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2022-09-01 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1732
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.1%
in alpha space · 81.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.013292+0.31%0.00985-25.66%0.2718✗0.67223k2022-10-01
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4286.3376-0.10%74.55-13.74%0.0837✓1.525.6M2022-10-01
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.063054-0.37%0.060458-4.47%0.0170✓0.60142k2022-10-01
GTGateEthereum4.30834.2767-0.73%4.2897-0.43%0.0352✗0.78766k2022-10-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.485052-0.81%0.37-24.34%0.2210✓1.202,7102022-10-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4721.2293-1.12%15.64-27.15%0.2761✓0.711.6M2022-10-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.662659-1.68%0.576-14.54%0.0872✓1.284.1M2022-10-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.07301-1.99%0.05979-19.73%0.1514✓1.1626k2022-10-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.226228-2.02%0.136-41.10%0.4715✓0.9071k2022-10-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.055722-2.07%0.0511-10.19%0.0480✓0.9397k2022-10-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005682-2.16%0.005185-10.73%0.0633✓0.682,1822022-10-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9269-2.19%2.22+12.69%0.1626✗0.5093k2022-10-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.458166-2.21%0.4257-9.14%0.0261✓1.14384k2022-10-01
SOLSolanaSolana31.6230.9208-2.21%32.44+2.59%0.0959✗1.1665.9M2022-10-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034504-2.26%0.0337-4.53%0.0142✓0.9184k2022-10-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.1438.9364-2.26%9.104-0.43%0.0580✗0.951.3M2022-10-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.535933-2.33%0.44961-18.06%0.1212✓1.3137k2022-10-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.337778-2.38%0.3179-8.12%0.0090✓1.24166k2022-10-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.59e-7-2.42%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0632✓0.7915k2022-10-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0591.0323-2.52%0.918-13.31%0.0653✓1.251.5M2022-10-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.152936-2.55%0.17002+8.33%0.1903✗2.035152022-10-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.931217-2.73%0.8901-7.03%0.0249✓0.493.5M2022-10-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5655.9849-2.74%52.93-8.04%0.0154✓0.9812.6M2022-10-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.3779-2.78%4.1099-25.70%0.2648✓0.10115k2022-10-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.288783-2.92%0.267716-10.00%0.0308✓1.08545k2022-10-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.914685-2.94%0.8364-11.25%0.0396✓1.20846k2022-10-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4019,592.38-2.97%19,312.20-4.36%0.0247✓0.9415k2022-10-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44750.8185-3.11%48.352-7.81%0.0186✓0.75287k2022-10-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.089628-3.11%0.1075+16.22%0.2215✗0.96376k2022-10-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.053968-3.11%0.0469-15.80%0.0937✓1.12249k2022-10-01
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.4914-3.14%1.4096-8.46%0.0098✓1.12279k2022-10-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.005966-3.14%0.00488-20.78%0.1746✓0.641.0M2022-10-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.318.6915-3.15%16.96-12.12%0.0438✓1.2921.2M2022-10-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.7702-3.17%9.03-10.51%0.0279✓1.23305k2022-10-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.001443-3.17%0.001553+4.23%0.1138✗0.97417k2022-10-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.098074-3.18%0.0988-2.47%0.0428✗0.85169k2022-10-01
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.363007-3.21%0.38259+2.01%0.0925✗0.9637k2022-10-01
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.871172-3.21%0.756668-15.94%0.1066✓0.8360k2022-10-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.234576-3.23%0.2774+14.44%0.2066✗0.9475k2022-10-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.065151-3.29%0.06222-7.64%0.0091✓0.899142022-10-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.274693-3.35%0.2929+3.06%0.1035✗0.953.0M2022-10-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.0471.0118-3.36%0.950166-9.25%0.0274✓0.8540k2022-10-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6519,450.14-3.39%19,315.27-4.06%0.0345✓1.00504.7M2022-10-01
XMRMoneroMonero154.26149.0118-3.40%141.19-8.47%0.0117✓1.021.3M2022-10-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.055992-3.46%0.0618+6.55%0.1346✗0.86101k2022-10-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.304663-3.47%0.39655+25.65%0.2969✗0.80332k2022-10-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.399478-3.51%0.435+5.07%0.1275✗1.028,1172022-10-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73112.6266-3.52%117.14+0.35%0.0867✗1.144.6M2022-10-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.079206-3.52%0.0814-0.85%0.0660✗0.9310k2022-10-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.122716-3.52%0.1299+2.12%0.0997✗1.031.7M2022-10-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.203073-3.53%0.1932-8.22%0.0075✓1.0257k2022-10-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.174501-3.54%0.1528-15.53%0.0757✓1.382,2912022-10-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.012842-3.55%0.011796-11.41%0.0587✓0.63932k2022-10-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.217752-3.56%0.2184-3.28%0.0402✗0.90475k2022-10-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.023747-3.59%0.02421-1.71%0.0723✗1.283,4352022-10-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.132601-3.61%0.12837-6.69%0.0169✓1.19190k2022-10-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,528.90-3.61%1,311.76-17.30%0.0961✓1.38660.9M2022-10-01
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0346.2916-3.62%60.92+26.84%0.3266✗1.259,4572022-10-01
ZECZcashZcash58.9856.8401-3.63%55.29-6.26%0.0204✓1.161.7M2022-10-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.0212-3.66%1.0737+1.29%0.1004✗1.21996k2022-10-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.306469-3.75%0.2852-10.43%0.0236✓1.16132k2022-10-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157311.6952-3.80%10.8134-11.05%0.0384✓0.9630k2022-10-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.036986-3.81%0.03621-5.83%0.0124✓0.812,6082022-10-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.143301-3.82%–pending––1.111,6102022-10-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.095787-3.83%0.0889-10.74%0.0449✓0.722,5272022-10-01
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.56e-7-3.84%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0727✓0.791.9M2022-10-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.217617-3.92%0.1692-25.30%0.1973✓1.31139k2022-10-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.6559-3.93%0.641-6.11%0.0346✓1.39214k2022-10-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.021913-3.93%0.01863-18.33%0.1290✓0.80459k2022-10-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.11905-3.99%0.1265+2.02%0.1037✗1.0423k2022-10-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.64096-4.05%0.575-13.92%0.0684✓0.97207k2022-10-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.438759-4.12%0.4302-5.99%0.0190✓0.9335.8M2022-10-01
DASHDashDash44.7942.9405-4.13%41.74-6.81%0.0117✓0.97419k2022-10-01
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.2114-4.15%13.91-12.35%0.0435✓1.11107k2022-10-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.7057-4.16%4.94+0.61%0.0834✗0.841.5M2022-10-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3136.0482-4.19%6.115-3.14%0.0454✗0.834.8M2022-10-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035149-4.23%0.0367+0.00%0.0756✗0.788,1752022-10-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.00001177-4.23%0.00001117-9.11%0.0131✓0.94828k2022-10-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.001469-4.26%0.00145-5.48%0.0163✓0.709,0932022-10-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.006118-4.42%0.00631-1.42%0.0482✗0.4256k2022-10-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4621-4.44%1.51-1.31%0.0269✓-0.13128k2022-10-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7312.1641-4.45%12.681-0.38%0.0877✗1.1111.4M2022-10-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.330106-4.46%0.33018-4.43%0.0389✓0.93369k2022-10-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.042135-4.46%0.0419-4.99%0.0344✓0.96145k2022-10-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.324996-4.47%0.29933-12.02%0.0414✓0.9844k2022-10-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.7079-4.53%1.462-18.28%0.1178✓0.91121k2022-10-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.7213-4.53%1.7125-5.02%0.0395✓1.0828k2022-10-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.547-4.55%5.247+10.14%0.1985✗1.338.0M2022-10-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.40712-4.59%0.3601-15.61%0.0749✓1.15100k2022-10-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.10024-4.60%0.121387+15.52%0.2252✗0.826.9M2022-10-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.567-4.65%4.59-4.18%0.0272✓0.541.1M2022-10-01
HIVEHivenative0.54860.522955-4.67%0.4885-10.96%0.0337✓0.831.0M2022-10-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.194243-4.69%0.1584-22.28%0.1494✓1.32116k2022-10-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.208432-4.70%0.1166-46.68%0.5812✓-0.0193k2022-10-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.743561-4.70%0.6934-11.13%0.0337✓0.87509k2022-10-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.8058-4.76%3.01+2.17%0.0909✗0.50650k2022-10-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.279572-4.78%0.355+20.91%0.2762✗0.905.9M2022-10-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.136616-4.80%0.1274-11.22%0.0275✓1.02129k2022-10-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.489268-4.81%0.45-12.45%0.0367✓1.1383k2022-10-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.262682-4.83%0.251-9.06%0.0156✓0.72660k2022-10-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.046207-4.92%0.039-19.75%0.1286✓0.99781k2022-10-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.9125.5638-5.00%24.28-9.77%0.0113✓0.977.2M2022-10-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008255-5.01%0.00692-20.37%0.1462✓0.735.5M2022-10-01
QNTQuantEthereum95.0290.262-5.01%136.85+44.02%0.4515✗0.853.5M2022-10-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0875.7819-5.01%5.348-12.14%0.0578✓0.494.4M2022-10-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.5951-5.12%2.304-15.76%0.0829✓0.87682k2022-10-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.019573-5.12%0.0223+8.10%0.1646✗0.8210.9M2022-10-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.0947-5.15%0.8922-22.69%0.1412✓1.524.5M2022-10-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.2533-5.17%3.844-14.29%0.0903✓0.262.3M2022-10-01
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.041785-5.22%0.040211-8.79%0.0034✓0.8429k2022-10-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.0816-5.30%3.867-10.28%0.0342✓0.482.0M2022-10-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.1187-5.41%2-10.71%0.0260✓0.76287k2022-10-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1331-5.42%1.053-12.10%0.0323✓0.991.5M2022-10-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.0038-5.46%0.00346-13.93%0.0530✓0.98136k2022-10-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.040375-5.47%0.037831-11.43%0.0437✓0.5226k2022-10-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.847507-5.53%0.8487-5.40%0.0618✗1.46167k2022-10-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.058894-5.54%0.060608-2.79%0.0725✗1.061.4M2022-10-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.6814-5.54%1.1718-34.17%0.3211✓0.961.1M2022-10-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.161316-5.66%0.14707-13.99%0.0522✓0.97310k2022-10-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.496918-5.71%0.47-10.82%0.0123✓1.0574k2022-10-01
XVGVergenative0.003180.002998-5.71%0.00327+2.83%0.1281✗1.00486k2022-10-01
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000043491-5.74%0.00004093-11.29%0.0249✓0.861.7M2022-10-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.456-5.77%5.08-12.26%0.0526✓0.452.0M2022-10-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.5234-5.83%7.396+6.77%0.1691✗1.0517.4M2022-10-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.042683-5.98%0.04021-11.43%0.0296✓0.7215k2022-10-01
PROPropyEthereum0.710.667339-6.01%0.62-12.68%0.0617✓0.2974k2022-10-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007472-6.02%0.00694-12.70%0.0273✓1.12477k2022-10-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.5897-6.10%1.65-2.54%0.0753✗0.92579k2022-10-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.025235-6.20%0.026262-2.38%0.0449✓0.12280k2022-10-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.051.9224-6.23%1.71-16.59%0.0699✓1.1438k2022-10-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.03277-6.29%0.03043-12.98%0.0325✓1.0040k2022-10-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.3683-6.35%1.495+2.33%0.1368✗1.16108k2022-10-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.4326-6.37%6.01-12.52%0.0473✓0.502.1M2022-10-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.130851-6.40%0.1192-14.74%0.0716✓0.523.5M2022-10-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.330748-6.41%0.294-16.81%0.0735✓1.07116k2022-10-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.019752-6.44%0.019244-8.84%0.0074✓0.8113k2022-10-01
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.3388-6.62%0.31-14.55%0.0509✓0.915072022-10-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.468646-6.70%0.4123-17.92%0.0971✓0.75514k2022-10-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.199413-6.95%0.2387+11.39%0.2146✗0.842.9M2022-10-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.4259-7.01%6.53-5.50%0.0360✓0.481.7M2022-10-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.7256-7.01%2.32-20.85%0.0979✓1.523.7M2022-10-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.074383-7.02%0.07315-8.56%0.0147✓0.05418k2022-10-01
KSMKusamaHydration47.4344.0987-7.02%42.05-11.34%0.0069✓0.98459k2022-10-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.5197-7.35%6.109+25.23%0.3428✗1.00147k2022-10-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002664-7.47%0.001984-31.09%0.2566✓0.921.1M2022-10-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001245-7.49%0.001017-24.47%0.1700✓0.792.4M2022-10-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.10803-7.67%0.0709-39.40%0.3920✓0.70203k2022-10-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.046704-7.70%0.0402-20.55%0.1096✓0.97216k2022-10-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.811831-7.74%0.79092-10.11%0.0156✓1.0013k2022-10-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.1112-7.84%1.8481-19.33%0.0867✓1.1213k2022-10-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14523.8199-7.85%3.8724-6.58%0.0385✓0.604.2M2022-10-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.18192.9301-7.91%2.8428-10.66%0.0115✓1.0124k2022-10-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.5457-7.98%3.865+0.31%0.1262✗0.96259k2022-10-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4512.3562-8.13%14.94+11.08%0.2338✗1.061.9M2022-10-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70536.1545-8.21%5.8259-13.11%0.0456✓0.225.4M2022-10-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.548.7557-8.22%8.4-11.95%0.0211✓0.491.9M2022-10-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0212.8422-8.40%12.55-10.49%0.0225✓1.10959k2022-10-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.7898-8.45%1.551-20.66%0.0735✓1.6890k2022-10-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.27615-8.54%0.2342-22.44%0.1216✓1.0412k2022-10-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.0454-8.61%1.1976+4.69%0.1723✗0.881.3M2022-10-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.19e-7-8.75%5.86e-7-34.70%0.3005✓0.821.4M2022-10-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.055798-8.83%0.0574-6.21%0.0813✓1.28897k2022-10-01
STXStacksnative0.36280.330512-8.90%0.3236-10.80%0.0267✓1.15361k2022-10-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.127725-9.41%0.1402-0.57%0.1357✗1.02489k2022-10-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3155.7201-9.42%6.395+1.27%0.1655✗1.308.1M2022-10-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.094878-9.55%0.0975-7.05%0.0718✓1.072.9M2022-10-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.277905-9.59%0.2573-16.30%0.0326✓1.07103k2022-10-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.749509-9.69%0.7596-8.47%0.0565✓1.041.7M2022-10-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.603785-9.75%0.583-12.86%0.0007✓0.86228k2022-10-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82257.0582-9.77%6.7286-13.98%0.0333✓0.357.3M2022-10-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1846.4797-9.80%6.27-12.72%0.0099✓1.0310.5M2022-10-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.878235-9.83%0.865-11.19%0.0003✓0.373.8M2022-10-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92711.6395-9.96%17.482+35.24%0.4286✗0.5312.5M2022-10-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000247847-10.22%0.00033439+21.13%0.3306✗0.75442k2022-10-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.1751-10.98%1.15-12.88%0.0158✓0.90109k2022-10-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9229.1487-11.46%27.56-16.28%0.0065✓1.5112.4M2022-10-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.626.7367-11.59%6.62-13.12%0.0273✓1.08409k2022-10-01
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.1422-11.59%1.242-3.87%0.1330✗1.19460k2022-10-01
METISMetisEthereum30.5727.0012-11.67%23.78-22.21%0.0484✓1.89288k2022-10-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.0108-11.81%1.83-19.74%0.0464✓1.15229k2022-10-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.115.0718-11.86%14.71-13.98%0.0040✓0.68685k2022-10-01
FLOWFlownative2.0471.8006-12.04%1.684-17.73%0.0111✓1.351.3M2022-10-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.056103-12.71%0.06052-5.83%0.1201✓1.072.0M2022-10-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.3313-13.16%1.244-18.85%0.0193✓1.1766k2022-10-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0188-13.52%0.895-24.02%0.0589✓1.703.1M2022-10-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.774.9614-14.01%5.519-4.35%0.1419✓0.858.5M2022-10-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.457,685.77-16.61%8,075.27-12.38%0.1067✓1.385.9M2022-10-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.