8=======>

2022-09-02 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2567
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.9%
in alpha space · 83.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,076.208,166.84-18.95%7,876.06-21.84%0.0269✓1.385.9M2022-10-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8314.9697-14.77%5.379-7.75%0.1182✓0.857.8M2022-10-02
OPTIMOptimism1.2341.0639-13.79%0.842-31.77%0.1560✓1.703.1M2022-10-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5341.327-13.49%1.201-21.71%0.0461✓1.1762k2022-10-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064970.056386-13.21%0.05831-10.25%0.0825✓1.071.9M2022-10-02
METISMetisEthereum31.727.6705-12.71%23.24-26.69%0.0879✓1.89271k2022-10-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.191.9269-12.01%1.75-20.09%0.0436✓1.15229k2022-10-02
BANDBandEthereum1.311.154-11.91%1.184-9.62%0.0800✓1.18460k2022-10-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.596.6919-11.83%6.36-16.21%0.0015✓1.08384k2022-10-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.0815.1043-11.57%14.21-16.80%0.0298✓0.68580k2022-10-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.15744.5708-11.37%3.5357-31.44%0.2297✓0.594.7M2022-10-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4528.7922-11.27%26.95-16.95%0.0030✓1.5111.8M2022-10-02
FLOWFlownative1.9651.7499-10.95%1.625-17.30%0.0123✓1.351.4M2022-10-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.1704-10.65%1.12-14.50%0.0027✓0.90109k2022-10-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.87513.3528-10.23%14.671-1.37%0.1181✗0.5215.2M2022-10-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6570.592405-9.83%0.576-12.33%0.0115✓0.86222k2022-10-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13810.124765-9.66%0.136-1.52%0.1334✗1.03489k2022-10-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0080.910956-9.63%0.858-14.88%0.0428✓0.373.4M2022-10-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30310.274105-9.57%0.2576-15.01%0.0129✓1.07101k2022-10-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8290.750074-9.52%0.7441-10.24%0.0397✓1.041.6M2022-10-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4065.7982-9.49%6.259-2.29%0.1361✗1.307.6M2022-10-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.093237-9.48%0.0944-8.35%0.0612✓1.062.8M2022-10-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.36.6206-9.31%6.16-15.62%0.0248✓1.0310.2M2022-10-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.95847.2328-9.12%5.8567-26.41%0.1951✓0.357.5M2022-10-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.10471.0048-9.04%1.1934+8.03%0.2124✗0.881.1M2022-10-02
STXStacksnative0.36350.3314-8.83%0.3169-12.82%0.0082✓1.16360k2022-10-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06190.056444-8.81%0.0562-9.21%0.0542✓1.28851k2022-10-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000241480.000221242-8.38%0.00033517+38.80%0.4502✗0.76546k2022-10-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8991.7437-8.18%1.502-20.91%0.0724✓1.6883k2022-10-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0312.9098-7.98%12.14-13.47%0.0113✓1.09959k2022-10-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.64e-77.95e-7-7.93%5.91e-7-31.56%0.2588✓0.821.5M2022-10-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7612.68-7.85%14.22+3.34%0.1631✗1.061.8M2022-10-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.293760.270759-7.83%0.22927-21.95%0.1186✓1.0412k2022-10-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.54776.9578-7.82%5.2296-30.71%0.2754✓0.225.8M2022-10-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.871220.803485-7.77%0.77693-10.82%0.0125✓1.0113k2022-10-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11960.110363-7.72%0.066-44.82%0.4821✓0.70203k2022-10-02
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.04274.656-7.67%5.2668+4.44%0.1691✗1.00145k2022-10-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.823.5271-7.67%3.729-2.38%0.1000✗0.97259k2022-10-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04990.046086-7.64%0.0395-20.84%0.1096✓0.97226k2022-10-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029890.002761-7.62%0.002093-29.98%0.2353✓0.911.2M2022-10-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.13772.8991-7.61%2.7758-11.53%0.0027✓1.0123k2022-10-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.20742.0408-7.55%1.7646-20.06%0.0941✓1.1213k2022-10-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.588.8672-7.44%8.1-15.45%0.0681✓0.492.0M2022-10-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013550.001254-7.44%0.0009955-26.53%0.1948✓0.792.4M2022-10-02
KSMKusamaHydration47.8344.3751-7.22%40.59-15.14%0.0443✓0.98459k2022-10-02
FISStafiEthereum0.3620.336023-7.18%0.3363-7.10%0.0426✓0.912732022-10-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0282.8112-7.16%2.215-26.85%0.1684✓1.523.7M2022-10-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08010.074368-7.16%0.07347-8.28%0.0100✓0.05403k2022-10-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.116.6051-7.10%6.3-11.39%0.0254✓0.481.9M2022-10-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.21870.203267-7.06%0.2156-1.42%0.0971✗0.833.1M2022-10-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207850.019371-6.80%0.018831-9.40%0.0088✓0.8113k2022-10-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4881.3907-6.54%1.401-5.85%0.0603✓1.1595k2022-10-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49790.46578-6.45%0.3966-20.35%0.1264✓0.75501k2022-10-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.00763-6.27%0.00677-16.83%0.0681✓1.12456k2022-10-02
PROPropyEthereum0.720.674961-6.26%0.61-15.28%0.0882✓0.2874k2022-10-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35350.331404-6.25%0.286-19.09%0.0984✓1.07116k2022-10-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034370.032239-6.20%0.0301-12.42%0.0226✓1.0040k2022-10-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.7011.5975-6.09%1.632-4.06%0.0636✗0.92574k2022-10-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044760.042055-6.04%0.03933-12.13%0.0338✓0.7215k2022-10-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.916.4933-6.03%5.81-15.92%0.0885✓0.492.1M2022-10-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.127175-5.94%0.1152-14.79%0.0749✓0.523.4M2022-10-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0341.914-5.90%1.663-18.24%0.0886✓1.1342k2022-10-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003735-5.67%0.00341-13.89%0.0459✓0.98136k2022-10-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.158499-5.66%0.14283-14.98%0.0596✓0.97307k2022-10-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.995.6523-5.64%4.9-18.20%0.1223✓0.452.3M2022-10-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.7981.6972-5.60%1.1171-37.87%0.3740✓0.961.1M2022-10-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5380.508107-5.56%0.448-16.73%0.0780✓1.0474k2022-10-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.8890.839752-5.54%0.8344-6.14%0.0605✗1.46128k2022-10-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0432040.040815-5.53%0.037191-13.92%0.0693✓0.5227k2022-10-02
XECeCashnative0.000046220.000043674-5.51%0.00003996-13.54%0.0493✓0.861.7M2022-10-02
XVGVergenative0.003130.002959-5.48%0.00325+3.83%0.1397✗1.00486k2022-10-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0257790.024379-5.43%0.026153+1.45%0.0760✗0.13287k2022-10-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.5542-5.42%7.11+2.60%0.1293✗1.0417.9M2022-10-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0616620.058362-5.35%0.059203-3.99%0.0627✗1.061.4M2022-10-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.424.1837-5.35%3.642-17.60%0.1171✓0.472.1M2022-10-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.6124.3683-5.28%3.691-19.97%0.1572✓0.252.3M2022-10-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1811.1191-5.24%1.017-13.89%0.0502✓0.991.4M2022-10-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.7432.6012-5.17%2.255-17.79%0.1030✓0.87682k2022-10-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008750.0083-5.14%0.00635-27.43%0.2344✓0.735.2M2022-10-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3656.0384-5.13%5.106-19.78%0.1455✓0.484.4M2022-10-02
XEMNEMnative0.0440710.041845-5.05%0.03945-10.49%0.0203✓0.8429k2022-10-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.1384-4.96%1.98-12.00%0.0419✓0.77287k2022-10-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4360.414739-4.88%0.3542-18.76%0.1050✓1.15100k2022-10-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30240.287719-4.85%0.3543+17.16%0.2493✗0.905.9M2022-10-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.962.8176-4.81%2.973+0.44%0.0765✗0.50653k2022-10-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.04628-4.77%0.0378-22.22%0.1574✓0.98781k2022-10-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.1410.134326-4.73%0.1231-12.70%0.0404✓1.02113k2022-10-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.270.25727-4.71%0.248-8.15%0.0037✓0.72658k2022-10-02
FTTFTXEthereum26.3125.0739-4.70%24.04-8.63%0.0024✓0.976.9M2022-10-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.484233-4.68%0.436-14.17%0.0530✓1.1380k2022-10-02
HIVEHivenative0.55410.528284-4.66%0.4773-13.86%0.0634✓0.831.0M2022-10-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064680.006168-4.64%0.006299-2.61%0.0402✓0.4253k2022-10-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.7211-4.63%4.48-9.49%0.0281✓0.531.1M2022-10-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020240.01931-4.60%0.02185+7.95%0.1613✗0.8210.5M2022-10-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7130.680525-4.55%0.554-22.30%0.1614✓0.97207k2022-10-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1045960.099853-4.53%0.118426+13.22%0.2081✗0.826.8M2022-10-02
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19860.189631-4.52%0.1558-21.55%0.1361✓1.32112k2022-10-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.776220.741554-4.47%0.68342-11.96%0.0417✓0.87519k2022-10-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.7888.6597-4.44%129.63+39.72%0.4190✗0.853.5M2022-10-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09391.0454-4.44%0.8598-21.40%0.1254✓1.534.5M2022-10-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334130.319332-4.43%0.29154-12.75%0.0459✓0.9944k2022-10-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.343520.328324-4.42%0.32581-5.16%0.0352✓0.93392k2022-10-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.7881.7091-4.41%1.6468-7.90%0.0122✓1.0728k2022-10-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04380.041873-4.40%0.0412-5.94%0.0280✓0.96137k2022-10-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7064.4996-4.39%5.007+6.40%0.1680✗1.337.3M2022-10-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.834212.2771-4.34%10.4723-18.40%0.1149✓0.9632k2022-10-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.61412.0667-4.34%11.99-4.95%0.0446✗1.1112.3M2022-10-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015280.001462-4.34%0.001389-9.10%0.0189✓0.708,3412022-10-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19720.188668-4.33%0.1159-41.23%0.4870✓0.0198k2022-10-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.761.6844-4.30%1.603-8.92%0.0078✓0.91121k2022-10-02
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.8651-4.28%13.5-13.07%0.0455✓1.11107k2022-10-02
DASHDashDash45.6943.7606-4.22%39.86-12.76%0.0491✓0.96419k2022-10-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353460.338707-4.17%0.3686+4.28%0.1210✗0.79332k2022-10-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038090.036507-4.15%0.03468-8.95%0.0144✓0.812,6082022-10-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.146085-4.14%0.1352-11.29%0.0267✓1.111,6102022-10-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.6604-4.11%4.95+1.85%0.0987✗0.841.4M2022-10-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.00001168-4.11%0.00001094-10.18%0.0221✓0.95828k2022-10-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022480.021559-4.10%0.01833-18.46%0.1254✓0.80459k2022-10-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45440.435966-4.06%0.4196-7.66%0.0045✓0.9335.8M2022-10-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.4204-4.03%1.5+1.35%0.0486✗-0.13128k2022-10-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.67220.645157-4.02%0.6069-9.71%0.0026✓1.39214k2022-10-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035241-3.98%0.0365-0.54%0.0707✗0.788,1752022-10-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001539-3.97%0.00154-3.93%0.0442✗0.95406k2022-10-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06710.064436-3.97%0.06071-9.52%0.0188✓0.897702022-10-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2926.0448-3.93%5.909-6.09%0.0154✓0.834.6M2022-10-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.213549-3.76%0.1735-21.81%0.1475✓1.31139k2022-10-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023692-3.69%0.02483+0.93%0.1055✗1.283,3752022-10-02
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.57e-7-3.66%7.60e-7-14.61%0.0841✓0.791.9M2022-10-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.11311.0724-3.66%1.0324-7.25%0.0174✓1.21996k2022-10-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17680.170443-3.60%0.1462-17.31%0.0902✓1.382,2552022-10-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.691,519.08-3.59%1,277.02-18.95%0.1105✓1.38660.9M2022-10-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0570.054958-3.58%0.0626+9.82%0.1699✗0.8799k2022-10-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12180.117442-3.58%0.1238+1.64%0.1004✗1.0423k2022-10-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137220.132344-3.55%0.12496-8.93%0.0030✓1.19190k2022-10-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4230.408009-3.54%0.433+2.36%0.1062✗1.028,3142022-10-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10.096486-3.51%0.0874-12.60%0.0662✓0.712,5272022-10-02
DIADIAEthereum0.37710.363981-3.48%0.38071+0.96%0.0891✗0.9635k2022-10-02
STEEMSteemnative0.22330.215561-3.47%0.2133-4.48%0.0307✓0.90475k2022-10-02
ZECZcashZcash60.3658.2734-3.46%53.63-11.15%0.0299✓1.161.7M2022-10-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,953.7419,268.75-3.43%19,059.17-4.48%0.0349✓1.00490.8M2022-10-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.0258.9568-3.38%51.82-15.08%0.0841✓0.9812.7M2022-10-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31860.307963-3.34%0.2824-11.36%0.0333✓1.16132k2022-10-02
COMPCompoundEthereum45.8144.2811-3.34%59.41+29.69%0.3516✗1.269,1802022-10-02
XMRMoneroMonero153.67148.5738-3.32%137.15-10.75%0.0332✓1.021.3M2022-10-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.01289-3.30%0.011361-14.77%0.0972✓0.63932k2022-10-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20880.201954-3.28%0.1895-9.24%0.0169✓1.0258k2022-10-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.03931.0055-3.25%0.938564-9.69%0.0297✓0.8540k2022-10-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12320.119221-3.23%0.1437+16.64%0.2341✗1.031.6M2022-10-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2810.27194-3.22%0.2747-2.24%0.0536✗0.952.9M2022-10-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.74152.0192-3.20%47.774-11.10%0.0508✓0.75302k2022-10-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.4112.6971-3.18%114.3-1.80%0.0664✗1.144.6M2022-10-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.189.857-3.17%8.73-14.24%0.0653✓1.22298k2022-10-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10070.097552-3.13%0.0976-3.08%0.0396✗0.85150k2022-10-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,019.3019,395.92-3.11%19,019.30-5.00%0.0236✓0.9413k2022-10-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.054071-3.10%0.0489-12.37%0.0491✓1.12238k2022-10-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.24090.2335-3.07%0.2595+7.72%0.1489✗0.9481k2022-10-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09310.090251-3.06%0.1084+16.43%0.2271✗0.96375k2022-10-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.079622-3.02%0.0786-4.26%0.0298✓0.9311k2022-10-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.005847-2.87%0.00482-19.93%0.1640✓0.641.0M2022-10-02
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0841.0533-2.83%0.864-20.30%0.1407✓1.251.5M2022-10-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2926160.284355-2.82%0.259305-11.38%0.0425✓1.08542k2022-10-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.930.903804-2.82%0.8133-12.55%0.0503✓1.20841k2022-10-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.3439-2.79%16.53-12.40%0.0453✓1.2820.7M2022-10-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159050.154652-2.77%0.16934+6.47%0.1840✗2.034042022-10-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8764120.852464-2.73%0.825694-5.79%0.0059✓0.8363k2022-10-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96790.941605-2.72%0.8869-8.37%0.0375✓0.493.3M2022-10-02
XTZTezosTezos1.49071.4504-2.71%1.374-7.83%0.0025✓1.12265k2022-10-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34890.340266-2.47%0.3151-9.69%0.0198✓1.24176k2022-10-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9312-2.47%2.59+30.81%0.3166✗0.5089k2022-10-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05680.055412-2.44%0.0494-13.03%0.0725✓0.9290k2022-10-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.4025.2711-2.42%4.0964-24.17%0.2476✓0.10115k2022-10-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.69e-7-2.37%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0845✓0.7915k2022-10-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.539720.527554-2.25%0.44189-18.13%0.1169✓1.3133k2022-10-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.1618.9574-2.22%9.028-1.45%0.0514✗0.951.3M2022-10-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.034227-2.21%0.0331-5.43%0.0083✓0.9177k2022-10-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.455853-2.18%0.424-9.01%0.0202✓1.14384k2022-10-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057670.005643-2.15%0.007246+25.66%0.2812✗0.682,1662022-10-02
SOLSolanaSolana31.2430.5732-2.13%32.05+2.59%0.1002✗1.1664.4M2022-10-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.23130.22694-1.89%0.1316-43.10%0.5037✓0.9071k2022-10-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6680.657255-1.61%0.599-10.33%0.0334✓1.304.1M2022-10-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071820.070785-1.44%0.06132-14.62%0.0900✓1.1725k2022-10-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.3419.1361-1.05%14.91-22.91%0.2168✓0.711.7M2022-10-02
GTGateEthereum4.26554.2383-0.64%4.2724+0.16%0.0436✗0.78766k2022-10-02
TRXTRONTron0.0626280.062426-0.32%0.060916-2.73%0.0032✗0.60129k2022-10-02
AAVEAaveEthereum88.3988.2294-0.18%72.64-17.82%0.1247✓1.525.6M2022-10-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4790.47817-0.17%0.364-24.01%0.2178✓1.203,4962022-10-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013240.013271+0.23%0.00951-28.17%0.3038✗0.64220k2022-10-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.