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2022-09-05 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1960
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.8%
in alpha space · 75.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.1842-15.58%5.586-9.04%0.0590✓0.857.2M2022-10-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.618,057.12-15.13%8,314.11-12.42%0.0056✓1.405.2M2022-10-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.3395-14.85%1.252-20.41%0.0893✓1.1851k2022-10-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.055298-13.62%0.06065-5.26%0.0725✓1.081.8M2022-10-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.536.5776-12.65%6.53-13.28%0.0274✓1.09290k2022-10-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.1442-12.45%1.226-6.20%0.0472✓1.19429k2022-10-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.0514-12.31%0.863-28.02%0.2284✓1.682.9M2022-10-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.0533-12.25%1.83-21.79%0.1364✓1.16217k2022-10-05
METISMetisEthereum30.5326.8121-12.18%30.07-1.51%0.0802✓1.88219k2022-10-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.2042-12.10%1.18-13.87%0.0372✓0.9283k2022-10-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3215.3454-11.40%17.73+2.37%0.1318✗0.69454k2022-10-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000358827-11.39%0.00030115-25.63%0.1890✓0.75679k2022-10-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37816.579-10.83%6.03-18.27%0.0936✓0.357.7M2022-10-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.591759-10.75%0.593-10.56%0.0137✓0.86183k2022-10-05
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7173-10.51%1.701-11.36%0.0346✓1.361.3M2022-10-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.0196-10.37%1.2541+10.25%0.1906✗0.891.1M2022-10-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.282481-10.18%0.2542-19.17%0.1256✓1.0999k2022-10-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00811.7056-10.01%16.153+24.18%0.3122✗0.5315.8M2022-10-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.093666-9.94%0.1-3.85%0.0455✓1.082.8M2022-10-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.763324-9.91%0.7885-6.94%0.0135✓1.031.3M2022-10-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-77.71e-7-9.87%6.00e-7-29.83%0.2662✓0.861.8M2022-10-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.126086-9.81%0.1448+3.58%0.1188✗1.06409k2022-10-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6736.0297-9.18%27.62-30.38%0.2937✓1.529.5M2022-10-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5765.9731-9.17%6.815+3.63%0.1078✗1.317.2M2022-10-05
STXStacksnative0.36810.335002-8.99%0.3269-11.19%0.0458✓1.16348k2022-10-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.056961-8.86%0.0585-6.40%0.0031✓1.28713k2022-10-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0560.963845-8.73%0.884-16.29%0.0932✓0.362.9M2022-10-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.046395-8.67%0.0411-19.09%0.1381✓0.92190k2022-10-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.7217-8.67%4.12+1.10%0.0838✓0.97259k2022-10-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.7503-8.65%1.663-13.20%0.0822✓1.6972k2022-10-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.782717-8.54%0.78874-7.84%0.0108✓1.0113k2022-10-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.119227-8.50%0.0668-48.73%0.5921✓0.70203k2022-10-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3686.7419-8.50%6.437-12.64%0.0655✓1.0510.0M2022-10-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.1168-8.30%1.8057-21.78%0.1798✓1.1313k2022-10-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.0768-8.11%2.8764-14.10%0.0859✓1.0118k2022-10-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.6347-7.97%5.2925-26.58%0.2302✓0.236.9M2022-10-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.5583-7.95%3.6003-27.29%0.2469✓0.595.6M2022-10-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001229-7.66%0.001017-23.54%0.2035✓0.802.4M2022-10-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.019086-7.59%0.019252-6.78%0.0062✓0.8112k2022-10-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002715-7.49%0.00222-24.36%0.2182✓0.921.2M2022-10-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.264744-7.41%0.23538-17.68%0.1369✓1.0513k2022-10-05
PROPropyEthereum0.720.666934-7.37%0.59-18.06%0.1287✓0.3363k2022-10-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.5008-7.08%17.51+20.51%0.2410✗1.031.6M2022-10-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.2792-7.01%12.75-10.71%0.0609✓1.101.1M2022-10-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.033127-7.00%0.0309-13.25%0.0882✓1.0151k2022-10-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.192829-6.98%0.2174+4.87%0.1045✗0.843.1M2022-10-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003741-6.95%0.00348-13.43%0.0904✓0.99127k2022-10-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.3347.7724-6.93%43.36-15.53%0.1150✓0.98442k2022-10-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.041145-6.91%0.04004-9.41%0.0407✓0.7414k2022-10-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,378.07-6.72%1,314.58-11.01%0.0655✓1.003.2M2022-10-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.070747-6.70%0.06975-8.02%0.0152✓0.06389k2022-10-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.5953-6.67%8.14-11.62%0.0635✓0.502.1M2022-10-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.286-6.46%6.44-4.17%0.0155✓0.482.1M2022-10-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1171.9818-6.38%1.761-16.82%0.1393✓1.1538k2022-10-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.8135-6.37%2.33-22.46%0.2167✓1.533.5M2022-10-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.486396-6.34%0.4024-22.51%0.2037✓0.77496k2022-10-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.002894-6.33%0.00338+9.39%0.1363✗1.02481k2022-10-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.4976-6.29%5.186+8.05%0.1025✗2.17141k2022-10-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.16219-6.25%0.15053-12.99%0.0926✓0.98268k2022-10-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.332997-6.20%0.2948-16.96%0.1412✓1.0573k2022-10-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.489801-6.17%0.467-10.54%0.0673✓1.0763k2022-10-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.135776-6.17%0.128-11.54%0.0684✓0.513.4M2022-10-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.3747-6.16%1.498+2.25%0.0643✗1.1779k2022-10-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.009872-6.12%0.010708+1.83%0.0629✓1.004902022-10-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.023986-6.12%0.02824+10.53%0.1612✗0.12386k2022-10-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.589-5.98%1.718+1.66%0.0610✓0.93540k2022-10-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.059028-5.85%0.064822+3.39%0.0740✗1.071.3M2022-10-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.6514-5.74%1.458-16.78%0.1412✓0.9195k2022-10-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007401-5.72%0.00669-14.78%0.1218✓1.13406k2022-10-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1778-5.72%2.14-7.36%0.0315✓0.76262k2022-10-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.136701-5.59%0.1283-11.40%0.0821✓1.0199k2022-10-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1049-5.56%1.061-9.32%0.0584✓0.971.2M2022-10-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.272-5.54%5.73-13.70%0.0989✓0.462.2M2022-10-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.039193-5.52%0.037278-10.14%0.0594✓0.5125k2022-10-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.5724-5.49%2.313-15.03%0.1226✓0.88682k2022-10-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008421-5.49%0.0065-27.05%0.2726✓0.744.1M2022-10-05
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.016652-5.45%0.015542-11.75%0.0873✓1.00492022-10-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3826.9837-5.40%7.876+6.69%0.1009✗1.0518.0M2022-10-05
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000041378-5.36%0.00004253-2.72%0.0120✓0.841.9M2022-10-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.5791-5.35%1.1488-31.14%0.3361✓0.981.1M2022-10-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.504577-5.33%0.454-14.82%0.1266✓1.1476k2022-10-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.7679-5.27%1.7093-8.41%0.0537✓1.0925k2022-10-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.3994-5.27%4.96-12.98%0.0932✓0.452.3M2022-10-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.6225.2208-5.26%24.76-6.99%0.0363✓0.976.8M2022-10-05
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.320291-5.21%0.2974-11.99%0.0909✓0.916202022-10-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.0873-5.17%3.692-14.34%0.1104✓0.472.3M2022-10-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.323093-5.15%0.30274-11.13%0.0832✓0.9937k2022-10-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.257053-5.15%0.254-6.27%0.0257✓0.75597k2022-10-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.783326-5.13%0.8299+0.51%0.0303✓1.50105k2022-10-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3018,852.92-5.10%20,252.70+1.95%0.0544✗0.9413k2022-10-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.177697-5.08%0.1602-14.42%0.1289✓1.382,0092022-10-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.020273-5.00%0.02234+4.69%0.0831✗0.769.8M2022-10-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.6854-4.96%5.22+5.88%0.0922✗0.861.2M2022-10-05
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.041557-4.94%0.041527-5.01%0.0162✓0.8427k2022-10-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.332734-4.93%0.33985-2.90%0.0036✓0.95392k2022-10-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.2707-4.92%11.2855-12.55%0.1019✓0.9930k2022-10-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.5193-4.86%5.2+9.47%0.1157✗1.346.8M2022-10-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.023891-4.86%0.02368-5.69%0.0323✓1.283,2982022-10-05
QNTQuantEthereum93.1488.6289-4.84%138.37+48.56%0.4298✗0.863.4M2022-10-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.0971-4.83%0.9059-21.41%0.2196✓1.534.4M2022-10-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.194745-4.82%0.1562-23.66%0.2446✓1.31111k2022-10-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.2857-4.78%3.721-17.33%0.1457✓0.242.3M2022-10-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63312.0295-4.78%13.009+2.98%0.0576✗1.1312.5M2022-10-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.290056-4.77%0.3539+16.19%0.1825✗0.905.8M2022-10-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.410242-4.77%0.3659-15.06%0.1355✓1.1585k2022-10-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.047241-4.76%0.0391-21.17%0.2075✓1.00739k2022-10-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.475073-4.74%0.431-13.58%0.1144✓0.9339.1M2022-10-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006051-4.70%0.006285-1.02%0.0297✓0.4441k2022-10-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.042513-4.68%0.0414-7.17%0.0446✓0.98132k2022-10-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.064854-4.65%0.06191-8.98%0.0632✓0.916062022-10-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.148943-4.65%0.1454-6.91%0.0432✓1.041,4472022-10-05
HIVEHivenative0.53880.513896-4.62%0.5043-6.40%0.0342✓0.83924k2022-10-05
DASHDashDash47.5945.3999-4.60%42.19-11.35%0.0912✓0.97419k2022-10-05
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.100377-4.47%0.1189+13.16%0.1541✗0.836.7M2022-10-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3616.0769-4.47%5.137-19.24%0.1762✓0.444.4M2022-10-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.021354-4.46%0.01882-15.79%0.1413✓0.82459k2022-10-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.8404-4.43%2.993+0.71%0.0426✓0.53653k2022-10-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035085-4.40%0.0374+1.91%0.0497✗0.776,8072022-10-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000012059-4.37%0.00001144-9.28%0.0703✓0.96861k2022-10-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.755373-4.32%0.70324-10.93%0.0876✓0.87509k2022-10-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.663107-4.24%0.6248-9.78%0.0851✓1.40210k2022-10-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3892-4.19%1.57+8.28%0.1245✗-0.12128k2022-10-05
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.86115-4.16%0.800836-10.88%0.0880✓0.8454k2022-10-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3646.3517-4.15%58.89+21.77%0.2160✗1.278,9662022-10-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.634692-4.13%0.585-11.63%0.0995✓0.98187k2022-10-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.117868-4.09%0.1318+7.24%0.0925✗1.0425k2022-10-05
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.364951-4.09%0.41668+9.50%0.1145✗0.9833k2022-10-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.339505-4.03%0.40026+13.14%0.1499✗0.80332k2022-10-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.5301-4.02%4.4-6.78%0.0391✓0.541.3M2022-10-05
XMRMoneroMonero157.52151.2313-3.99%146.46-7.02%0.0511✓1.041.4M2022-10-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.078535-3.99%0.081-0.98%0.0135✓0.9510k2022-10-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,553.56-3.98%1,352.48-16.41%0.1642✓1.39628.3M2022-10-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.035932-3.98%0.03512-6.15%0.0379✓0.822,5882022-10-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.00141-3.97%0.001439-1.98%0.0079✓0.697,6332022-10-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.1912-3.92%1.2889+3.96%0.0566✗1.21973k2022-10-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.053721-3.90%0.0716+28.09%0.2712✗0.8885k2022-10-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.04441.004-3.87%0.968189-7.30%0.0520✓0.8639k2022-10-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.4738-3.86%6.03-10.45%0.0864✓0.844.4M2022-10-05
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.123012-3.82%0.1324+3.52%0.0544✗1.041.5M2022-10-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.098593-3.81%0.0893-12.88%0.1124✓0.732,7842022-10-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,052.84-3.75%20,161.62+1.85%0.0382✗1.00480.9M2022-10-05
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.57e-7-3.73%7.90e-7-11.24%0.0961✓0.811.7M2022-10-05
ZENHorizenBase16.115.5068-3.68%13.98-13.17%0.1241✓1.1193k2022-10-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.8989-3.61%2.39+21.32%0.2207✗0.5168k2022-10-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.4111-3.60%9.27-14.17%0.1389✓1.24277k2022-10-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3117.6634-3.53%15.44-15.67%0.1476✓0.711.7M2022-10-05
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.214172-3.53%0.2267+2.12%0.0397✗0.93468k2022-10-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.157189-3.45%0.1147-29.55%0.3156✓0.0393k2022-10-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.202478-3.44%0.1957-6.68%0.0523✓1.0058k2022-10-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.296498-3.42%0.2918-4.95%0.0374✓1.17105k2022-10-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.133719-3.41%0.13013-6.00%0.0494✓1.21175k2022-10-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4418.7797-3.40%17.38-10.60%0.1009✓1.2819.6M2022-10-05
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.4936-3.39%1.4299-7.51%0.0642✓1.12252k2022-10-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75121.4905-3.39%122.13-2.88%0.0158✓1.154.2M2022-10-05
ZECZcashZcash63.4161.2933-3.34%56.64-10.68%0.1003✓1.161.3M2022-10-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.053949-3.32%0.0539-3.41%0.0216✓1.12220k2022-10-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7151.9476-3.28%49.531-7.78%0.0615✓0.76302k2022-10-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.537383-3.25%0.45167-18.69%0.1980✓1.3239k2022-10-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.229595-3.25%0.2662+12.18%0.1304✗0.9681k2022-10-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.005798-3.21%0.00515-14.02%0.1301✓0.63951k2022-10-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.152991-3.17%0.17246+9.15%0.0826✗2.033162022-10-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.362251-3.17%0.3286-12.16%0.1207✓1.26202k2022-10-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.090943-3.15%0.1222+30.14%0.2777✗0.97372k2022-10-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.273326-3.14%0.2745-2.73%0.0132✓0.952.8M2022-10-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.471721-3.14%0.356-26.90%0.3038✓1.223,8602022-10-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.289387-3.11%0.268868-9.98%0.0934✓1.08514k2022-10-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3658.4835-3.11%54.64-9.48%0.0862✓0.9912.8M2022-10-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001516-3.08%0.001566+0.13%0.0155✓0.93413k2022-10-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.012723-3.06%0.011859-9.65%0.0823✓0.65929k2022-10-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.202839-2.95%0.1824-12.73%0.1308✓1.34142k2022-10-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.929638-2.93%0.8612-10.08%0.0988✓1.22865k2022-10-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.950005-2.90%0.99+1.19%0.0321✗0.503.0M2022-10-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.10099-2.89%0.0978-5.96%0.0479✓0.86169k2022-10-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.458658-2.87%0.4412-6.57%0.0599✓1.15384k2022-10-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0441.0141-2.86%0.897-14.08%0.1460✓1.271.5M2022-10-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.055486-2.83%0.0498-12.78%0.1254✓0.9490k2022-10-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1831.2801-2.80%34.05+5.81%0.0639✗1.1461.7M2022-10-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.035707-2.70%0.034-7.36%0.0660✓0.9266k2022-10-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.68e-7-2.43%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0967✓0.7915k2022-10-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.1861-2.42%9.14-2.91%0.0228✓0.961.2M2022-10-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.2282-2.35%0.1829-21.74%0.2378✓0.9066k2022-10-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005892-2.12%0.006191+2.83%0.0366✗0.702,1662022-10-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05144.9596-1.82%4.1821-17.21%0.1724✓0.10115k2022-10-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.664317-1.73%0.6-11.24%0.1243✓1.223.9M2022-10-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.07154-1.47%0.06245-13.99%0.1574✓1.1725k2022-10-05
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.062425-0.81%0.062453-0.77%0.0109✓0.62123k2022-10-05
AAVEAaveEthereum91.390.7634-0.59%78.71-13.79%0.1708✓1.545.2M2022-10-05
GTGateEthereum4.00713.9981-0.22%4.3938+9.65%0.0799✗0.79748k2022-10-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012715-0.04%0.00948-25.47%0.3055✓0.65220k2022-10-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.