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2022-08-30 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1199
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.4%
in alpha space · 74.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014252+0.23%0.01028-27.71%0.3193✗0.67174k2022-09-29
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.5137+0.16%76.93-8.83%0.0772✗1.526.3M2022-09-29
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064323-0.59%0.06102-5.70%0.0460✓0.61129k2022-09-29
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2292-0.60%4.3212+1.56%0.0301✗0.77775k2022-09-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.151888-1.24%0.16928+10.07%0.1309✗2.046042022-09-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.658472-1.57%0.565-15.55%0.1399✓1.204.3M2022-09-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.069913-1.66%0.0618-13.07%0.1104✓1.1726k2022-09-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0328-1.80%2.26+9.18%0.1116✗0.5197k2022-09-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005683-1.81%0.005204-10.07%0.0803✓0.692,3002022-09-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034661-1.81%0.0337-4.53%0.0180✓0.9287k2022-09-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.487949-1.82%0.351-29.38%0.3160✓1.222,7102022-09-29
SOLSolanaSolana31.4830.8845-1.89%33.93+7.78%0.1069✗1.1665.9M2022-09-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.327733-1.91%0.325-2.72%0.0054✓1.24176k2022-09-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0151.9949-1.91%53.98+1.83%0.0483✗0.9812.7M2022-09-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.056712-2.05%0.0525-9.33%0.0669✓0.9398k2022-09-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.7755-2.20%9.274+3.35%0.0658✗0.961.5M2022-09-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.436966-2.27%0.4413-1.30%0.0224✓1.14364k2022-09-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.239827-2.55%0.1473-40.15%0.4774✓0.9176k2022-09-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.086616-2.57%0.1076+21.03%0.2275✗0.95393k2022-09-29
XMRMoneroMonero148.87144.9055-2.66%148.2-0.45%0.0337✗1.021.3M2022-09-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.56e-7-2.68%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0593✓0.8016k2022-09-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3121.7118-2.68%15.99-28.33%0.2979✓0.721.5M2022-09-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.525409-2.74%0.45393-15.97%0.1317✓1.3237k2022-09-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.936612-2.77%0.9035-6.21%0.0305✓0.503.6M2022-09-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.290635-2.79%0.26995-9.71%0.0618✓1.09549k2022-09-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,313.19-2.80%19,440.70-2.16%0.0170✓0.9413k2022-09-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.924362-2.83%0.8528-10.35%0.0672✓1.21963k2022-09-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001504-2.86%0.001531-1.10%0.0288✓0.98433k2022-09-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3818.8238-2.87%17.35-10.47%0.0672✓1.3023.0M2022-09-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.2367-2.88%4.2072-21.97%0.2178✓0.10115k2022-09-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58250.0248-3.02%49.569-3.90%0.0009✓0.75322k2022-09-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.036836-3.04%0.0395+3.97%0.0788✗0.812,8422022-09-29
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.364845-3.08%0.38393+1.99%0.0616✗0.9640k2022-09-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.7778-3.09%9.04-10.41%0.0650✓1.22318k2022-09-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.055805-3.12%0.0465-19.27%0.1699✓1.13258k2022-09-29
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4504-3.13%1.441-3.76%0.0059✓1.12296k2022-09-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.636034-3.13%0.649-1.16%0.0355✗1.39226k2022-09-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.09948-3.13%0.0989-3.70%0.0036✓0.86192k2022-09-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.872272-3.14%0.774811-13.96%0.1093✓0.8363k2022-09-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.20224-3.19%0.1955-6.41%0.0224✓1.0459k2022-09-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,180.59-3.19%19,595.57-1.10%0.0324✗1.00490.8M2022-09-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.13088-3.20%0.12886-4.69%0.0023✓1.20200k2022-09-29
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0190.986205-3.22%0.926-9.13%0.0491✓1.251.4M2022-09-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006-3.23%0.0048-22.58%0.2161✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
COMPCompoundEthereum4745.4779-3.24%62.31+32.57%0.3286✗1.2411k2022-09-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.236278-3.24%0.2651+8.56%0.1259✗0.9881k2022-09-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.314598-3.26%0.291-10.52%0.0650✓1.17138k2022-09-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.309336-3.28%0.42396+32.56%0.3246✗0.85350k2022-09-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69110.9256-3.28%117+2.01%0.0659✗1.144.6M2022-09-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0156-3.33%1.1086+5.52%0.1011✗1.23973k2022-09-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.175026-3.35%0.1493-17.56%0.1437✓1.382,2912022-09-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.093704-3.40%0.0913-5.88%0.0180✓0.722,7842022-09-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.012697-3.43%0.012066-8.23%0.0440✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.064235-3.44%0.06107-8.19%0.0415✓0.829142022-09-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0099-3.44%0.958808-8.32%0.0423✓0.8748k2022-09-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.023885-3.46%0.02259-8.69%0.0416✓1.283,3752022-09-29
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.123188-3.46%0.1254-1.72%0.0291✓1.031.7M2022-09-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.078648-3.50%0.0852+4.54%0.0905✗0.9513k2022-09-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.277799-3.51%0.292+1.42%0.0605✗0.963.1M2022-09-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.689-3.52%4.84-0.41%0.0412✗0.861.5M2022-09-29
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.217838-3.61%0.2258-0.09%0.0459✗0.91501k2022-09-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.14323-3.68%0.1358-8.68%0.0411✓1.111,5282022-09-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.212888-3.71%0.1721-22.16%0.1983✓1.31135k2022-09-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.0242-3.72%6.14-1.87%0.0290✓0.905.0M2022-09-29
ZECZcashZcash59.8757.5961-3.80%56.65-5.38%0.0038✓1.161.7M2022-09-29
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.46e-7-3.82%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0602✓0.792.0M2022-09-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,465.49-3.89%1,336.02-12.38%0.0773✓1.37628.3M2022-09-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.117926-3.89%0.1269+3.42%0.0850✗1.0625k2022-09-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.060056-3.91%0.061-2.40%0.0253✓0.87105k2022-09-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.061.9784-3.96%2.04-0.97%0.0390✓0.76329k2022-09-29
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.435028-3.97%0.4381-3.29%0.0175✓0.9537.8M2022-09-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.625157-4.12%0.584-10.43%0.0574✓0.97207k2022-09-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.407304-4.16%0.403-5.18%0.0007✓1.028,1172022-09-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.034496-4.18%0.0389+8.06%0.1289✗0.809,5472022-09-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.041106-4.18%0.0423-1.40%0.0393✓0.97156k2022-09-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.187399-4.19%0.1692-13.50%0.0911✓1.00121k2022-09-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.4261-4.21%12.774+7.09%0.1238✗1.1110.8M2022-09-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.322296-4.21%0.3073-8.67%0.0366✓1.0046k2022-09-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316711.7978-4.21%10.6337-13.66%0.0932✓0.9732k2022-09-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.6028-4.29%5.436+13.04%0.1812✗1.348.7M2022-09-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000011657-4.30%0.00001112-8.70%0.0366✓0.95828k2022-09-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023016-4.30%0.01877-21.95%0.1950✓0.81459k2022-09-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.097953-4.35%0.1155+12.78%0.1737✗0.817.0M2022-09-29
ZENHorizenBase15.815.1095-4.37%14-11.39%0.0640✓1.1193k2022-09-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.7372-4.38%1.7283-4.87%0.0068✓1.0833k2022-09-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.019476-4.44%0.02298+12.76%0.1747✗0.8411.4M2022-09-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.330455-4.44%0.3421-1.08%0.0449✓0.93347k2022-09-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008256-4.44%0.00664-23.15%0.2098✓0.735.6M2022-09-29
DASHDashDash45.5143.4659-4.49%42.28-7.10%0.0170✓0.97438k2022-09-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.00624-4.54%0.00641-1.94%0.0315✓0.4258k2022-09-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.278164-4.64%0.355+21.70%0.2539✗0.916.5M2022-09-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001417-4.67%0.001441-3.03%0.0247✓0.699,0932022-09-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.490717-4.72%0.461-10.49%0.0499✓1.1483k2022-09-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.734294-4.72%0.70986-7.89%0.0241✓0.88509k2022-09-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.409812-4.72%0.3568-17.04%0.1258✓1.1596k2022-09-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.6431-4.75%2.334-15.89%0.1147✓0.88706k2022-09-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.046098-4.76%0.0393-18.80%0.1486✓0.99796k2022-09-29
HIVEHivenative0.54890.522697-4.77%0.4901-10.71%0.0549✓0.861.3M2022-09-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0125-4.79%0.9263-12.90%0.0723✓1.514.5M2022-09-29
QNTQuantEthereum95.6391.0454-4.79%134.14+40.27%0.3970✗0.863.5M2022-09-29
FTTFTXEthereum26.625.3217-4.81%24.3-8.65%0.0305✓0.977.3M2022-09-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1332.9813-4.84%3.094-1.24%0.0428✓0.51650k2022-09-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.269948-4.95%0.257-9.51%0.0412✓0.72686k2022-09-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2484-4.96%4.84+8.28%0.1362✗0.531.1M2022-09-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.7325-4.96%1.725-5.38%0.0057✓0.91121k2022-09-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.493056-5.00%0.454-12.52%0.0708✓1.0677k2022-09-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.113.9045-5.00%3.892-5.30%0.0007✓0.232.3M2022-09-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003816-5.07%0.00349-13.18%0.0783✓1.00152k2022-09-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.6413-5.13%1.1489-33.59%0.3460✓0.971.2M2022-09-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.138873-5.14%0.1287-12.09%0.0647✓1.03138k2022-09-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.247348-5.16%0.1168-55.21%0.7502✓0.0191k2022-09-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.4524-5.19%5.41-5.93%0.0026✓0.474.4M2022-09-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.160074-5.28%0.14769-12.61%0.0697✓0.98340k2022-09-29
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.041106-5.32%0.041615-4.15%0.0217✓0.8530k2022-09-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.337052-5.35%0.302-15.19%0.0978✓1.09131k2022-09-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.040664-5.36%0.036221-15.70%0.1100✓0.5228k2022-09-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1242-5.37%1.062-10.61%0.0459✓0.991.7M2022-09-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.058092-5.42%0.060801-1.01%0.0573✗1.061.6M2022-09-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.02153-5.51%0.024673+8.29%0.1374✗0.10266k2022-09-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.5414-5.55%1.668+2.21%0.0891✗0.93579k2022-09-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0993.8693-5.60%3.906-4.71%0.0145✓0.462.0M2022-09-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3492-5.65%1.552+8.53%0.1530✗1.17123k2022-09-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0491.9319-5.72%1.708-16.64%0.1106✓1.1444k2022-09-29
XVGVergenative0.002920.00275-5.81%0.00332+13.70%0.1993✗1.00486k2022-09-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.043862-5.90%0.04045-13.22%0.0731✓0.7116k2022-09-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.033199-5.93%0.03099-12.18%0.0576✓1.0240k2022-09-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5139-5.97%1.43-11.18%0.0582✓-0.11116k2022-09-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.1611-6.05%7.901+20.48%0.2604✗1.0617.7M2022-09-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.8754-6.06%5.1-1.73%0.0500✓0.442.0M2022-09-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.007569-6.09%0.00692-14.14%0.0772✓1.12477k2022-09-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.124351-6.15%0.118-10.94%0.0466✓0.533.6M2022-09-29
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000043055-6.18%0.00004151-9.54%0.0269✓0.871.7M2022-09-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07681.9475-6.23%1.7819-14.20%0.0766✓1.1113k2022-09-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.652-6.27%6.08+0.83%0.0783✗0.482.1M2022-09-29
PROPropyEthereum0.740.69348-6.29%0.62-16.22%0.1088✓0.2979k2022-09-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.020109-6.30%0.019573-8.80%0.0180✓0.8114k2022-09-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.037-6.52%5.9139+36.94%0.3929✗1.00147k2022-09-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.183659-6.63%0.2412+22.62%0.2818✗0.843.1M2022-09-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.211.3605-6.88%15.71+28.77%0.3359✗1.061.9M2022-09-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.477032-6.88%0.4283-16.40%0.0994✓0.76579k2022-09-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.7104-7.00%6.62+7.82%0.1530✗0.471.7M2022-09-29
KSMKusamaHydration47.4744.1252-7.05%43.13-9.14%0.0119✓0.99543k2022-09-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.076522-7.10%0.07404-10.11%0.0324✓0.05478k2022-09-29
QTUMQtumQtum3.11582.8925-7.17%2.872-7.82%0.0041✓1.0125k2022-09-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002774-7.31%0.002029-32.21%0.3027✓0.921.1M2022-09-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.818376-7.35%0.79841-9.61%0.0134✓1.0214k2022-09-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001248-7.39%0.001018-24.46%0.1950✓0.792.1M2022-09-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.7559-7.43%2.418-18.78%0.1137✓1.543.8M2022-09-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.6884-7.48%8.46+1.81%0.1010✗0.481.9M2022-09-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.5098-7.52%4.002+5.45%0.1421✗0.98252k2022-09-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.046843-7.61%0.0408-19.53%0.1273✓0.98237k2022-09-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.1865-7.70%5.7748+2.77%0.1098✗0.215.4M2022-09-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.7443-7.71%1.574-16.72%0.0842✓1.6890k2022-09-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.102873-7.74%0.08-28.25%0.2436✓0.71220k2022-09-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.847652-7.78%0.851-7.42%0.0200✓1.45167k2022-09-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000146025-7.80%0.00028475+79.80%0.6756✗0.70429k2022-09-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.5378-7.94%4.0567+5.56%0.1434✗0.603.8M2022-09-29
STXStacksnative0.36130.331959-8.12%0.3287-9.02%0.0030✓1.17393k2022-09-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8612.7224-8.21%12.74-8.08%0.0135✓1.10909k2022-09-29
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1745.6535-8.43%6.376+3.27%0.1347✗1.309.5M2022-09-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.268318-8.52%0.23831-18.75%0.1071✓1.0412k2022-09-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.12692-8.62%0.1424+2.52%0.1263✗1.01510k2022-09-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.0852-8.66%1.2118+1.99%0.1202✗0.891.3M2022-09-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.093808-8.92%0.099-3.88%0.0658✓1.083.3M2022-09-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.056008-9.23%0.0574-6.97%0.0386✓1.27908k2022-09-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.754627-9.34%0.7585-8.88%0.0166✓1.041.8M2022-09-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.280313-9.52%0.2612-15.69%0.0588✓1.07111k2022-09-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.606052-9.68%0.595-11.33%0.0089✓0.86228k2022-09-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.3146-9.89%6.432-8.22%0.0299✓1.0411.6M2022-09-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48111.2415-9.93%17.491+40.14%0.4479✗0.528.9M2022-09-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.1825-10.42%1.17-11.36%0.0005✓0.91121k2022-09-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3128.9396-10.43%27.79-13.99%0.0239✓1.5012.9M2022-09-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.3749-10.45%6.8634+14.35%0.2479✗0.326.5M2022-09-29
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.1034-10.51%1.231-0.16%0.1225✗1.19460k2022-09-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.071.8447-10.89%1.79-13.53%0.0175✓1.14232k2022-09-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010899.69e-7-10.94%5.49e-7-49.53%0.5585✓0.851.1M2022-09-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.056292-11.03%0.06205-1.93%0.1092✓1.072.1M2022-09-29
METISMetisEthereum31.0527.5697-11.21%24.91-19.77%0.0804✓1.90288k2022-09-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0830.95607-11.72%0.905-16.44%0.0356✓1.753.2M2022-09-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.3732-11.75%1.27-18.38%0.0651✓1.1877k2022-09-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3315.2875-11.79%14.94-13.79%0.0153✓0.69880k2022-09-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.875846-11.89%0.873-12.17%0.0010✓0.384.2M2022-09-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.0299-11.91%6.45-19.17%0.0741✓1.09462k2022-09-29
FLOWFlownative2.0121.7659-12.23%1.692-15.90%0.0278✓1.351.3M2022-09-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.0044-12.37%5.782+1.24%0.1540✗0.869.5M2022-09-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.587,557.57-14.84%8,135.04-8.33%0.0888✓1.376.2M2022-09-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.