8=======>

2022-09-03 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2345
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.1%
in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5075.2182-19.81%5.52-15.17%0.0650✓0.857.8M2022-10-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,785.948,116.08-17.06%8,118.40-17.04%0.0144✓1.385.7M2022-10-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5431.333-13.61%1.274-17.43%0.0333✓1.1760k2022-10-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.656.6699-12.81%6.67-12.81%0.0110✓1.08360k2022-10-03
OPTIMOptimism1.1951.043-12.72%0.869-27.28%0.1650✓1.713.0M2022-10-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062790.055055-12.32%0.06018-4.16%0.0999✓1.071.9M2022-10-03
BANDBandEthereum1.3191.1565-12.32%1.235-6.37%0.0778✓1.18460k2022-10-03
METISMetisEthereum30.9827.1923-12.23%23.76-23.31%0.1156✓1.89259k2022-10-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.251.9791-12.04%1.85-17.78%0.0557✓1.15227k2022-10-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2328.522-11.50%27.42-14.92%0.0240✓1.5110.6M2022-10-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1315.1722-11.43%14.59-14.83%0.0321✓0.68551k2022-10-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32080.286176-10.79%0.2588-19.33%0.0896✓1.07101k2022-10-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.154-10.54%1.18-8.53%0.0315✓0.90106k2022-10-03
FLOWFlownative1.9511.7454-10.54%1.681-13.84%0.0238✓1.351.4M2022-10-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.601789-10.31%0.595-11.33%0.0025✓0.86210k2022-10-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13790.124122-9.99%0.142+2.97%0.1451✗1.02409k2022-10-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.80412.4673-9.68%14.503+5.06%0.1566✗0.5315.8M2022-10-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10180.092048-9.58%0.0976-4.13%0.0695✓1.072.8M2022-10-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13371.0254-9.55%1.2273+8.26%0.1888✗0.881.1M2022-10-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82430.745924-9.51%0.7685-6.77%0.0405✓1.041.5M2022-10-03
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3055.7092-9.45%6.628+5.12%0.1625✗1.307.3M2022-10-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.52786.8249-9.34%5.8252-22.62%0.1548✓0.357.6M2022-10-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.296.6253-9.12%6.37-12.62%0.0287✓1.0310.2M2022-10-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0140.921557-9.12%0.878-13.41%0.0446✓0.373.3M2022-10-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.055669-8.44%0.0578-4.93%0.0506✓1.28810k2022-10-03
STXStacksnative0.3610.33062-8.42%0.3217-10.89%0.0155✓1.15335k2022-10-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.93e-78.19e-7-8.31%6.40e-7-28.41%0.2389✓0.831.7M2022-10-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8811.7263-8.23%1.592-15.36%0.0638✓1.6883k2022-10-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.868520.797294-8.20%0.78487-9.63%0.0054✓1.0013k2022-10-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000261150.000239797-8.18%0.00031113+19.14%0.2683✗0.77600k2022-10-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26362.0814-8.05%1.8431-18.58%0.1101✓1.1213k2022-10-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.2113.9974-7.97%12.66-16.77%0.0892✓1.101.0M2022-10-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0263.7068-7.93%3.881-3.60%0.0558✓0.97259k2022-10-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.80074.422-7.89%3.5911-25.20%0.2021✓0.594.7M2022-10-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.050.046125-7.75%0.0407-18.60%0.1152✓0.97216k2022-10-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029480.002722-7.66%0.00229-22.32%0.1635✓0.911.1M2022-10-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.0312.9614-7.62%15.63+11.40%0.1980✗1.061.8M2022-10-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.291270.269192-7.58%0.23444-19.51%0.1276✓1.0412k2022-10-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013260.001226-7.56%0.001006-24.11%0.1892✓0.792.4M2022-10-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.15112.9161-7.46%2.8543-9.42%0.0111✓1.0121k2022-10-03
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.0374.6617-7.45%5.2413+4.06%0.1274✗1.00143k2022-10-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1190.110226-7.37%0.0671-43.61%0.4892✓0.69208k2022-10-03
KSMKusamaHydration48.8145.2267-7.34%42.69-12.54%0.0477✓0.98459k2022-10-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.32346.7924-7.25%5.269-28.05%0.2517✓0.226.5M2022-10-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206330.019177-7.06%0.019287-6.52%0.0140✓0.8113k2022-10-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.21710.201866-7.02%0.221+1.80%0.0991✗0.833.1M2022-10-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078010.072632-6.89%0.07406-5.06%0.0200✓0.05397k2022-10-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.318.6755-6.82%8.24-11.49%0.0465✓0.492.0M2022-10-03
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,432.071,335.33-6.76%1,281.16-10.54%0.0312✓1.003.4M2022-10-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4821.3829-6.69%1.467-1.01%0.0709✗1.1686k2022-10-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034430.032174-6.55%0.03058-11.18%0.0405✓1.0040k2022-10-03
PROPropyEthereum0.730.682197-6.55%0.62-15.07%0.0929✓0.2774k2022-10-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266850.024961-6.46%0.026138-2.05%0.0474✓0.13287k2022-10-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.4295-6.41%6.4-6.84%0.0003✓0.482.1M2022-10-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50070.468782-6.37%0.3988-20.35%0.1540✓0.75501k2022-10-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3540.331656-6.31%0.2964-16.27%0.1015✓1.0795k2022-10-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9412.7558-6.30%2.298-21.86%0.1660✓1.533.6M2022-10-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.042008-6.17%0.04-10.65%0.0415✓0.7315k2022-10-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.159577-6.13%0.14988-11.84%0.0527✓0.97293k2022-10-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0451.9198-6.12%1.766-13.64%0.0719✓1.1438k2022-10-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.5777-6.09%1.707+1.61%0.0882✗0.92540k2022-10-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007980.007495-6.08%0.00692-13.28%0.0683✓1.12441k2022-10-03
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003733-5.98%0.00348-12.34%0.0600✓0.98136k2022-10-03
XVGVergenative0.003110.002925-5.93%0.00337+8.36%0.1516✗0.99486k2022-10-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13630.128301-5.87%0.1259-7.63%0.0135✓0.523.4M2022-10-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.4508-5.83%5.87-14.31%0.0893✓0.502.2M2022-10-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0423070.039959-5.55%0.037395-11.61%0.0610✓0.5226k2022-10-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7974.5312-5.54%3.74-22.03%0.1893✓0.252.4M2022-10-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626750.059226-5.50%0.060341-3.72%0.0295✓1.061.4M2022-10-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.00822-5.41%0.00645-25.78%0.2350✓0.735.2M2022-10-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70511.6145-5.32%1.1423-33.01%0.3361✓0.971.1M2022-10-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.7442.5984-5.31%2.29-16.55%0.1174✓0.87682k2022-10-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.785.4744-5.29%4.98-13.84%0.0900✓0.452.3M2022-10-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4924.2553-5.27%3.764-16.21%0.1179✓0.472.3M2022-10-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.499289-5.26%0.46-12.71%0.0713✓1.0471k2022-10-03
XECeCashnative0.000044710.000042371-5.23%0.00004077-8.81%0.0297✓0.861.8M2022-10-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14180.134385-5.23%0.1275-10.08%0.0422✓1.0299k2022-10-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8616.5033-5.21%7.331+6.85%0.1305✗1.0417.9M2022-10-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1591.0986-5.21%1.052-9.23%0.0332✓0.991.4M2022-10-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84160.797805-5.20%0.8267-1.77%0.0505✓1.46128k2022-10-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6096.2658-5.19%5.118-22.56%0.1974✓0.494.4M2022-10-03
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20360.193124-5.15%0.1545-24.12%0.2097✓1.32111k2022-10-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.7711.6823-5.01%1.549-12.54%0.0732✓0.91109k2022-10-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.255528-5.01%0.259-3.72%0.0208✓0.72654k2022-10-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9762.8281-4.97%3.03+1.81%0.0740✗0.49650k2022-10-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44180.420075-4.92%0.3682-16.66%0.1200✓1.1596k2022-10-03
XEMNEMnative0.0434960.041364-4.90%0.040781-6.24%0.0056✓0.8429k2022-10-03
FTTFTXEthereum26.224.9175-4.90%24.75-5.53%0.0032✓0.976.9M2022-10-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.288322-4.84%0.3543+16.93%0.2152✗0.905.8M2022-10-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.1513-4.81%2.02-10.62%0.0552✓0.76269k2022-10-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.046171-4.80%0.0389-19.79%0.1613✓0.98758k2022-10-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.333224-4.79%0.3353-4.20%0.0158✓0.93392k2022-10-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.145147-4.76%0.1421-6.76%0.0099✓1.111,6102022-10-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.495317-4.75%0.453-12.88%0.0777✓1.1378k2022-10-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064070.006103-4.74%0.00635-0.89%0.0439✓0.4148k2022-10-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.019621-4.71%0.02256+9.57%0.1480✗0.8210.2M2022-10-03
QNTQuantEthereum93.8389.4644-4.65%139.27+48.43%0.4513✗0.853.5M2022-10-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1052380.100367-4.63%0.116739+10.93%0.1595✗0.826.8M2022-10-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7564.5359-4.63%5.176+8.83%0.1457✗1.337.0M2022-10-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79051.7085-4.58%1.6967-5.24%0.0041✓1.0727k2022-10-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.62712.054-4.54%12.857+1.82%0.0759✗1.1112.3M2022-10-03
HIVEHivenative0.54340.518785-4.53%0.4844-10.86%0.0601✓0.83980k2022-10-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4226-4.53%1.57+5.37%0.0973✗-0.13116k2022-10-03
DASHDashDash46.7744.6701-4.49%41.25-11.80%0.0698✓0.96419k2022-10-03
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.8239-4.49%14.02-9.66%0.0444✓1.11107k2022-10-03
XVSVenusEthereum4.844.6241-4.46%5.29+9.30%0.1431✗0.841.3M2022-10-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.739-4.45%4.45-10.28%0.0575✓0.531.3M2022-10-03
ADACardanoCardano0.48040.459026-4.45%0.4276-10.99%0.0614✓0.9337.1M2022-10-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04430.042341-4.42%0.0421-4.97%0.0042✓0.96138k2022-10-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.787750.753045-4.41%0.69677-11.55%0.0688✓0.87519k2022-10-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014990.001433-4.40%0.00137-8.61%0.0378✓0.707,6332022-10-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334970.32036-4.36%0.30266-9.65%0.0467✓0.9942k2022-10-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.680812.1349-4.30%11.2387-11.37%0.0669✓0.9632k2022-10-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.394391-4.27%0.419+1.70%0.0710✗1.028,1172022-10-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001230.000011779-4.23%0.00001116-9.27%0.0443✓0.95828k2022-10-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022030.021102-4.21%0.01851-15.98%0.1229✓0.80459k2022-10-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07291.0278-4.21%0.898-16.30%0.1194✓1.534.5M2022-10-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.6780.649516-4.20%0.6256-7.73%0.0232✓1.39200k2022-10-03
COMPCompoundEthereum47.8945.8801-4.20%59.82+24.91%0.2782✗1.259,0502022-10-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037620.03605-4.17%0.03525-6.30%0.0142✓0.812,6082022-10-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.659648-4.12%0.573-16.72%0.1309✓0.97202k2022-10-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4996.2361-4.05%6.021-7.35%0.0266✓0.834.4M2022-10-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18340.175994-4.04%0.1163-36.59%0.4141✓0.0198k2022-10-03
DIADIAEthereum0.37540.360376-4.00%0.38327+2.10%0.0715✗0.9735k2022-10-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.361790.347405-3.98%0.3746+3.54%0.0835✗0.80332k2022-10-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066480.063867-3.93%0.06181-7.02%0.0237✓0.887702022-10-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016550.001591-3.89%0.001536-7.19%0.0252✓0.95406k2022-10-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05720.055008-3.83%0.0646+12.94%0.1695✗0.8699k2022-10-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024720.02379-3.76%0.02435-1.50%0.0363✓1.283,2982022-10-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,557.701,499.33-3.75%1,323.31-15.05%0.1108✓1.38660.9M2022-10-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.03448-3.69%0.0375+4.75%0.0919✗0.789,5472022-10-03
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.48e-7-3.68%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0623✓0.791.8M2022-10-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17380.167443-3.66%0.1575-9.38%0.0471✓1.382,2552022-10-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137070.13206-3.65%0.13154-4.03%0.0082✓1.19190k2022-10-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,835.4719,115.84-3.63%19,633.46-1.02%0.0370✗1.00485.5M2022-10-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12580.121249-3.62%0.1403+11.53%0.1565✗1.031.6M2022-10-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.13281.0922-3.58%1.0875-4.00%0.0080✓1.21973k2022-10-03
STEEMSteemnative0.22280.214833-3.58%0.2198-1.35%0.0320✓0.89475k2022-10-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12110.116935-3.44%0.1259+3.96%0.0845✗1.0425k2022-10-03
ZECZcashZcash62.760.5607-3.41%55.86-10.91%0.0690✓1.161.5M2022-10-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1020.098522-3.41%0.089-12.75%0.0943✓0.712,7842022-10-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,875.8019,201.66-3.39%19,703.50-0.87%0.0354✗0.9413k2022-10-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.203157-3.35%0.194-7.71%0.0357✓1.0258k2022-10-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28040.271056-3.33%0.2786-0.64%0.0372✗0.952.8M2022-10-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.05560.053773-3.29%0.0517-7.01%0.0278✓1.12220k2022-10-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2120.205064-3.27%0.1724-18.68%0.1601✓1.31140k2022-10-03
XMRMoneroMonero154.44149.4216-3.25%141.93-8.10%0.0410✓1.021.4M2022-10-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.05721.0234-3.20%0.959606-9.23%0.0556✓0.8541k2022-10-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.129.7963-3.20%9.04-10.67%0.0678✓1.22297k2022-10-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10120.097972-3.19%0.0976-3.56%0.0049✓0.85150k2022-10-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.23860.231044-3.17%0.2625+10.02%0.1373✗0.9581k2022-10-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8856480.857617-3.17%0.786116-11.24%0.0786✓0.8357k2022-10-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.091903-3.16%0.1273+34.14%0.3356✗0.96375k2022-10-03
XTZTezosTezos1.52271.4748-3.14%1.444-5.17%0.0096✓1.12255k2022-10-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.079829-3.12%0.0803-2.55%0.0154✓0.9310k2022-10-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1958.3458-3.06%54.18-9.99%0.0640✓0.9812.7M2022-10-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.83114.2935-3.00%116.23-1.36%0.0285✓1.144.4M2022-10-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.005839-3.00%0.00503-16.45%0.1427✓0.64998k2022-10-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.51650.9487-2.98%48.762-7.15%0.0362✓0.75302k2022-10-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.931.8726-2.97%2.52+30.57%0.3021✗0.5082k2022-10-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130810.012694-2.96%0.011704-10.53%0.0747✓0.64932k2022-10-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.918.3417-2.95%17.16-9.21%0.0534✓1.2820.7M2022-10-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2927850.284195-2.93%0.265451-9.34%0.0572✓1.08534k2022-10-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.92950.902346-2.92%0.8306-10.64%0.0705✓1.20841k2022-10-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36590.355393-2.87%0.3219-12.03%0.0863✓1.24187k2022-10-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30930.300503-2.84%0.2884-6.76%0.0292✓1.16124k2022-10-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96760.940274-2.82%0.9058-6.39%0.0323✓0.493.1M2022-10-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157840.153398-2.81%0.16855+6.79%0.1150✗2.034042022-10-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03540.034465-2.64%0.0337-4.80%0.0131✓0.9177k2022-10-03
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0371.0114-2.47%0.877-15.43%0.1297✓1.251.5M2022-10-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05780.056382-2.45%0.0497-14.01%0.1167✓0.9297k2022-10-03
SOLSolanaSolana31.1230.3999-2.31%32.9+5.72%0.0909✗1.1663.0M2022-10-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.1928.9797-2.31%9.173-0.21%0.0310✗0.951.3M2022-10-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45830.447818-2.29%0.4331-5.50%0.0218✓1.14384k2022-10-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058930.005762-2.22%0.006682+13.38%0.1550✗0.682,1282022-10-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.51e-7-2.17%8.10e-7-6.90%0.0414✓0.7915k2022-10-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.541220.529855-2.10%0.45246-16.40%0.1445✓1.3137k2022-10-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.23080.226135-2.02%0.2395+3.77%0.0666✗0.9067k2022-10-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17755.0791-1.90%4.1658-19.54%0.1972✓0.10115k2022-10-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.657095-1.78%0.616-7.92%0.0513✓1.304.1M2022-10-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0218.6956-1.71%15.37-19.19%0.1885✓0.721.7M2022-10-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5190.510942-1.55%0.356-31.41%0.3490✓1.203,8602022-10-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071350.070344-1.41%0.06066-14.98%0.1362✓1.1725k2022-10-03
GTGateEthereum4.24944.2147-0.82%4.3164+1.58%0.0318✗0.78748k2022-10-03
TRXTRONTron0.063110.062734-0.60%0.061361-2.77%0.0159✓0.60123k2022-10-03
AAVEAaveEthereum87.1887.1415-0.04%75.57-13.32%0.1269✓1.525.6M2022-10-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013360.013356-0.03%0.00957-28.37%0.3267✓0.65220k2022-10-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.