01-18.95%0.1444✓0.77262k2022-10-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.28082.1161-7.22%1.8217-20.13%0.1642✓1.1713k2022-10-07
KSMKusamaHydration48.4144.9259-7.20%42.33-12.56%0.0721✓1.02442k2022-10-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12380.114921-7.17%0.0678-45.23%0.5372✓0.78203k2022-10-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19350.180331-6.81%0.2214+14.42%0.1944✗0.873.1M2022-10-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042880.040008-6.70%0.03991-6.93%0.0117✓0.7514k2022-10-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.274960.256931-6.56%0.23313-15.21%0.1102✓1.0514k2022-10-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027750.002598-6.39%0.002202-20.65%0.1767✓0.921.2M2022-10-07
QTUMQtumQtum3.0962.9-6.33%2.8133-9.13%0.0432✓1.0419k2022-10-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8113.8855-6.24%17.31+16.88%0.2078✗1.021.7M2022-10-07
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,486.001,393.84-6.20%1,292.85-13.00%0.0876✓1.003.4M2022-10-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.416.0134-6.19%6.47+0.94%0.0670✗0.502.1M2022-10-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.838.2841-6.18%8.03-9.06%0.0376✓0.522.2M2022-10-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.7991.688-6.17%1.723-4.22%0.0087✓0.96604k2022-10-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.84.5089-6.06%5.0295+4.78%0.0822✗2.20129k2022-10-07
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003648-5.97%0.00346-10.82%0.0652✓0.99123k2022-10-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0249370.023449-5.97%0.026578+6.58%0.1238✗0.12454k2022-10-07
XVGVergenative0.003060.002878-5.95%0.00335+9.48%0.1392✗1.03483k2022-10-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.512.707-5.87%12.44-7.85%0.0350✓1.11971k2022-10-07
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105030.009887-5.86%0.010555+0.50%0.0530✓1.004902022-10-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034520.032507-5.83%0.0304-11.94%0.0796✓1.0259k2022-10-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.168250.15845-5.82%0.15317-8.96%0.0463✓1.01268k2022-10-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0361.919-5.75%1.714-15.82%0.1275✓1.1835k2022-10-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4361.355-5.64%1.595+11.07%0.1485✗1.1873k2022-10-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.37320.352813-5.46%0.32601-12.64%0.0911✓0.98392k2022-10-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0416570.039388-5.45%0.037732-9.42%0.0493✓0.5125k2022-10-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.74421.6501-5.40%1.1304-35.19%0.3901✓0.961.2M2022-10-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3410.322606-5.39%0.2884-15.43%0.1253✓1.0773k2022-10-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.7171.6244-5.39%1.629-5.13%0.0079✓0.8772k2022-10-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4792-5.30%2.295-12.34%0.0883✓0.90671k2022-10-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.042-5.30%5.65-11.44%0.0733✓0.512.2M2022-10-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.477496-5.24%0.3952-21.57%0.1984✓0.75490k2022-10-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015470.001467-5.18%0.001389-10.21%0.0629✓0.687,6332022-10-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9882.8349-5.12%2.253-24.60%0.2487✓1.543.5M2022-10-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0610670.057943-5.12%0.062428+2.23%0.0612✗1.081.4M2022-10-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1491.0903-5.11%1.054-8.27%0.0459✓0.971.1M2022-10-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008870.008417-5.11%0.00636-28.30%0.2895✓0.753.6M2022-10-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.13530.128425-5.08%0.1286-4.95%0.0112✓1.02128k2022-10-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0688-4.90%4.95-7.13%0.0299✓0.502.0M2022-10-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09730.09254-4.89%0.0798-17.99%0.1603✓0.9910k2022-10-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19720.187706-4.81%0.1552-21.30%0.2066✓1.33111k2022-10-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82650.786782-4.81%0.831+0.54%0.0366✓1.47103k2022-10-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021450.020435-4.73%0.02185+1.86%0.0572✗0.799.7M2022-10-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0933.9001-4.71%3.707-9.43%0.0571✓0.512.1M2022-10-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.93312.3281-4.68%13.059+0.97%0.0435✓1.1512.5M2022-10-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3664.1618-4.68%3.762-13.83%0.1054✓0.352.3M2022-10-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2620.249802-4.66%0.247-5.73%0.0208✓0.77581k2022-10-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007640.007284-4.66%0.00638-16.49%0.1465✓1.13389k2022-10-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04660.044436-4.64%0.0409-12.23%0.0951✓0.98132k2022-10-07
XECeCashnative0.000041840.000039928-4.57%0.00004515+7.91%0.1124✗0.852.5M2022-10-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.070810.067576-4.57%0.06936-2.05%0.0254✓0.05389k2022-10-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06210.059273-4.55%0.0627+0.97%0.0458✓0.8485k2022-10-07
FTTFTXEthereum25.9924.8216-4.50%24.48-5.81%0.0259✓0.986.8M2022-10-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4990.476638-4.48%0.481-3.61%0.0043✓1.0957k2022-10-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29910.285711-4.48%0.3416+14.21%0.1673✗0.925.8M2022-10-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12980.12405-4.43%0.1329+2.39%0.0622✗0.543.4M2022-10-07
XEMNEMnative0.0425240.040642-4.43%0.040657-4.39%0.0101✓0.8529k2022-10-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.122.9825-4.41%2.97-4.81%0.0111✓0.56720k2022-10-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2175.9437-4.40%5.129-17.50%0.1538✓0.524.1M2022-10-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0836.7721-4.39%7.603+7.34%0.1024✗1.0818.0M2022-10-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.149291-4.36%0.1392-10.83%0.0826✓1.021,3092022-10-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16691.1162-4.34%0.8969-23.14%0.2380✓1.564.6M2022-10-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42110.402842-4.34%0.3292-21.82%0.2163✓1.17215k2022-10-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.497483-4.33%0.448-13.85%0.1192✓1.1777k2022-10-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40260.385207-4.32%0.3594-10.73%0.0839✓1.1880k2022-10-07
HIVEHivenative0.52940.50672-4.28%0.5919+11.81%0.1453✗0.82867k2022-10-07
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0174030.016663-4.25%0.015201-12.65%0.1042✓1.001072022-10-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.6078-4.20%5.3+10.19%0.1294✗0.861.1M2022-10-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.14580.139698-4.19%0.1214-16.74%0.1410✓0.0591k2022-10-07
ADACardanoCardano0.47880.458768-4.18%0.424-11.45%0.0906✓0.9539.1M2022-10-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.325540.311926-4.18%0.30023-7.77%0.0506✓1.0137k2022-10-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81051.7354-4.15%1.6827-7.06%0.0447✓1.1223k2022-10-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.424.2382-4.11%5.184+17.29%0.1848✗1.356.7M2022-10-07
XLMStellarStellar0.102970.098751-4.10%0.1223+18.77%0.2035✗0.846.6M2022-10-07
QNTQuantEthereum95.7291.7989-4.10%138.72+44.92%0.4022✗0.873.4M2022-10-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.410.393568-4.01%0.419+2.20%0.0496✗1.057,9852022-10-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063030.00605-4.01%0.006299-0.06%0.0347✓0.4541k2022-10-07
DASHDashDash44.9143.1108-4.01%42.31-5.79%0.0312✓1.01368k2022-10-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.461.4016-4.00%1.53+4.79%0.0897✗-0.16124k2022-10-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2316.5424-3.99%15.05-12.65%0.1037✓0.741.7M2022-10-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024050.023094-3.97%0.02333-2.99%0.0056✓1.282,9582022-10-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.045718-3.95%0.0385-19.12%0.1845✓1.03717k2022-10-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020016-3.91%0.01843-11.52%0.0924✓0.80295k2022-10-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17870.171731-3.90%0.1598-10.58%0.0886✓1.341,7442022-10-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.296611.8172-3.90%11.0101-10.46%0.0831✓1.0025k2022-10-07
DIADIAEthereum0.373240.358757-3.88%0.39442+5.67%0.0827✗0.9832k2022-10-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.65030.625583-3.80%0.6513+0.15%0.0229✓1.41226k2022-10-07
DODODODOEthereum0.12860.123715-3.80%0.1301+1.17%0.0371✓1.071.4M2022-10-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.762480.733737-3.77%0.69446-8.92%0.0659✓0.88520k2022-10-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11510.110807-3.73%0.0976-15.20%0.1378✓0.88169k2022-10-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012250.000011794-3.72%0.0000111-9.39%0.0725✓0.96898k2022-10-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,629.921,571.54-3.58%1,331.14-18.33%0.1831✓1.39660.9M2022-10-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322710.311226-3.56%0.39093+21.14%0.2179✗0.82327k2022-10-07
ZENHorizenBase14.9314.4047-3.52%13.64-8.64%0.0685✓1.1388k2022-10-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.494.334-3.48%4.39-2.23%0.0057✓0.581.3M2022-10-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11920.115072-3.46%0.1497+25.59%0.2502✗1.0524k2022-10-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,273.8018,615.66-3.41%19,469.40+1.01%0.0333✓0.9412k2022-10-07
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6646.9999-3.41%58.77+20.78%0.2076✗1.299,1802022-10-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8797310.849737-3.41%0.8144-7.43%0.0529✓0.8552k2022-10-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036770.035523-3.39%0.03572-2.86%0.0047✓0.832,4552022-10-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.25171.2095-3.37%1.3611+8.74%0.1030✗1.231.1M2022-10-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6320.610995-3.32%0.614-2.85%0.0073✓0.99178k2022-10-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.095581-3.26%0.0876-11.34%0.0964✓0.742,9872022-10-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,293.5218,667.16-3.25%19,533.05+1.24%0.0330✓1.00485.5M2022-10-07
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.52e-7-3.20%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0852✓0.801.8M2022-10-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0350.03388-3.20%0.0374+6.86%0.0896✗0.757,8592022-10-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.037466-3.19%0.0341-11.89%0.1058✓0.9566k2022-10-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.00530.973247-3.18%0.968516-3.65%0.0156✓0.8737k2022-10-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4766.2706-3.17%5.947-8.17%0.0635✓0.854.5M2022-10-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20230.195896-3.17%0.1966-2.82%0.0088✓1.0057k2022-10-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064130.06211-3.15%–pending––0.936022022-10-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8406-3.13%2.57+35.26%0.3278✗0.4975k2022-10-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.092179-3.07%0.1155+21.45%0.2132✗1.00368k2022-10-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015550.001508-3.02%0.001534-1.35%0.0074✓0.79406k2022-10-07
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.206421-3.00%0.2316+8.83%0.1035✗0.94489k2022-10-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.2310.224231-2.93%0.2684+16.19%0.1679✗0.9681k2022-10-07
ZECZcashZcash59.3757.6455-2.90%54.71-7.85%0.0669✓1.191.3M2022-10-07
XTZTezosTezos1.49011.4476-2.85%1.4096-5.40%0.0407✓1.14241k2022-10-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85650.3791-2.85%48.672-6.14%0.0441✓0.78302k2022-10-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.303609-2.85%0.2853-8.70%0.0761✓1.1397k2022-10-07
SOLSolanaSolana32.731.7785-2.82%32.98+0.86%0.0230✓1.1461.7M2022-10-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20230.196673-2.78%0.188-7.07%0.0614✓1.32140k2022-10-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.4901-2.74%16.9-11.10%0.1058✓1.2919.5M2022-10-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27620.268659-2.73%0.2696-2.39%0.0086✓0.982.7M2022-10-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134480.130808-2.73%0.12805-4.78%0.0362✓1.21175k2022-10-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0560.054528-2.63%0.0493-11.96%0.1122✓0.9381k2022-10-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.517990.504522-2.60%0.45222-12.70%0.1259✓1.3341k2022-10-07
XMRMoneroMonero149.27145.4374-2.57%146.77-1.67%0.0039✓1.061.4M2022-10-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.189.9188-2.57%9.28-8.84%0.0825✓1.29281k2022-10-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.005570.005428-2.55%0.00498-10.59%0.0941✓0.65995k2022-10-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.90230.879519-2.52%0.8353-7.43%0.0667✓1.23916k2022-10-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4920.479751-2.49%0.349-29.07%0.3336✓1.254,1032022-10-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9680.944143-2.46%0.9423-2.65%0.0082✓0.512.9M2022-10-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05250.051233-2.41%0.0555+5.71%0.0660✗1.13239k2022-10-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2834580.276727-2.37%0.265607-6.30%0.0546✓1.10514k2022-10-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.455181-2.32%0.4316-7.38%0.0675✓1.16384k2022-10-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.355.9784-2.31%52.86-7.75%0.0699✓1.0213.1M2022-10-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.152690.149214-2.28%0.16648+9.03%0.0850✗1.983162022-10-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.2049.0081-2.13%9.085-1.29%0.0034✓0.961.2M2022-10-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.71116.2249-2.09%116.69-1.70%0.0105✓1.184.4M2022-10-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125550.012295-2.07%0.011038-12.08%0.1162✓0.68929k2022-10-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058850.005769-1.96%0.00587-0.25%0.0087✓0.702,1192022-10-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9010.884578-1.82%0.873-3.11%0.0291✓1.291.6M2022-10-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.2310.226844-1.80%0.1687-26.97%0.3063✓0.8366k2022-10-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14455.0523-1.79%4.1083-20.14%0.2080✓0.09115k2022-10-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.76e-7-1.59%7.90e-7-11.24%0.1127✓0.7815k2022-10-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6470.637795-1.42%0.587-9.27%0.0974✓1.173.9M2022-10-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072080.071209-1.21%0.06209-13.86%0.1516✓1.1825k2022-10-07
TRXTRONTron0.0618420.06168-0.26%0.06256+1.16%0.0065✗0.62129k2022-10-07
GTGateEthereum4.00994.002-0.20%4.3849+9.35%0.0818✗0.78748k2022-10-07
AAVEAaveEthereum87.5587.5447-0.01%75.79-13.43%0.1633✓1.556.0M2022-10-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012050.012083+0.27%0.00942-21.83%0.2572✗0.67228k2022-10-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.